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ROI – Roadmap on
information
2
What do we
want to do
next?
Do we want to build for good
or for bad?
1. Human and Technology
trends
2. Human and Information
trends
3. The good and the bad of
information technologies
3
HUMAN AND TECHNOLOGY
1. THE INTERNET
5
4.2B humans on the internet – 55% (80%) of world population
Population under
15 and over 65
Years
6
MOBILE
PHONE
SATURATED
2. COMPUTER & STORAGE TRENDS
6 TeraFLOPS in A12
Faster than desktop
released 6 month ago
iMac Core i7 = 18914
(all cores)
2.3 GHz 18-Core Xeon
core is only
4-5 times faster
STORAGE TRENDS
Datacenter
Network
Device
Display
Storage
Compute
Display
Display
2G
Storage
Compute
Display
Storage
Compute
Display
5G
Storage - shared
Storage
Compute
Display
Storage - shared
Switched
Compute - Apps
Display
3G
LTE
Storage
Compute
The smart
phone
Storage
Compute - Apps
Display
Storage
Compute
The personal
computer
Shared
‘70s ‘80s ‘10s‘90s+ ‘00s ‘20s+
AI AND
MACHINE
LEARNING
Machine Learning
Deep Learning
13
AI is old.. AI is new (1950s.. Now computing power)
Today AI is very Narrow. It sees what we trained it
for.
AI is a very powerful tool to recognize things.
A new way to proceed to information retrieval
• Can scale review of small sample to large scale data
• Can also accelerate repetitive process
THE RISE OF AI
HOME COURT
HUMAN AND INFORMATION
RISE OF
LITERACY
THE RISE OF
INFORMATION WORKER
McKinsey estimate in
2012 there are 230
million knowledge
workers in the world –
automation of that
work is $6-7B industry
Knowledge workers
spend 38% of their
time searching for
information
era
EVOLUTION THE WRITTEN CONVERSATION
2moro - Tomorrow
2nite - Tonight
BRB - Be Right Back
BTW - By The Way -or- Bring The Wheelchair
B4N - Bye For Now
BCNU - Be Seeing You
BFF - Best Friends Forever -or- Best Friend's Funeral
CYA - Cover Your Ass -or- See Ya
DBEYR - Don't Believe Everything You Read
DILLIGAS - Do I Look Like I Give A Sh**
FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, and Disinformation
FWIW - For What It's Worth -or- Forgot Where I Was
GR8 - Great
ILY - I Love You
IMHO - In My Humble Opinion
IRL - In Real Life
ISO - In Search Of
J/K - Just Kidding
LMAO - Laughing My Ass Off
LOL - Laughing Out Loud -or- Lots Of Love -or- Living On
Lipitor
LYLAS - Love You Like A Sister
MHOTY - My Hat's Off To You
NIMBY - Not In My Back Yard
NP - No Problem -or- Nosy Parents
NUB - New person to a site or game
OIC - Oh, I See
OMG - Oh My God
OT - Off Topic
POV - Point Of View
RBTL - Read Between The Lines
ROTFLMAO - Rolling On The Floor Laughing My Ass Off
RT - Real Time -or- ReTweet
THX or TX or THKS - Thanks
SH - Sh** Happens
SITD - Still In The Dark
SOL - Sh** Out of Luck -or- Sooner Or Later
STBY - Sucks To Be You
SWAK - Sealed (or Sent) With A Kiss
TFH - Thread From Hell
RTM or RTFM - Read The Manual -or- Read The F***ing
Manual
TLC - Tender Loving Care
TMI - Too Much Information
TTYL - Talk To You Later -or- Type To You Later
TYVM - Thank You Very Much
VBG - Very Big Grin
WEG - Wicked Evil Grin
WTF - What The F***
WYWH - Wish You Were Here
XOXO - Hugs and Kisses
A NEW LANGUAGE HAS EMERGED
TOTAL NUMBER
OF CALLS
DROPPED BY
1.7% IN THE UK
LAST YEAR FOR
THE FIRST TIME
Google voice search up 35x in the last 10 years!
IMPACT ON THE WRITTEN CONVERSATION
23
INFONOMICS
Douglas B. Laney, Gartner
COLLECTING THE KNOW-HOW IN THE ENTERPRISE
REDUCE THE COST
OF INFORMATION
RETRIEVAL
You need an input of
energy to organize
information
• Human energy and effort
• Compute energy to build
structure
A Cost Model for Evaluating the Information Retrieval Systems,
Michael D” Cooper, 1972
THE GOOD & THE BAD
1. PRIVATE DATA COLLECTION
Facebook 1.79 B users
• Shadow profiles for all others
• Photo decomposition and detection – Since 2016 object
detection, scene detection
• Financial profile from 3rd party vendors
• Your internet browsing history
• When you started relationship, how long it lasted, what was
in common
• 29 000 categories for ad targeting
28
THE CONCERNS
FOR
CONFIDENTIALITY
LAW
GDPR rules
California rules
USER
New Application: Signal
Corporate Positioning: Apple,
Facebook, Google
• Apple in front of Congress
• Chrome 69
Can we make
confidentiality built in
Can we create a world
where personal
information is not
monetized
INFORMATION RETRIEVAL VS. CONFIDENTIALITY
2. PEAK
COMPLEXITY
PEAK
COMPLEXITY
32
Information Overload
TAXI - DISRUPT COMPLEXITY
• Regulated industry
• Quota on # of taxi
• Permits maybe resold
• Prices are set
• Exception for special location
• Drivers must have special license
• Exams required
• Cars require inspection
• Maximize “permit owner” profit
• Minimize customer service quality
TECHNOLOGY FOR THE GOOD
Decisions in an abstract sense are
neither truly good or truly bad – however
these decisions certainly lead to truly
good or truly bad consequences.
- MARK TWAIN
“
”
WHAT’S NEXT?
Mobile
Devices do
the
processing -
store data in
the cloud.
Enable
seamless
conversatio
n – Don’t
force users
to adapt
Rebuild
complex
Systems from
the ground up
Allow people
to store their
conversations
Use AI to
reduce
informati
on
overload
Reach to
all
Humans
Thank You.

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ROI: Return On Information – Mapping the Evolutionary Path of Economic Value - Frederic Bourget, Netgovern

  • 1. ROI – Roadmap on information
  • 2. 2 What do we want to do next? Do we want to build for good or for bad? 1. Human and Technology trends 2. Human and Information trends 3. The good and the bad of information technologies
  • 5. 5 4.2B humans on the internet – 55% (80%) of world population Population under 15 and over 65 Years
  • 7. 2. COMPUTER & STORAGE TRENDS
  • 8.
  • 9. 6 TeraFLOPS in A12 Faster than desktop released 6 month ago iMac Core i7 = 18914 (all cores) 2.3 GHz 18-Core Xeon core is only 4-5 times faster
  • 11. Datacenter Network Device Display Storage Compute Display Display 2G Storage Compute Display Storage Compute Display 5G Storage - shared Storage Compute Display Storage - shared Switched Compute - Apps Display 3G LTE Storage Compute The smart phone Storage Compute - Apps Display Storage Compute The personal computer Shared ‘70s ‘80s ‘10s‘90s+ ‘00s ‘20s+
  • 13. 13 AI is old.. AI is new (1950s.. Now computing power) Today AI is very Narrow. It sees what we trained it for. AI is a very powerful tool to recognize things. A new way to proceed to information retrieval • Can scale review of small sample to large scale data • Can also accelerate repetitive process THE RISE OF AI
  • 17. THE RISE OF INFORMATION WORKER McKinsey estimate in 2012 there are 230 million knowledge workers in the world – automation of that work is $6-7B industry Knowledge workers spend 38% of their time searching for information
  • 19. 2moro - Tomorrow 2nite - Tonight BRB - Be Right Back BTW - By The Way -or- Bring The Wheelchair B4N - Bye For Now BCNU - Be Seeing You BFF - Best Friends Forever -or- Best Friend's Funeral CYA - Cover Your Ass -or- See Ya DBEYR - Don't Believe Everything You Read DILLIGAS - Do I Look Like I Give A Sh** FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, and Disinformation FWIW - For What It's Worth -or- Forgot Where I Was GR8 - Great ILY - I Love You IMHO - In My Humble Opinion IRL - In Real Life ISO - In Search Of J/K - Just Kidding LMAO - Laughing My Ass Off LOL - Laughing Out Loud -or- Lots Of Love -or- Living On Lipitor LYLAS - Love You Like A Sister MHOTY - My Hat's Off To You NIMBY - Not In My Back Yard NP - No Problem -or- Nosy Parents NUB - New person to a site or game OIC - Oh, I See OMG - Oh My God OT - Off Topic POV - Point Of View RBTL - Read Between The Lines ROTFLMAO - Rolling On The Floor Laughing My Ass Off RT - Real Time -or- ReTweet THX or TX or THKS - Thanks SH - Sh** Happens SITD - Still In The Dark SOL - Sh** Out of Luck -or- Sooner Or Later STBY - Sucks To Be You SWAK - Sealed (or Sent) With A Kiss TFH - Thread From Hell RTM or RTFM - Read The Manual -or- Read The F***ing Manual TLC - Tender Loving Care TMI - Too Much Information TTYL - Talk To You Later -or- Type To You Later TYVM - Thank You Very Much VBG - Very Big Grin WEG - Wicked Evil Grin WTF - What The F*** WYWH - Wish You Were Here XOXO - Hugs and Kisses A NEW LANGUAGE HAS EMERGED
  • 20.
  • 21. TOTAL NUMBER OF CALLS DROPPED BY 1.7% IN THE UK LAST YEAR FOR THE FIRST TIME
  • 22. Google voice search up 35x in the last 10 years! IMPACT ON THE WRITTEN CONVERSATION
  • 24. COLLECTING THE KNOW-HOW IN THE ENTERPRISE
  • 25. REDUCE THE COST OF INFORMATION RETRIEVAL You need an input of energy to organize information • Human energy and effort • Compute energy to build structure A Cost Model for Evaluating the Information Retrieval Systems, Michael D” Cooper, 1972
  • 26. THE GOOD & THE BAD
  • 27. 1. PRIVATE DATA COLLECTION Facebook 1.79 B users • Shadow profiles for all others • Photo decomposition and detection – Since 2016 object detection, scene detection • Financial profile from 3rd party vendors • Your internet browsing history • When you started relationship, how long it lasted, what was in common • 29 000 categories for ad targeting
  • 28. 28 THE CONCERNS FOR CONFIDENTIALITY LAW GDPR rules California rules USER New Application: Signal Corporate Positioning: Apple, Facebook, Google • Apple in front of Congress • Chrome 69
  • 29. Can we make confidentiality built in Can we create a world where personal information is not monetized INFORMATION RETRIEVAL VS. CONFIDENTIALITY
  • 33. TAXI - DISRUPT COMPLEXITY • Regulated industry • Quota on # of taxi • Permits maybe resold • Prices are set • Exception for special location • Drivers must have special license • Exams required • Cars require inspection • Maximize “permit owner” profit • Minimize customer service quality
  • 34. TECHNOLOGY FOR THE GOOD Decisions in an abstract sense are neither truly good or truly bad – however these decisions certainly lead to truly good or truly bad consequences. - MARK TWAIN “ ”
  • 36. Mobile Devices do the processing - store data in the cloud. Enable seamless conversatio n – Don’t force users to adapt Rebuild complex Systems from the ground up Allow people to store their conversations Use AI to reduce informati on overload Reach to all Humans