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Published by The Kir wan Institute for the Study of R ace and Ethnicity




                           Three years after the destruction of Hurricane Ike, the supply of affordable
                           housing in Galveston remains one of the many challenges to full recovery
                               in the region. The following was developed to help aid in community
                                 dialogue and planning efforts directed at addressing this challenge.




Galveston After Ike
 Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery
                                                                              December 2011

                                                                                    Jason Reece
                                                                                   Senior Researcher

                                                                                Christy Rogers
                                                                                   Senior Researcher

                                                                              Matthew Martin
                                                                                  Research Associate

                                                                                 Sarah Lawson
                                                                           Graduate Research Intern

                                                                                  Jonathan Lee
                                                                           Graduate Research Intern

                                                                                    Avrita Singh
                                                                       Graduate Research Volunteer
Overview
Introduction
Background
The Strain on Affordable Housing: Lessons from Post-Hurricane Communities
Indicators of Neighborhood Opportunity
Maps and Analysis
Conclusion
Galveston After Ike: Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery 

                                                               December 2011 

               Jason Reece, Christy Rogers, Matthew Martin, Sarah Lawson, Jonathan Lee, Avrita Singh  

 

 Introduction 

The Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race & Ethnicity at The Ohio State University is an applied research 
institute working nationally and internationally to  identify solutions which expand opportunity for our 
most  marginalized  communities,  in  order  to  support  a  healthy,  economically  vibrant  and  just  society. 
Affordable,  sustainable  and  supportive  housing  is  an  important  gateway  to  opportunity  and  for  this 
reason  the  Institute  has  worked  on  issues  related  to  housing  development,  affordability,  fair  housing 
and community development since its inception.   

These efforts in dozens of communities over the past seven years have culminated in the “community of 
opportunity”  model  of  housing  and  community  development.  Our  model,  which  has  been  utilized  in 
communities  throughout  the  US,  seeks  to  understand  pathways  and  barriers  to  opportunities  in  each 
community, and to utilize a robust portfolio of policy tools to expand housing choice in high opportunity 
communities,  to  revitalize  and  bring  opportunity  to  distressed  areas,  and  to  empower  communities 
through transformative civic engagement. 

After  receiving  numerous  requests  to  apply  some  of  our  analytical  tools  to  the  affordable  housing 
redevelopment issues in the aftermath of the hurricane for the Galveston area, the Institute responded 
with this report as part of our public service commitment to communities hard hit by natural disasters in 
the  Gulf,  as  we  have  done  in  New  Orleans,  Alabama  and  Mississippi.  Our  mapping  analysis  of 
opportunity in the Galveston area does not represent the interests of any particular group involved in 
housing redevelopment in the region. We hope our work provides a framework to build consensus and 
identify solutions to producing an equitable, healthy and economically vibrant Gulf Coast community.  

 Background 

On September 13, 2008, Hurricane Ike, one of the most destructive natural disasters to hit the United 
States,  made  landfall  on  the  southeastern  Texas  coast,  causing  severe  floods  and  damage.    Galveston 
County, located partly on mainland Texas and partly on an island in the Gulf of Mexico, fell right in the 
center of Ike’s path of destruction.  As a category 2 hurricane, Ike flooded 75% of Galveston Island and 
parts of the county mainland.  The greatest level of damage occurred where the majority of low‐income 
individuals resided.   Ike flooded and damaged two thirds of the Island’s housing projects and increased 
the city’s homeless population from 6,000 to 12,000.1   

As the GHA June 2011 “Rebuilding Plan for Public Housing” states: 



                                                            
1
     Source: Galveston Housing Authority 

                                                                     1 
 
 

                                                                
Table 1. Cost‐Burdened Households by Tenure 
                                             Compounding  these  losses  is  the  fact  that  in  the  time 
  (30% or more of household 
                          2000
income was spent on housing)
                                  2005‐2009 leading  up  to  Hurricane  Ike,  the  share  of  Galveston 
                                            County  residents  who  were  cost‐burdened  (spending 
         Renters          37.5%     45.2%   30% or more of household income on housing) increased 
         Owners           19.2%     25.5%   for  both  renters  and  home  owners  (Figure  1). 2    The 
      All Residents       25.9%     31.8%   largest rates of cost burdened households were found on 
                                            primarily on the Island (Map 1). The impact of Hurricane 
Ike therefore exacerbated the already mounting challenge of housing affordability on Galveston Island 
and the rest of the county.  




                                                                                    
Figure 2: Proportion of Cost Burdened Households  (paying more than 30% of their income for housing) by Block Group from 
the 2005‐2009 American Community Survey 

                                                            
2
     Table 1 sources: U.S. Census 2000, American Community Survey (ACS) 2005‐2009 

                                                                   2 
 
The Strain on Gulf Coast Affordable Housing & Lessons from Katrina  

Gulf Coast redevelopment has a particular set of challenges. These unique circumstances must be taken 
into account before designing any policy solutions for the community. In particular, a number of barriers 
to  affordable  housing  have  created  impediments  to  housing  access  not  found  in  other  regions  of  the 
United States. The “base” of pre‐hurricane affordable housing units is relatively small compared to other 
regions  in  the  US,  and  post‐hurricane  displacement  of  low‐income  families  and  families  of  color  has 
been  documented  across  the  region.  It  is  imperative  to  take  this  into  consideration  when  designing 
affordable housing and fair housing solutions for the region. 

Gulf coast communities affected by Hurricane Katrina continue to experience challenges and search for 
solutions  to  replacing  affordable  housing.    Affordable  housing,  especially  affordable  rental  housing, 
tends to recover slower than the rest of the housing market.  For example, homeowners, landlords, and 
renters in areas affected by Katrina flooding often held inadequate insurance before Katrina, and could 
not  cover  the  loss  and  repair.3     Following  Katrina,  access  to  affordable  housing  has  become  more 
limited,  due  to  a  rise  in  rental  rates  and  resident  restrictions.    Insurance  premiums  are  costly  as  the 
perception  of  risk  is  ever‐present.4   In  Mississippi,  rental  rates  raised  30%‐50%  in  the  year  following 
Katrina  because  a  great  amount  of  rental  housing  was  lost.5   In  addition,  Mississippi’s  Community 
Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds given to rental units were disseminated slower than those given 
to  homeowners,  indicating  a  prioritization  of  homeowners  over  renters.6   Furthermore,  as  of  March 
2009,  programs  to  “rebuild  long‐term  workforce  housing,  public  housing,  and  small  rentals”  had  used 
only 50% of their funds while all the initial homeowner aid had been completely dispensed.7 

In the City of Galveston, clear disparities in population losses can also be seen in population figures from 
before  and  after  Hurricane  Ike  (Figure  3).  The  city  of  Galveston  lost  16.5%  of  its  population  between 
2000 and 2010.  Population loss for the White population during this time was 11.4%.  Population loss 
for  the  African  American  community  during  this  time  was  three  times  this  rate,  with  the  African 
American population declining by 36.7% in the City of Galveston between 2000 and 2010.  




                                                            
3
     “Rebuilding Affordable Housing on the Gulf Coast:  Lessons Learned in Mississippi from Hurricane Katrina.”  RAND
Gulf States Policy Institute. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9409/index1.html.  2008. 
4
   Ibid. 
5
   Jopling, John.  “Two Years After the Storm:  The State of Katrina Housing Recovery on the Mississippi Gulf Coast.”  
Mississippi Law Journal, Vol. 77. March 20, 2008, pg. 876 
6
   “GAO Report Highlights Gap Between Homeowner, Rental Units Assisted with 2005 Disaster Funds.”  National 
Low Income Housing Coalition, Vol. 15, No. 7. http://www.nlihc.org/detail/article.cfm?article_id=6782.  February 
19, 2010. 
7
   “MS Advocates Release Report to Counter State’s Rosy Recovery Picture.”  National Low Income Housing 
Coalition, Vol. 14, No. 35.  http://www.nlihc.org/detail/article.cfm?article_id=6411.  September 11, 2009. 

                                                               3 
 
Popul
                            lation Chhange by Race 2 2000 and
                                                            d 2010 
                                 for t
                                     the City of Galve
                                                     eston

                                                                                                                        Latino, 1.3%




                                                                  African Americ
                                                                               can, ‐36.7%




                                                                                                        White, ‐11.4%
                                                                                                                    %




                                                                                             Total P
                                                                                                   Population, ‐16.5%



         ‐40.0
             0%          ‐35.0%          ‐30.0%          ‐25.0
                                                             0%    ‐20.0%       ‐15.0%        ‐10.0%        ‐5.0%       0.0%           5.0%
                                                                                                                                               
Figure 3: Po
           opulation Chang
                         ge by Race for th
                                         he City of Galves
                                                         ston, Source: Ce              Census 2010 
                                                                        ensus 2000 and C

Opportun
       nity Mapping  

The  ratio
         onale  for  creeating  a  map of  opportu
                                         p            unity  is  simp
                                                                    ple:  access  t quality  af
                                                                                   to           ffordable  hou  using, 
education employment,  transportation,  health and  environ
         n,                                           h             nmental  amenities  is  esseential  for  goo life 
                                                                                                               od 
outcomes particularly  for  children.  We  all  intuitively  k
         s,                                                         know  the  im mportance  o accessing  good 
                                                                                                of 
opportunities  –  enroll ling  in  colleg investing  in  homeown
                                        ge,                         nership,  findin a  high‐quality  primary care 
                                                                                    ng                         y 
doctor.  A
         Accessing opp  portunity to im  mprove our li ives and our  children’s livees motivates us to move a  across 
town,  acr
         ross  the  country,  or  acro the  world for  better  j
                                        oss           d              jobs,  a  quality  education,  and  safety  from 
violence.   The ability to learn, dream, invest, an   nd teach is deependent upo   on the strength and vibran  ncy of 
our opportunities.  For most of us,      , we look firs
                                                      st and foremo ost to our neighborhoods  for opportun     nities.  
And we kn now that thes  se neighborhood opportunities are not      t equal.   

Fifty years of social science confirm
                                    m this intuitio
                                                  on, showing t that racially isolated and eeconomicallyy poor 
neighborh hoods  restric employme options  f young  people,  contribute  to  poo health,  ex
                        ct          ent            for                                      or           xpose 
children tto extremely high rates of crime and vio olence, and hhouse some o  of the least‐pe
                                                                                            erforming schhools.  
Kids who do not see ne  eighbors leav
                                    ving for work,, who are unc challenged in school, who are afraid to go to 
their  loca park,  and  who  can’t  f
          al                         find  healthy  food  in  the communit 8 are  expos
                                                                eir           ty            sed  to  cumulative 
disadvant tages  that  ca be  hard  to  overcome.9   There  is  a reason  that the  old  rea estate  ada is 
                        an                        .             a              t            al           age 

                                                            
8
   Recently,, people in Seattle found that   t property valu
                                                           ues, more than n income or education levels, , were the bestt 
predictor oof obesity rates  s, most likely d
                                            due to the neigghborhood presence or absen   nce of grocery stores in safe 
walking dis stance with aff fordable, healt thy food.8 
9
   Children can be harmed   d by racial dispparities even be
                                                           efore birth.  Black and Hispannic women are  e more than twwice as 
likely to receive late or no prenatal care as White women.9  (Prenat      tal care prevennts low birth weight that may y lead 
to mental d                 sion problems, and neuromuscular disorder 9)  Racial hea
            disabilities, vis                                              rs.           alth disparities
                                                                                                        s seem to be 
growing, even as mortality rates overall have decreas      sed.  In 1950, a
                                                                          a Black child was 1.6 times mmore likely to di
                                                                                                                       ie 
before his or her first birthday than a W   White child; in 2002, they were 2.4 times as s likely.9   

                                                                                     4 
 
“location,  location,  location.”  Good  opportunities  (and  bad  ones)  often  come  bundled  together.  
Location – this bundle of opportunities we can access—is important for everyone, but especially for our 
children.   

The  Kirwan  Institute’s  “Opportunity  Mapping”  initiatives  analyze  and  communicate  the  cumulative 
structural  disinvestment  and  segregation  of  people  of  color  into  declining  and  distressed 
neighborhoods.    These  maps  are  a  powerful  tool  to  help  guide  coalition  building,  service  delivery  and 
investment around issues faced by marginalized and isolated communities.  

Opportunity mapping can delineate the needs, capacity and opportunities of marginalized communities, 
giving local partners and advocates a point of departure as well as a communications tool.  Mapping can 
provide  a  valuable  lens  for  identifying  strategic  points  of  investment,  which  is  critical  given  the  great 
needs (and limited resources) of marginalized communities. The importance of mapping assets and need 
is  critical  to  spurring  new  thinking.    As  Rhonda  Tsoi‐A‐Fatt,  a  Senior  Policy  Analyst  specializing  in  low‐
income youth observes: 

         Communities of high youth distress are not monolithic.  To effectively create long‐term change, 
         communities will need to invest time and resources into defining the dimensions of the problem, 
         which will illuminate both the nature and scope of issues affecting young people…Mapping the 
         assets  in  community  (human,  material,  financial  and  natural)  enables  new  partnerships  to 
         emerge, and brings new life and possibility to planning and implementation.10   

Opportunity  mapping  can  provide  valuable  information  to  address  social  justice  and  community 
development.  The following are some of the issues which can be illuminated by opportunity mapping: 

     •   What are the best strategies to create opportunity and provide neighborhood safety or stability 
         in an opportunity poor community? Are policies depressing opportunity in an opportunity poor 
         community? What neighborhoods are at risk of becoming low opportunity communities?  

     •   What policies can help connect marginalized people with opportunities in the region? Where is 
         affordable housing needed in opportunity rich communities within the region?  

     •   Which neighborhoods are significantly impacting the quality of life and development of children 
         in the region? What children are most at risk?  

     •   What  are  the  neighborhood  conditions  for  neighborhoods  impacted  by  foreclosure?  Where 
         should  asset  building  activities  be  targeted?  Where  are  predatory  or  discriminatory  credit 
         instruments limiting the economic potential for communities?  

This mapping, research and community engagement and community advocacy model has several broad 
goals and advocacy outcomes. These goals could include:  

     •   To raise significant attention and awareness to the structural and community barriers impacting 
         marginalized  communities,  to  identify  policy  solutions  to  remedy  barriers  to  opportunity  for 

                                                            
10
    Rhonda Tsoi‐A‐Fatt, “A Collective Responsibility, A Collective Work:  Supporting the Path to Positive Life 
Outcomes for Youth in Economically Distressed Communities” (May 2008) CLASP Policy Report. 


                                                           5 
 
marginalized  communities.    To  provide  a  entry  point  for  starting  consensus  building  or 
        collaborative discussions among stakeholders.  

    •   To provide a local resource to identify areas of greatest need in communities and assess “gaps” 
        where  need  is  not  being  met  by  on‐going  advocacy  efforts,  local  initiatives,  investments  or 
        policy initiatives.  

    •   To  provide  data,  analysis  and  strategies  to  help  build  local  organizational  capacity  in 
        understanding  challenges,  needs  and  strategies  for  marginalized  neighborhoods.  To  provide  a 
        collaborative framework to collectively organize the strategic planning of multiple stakeholders 
        in communities.  

Opportunity  maps  can  best  be  used  to  consider  recovery  planning  and  investment  that  will  help  the 
county build a better future for all residents.  

Indicators of Neighborhood Opportunity 

Data  were  collected  for  block  groups  in  Galveston  County  in  three  categories:  education  quality, 
economic  health,  and  neighborhood  stability.    Six  variables  were  collected  to  analyze  educational 
opportunities:  student  poverty  rate,  math  proficiency  test  scores,  reading  proficiency  test  scores, 
average years of experience of teachers, student‐teacher ratio, and adult educational attainment level.  
Three indicators were collected to assess economic health: unemployment rate, number of jobs within 5 
miles of each block group and the mean commute time to work for residents.  Four indicators served as 
a  comprehensive  reflection  of  neighborhood  stability  and  health:  vacancy  rates,  foreclosure  rates, 
poverty  rates,  and  proximity  to  number  toxic  waste  release  sites.  The  summation  of  these  three  sub‐
indices is combined to create the final comprehensive opportunity index for each block group, which is 
an index representing all of the indicators discussed above. This index is then sorted into quintiles with 
the  following  labels,  from  highest  to  lowest:  Very  High  Opportunity,  High  Opportunity,  Moderate 
Opportunity, Low Opportunity, and Very Low Opportunity.  For example, areas identified as Very High 
Opportunity represent the top 1/5 of the block groups (based on their comprehensive opportunity index 
score);  conversely,  areas  identified  as  Very  Low  Opportunity  represent  the  bottom  1/5  of  the  block 
groups  (based  on  their  comprehensive  opportunity  index  score).  Our  analysis  focused  on  residentially 
developed areas and excluded areas (census blocks) of very low population density.  

Maps and Analysis 

The following presents an overview of the final opportunity maps and analysis related to the Galveston 
area maps. We do caution that these maps present only a starting point for understanding the dynamics 
of opportunity in the region. Gulf Coast redevelopment carries with it many challenges that cannot be 
captured  through  these  maps  alone.  The  complexity  of  Gulf  Coast  redevelopment  issues  require  civic 
engagement,  input  from  a  range  of  stakeholders,  and  careful  implementation  of  fair  housing  policies. 
The  examination  of  opportunity  maps  is  a  jumping‐off  point  that  can  drive  engagement  toward 
equitable  solutions,  but  is  not  a  substitute  for  broad‐based  community  discussion.  Additionally,  site 
based analysis related to locations for potential public housing will be an important supplement to this 
neighborhood‐based  opportunity  analysis.  Site‐based  conditions,  such  as  immediate  proximity  to  a 
polluting  land  use  or  isolation  from  the  transportation  system,  for  example,  would  be  critical 
considerations to take into account when siting affordable housing.  



                                                        6 
 
Maps 1 and 2 show the final opportunity scores for Galveston County and the Island. The opportunity 
maps  show  that  areas  of  high  opportunity  are  concentrated  mainly  in  two  areas:  on  Galveston  Island 
and  the  portion  of  the  county  closest  to  Houston.  Lower  opportunity  areas  were  clustered  in  the 
southern  portion of  the County  near Texas City and La  Marque.  On  the Island, high opportunity block 
groups were primarily located south of Broadway, centered around 53rd Street and on the Western side 
of  the  Island.  The  Island  contained  relatively  few  low  opportunity  areas  (compared  to  the  County). 
When  looking  at  population  within  the  various  opportunity  areas,  very  clear  racial  disparities  can  be 
seen throughout the County (Figure 4). Nearly 55% of the County’s African American population in 2010 
lived  in  low  or  very  low  opportunity  areas  (these  areas  represent  2/5’s  of  all  block  groups  analyzed). 
Comparatively,  only  24%  of  Whites,  15%  of  Asian  and  34%  of  Hispanic  residents  lived  in  these  low 
opportunity areas in the 2010 Census.  

We  also  mapped  the  distribution  of  subsidized  housing  (utilizing  HUD’s  2008  picture  of  subsidized 
housing) (Maps 3 and 4). Although this data is not ideal for identifying current distributions of subsidized 
housing, it is the best universal data set which was available to us for this analysis. Based on our analysis 
of the 2008 data, we found that the majority of public housing sites (66%) throughout Galveston County 
were located in low or very low opportunity areas (Figure 5). If possible, this analysis should be updated 
with more current and accurate data to understand the current landscape of affordable housing.  

           100%
            90%                                         24.25%
            80%                                                         44.05%                         43.00%
                        49.66%
                                        55.84%
            70%
                                                        21.38%                         72.10%
            60%
            50%
                                                                        21.57%                         21.08%
            40%         20.54%
                                        20.39%
            30%                                         54.38%
            20%                                                                        12.47%
                                                                        34.38%                         35.92%
                        29.80%
            10%                         23.77%
                                                                                       15.42%
              0%
                         Total          White      African American    Hispanic         Asian     American Indian/ 
                                                                                                   Alaska Native

                                   Very Low & Low          Moderate        High & Very High
                                                                                                                       
Figure 4: Distribution of racial population (% of total population by race) within the various neighborhood opportunity areas.  




                                                                 7 
 
100%
                            10.53%
    90%                                                                 18.84%
    80%                     23.68%
    70%                                                                 23.99%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%                     65.79%
                                                                        57.17%
    20%
    10%
     0%
                           % of sites                                % of Units

                   Very Low & Low            Moderate          High & Very High
                                                                                                     
Figure  5:  Distribution  of  HUD  Subsidized  Housing  Sites  and  Subsidized  Housing  Units  (from  the  2008  Picture  of  Subsidized 
Housing Data) within the various opportunity areas.  

Location  in  a  high  or  low  opportunity  block  group  does  not  tell  the  entire  story  in  regards  to 
neighborhood  conditions.  A  housing  site  could  be  located  in  a  low  opportunity  area  but  immediately 
adjacent  to  high  opportunity  areas,  thus  suggesting  that  the  subsidized  housing  site  does  have  some 
access to areas of opportunity. This proximity is very important in areas of smaller geography, such as an 
island.  To  understand  the  proximity  to  areas  of  opportunity  for  HUD  subsidized  housing  sites,  we 
analyzed their proximity to high opportunity areas. As seen in Maps 5 and 6, public housing units were 
in  closer  proximity  to  high  opportunity  census  tracts  on  Galveston  Island  than  in  many  parts  of  the 
mainland.  The  majority  of  subsidized  housing  sites  were  located  within  less  than  a  ½  mile  from  high 
opportunity portions of the region. This proximity provides an opportunity to rebuild public housing in a 
way  that  assures  continued  access  to  these  higher  opportunity  areas,  and  potentially  anchor  broader 
community revitalization initiatives.   

Moving Forward – Recommendations for Equitable Rebuilding 

Based  on  this  analysis,  the  following  recommendations  flow  from  the  findings  of  the  opportunity 
analysis presented in this report:  

     •     Replace affordable housing options on the Island that were destroyed by Hurricane Ike: cost‐
           burdened households were increasing throughout the County prior to Ike and the largest rates of 
           cost  burden  households  were  found  on  the  Island.  The  need  for  improving  the  inventory  of 
           affordable  housing  was  only  exacerbated  by  the  destruction  that  resulted  from  the  hurricane. 
           Experience  from  other  areas  impacted  by  hurricane  damage  illustrate  that  affordable  housing 
           reconstruction faces many obstacles and affirmative efforts to replace the pre‐existing supply of 
           affordable units must be a priority.  

     •     Rebuild  in  places  that  are  in  or  near  high‐opportunity  areas:  because opportunity is a critical 
           element of success, affordable housing options should be replaced in proximity to opportunity so 
           that  residents  have  a  chance  to  thrive.  As  the  opportunity  maps  show,  many  of  Galveston 


                                                                   8 
 
Island’s  block  groups  are  higher  opportunity  areas  which  could  be  considered  for  additional 
        public housing or affordable housing development.  

    •   Target  redevelopment  investments  to  places  near  anchor  institutions  like  hospitals  and 
        universities:  since  these  institutions  are  sources  of  valuable  services,  jobs,  and  community 
        development resources, investments near these go further and create more opportunity.  

    •   Ensure  affordable  housing  is  rebuilt  in  places  with  strong  transportation  infrastructure  and 
        options:  in  order  to  create  a  holistic  environment  of  opportunity,  investments  in  affordable 
        housing opportunities should  be made  in areas where  there are  also affordable  and accessible 
        transportation alternatives. Leveraging redevelopment investments near anchor institutions like 
        hospitals  and  universities  is  another  way  to  build  continued  access  to  opportunity.  This  means 
        providing affordable housing options in and near areas of high opportunity, as well as ensuring 
        that  transportation  options  exist  which  will  help  facilitate  access  to  opportunity.  As  the 
        community  redevelops  and  improves  its  portfolio  of  affordable  housing,  providing  access  to 
        these areas will be important.  

    •   Engage and involve public housing residents in the redevelopment process: because no effort 
        to  restore  and  improve  housing  opportunities  throughout  the  County  will  be  effective  or 
        complete without the participation of the residents themselves.  

Kirwan  Comments  Regarding  the  Proposed  (October  2011)  Master  Development  Work  (plans 
submitted by McCormack Baron Salazar) 

In addition to the opportunity analysis, we also reviewed the recent Master Plan for the Island. When 
reviewing public housing plans, it is important to ask: how many units are being proposed? How many of 
those units can support families with children? Are these units in locations conducive to reaching high 
opportunity supports, services, and social networks? 

We note the following concerns with the October proposed plan, in comparison with the June 21, 2011 
GHA Rebuilding Plan for Public Housing: 

    •   The  October  development plan  does not seem  to comply with  the settlement agreement  that 
        requires one‐for‐one unit replacement.  The October plan replaces only slightly more than half 
        of  the  public  housing  units  lost.  Like  other  hurricane  stricken  communities,  Galveston  has  a 
        great need to replace its affordable housing stock, and a one to one replacement is needed to 
        assure sufficient affordable units remain on the island.  

    •   Although there are numerous high opportunity areas on the Island, the proposed locations are 
        not  in  the  higher  opportunity  areas  on  the  Island  (Map  7),  which  tend  to  be  in  the  south  and 
        west section of downtown. In relation to our opportunity maps, some of the proposed locations 
        are  in  low‐density,  low  opportunity  areas  surrounded  by  industrial  uses.    When  siting  public 
        housing, we need to ask: Can families walk or take public transportation safely to good grocery 
        stores, schools and jobs from their new homes? Efforts should be made to integrate these units 
        with high opportunity areas on the Island.  

    •   It is not clear that fair housing requirements have been met, including those for accessible units. 



                                                         9 
 
•   Sufficient units with three and four bedrooms must be provided for families with children who 
        need them.  

The  opportunity  framework  and  the  maps  and  analysis  in  this  report  represent  a  valuable  toolbox  of 
policy  development  instruments.  However,  they  cannot  suffice  for  the  kind  of  “ground‐truthing”  that 
must  come  from  genuine  community  engagement,  whereby  the  realities  of  residents  can  be  clearly 
understood in the context of the opportunity landscape. 

We hope this initial analysis can contribute to a meaningful process of decision making that is inclusive 
of all Galveston residents, but this process must be grounded in robust engagement for those residents 
who currently reside or have resided in public housing. The impact wrought by Hurricane Ike has been 
felt by all, and continues to shape life outcomes in the region. 




                                                       10 
 
Map 1: Comprehensive Opportunity
Galveston County,TX
Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010




                                         Harris
                                                                                                                                                                    ¯
                  Friendswood

                                                                      League City




                                                                                       Dickinson
                                                                                                                              146
                                                                                                                             ¬
                                                                                                                             «



                                                                                           45
                                                                                           §
                                                                                           ¦
                                                                                           ¨
                                                                                                                                                 Te x a s C i t y
                                                                                      Galveston


                                                                                                                               La Marque




    0 0.5 1         2       3       4
                                     Miles


     Legend
                      Brazoria
     Comprehensive
     Opportunity Index
                Very Low

                Low

                Moderate

                High
                Very High

                River and Lake
                Parks

                Low Population Density
                                                                                                                                                 Gulf of Mexico
Map 2: Comprehensive Opportunity(Island Area)
Galveston County,TX
Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010
                          Swan Lake

     Galveston County
       Harris                                                Chambers




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Low
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Moderate

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                                                                     30
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Parks

                               Miles                                                                                                                                                                                           Low Population Density
Map 3: Comprehensive Opportunity & Public Housing
Galveston County,TX
Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010




                                                 Harris
                                                                                                                                                                      ¯
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                                                                                    League City
                                                                    #          #
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                                                                                        #


                                                                                                                                    #
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                                                                                                                                        0 0.5 1       2       3       4
                                                                                                                                                                       Miles

    Inset                                                                                                                               Legend
                                                                                                                                                  Public Housing(2008)
                                   Brazoria
                                                                                                                                           #
  State




                                                                                                       #
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                                                   State Hwy 348
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                                                                                                                                             River and
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                                                                        #
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                                             0      0.5        1                  2
                                                                                   Miles                                                          Low Population Density
Map 4: Comprehensive Opportunity(Island Area) & Public Housing
  Galveston County,TX
# Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010,       Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010




     ¯                                                                                                                                                              Legend
                                                                                                                                                                        #       Public Housing(2008)
                                                                                                                                                                    Comprehensive
                                                                                                                                       ¬168
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                                                                                                                                                                                River and Lake
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                                                                                                   Galveston County
                                                                                                        Harris
                                                                                                                                                                Chambers

                                                                  #                                                ##
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                                                                                                                                                     #



       0   0.5    1          2                                                                                                                                              0 1.25 2.5   5   7.5   10
                              Miles                                                                                                                                                                 Miles
Map 5: Public Housing Proximity to High Opportunity
Galveston County,TX
Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010




                                                                                                                                                                    ¯
                                        Harris




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                                                                                                                                                    Te x a s C i t y
                                                                                     Galveston



                                                                                                                                La Marque




     Legend
     Public Housing(2008)                        Comprehensive
     Miles to High Opportunity                   Opportunity Index
               0.00 - 0.25                                Very Low

                 Brazoria
               0.26 - 0.50                                Low
               0.51 - 1.00                                Moderate
               1.01 - 2.00                                High

               2.01 - 4.53                                Very High

               Public Housing 1-Mile Proximity            River and Lake                                                         Gulf of Mexico
                                                          Parks
     0 0.5 1          2       3       4
                                       Miles              Low Population Density
Map 6: Public Housing Proximity to High Opportunity (Island)
Galveston County,TX
Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010
                  Swan Lake


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                                                                                                                                                                       Legend
                                                                                                                                                                       Public Housing(2008)                              Comprehensive
                                         Sweetwater Lake                                                                                                               Miles to High Opportunity                         Opportunity Index
                                                                                                                 05
                                                                                                              30
                                                                                                          M
                                                                                                       F-                                                                         0.00 - 0.25                                     Very Low

                                                                                               05                                                                                 0.26 - 0.50                                     Low
                                                                                            30
                                                                                        M
                                                                                     F-
                                                                                                                                                                                  0.51 - 1.00                                     Moderate
                                                              05
                                                           30                                                                                                                     1.01 - 2.00                                     High
                                                      Fm

                                                                                                                                                                                  2.01 - 4.53                                     Very High

                                                                                                                                                                                  Public Housing 1-Mile Proximity                 River and Lake
  0         0.5         1                    2
                                              Miles                                                                                                                               Parks                                           Low Population Density
Galveston After Ike: Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery
Galveston After Ike: Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery

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Galveston After Ike: Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery

  • 1. Published by The Kir wan Institute for the Study of R ace and Ethnicity Three years after the destruction of Hurricane Ike, the supply of affordable housing in Galveston remains one of the many challenges to full recovery in the region. The following was developed to help aid in community dialogue and planning efforts directed at addressing this challenge. Galveston After Ike Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery December 2011 Jason Reece Senior Researcher Christy Rogers Senior Researcher Matthew Martin Research Associate Sarah Lawson Graduate Research Intern Jonathan Lee Graduate Research Intern Avrita Singh Graduate Research Volunteer
  • 2. Overview Introduction Background The Strain on Affordable Housing: Lessons from Post-Hurricane Communities Indicators of Neighborhood Opportunity Maps and Analysis Conclusion
  • 3. Galveston After Ike: Moving Together Towards A Full Recovery  December 2011  Jason Reece, Christy Rogers, Matthew Martin, Sarah Lawson, Jonathan Lee, Avrita Singh      Introduction  The Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race & Ethnicity at The Ohio State University is an applied research  institute working nationally and internationally to  identify solutions which expand opportunity for our  most  marginalized  communities,  in  order  to  support  a  healthy,  economically  vibrant  and  just  society.  Affordable,  sustainable  and  supportive  housing  is  an  important  gateway  to  opportunity  and  for  this  reason  the  Institute  has  worked  on  issues  related  to  housing  development,  affordability,  fair  housing  and community development since its inception.    These efforts in dozens of communities over the past seven years have culminated in the “community of  opportunity”  model  of  housing  and  community  development.  Our  model,  which  has  been  utilized  in  communities  throughout  the  US,  seeks  to  understand  pathways  and  barriers  to  opportunities  in  each  community, and to utilize a robust portfolio of policy tools to expand housing choice in high opportunity  communities,  to  revitalize  and  bring  opportunity  to  distressed  areas,  and  to  empower  communities  through transformative civic engagement.  After  receiving  numerous  requests  to  apply  some  of  our  analytical  tools  to  the  affordable  housing  redevelopment issues in the aftermath of the hurricane for the Galveston area, the Institute responded  with this report as part of our public service commitment to communities hard hit by natural disasters in  the  Gulf,  as  we  have  done  in  New  Orleans,  Alabama  and  Mississippi.  Our  mapping  analysis  of  opportunity in the Galveston area does not represent the interests of any particular group involved in  housing redevelopment in the region. We hope our work provides a framework to build consensus and  identify solutions to producing an equitable, healthy and economically vibrant Gulf Coast community.    Background  On September 13, 2008, Hurricane Ike, one of the most destructive natural disasters to hit the United  States,  made  landfall  on  the  southeastern  Texas  coast,  causing  severe  floods  and  damage.    Galveston  County, located partly on mainland Texas and partly on an island in the Gulf of Mexico, fell right in the  center of Ike’s path of destruction.  As a category 2 hurricane, Ike flooded 75% of Galveston Island and  parts of the county mainland.  The greatest level of damage occurred where the majority of low‐income  individuals resided.   Ike flooded and damaged two thirds of the Island’s housing projects and increased  the city’s homeless population from 6,000 to 12,000.1    As the GHA June 2011 “Rebuilding Plan for Public Housing” states:                                                               1  Source: Galveston Housing Authority  1   
  • 4.     Table 1. Cost‐Burdened Households by Tenure  Compounding  these  losses  is  the  fact  that  in  the  time  (30% or more of household  2000 income was spent on housing) 2005‐2009 leading  up  to  Hurricane  Ike,  the  share  of  Galveston  County  residents  who  were  cost‐burdened  (spending  Renters 37.5% 45.2% 30% or more of household income on housing) increased  Owners 19.2% 25.5% for  both  renters  and  home  owners  (Figure  1). 2    The  All Residents 25.9% 31.8% largest rates of cost burdened households were found on  primarily on the Island (Map 1). The impact of Hurricane  Ike therefore exacerbated the already mounting challenge of housing affordability on Galveston Island  and the rest of the county.       Figure 2: Proportion of Cost Burdened Households  (paying more than 30% of their income for housing) by Block Group from  the 2005‐2009 American Community Survey                                                               2  Table 1 sources: U.S. Census 2000, American Community Survey (ACS) 2005‐2009  2   
  • 5. The Strain on Gulf Coast Affordable Housing & Lessons from Katrina   Gulf Coast redevelopment has a particular set of challenges. These unique circumstances must be taken  into account before designing any policy solutions for the community. In particular, a number of barriers  to  affordable  housing  have  created  impediments  to  housing  access  not  found  in  other  regions  of  the  United States. The “base” of pre‐hurricane affordable housing units is relatively small compared to other  regions  in  the  US,  and  post‐hurricane  displacement  of  low‐income  families  and  families  of  color  has  been  documented  across  the  region.  It  is  imperative  to  take  this  into  consideration  when  designing  affordable housing and fair housing solutions for the region.  Gulf coast communities affected by Hurricane Katrina continue to experience challenges and search for  solutions  to  replacing  affordable  housing.    Affordable  housing,  especially  affordable  rental  housing,  tends to recover slower than the rest of the housing market.  For example, homeowners, landlords, and  renters in areas affected by Katrina flooding often held inadequate insurance before Katrina, and could  not  cover  the  loss  and  repair.3     Following  Katrina,  access  to  affordable  housing  has  become  more  limited,  due  to  a  rise  in  rental  rates  and  resident  restrictions.    Insurance  premiums  are  costly  as  the  perception  of  risk  is  ever‐present.4   In  Mississippi,  rental  rates  raised  30%‐50%  in  the  year  following  Katrina  because  a  great  amount  of  rental  housing  was  lost.5   In  addition,  Mississippi’s  Community  Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds given to rental units were disseminated slower than those given  to  homeowners,  indicating  a  prioritization  of  homeowners  over  renters.6   Furthermore,  as  of  March  2009,  programs  to  “rebuild  long‐term  workforce  housing,  public  housing,  and  small  rentals”  had  used  only 50% of their funds while all the initial homeowner aid had been completely dispensed.7  In the City of Galveston, clear disparities in population losses can also be seen in population figures from  before  and  after  Hurricane  Ike  (Figure  3).  The  city  of  Galveston  lost  16.5%  of  its  population  between  2000 and 2010.  Population loss for the White population during this time was 11.4%.  Population loss  for  the  African  American  community  during  this  time  was  three  times  this  rate,  with  the  African  American population declining by 36.7% in the City of Galveston between 2000 and 2010.                                                                3  “Rebuilding Affordable Housing on the Gulf Coast:  Lessons Learned in Mississippi from Hurricane Katrina.”  RAND Gulf States Policy Institute. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9409/index1.html.  2008.  4  Ibid.  5  Jopling, John.  “Two Years After the Storm:  The State of Katrina Housing Recovery on the Mississippi Gulf Coast.”   Mississippi Law Journal, Vol. 77. March 20, 2008, pg. 876  6  “GAO Report Highlights Gap Between Homeowner, Rental Units Assisted with 2005 Disaster Funds.”  National  Low Income Housing Coalition, Vol. 15, No. 7. http://www.nlihc.org/detail/article.cfm?article_id=6782.  February  19, 2010.  7  “MS Advocates Release Report to Counter State’s Rosy Recovery Picture.”  National Low Income Housing  Coalition, Vol. 14, No. 35.  http://www.nlihc.org/detail/article.cfm?article_id=6411.  September 11, 2009.  3   
  • 6. Popul lation Chhange by Race 2 2000 and d 2010  for t the City of Galve eston Latino, 1.3% African Americ can, ‐36.7% White, ‐11.4% % Total P Population, ‐16.5% ‐40.0 0% ‐35.0% ‐30.0% ‐25.0 0% ‐20.0% ‐15.0% ‐10.0% ‐5.0% 0.0% 5.0%   Figure 3: Po opulation Chang ge by Race for th he City of Galves ston, Source: Ce Census 2010  ensus 2000 and C Opportun nity Mapping   The  ratio onale  for  creeating  a  map of  opportu p  unity  is  simp ple:  access  t quality  af to  ffordable  hou using,  education employment,  transportation,  health and  environ n,  h  nmental  amenities  is  esseential  for  goo life  od  outcomes particularly  for  children.  We  all  intuitively  k s,  know  the  im mportance  o accessing  good  of  opportunities  –  enroll ling  in  colleg investing  in  homeown ge,  nership,  findin a  high‐quality  primary care  ng  y  doctor.  A Accessing opp portunity to im mprove our li ives and our  children’s livees motivates us to move a across  town,  acr ross  the  country,  or  acro the  world for  better  j oss  d  jobs,  a  quality  education,  and  safety  from  violence.   The ability to learn, dream, invest, an nd teach is deependent upo on the strength and vibran ncy of  our opportunities.  For most of us, , we look firs st and foremo ost to our neighborhoods  for opportun nities.   And we kn now that thes se neighborhood opportunities are not t equal.    Fifty years of social science confirm m this intuitio on, showing t that racially isolated and eeconomicallyy poor  neighborh hoods  restric employme options  f young  people,  contribute  to  poo health,  ex ct  ent  for  or  xpose  children tto extremely high rates of crime and vio olence, and hhouse some o of the least‐pe erforming schhools.   Kids who do not see ne eighbors leav ving for work,, who are unc challenged in school, who are afraid to go to  their  loca park,  and  who  can’t  f al  find  healthy  food  in  the communit 8 are  expos eir  ty sed  to  cumulative  disadvant tages  that  ca be  hard  to  overcome.9   There  is  a reason  that the  old  rea estate  ada is  an  . a  t  al  age                                                               8  Recently,, people in Seattle found that t property valu ues, more than n income or education levels, , were the bestt  predictor oof obesity rates s, most likely d due to the neigghborhood presence or absen nce of grocery stores in safe  walking dis stance with aff fordable, healt thy food.8  9  Children can be harmed d by racial dispparities even be efore birth.  Black and Hispannic women are e more than twwice as  likely to receive late or no prenatal care as White women.9  (Prenat tal care prevennts low birth weight that may y lead  to mental d sion problems, and neuromuscular disorder 9)  Racial hea disabilities, vis rs. alth disparities s seem to be  growing, even as mortality rates overall have decreas sed.  In 1950, a a Black child was 1.6 times mmore likely to di ie  before his or her first birthday than a W White child; in 2002, they were 2.4 times as s likely.9    4   
  • 7. “location,  location,  location.”  Good  opportunities  (and  bad  ones)  often  come  bundled  together.   Location – this bundle of opportunities we can access—is important for everyone, but especially for our  children.    The  Kirwan  Institute’s  “Opportunity  Mapping”  initiatives  analyze  and  communicate  the  cumulative  structural  disinvestment  and  segregation  of  people  of  color  into  declining  and  distressed  neighborhoods.    These  maps  are  a  powerful  tool  to  help  guide  coalition  building,  service  delivery  and  investment around issues faced by marginalized and isolated communities.   Opportunity mapping can delineate the needs, capacity and opportunities of marginalized communities,  giving local partners and advocates a point of departure as well as a communications tool.  Mapping can  provide  a  valuable  lens  for  identifying  strategic  points  of  investment,  which  is  critical  given  the  great  needs (and limited resources) of marginalized communities. The importance of mapping assets and need  is  critical  to  spurring  new  thinking.    As  Rhonda  Tsoi‐A‐Fatt,  a  Senior  Policy  Analyst  specializing  in  low‐ income youth observes:  Communities of high youth distress are not monolithic.  To effectively create long‐term change,  communities will need to invest time and resources into defining the dimensions of the problem,  which will illuminate both the nature and scope of issues affecting young people…Mapping the  assets  in  community  (human,  material,  financial  and  natural)  enables  new  partnerships  to  emerge, and brings new life and possibility to planning and implementation.10    Opportunity  mapping  can  provide  valuable  information  to  address  social  justice  and  community  development.  The following are some of the issues which can be illuminated by opportunity mapping:  • What are the best strategies to create opportunity and provide neighborhood safety or stability  in an opportunity poor community? Are policies depressing opportunity in an opportunity poor  community? What neighborhoods are at risk of becoming low opportunity communities?   • What policies can help connect marginalized people with opportunities in the region? Where is  affordable housing needed in opportunity rich communities within the region?   • Which neighborhoods are significantly impacting the quality of life and development of children  in the region? What children are most at risk?   • What  are  the  neighborhood  conditions  for  neighborhoods  impacted  by  foreclosure?  Where  should  asset  building  activities  be  targeted?  Where  are  predatory  or  discriminatory  credit  instruments limiting the economic potential for communities?   This mapping, research and community engagement and community advocacy model has several broad  goals and advocacy outcomes. These goals could include:   • To raise significant attention and awareness to the structural and community barriers impacting  marginalized  communities,  to  identify  policy  solutions  to  remedy  barriers  to  opportunity  for                                                               10  Rhonda Tsoi‐A‐Fatt, “A Collective Responsibility, A Collective Work:  Supporting the Path to Positive Life  Outcomes for Youth in Economically Distressed Communities” (May 2008) CLASP Policy Report.  5   
  • 8. marginalized  communities.    To  provide  a  entry  point  for  starting  consensus  building  or  collaborative discussions among stakeholders.   • To provide a local resource to identify areas of greatest need in communities and assess “gaps”  where  need  is  not  being  met  by  on‐going  advocacy  efforts,  local  initiatives,  investments  or  policy initiatives.   • To  provide  data,  analysis  and  strategies  to  help  build  local  organizational  capacity  in  understanding  challenges,  needs  and  strategies  for  marginalized  neighborhoods.  To  provide  a  collaborative framework to collectively organize the strategic planning of multiple stakeholders  in communities.   Opportunity  maps  can  best  be  used  to  consider  recovery  planning  and  investment  that  will  help  the  county build a better future for all residents.   Indicators of Neighborhood Opportunity  Data  were  collected  for  block  groups  in  Galveston  County  in  three  categories:  education  quality,  economic  health,  and  neighborhood  stability.    Six  variables  were  collected  to  analyze  educational  opportunities:  student  poverty  rate,  math  proficiency  test  scores,  reading  proficiency  test  scores,  average years of experience of teachers, student‐teacher ratio, and adult educational attainment level.   Three indicators were collected to assess economic health: unemployment rate, number of jobs within 5  miles of each block group and the mean commute time to work for residents.  Four indicators served as  a  comprehensive  reflection  of  neighborhood  stability  and  health:  vacancy  rates,  foreclosure  rates,  poverty  rates,  and  proximity  to  number  toxic  waste  release  sites.  The  summation  of  these  three  sub‐ indices is combined to create the final comprehensive opportunity index for each block group, which is  an index representing all of the indicators discussed above. This index is then sorted into quintiles with  the  following  labels,  from  highest  to  lowest:  Very  High  Opportunity,  High  Opportunity,  Moderate  Opportunity, Low Opportunity, and Very Low Opportunity.  For example, areas identified as Very High  Opportunity represent the top 1/5 of the block groups (based on their comprehensive opportunity index  score);  conversely,  areas  identified  as  Very  Low  Opportunity  represent  the  bottom  1/5  of  the  block  groups  (based  on  their  comprehensive  opportunity  index  score).  Our  analysis  focused  on  residentially  developed areas and excluded areas (census blocks) of very low population density.   Maps and Analysis  The following presents an overview of the final opportunity maps and analysis related to the Galveston  area maps. We do caution that these maps present only a starting point for understanding the dynamics  of opportunity in the region. Gulf Coast redevelopment carries with it many challenges that cannot be  captured  through  these  maps  alone.  The  complexity  of  Gulf  Coast  redevelopment  issues  require  civic  engagement,  input  from  a  range  of  stakeholders,  and  careful  implementation  of  fair  housing  policies.  The  examination  of  opportunity  maps  is  a  jumping‐off  point  that  can  drive  engagement  toward  equitable  solutions,  but  is  not  a  substitute  for  broad‐based  community  discussion.  Additionally,  site  based analysis related to locations for potential public housing will be an important supplement to this  neighborhood‐based  opportunity  analysis.  Site‐based  conditions,  such  as  immediate  proximity  to  a  polluting  land  use  or  isolation  from  the  transportation  system,  for  example,  would  be  critical  considerations to take into account when siting affordable housing.   6   
  • 9. Maps 1 and 2 show the final opportunity scores for Galveston County and the Island. The opportunity  maps  show  that  areas  of  high  opportunity  are  concentrated  mainly  in  two  areas:  on  Galveston  Island  and  the  portion  of  the  county  closest  to  Houston.  Lower  opportunity  areas  were  clustered  in  the  southern  portion of  the County  near Texas City and La  Marque.  On  the Island, high opportunity block  groups were primarily located south of Broadway, centered around 53rd Street and on the Western side  of  the  Island.  The  Island  contained  relatively  few  low  opportunity  areas  (compared  to  the  County).  When  looking  at  population  within  the  various  opportunity  areas,  very  clear  racial  disparities  can  be  seen throughout the County (Figure 4). Nearly 55% of the County’s African American population in 2010  lived  in  low  or  very  low  opportunity  areas  (these  areas  represent  2/5’s  of  all  block  groups  analyzed).  Comparatively,  only  24%  of  Whites,  15%  of  Asian  and  34%  of  Hispanic  residents  lived  in  these  low  opportunity areas in the 2010 Census.   We  also  mapped  the  distribution  of  subsidized  housing  (utilizing  HUD’s  2008  picture  of  subsidized  housing) (Maps 3 and 4). Although this data is not ideal for identifying current distributions of subsidized  housing, it is the best universal data set which was available to us for this analysis. Based on our analysis  of the 2008 data, we found that the majority of public housing sites (66%) throughout Galveston County  were located in low or very low opportunity areas (Figure 5). If possible, this analysis should be updated  with more current and accurate data to understand the current landscape of affordable housing.   100% 90% 24.25% 80% 44.05% 43.00% 49.66% 55.84% 70% 21.38% 72.10% 60% 50% 21.57% 21.08% 40% 20.54% 20.39% 30% 54.38% 20% 12.47% 34.38% 35.92% 29.80% 10% 23.77% 15.42% 0% Total White African American Hispanic Asian American Indian/  Alaska Native Very Low & Low Moderate High & Very High   Figure 4: Distribution of racial population (% of total population by race) within the various neighborhood opportunity areas.   7   
  • 10. 100% 10.53% 90% 18.84% 80% 23.68% 70% 23.99% 60% 50% 40% 30% 65.79% 57.17% 20% 10% 0% % of sites % of Units Very Low & Low Moderate High & Very High   Figure  5:  Distribution  of  HUD  Subsidized  Housing  Sites  and  Subsidized  Housing  Units  (from  the  2008  Picture  of  Subsidized  Housing Data) within the various opportunity areas.   Location  in  a  high  or  low  opportunity  block  group  does  not  tell  the  entire  story  in  regards  to  neighborhood  conditions.  A  housing  site  could  be  located  in  a  low  opportunity  area  but  immediately  adjacent  to  high  opportunity  areas,  thus  suggesting  that  the  subsidized  housing  site  does  have  some  access to areas of opportunity. This proximity is very important in areas of smaller geography, such as an  island.  To  understand  the  proximity  to  areas  of  opportunity  for  HUD  subsidized  housing  sites,  we  analyzed their proximity to high opportunity areas. As seen in Maps 5 and 6, public housing units were  in  closer  proximity  to  high  opportunity  census  tracts  on  Galveston  Island  than  in  many  parts  of  the  mainland.  The  majority  of  subsidized  housing  sites  were  located  within  less  than  a  ½  mile  from  high  opportunity portions of the region. This proximity provides an opportunity to rebuild public housing in a  way  that  assures  continued  access  to  these  higher  opportunity  areas,  and  potentially  anchor  broader  community revitalization initiatives.    Moving Forward – Recommendations for Equitable Rebuilding  Based  on  this  analysis,  the  following  recommendations  flow  from  the  findings  of  the  opportunity  analysis presented in this report:   • Replace affordable housing options on the Island that were destroyed by Hurricane Ike: cost‐ burdened households were increasing throughout the County prior to Ike and the largest rates of  cost  burden  households  were  found  on  the  Island.  The  need  for  improving  the  inventory  of  affordable  housing  was  only  exacerbated  by  the  destruction  that  resulted  from  the  hurricane.  Experience  from  other  areas  impacted  by  hurricane  damage  illustrate  that  affordable  housing  reconstruction faces many obstacles and affirmative efforts to replace the pre‐existing supply of  affordable units must be a priority.   • Rebuild  in  places  that  are  in  or  near  high‐opportunity  areas:  because opportunity is a critical  element of success, affordable housing options should be replaced in proximity to opportunity so  that  residents  have  a  chance  to  thrive.  As  the  opportunity  maps  show,  many  of  Galveston  8   
  • 11. Island’s  block  groups  are  higher  opportunity  areas  which  could  be  considered  for  additional  public housing or affordable housing development.   • Target  redevelopment  investments  to  places  near  anchor  institutions  like  hospitals  and  universities:  since  these  institutions  are  sources  of  valuable  services,  jobs,  and  community  development resources, investments near these go further and create more opportunity.   • Ensure  affordable  housing  is  rebuilt  in  places  with  strong  transportation  infrastructure  and  options:  in  order  to  create  a  holistic  environment  of  opportunity,  investments  in  affordable  housing opportunities should  be made  in areas where  there are  also affordable  and accessible  transportation alternatives. Leveraging redevelopment investments near anchor institutions like  hospitals  and  universities  is  another  way  to  build  continued  access  to  opportunity.  This  means  providing affordable housing options in and near areas of high opportunity, as well as ensuring  that  transportation  options  exist  which  will  help  facilitate  access  to  opportunity.  As  the  community  redevelops  and  improves  its  portfolio  of  affordable  housing,  providing  access  to  these areas will be important.   • Engage and involve public housing residents in the redevelopment process: because no effort  to  restore  and  improve  housing  opportunities  throughout  the  County  will  be  effective  or  complete without the participation of the residents themselves.   Kirwan  Comments  Regarding  the  Proposed  (October  2011)  Master  Development  Work  (plans  submitted by McCormack Baron Salazar)  In addition to the opportunity analysis, we also reviewed the recent Master Plan for the Island. When  reviewing public housing plans, it is important to ask: how many units are being proposed? How many of  those units can support families with children? Are these units in locations conducive to reaching high  opportunity supports, services, and social networks?  We note the following concerns with the October proposed plan, in comparison with the June 21, 2011  GHA Rebuilding Plan for Public Housing:  • The  October  development plan  does not seem  to comply with  the settlement agreement  that  requires one‐for‐one unit replacement.  The October plan replaces only slightly more than half  of  the  public  housing  units  lost.  Like  other  hurricane  stricken  communities,  Galveston  has  a  great need to replace its affordable housing stock, and a one to one replacement is needed to  assure sufficient affordable units remain on the island.   • Although there are numerous high opportunity areas on the Island, the proposed locations are  not  in  the  higher  opportunity  areas  on  the  Island  (Map  7),  which  tend  to  be  in  the  south  and  west section of downtown. In relation to our opportunity maps, some of the proposed locations  are  in  low‐density,  low  opportunity  areas  surrounded  by  industrial  uses.    When  siting  public  housing, we need to ask: Can families walk or take public transportation safely to good grocery  stores, schools and jobs from their new homes? Efforts should be made to integrate these units  with high opportunity areas on the Island.   • It is not clear that fair housing requirements have been met, including those for accessible units.  9   
  • 12. Sufficient units with three and four bedrooms must be provided for families with children who  need them.   The  opportunity  framework  and  the  maps  and  analysis  in  this  report  represent  a  valuable  toolbox  of  policy  development  instruments.  However,  they  cannot  suffice  for  the  kind  of  “ground‐truthing”  that  must  come  from  genuine  community  engagement,  whereby  the  realities  of  residents  can  be  clearly  understood in the context of the opportunity landscape.  We hope this initial analysis can contribute to a meaningful process of decision making that is inclusive  of all Galveston residents, but this process must be grounded in robust engagement for those residents  who currently reside or have resided in public housing. The impact wrought by Hurricane Ike has been  felt by all, and continues to shape life outcomes in the region.  10   
  • 13. Map 1: Comprehensive Opportunity Galveston County,TX Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 Harris ¯ Friendswood League City Dickinson 146 ¬ « 45 § ¦ ¨ Te x a s C i t y Galveston La Marque 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles Legend Brazoria Comprehensive Opportunity Index Very Low Low Moderate High Very High River and Lake Parks Low Population Density Gulf of Mexico
  • 14. Map 2: Comprehensive Opportunity(Island Area) Galveston County,TX Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 Swan Lake Galveston County Harris Chambers Sta te Hw y8 146 ¬ « 7 Gu wolf lf Sea 168 ¬ « I4 45 5 § ¦ ¨ Ferry Ex University Of Texas Medical Co it 168 ¬ « St Marys Hospital 5 er Wat Ex n lica it Rosenburg School 5 Pe Brazoria er 25th 29th Wat Ex side San Jacinto School bor Central High School it I4 Austin School Har 4 i 5 Ramp Tik Gulf of Mexico Kitwin High School 0 1.252.5 5 7.5 10 Miles ial Grace Church r ust 51st 45 § ¦ ¨ Ind y ort dwa Central Church P Broa Ex Broadway it 1 c Alamo School Crockett School 53rd all aw 61 Moody State School G a l v e s t o n Travis School Se st Lovenburg School Legend 61s Landmarks t " " 53rd Scholes Field ity Comprehensive lC t ra Hope en C Opportunity Index 05 30 Very Low M F- Low Sweetwater Lake Moderate High Very High ¯ 0 0.25 0.5 1 Fm 30 05 Ra mp River and Lake Parks Miles Low Population Density
  • 15. Map 3: Comprehensive Opportunity & Public Housing Galveston County,TX Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 Harris ¯ Friendswood League City # # # # # Dickinson 146 ¬ « Inset 45 § ¦ ¨ ## Te x a s C i t y Galveston # # # # # La Marque # # # ## 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles Inset Legend Public Housing(2008) Brazoria # State # # Comprehensive Hw Opportunity Index y 146 25th # Very Low Low Te x a s C i t y Moderate Ram # Palmer Palmer Palmer Fm 1764 p High Loop 197 # Galveston Very High State Hwy 146 # Texas State Hwy 348 Gulf of Mexico Lake River and 5th # Parks 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Low Population Density
  • 16. Map 4: Comprehensive Opportunity(Island Area) & Public Housing Galveston County,TX # Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 ¯ Legend # Public Housing(2008) Comprehensive ¬168 « Opportunity Index Very Low # # Low # ## # 45 # # § ¦ ¨ # # # # ## # Moderate # # # High # Very High Galveston River and Lake Scholes Field Parks Low Population Density Galveston County Harris Chambers # ## # # # ## 146 ¬ « Galveston # # # # # # §45 ¦ ¨ ## # ## 168 ## ## ¬ « ## ### ## #### ### Brazoria # # # Gulf of Mexico # 0 0.5 1 2 0 1.25 2.5 5 7.5 10 Miles Miles
  • 17. Map 5: Public Housing Proximity to High Opportunity Galveston County,TX Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 ¯ Harris Friendswood League City Dickinson 146 ¬ « 45 § ¦ ¨ Te x a s C i t y Galveston La Marque Legend Public Housing(2008) Comprehensive Miles to High Opportunity Opportunity Index 0.00 - 0.25 Very Low Brazoria 0.26 - 0.50 Low 0.51 - 1.00 Moderate 1.01 - 2.00 High 2.01 - 4.53 Very High Public Housing 1-Mile Proximity River and Lake Gulf of Mexico Parks 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles Low Population Density
  • 18. Map 6: Public Housing Proximity to High Opportunity (Island) Galveston County,TX Sources: American Community Survey 2005-2009,2010 ESRI Business Analyst 2010, Environmental Protection Agency 2009,USPS Vancancy 2010, HUD,Texas Education Agency 2009-2010 Swan Lake Galveston County Chambers ¯ Harris St ate Hw y8 146 wolf 7 ¬ « Sea 168 ¬ « I4 Ferry 45 § ¦ ¨ 5 ater rW Wate 2nd ersity er 168 Wat n Ex Univ ¬ « lica it 5 Pe er 29th Wat Brazoria rsid e I4 rsid e Harbo i 5 Harbo Tik y dwa 25th l 10 stria Broa y 87 51st 0 1.252.5 5 7.5 du Gulf of Mexico 45 § ¦ ¨ w InMiles eH Po rt Stat Ex it 1 c 53rd Ramp Broad all w ay aw Se 61 Galveston st 61s t 53rd Scholes Field ity lC t ra Hope C en Legend Public Housing(2008) Comprehensive Sweetwater Lake Miles to High Opportunity Opportunity Index 05 30 M F- 0.00 - 0.25 Very Low 05 0.26 - 0.50 Low 30 M F- 0.51 - 1.00 Moderate 05 30 1.01 - 2.00 High Fm 2.01 - 4.53 Very High Public Housing 1-Mile Proximity River and Lake 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Parks Low Population Density