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Real Options Dr. P.K. Gupta
Real Option(RO) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Peculiar Features of RO ,[object Object]
Peculiar Features of RO ,[object Object],[object Object]
Peculiar Features of RO ,[object Object]
Peculiar Features of RO ,[object Object]
Peculiar Features of RO ,[object Object]
Value of RO ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value of RO ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Binomial Model ,[object Object]
Black-Scholes-Merton Model
Boundaries of RO
Boundaries of RO
Structure of Real Options
Types of Real Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abandonment or Termination Options
A/T Options ,[object Object]
A/T Options ,[object Object]
A/T Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A/T Options
A/T Options Illustration ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
340
Options to Wait
[object Object],Option to Wait Option Price Stock Price
[object Object],[object Object],Option to Wait Option Price Stock Price
[object Object],Option to Wait Option Price Stock Price
Temporary-Stop or Shutdown Options   ,[object Object],[object Object]
Intensity or Operating Scale Options (Varying output or production)
I/OS Options ,[object Object]
I/OS Options ,[object Object],[object Object]
I/OS Options ,[object Object],[object Object]
Options to Expand
Option to Expand ,[object Object],[object Object]
Option to Expand
Options to Contract
Option to Contract ,[object Object],[object Object]
Option to Contract
Option to Expand or Contract (Switching Option) ,[object Object]
SO ,[object Object]
SO
Initiation or Deferment Options
Initiation or Deferment Option ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Initiation or Deferment Option ,[object Object],[object Object]
Initiation or Deferment Options
Intra-project vs. Inter-project Options
Intra-project vs. Inter-project Options ,[object Object]
Intra-project vs. Inter-project Options ,[object Object]
Growth Options
Growth Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Growth Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Compound Options
Compound Options ,[object Object]
Compound Options ,[object Object]
Compound Options ,[object Object]
Compound Options ,[object Object]
Compound Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comparison of RO with traditional approaches
Comparison of the approaches Not Valued Year 0 Expected Cash Flows discounted at WACC NPV/DCF Synthetically recreate cash flows with a portfolio of traded assets with change in cost of capital at every node. Expected Cash Flows discounted at arbitrary rate(WACC/risk free rate) Valuation Valued correctly Valued with error Flexibility Deferred until time period t Deferred until time period t Decision RO DTA Criteria
Problems with DCF ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Bias in DCF ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Illustration ,[object Object]
Illustration ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Illustration contd.. ,[object Object]
Some Research Studies
Use of Real Options ,[object Object],[object Object]
Ander & Daniel A. Levinthal(2004) ,[object Object]
Option Creation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Option Creation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Giuseppe Alesii(2003) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Andrew Wong Lip Soon et. Al. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Andrew Wong Lip Soon et. Al. contd.. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Helen Weeds ,[object Object],[object Object]
Helen Weeds contd.. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Han Smit and Pim van Vliet   ,[object Object],[object Object]
Han Smit and Pim van Vliet contd..   ,[object Object]
Tom Arnold & R. L. Shockley, Jr. ,[object Object]
Rochman(2002) ,[object Object]
Rochman(2002) contd.. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Marcus Dimpfel(2002) ,[object Object]
Thank You

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