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© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
Keith D Swenson
April 2013
Seven Domains of
Predictability / Unpredictability
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Development Investment
High Low
End User Effort
Low High
Cost to Modify
High Low
Control of Process
High Low
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
Process
Technology
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
ApplicationDev Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Traditional Programming model
Java
C++
C#
Design, develop, test, release
Very robust
Very Scalable and Performant
Costly to develop
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
PDSIntegration
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Design using a process model
Easier to explain to business people
Easier to change and modify
Still mainly about server to server
integration, data flows
BPEL, Straight-Thru-Processing
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
HumanPM
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Design using a process model
Model automatically takes care of
things that people do:
• reminders
• reassignment
• delegation
• escalations
• roles
• deadlines
Easier to
explain to
business
people
Easier to
change and
modify
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
PCM
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Production Case Mgmt
Design using a case
model, but for
knowledge worker
Processes are more like
menu choices
Data is center
High volume
Knowledge Worker
for hire
Design remains
separate from users
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
ACM
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Not designed using a model,
but simply styled by the
knowledge worker.
Guidelines NOT guardrails
Designed data objects
Checklists
More documents
More msgs and
notes
Less DB use
Planning is part of
the work
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
SBS
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Less customizable,
More basic capabilities
Special purpose cloud based
collaborative applications
• eVite, event bright
• Discussion forums
• Wiki
• Basic CMS
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
Traditional communications
only,
No structure
All message and attachments
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
ApplicationDev
PDSIntegration
HumanPM
PCM
ACM
SBS
Email,Texting,
Twitter,Telephone
Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable
NotesDocuments
& Unstructured
Data
Databases &
Structured
Data
© Copyright 2011 Fujitsu
Keith D Swenson
Adaptive Case Management
http://social-biz.org/

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Seven Domains of Predictability

  • 1. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu Keith D Swenson April 2013 Seven Domains of Predictability / Unpredictability
  • 2. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data
  • 3. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Development Investment High Low End User Effort Low High Cost to Modify High Low Control of Process High Low
  • 4. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev Process Technology Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data
  • 5. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data
  • 6. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone ApplicationDev Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Traditional Programming model Java C++ C# Design, develop, test, release Very robust Very Scalable and Performant Costly to develop
  • 7. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone PDSIntegration Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Design using a process model Easier to explain to business people Easier to change and modify Still mainly about server to server integration, data flows BPEL, Straight-Thru-Processing
  • 8. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone HumanPM Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Design using a process model Model automatically takes care of things that people do: • reminders • reassignment • delegation • escalations • roles • deadlines Easier to explain to business people Easier to change and modify
  • 9. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone PCM Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Production Case Mgmt Design using a case model, but for knowledge worker Processes are more like menu choices Data is center High volume Knowledge Worker for hire Design remains separate from users
  • 10. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone ACM Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Not designed using a model, but simply styled by the knowledge worker. Guidelines NOT guardrails Designed data objects Checklists More documents More msgs and notes Less DB use Planning is part of the work
  • 11. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone SBS Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Less customizable, More basic capabilities Special purpose cloud based collaborative applications • eVite, event bright • Discussion forums • Wiki • Basic CMS
  • 12. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data Traditional communications only, No structure All message and attachments
  • 13. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu ApplicationDev PDSIntegration HumanPM PCM ACM SBS Email,Texting, Twitter,Telephone Variable, UniquePredictable, Repeatable NotesDocuments & Unstructured Data Databases & Structured Data
  • 14. © Copyright 2011 Fujitsu Keith D Swenson Adaptive Case Management http://social-biz.org/