An informative overview of the Housing Affordability Index. Includes information about the two major Housing Affordabilty Indices and how they indicate that right now could be a historic opportunity to buy a home.
Great information for those considering buying or selling; or for REALTORS(r) to share with clients and prospective clients.
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Housing Affordability Index From Long & Foster
1. The Housing Affordability Index
A Historic Buying Opportunity?
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2. Understanding Today’s Housing Affordability
Affordability is at it’s Highest Level in Years
Several Mortgage and Housing Industry organizations measure
housing affordability.
Two of the most popular measurements come from the National
Association of REALTORS® (NAR) and the National Association of
Home Builders® (NAHB).
The NAHB® has developed a Housing Opportunity Index (HOI)
The NAR® publishes the Housing Affordability Index (HAI)
Both indicate we are at or near record levels in terms of overall
housing affordability.
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3. The NAR® Housing Affordability Index
A Simple Explanation
Essentially, the index is a measure of the financial ability of U.S.
families to buy a house.
In simple terms, an index value of 100 means that a family with the
median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a
mortgage on a median-priced home.
An index above 100 signifies that a family earning the median
income has more than enough income to qualify for a mortgage
loan on a median-priced home, assuming a 20 percent down
payment.
More information can be found at: www.Realtor.org/research
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4. The NAR® Housing Affordability Index
At Near Record Levels
The index shows a very favorable relationship (well over 100)
between home prices, mortgage rates and family income.
Recent and current index numbers are the most attractive since
tracking began in 1970s.
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5. The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index
A Simple Explanation
The HOI is also a measure of the financial ability of U.S. families to
purchase a house.
It is the share of homes sold that were affordable to a family
earning the median income, based on standard mortgage criteria.
Two major components -- Income and Housing Cost
Income: Uses median family income estimates from the Dept.
of Housing & Urban Development and assumes a family can
afford to spend 28% of gross income on housing.
Cost: Uses actual sales transactions and calculates payments
based on a 30 year fixed mortgage, with 10% down at interest
rates from the Federal Housing Finance Board. It includes
estimated property taxes and insurance, but not mortgage
insurance.
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6. The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index
Says 65% of Families Can Afford a Home
The highest index since 1992 was reported in the 1st quarter of 2012
at 77.5 - It remains high in Q3 at 64.5 percent.
More information can be found at: www.nahb.org
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7. Mortgage Rates Remain Low
Creating Opportunities for Buyers & Sellers
Similar to the affordability index trends, mortgage rates are also at
historic low levels since the early 1970s.
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8. Even A Modest Increase in Rates
Adds Up Over Time…
The chart shows the impact of each 0.25% change for $100,000
financed over the life of a 30 year mortgage
Increase in Total Monthly Payments Over 30 Years
Per $100k Financed - - Shown for Each 0.25% Increase in Rate
$60,000
$51,089
$50,000
$45,138
$39,251
$22,582
$40,000
$33,431
$27,680
$30,000
$21,997
$16,387
$20,000
$10,849
$10,000
$0
$57,102
$5,386
$0
4.50%
4.75%
5.00%
5.25%
5.50%
5.75%
6.00%
6.25%
6.50%
6.75%
7.00%
Going from 5.0% to 6.0% – adds cost of $22,582 over 30 years.
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9. Summary
Both the HAI and HOI show Housing affordability at or near record
levels.
The Freddie Mac® Mortgage Survey shows mortgage rates at the
lowest on record since the early 1970s – This contributes to housing
affordability by lowering monthly payments for buyers.
Even a modest increase in mortgage rates could cost buyers
thousands of dollars over the life of a 30 year fixed mortgage.
The Bottom Line: This could be a historic opportunity to buy a new
home.
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