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CHAPTER THIRTEEN Aggregate Supply
Learning objectives ,[object Object],[object Object]
Three models of aggregate supply ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],natural rate of output a positive parameter the expected price level the actual price level agg.  output
The sticky-wage model ,[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-wage model ,[object Object],then unemployment and output are at their natural rates Real wage is less than its target, so firms hire more workers and output rises above its natural rate Real wage exceeds its target, so firms hire fewer workers and output falls below its natural rate
 
The sticky-wage model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The cyclical behavior of the real wage Percentage  change in real wage Percentage change in real GDP 1982 1975 1993 1992 1960 1996 1999 1997 1998 1979 1970 1980 1991 1974 1990 1984 2000 1972 1965 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 7 8 6 5 4 4  3  2  1  0  -1  -2 -3  -4  -5
The imperfect-information model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The imperfect-information model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],price set by flexible price firms price set by sticky price firms
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object]
The sticky-price model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary & implications ,[object Object],Y   P LRAS SRAS
Summary & implications ,[object Object],Over time,  P  e  rises,  SRAS  shifts up, and output returns  to its natural rate. Y   P LRAS SRAS 1 SRAS 2 AD 1 AD 2
Inflation, Unemployment,  and the Phillips Curve ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],where    > 0 is an exogenous constant.
Deriving the Phillips Curve from  SRAS
The Phillips Curve and  SRAS ,[object Object],[object Object]
Adaptive expectations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Inflation inertia ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two causes of rising & falling inflation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Graphing the Phillips curve ,[object Object],u    The short-run Phillips Curve
Shifting the Phillips curve ,[object Object],E.g., an increase  in   e   shifts the short-run P.C. upward. u   
The sacrifice ratio ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sacrifice ratio ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rational expectations  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Painless disinflation? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The sacrifice ratio  for the Volcker disinflation ,[object Object],[object Object],Total  9.5% Total disinflation = 6.7%  1.1 6.0 7.1 1985 1.4 6.0 7.4 1984 3.5 6.0 9.5 1983 3.5% 6.0% 9.5% 1982 u  u   n u   n u year
The sacrifice ratio  for the Volcker disinflation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The natural rate hypothesis ,[object Object],Changes in aggregate demand  affect output and employment  only in the short run.  In the long run,  the economy returns to  the levels of output, employment,  and unemployment described by  the classical model (chapters 3-8).
An alternative hypothesis:  hysteresis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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MACROECONOIMCS-CH13

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.  
  • 7.
  • 8. The cyclical behavior of the real wage Percentage change in real wage Percentage change in real GDP 1982 1975 1993 1992 1960 1996 1999 1997 1998 1979 1970 1980 1991 1974 1990 1984 2000 1972 1965 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 7 8 6 5 4 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Deriving the Phillips Curve from SRAS
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
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  • 36.
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  • 40.  

Editor's Notes

  1. Chapter 13 has two parts. The first concerns aggregate supply. In the preceding chapters, we made the simple and extreme assumption that all prices were “stuck” in the short run. This assumption implied a horizontal short-run aggregate supply curve. More realistic models of aggregate supply imply an upward-sloping SRAS curve. Chapter 13 presents three of the most prominent models. The second half of the chapter is devoted to the Phillips curve and related issues. The section uses a few lines of algebra to derives an expression for the Phillips curve from the SRAS equation. This is followed by a discussion of adaptive and rational expectations, and the sacrifice ratio. The chapter concludes by contrasting the notion of hysteresis to the natural rate hypothesis. To help your students master the material, it would be helpful to assign homework or in-class exercises in which students use the models to analyze the effects of policies and shocks. Right before the introduction of the Phillips curve would be a good place to have students work an exercise using the IS-LM-AD-AS model with a postively-sloped SRAS curve. The key difference is that, in the short run, a shift in AD causes P to change, which changes M/P, which shifts LM a bit, which explains why the short-run change in output is smaller when SRAS is upward-sloping than when it is horizontal.