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- 2. 3500 BC Fixed wheels on carts 2000 BC Horses used for transportation 1769 First self-propelled road vehicle 1885 First practical automobile
- 3. 3500 BC Fixed wheels on carts 2000 BC Horses used for transportation 1769 First self-propelled road vehicle 1885 First practical automobile
- 4. 4m miles of road in the US
- 5. 85% are unusable in the wet season
- 6. $5bn invested vs $25bn required
- 9. nanotech: high density batteries and solar
- 10. nanotech: high density batteries and solar
- 11. nanotech: smaller and lighter goods
- 12. biotech and ai: optimized food production
- 13. ai and robotics: intelligent vehicles
- 14. 2014
- 15. 2014
- 16. Electric, autonomous, medical supply vehicle
- 19. roadless world.
Hinweis der Redaktion
- Hi! I’m andreas raptopoulos and I want to talk to you about transportation of goods and people in places with no road infrastructure, such as africa\n
- 3500 BCFixed wheels on carts are invented - the first wheeled vehicles in history. Other early wheeled vehicles include the chariot.\n2000 BCHorses are domesticated and used for transportation.\n1769First self-propelled road vehicle invented by Nicolas Joseph Cugnot\n1885Karl Benz builds the world's first practical automobile to be powered by an internal combustion engine\n
- 3500 BCFixed wheels on carts are invented - the first wheeled vehicles in history. Other early wheeled vehicles include the chariot.\n2000 BCHorses are domesticated and used for transportation.\n1769First self-propelled road vehicle invented by Nicolas Joseph Cugnot\n1885Karl Benz builds the world's first practical automobile to be powered by an internal combustion engine\n
- Through the 20th centrury and the rise of industrialization, we’ve build roads and complex infrastructure systems to handle traffic to the point that there are now:\n4 million miles of roads in the US\n
- In Africa we have a different story:\nOnly about 12 per cent of sub-Saharan Africa's primary roads are paved. \n85 per cent of roads are in poor condition and can’t be used during the wet season.\n\n
- An estimated $18-25 bn per year is required to provide adequate infrastructure in Africa. The current level of investment is about $5 bn annually\nThis is a huge problem and impacts directly the economic development of the region.\n
- \n
- Proposition: accelerating technologies will allow africa to leapfrog the whole road infrastructure building stage the developed world went through, just as it did with telephony.\nWhy? Let’s take a look a the trends\n
- Nanotech/Energy: Transportation will move to cleaner fuels. Once batteries reach the density of fossil fuels, ground and air vehicles will be electric. Harnessing solar will mean that our transportation is essentially free.\n
- Nanotech/Energy: Transportation will move to cleaner fuels. Once batteries reach the density of fossil fuels, ground and air vehicles will be electric. Harnessing solar will mean that our transportation is essentially free.\n
- Nanotech and robotics: goods are becoming smaller and lighter. Eventually goods will be manufactured in situ, rather than transported. This includes vehicles, heavy machinery and housing. \nVehicles and heavy machinery, to the extend that it exists, will be self-assembled from parts printed in situ. Houses will be designed by architects and built in situ by house printers.\n
- Food will be grown and distributed locally. \nOnly a very small percentage of niche produce will travel distances of more than 1000 miles.\n
- AI: Vehicles will be fully autonomous relying on map and navigation systems. They will only require pick-up and drop-off locations - which will also be integrated with other services. We will be passengers at least 90% of the time we travel in personal flying vehicles.\n
- So here you are - in 2014 in a maternity ward in Mali. You have a newborn in critical condition, you need to give it a certain medication which you don’t have in your stock room. What do you do? \nWell, you put a request through your mobile phone for the medication you need and wait. With today’s infrastructure you may have to wait for days before you receive it, but in 2014 you have one of those autonomous vehicles coordinated in the background to source the medication from a number of locations and bring this to you within a matter ot minutes or hours.\n
- So here you are - in 2014 in a maternity ward in Mali. You have a newborn in critical condition, you need to give it a certain medication which you don’t have in your stock room. What do you do? \nWell, you put a request through your mobile phone for the medication you need and wait. With today’s infrastructure you may have to wait for days before you receive it, but in 2014 you have one of those autonomous vehicles coordinated in the background to source the medication from a number of locations and bring this to you within a matter ot minutes or hours.\n
- (Well, you put a request through your mobile phone for the medication you need and wait. With today’s infrastructure you may have to wait for days before you receive it, but in 2014 you have one of those autonomous vehicles coordinated in the background to source the medication from a number of locations and bring this to you within a matter ot minutes or hours.)\n
- A fleet of these vehicles will form an ultra-flexible, ai-driven logistics network - each of these vehicles wil cover a short distance, but many together will cover the whole continent.\n
- Eventually we will have electric, autonomous vehicles that will be able to transfer people and increasingly larger loads, without the need for roads. \nThis will have a totally disruptive effect to today’s transportation industry.\n
- To summarize:\n1. Exponential technologies are moving towards a more dematerialized, more 'local' world. \n2. Transport vehicles will move from the ground to air. Ground transportation will be marginal. \n3. There will be very little road infrastructure. Roads will be reclaimed by nature. A new transportation paradigm is likely to occur.\n\n