10. A Supply Chain
is a Complex System
with Complex Processes
with Increasing Complexity
11. Looking at Supply Chain
as a Complex System
Profitable Growth
Revenue Cost of Goods
Corporate
Trade-offs Working Capital
Corporate Social Responsibility
Investment
Trade-offs R&D Strategy and Investment Asset Strategy and Investment
Forecast Accuracy Customer Service Inventory
Supply Chain
Trade-offs Channel Strategy Product and Supplier Strategy
Service Portfolio
Sales Distribution Manufacturing Logistics Procurement
Supply Chain Policies Policies Policies Policies Policies
Waste
Returns Backorders First Pass Yield Empty Miles Material Yield
12. Useful Ratios
Growth Profitability Cycle Complexity
R&D Margin Cash on Hand C2C Cycle Altman Z
R&D to COGS Ratio Free Cash Flow Ratio Days of Finished Goods Capital Turnover
SGA Margin Gross Margin Days of Inventory Current Ratio
Days of Payables
SGA/COGS Net Profit Quick Ratio
Outstanding
COGS as Percent of Net
Operating Margin Days of Raw Materials Return on Assets
Sales
Days of Sales
Pretax Margin (EBIT) Return on Equity
Outstanding
Days of Work in Return on Invested
YoY Sales Growth
Progress Capital
Operating Margin DPO/DSO Return on Net Assets
Inventory Turns Revenue/Employee
Receivables Turns Cost of Sales
13. Evolution of Supply Chain Process Excellence
Continuous
Testing
Align Building Horizontal
Process Connectors Learning Orchestrate
Demand and Supply
Improving
In Market
Adapt
Resilient
Reliable
Right Product Efficient
Sense Demand
Demand Volatility
and Supply Right Place Cost
Shape Right Time
Procure to
Demand and Supply pay/order to
Supply based Volatility cash
on Market Right Cost
20. Getting to Letter Perfect
Common Practice Market-driven Focus
Focus on market drivers:
S Ask sales
How do we best shape demand?
Design of the value chain to optimize
& Direct integration to supply trade-offs, minimize risk, balance cycles,
and orchestrate demand
Trade-offs between make, source and
OP Manufacturing plan
deliver
20
21. S&OP Evolution
Greater Benefit
Business- • Growth
Sales Driven
planning Driven • Resilience
Match Demand
Maximize • Efficiency
with Supply
Profitability
Market Driven
Manufacturing- Demand Driven
Driven Maximize
Maximize
Opportunity and
Deliver a Feasible Opportunity
Mitigate Risk.
Plan for Operations Sense and
Orchestrate
Match Demand Shape
Demand
with Supply Demand
Market to Market
38. Integration of S&OP with Financial Planning
(among those with S&OP Experience)
39. Historically, we have…
• Tried to get precise on inaccurate data.
• Believed that the most efficient supply chain is
the most effective supply chain.
• Built efficient chains, but not effective networks.
• Focused inside-out, not outside-in.
• Rewarded the urgent, not the important.
39
40. Wrap-up
• Start with strategy and a clear definition of
supply chain excellence
• Build metrics to drive balance in a complex
system
• Improve agility through “what-if” capability
• Focus on a multi-year road map
• Fuel the energy through a guiding coalition
and continuous improvement initiatives