New base 30 september 2019 energy news issue 1282 by khaled al awadi (1)

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NewBase Energy News 30 September 2019 - Issue No. 1282 Senior Editor Eng. Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE
UAE: Dubai to host Solar Asset Management MENA Conference
Dubai will play host to the Solar Asset Management MENA Conference, the biggest gathering of
solar industry stakeholders which will take place on 17-18 November.
A massive $15bn worth of solar projects are expected to be operational in the next five years in the
Middle East while the current solar power market in MENA is estimated to be worth more than $20
billion, according to the Middle East Solar Industry Association, MESIA, in a projection ahead of
conference. It has forecast a further growth, saying that the region sees shrinking cost of solar
coupled with a surge in clean energy demand.
The MENA region is expected to require 267 GW of additional power generation capacity by the
year 2030, representing a jump of 66 percent, which has led to the region turning its gaze to
renewables, solar in particular, to meet its needs. Situated on the global sunbelt and with irradiation
levels rising above 6 kWh/m2, the MENA region is well-equipped with all the necessities to become
an oasis of solar energy production.
Desert-proofing solar operations in the region will be of paramount concert for solar project
stakeholders, and will be among the key topics that will be discussed during the conference.
WAM/Tariq alfaham/MOHD AAMIR
www.linkedin.com/in/khaled-al-awadi-38b995b

Oman Oil and Orpic Group funds research into presence of black
powder in gas pipelines … Oman Observer + NewBase
Oman Oil and Orpic Group has signed a partnership agreement under the auspices of Ejaad — a
collaborative platform that connects industry with academia in the pursuit of scientific research and
innovation — to study the root causes behind the build-up of a black powdery substance in the
Sultanate’s extensive network of natural gas pipelines.
Under the one-year-long agreement, Oman Oil and Orpic Group will work with researchers at Sultan
Qaboos University (SQU), as well as the Higher College of Technology, to investigate the causative
factors behind this unexplained phenomenon.
The pact was signed by Mansoor bin Ali al Abdali, Operations Director — Oman Oil and Orpic
Group, and Dr Hamood bin Khalfan al Hadhrami, the Principal Researcher of the study, from Sultan
Qaboos University. Also present on the occasion were representatives of SQU, Ejaad (part of The
Research Council) and other partner organisations.
The study will focus on two gas pipelines of 24-inch and 32-inch diameters extending a combined
distance of 340 kilometres. As part of their investigations, the research team will delve into the
factors that contribute to the formation of the black powder, and recommend options for its disposal
in an environmentally safe manner.

U.S: More states to adopt 100% clean electricity targets
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on states’ renewable portfolio standards
As of the end of 2018, 29 states and the District of Columbia had adopted renewable portfolio
standards (RPS), polices that require electricity suppliers to source a certain amount of their
electricity from designated renewable resources or eligible technologies.
Three states—Maine, New York, and Ohio—have updated their RPS since May 2019. As a result
of their updates, Maine and New York joined California, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, and the
District of Columbia in requiring 100% clean electricity by 2050.
The 29 states and the District of Columbia that have legally binding RPS policies in place collectively
accounted for 63% of U.S. electricity retail sales in 2018. Another eight states have established
nonbinding renewable portfolio goals.
In addition to establishing which technologies qualify to meet each state’s renewables standard,
states have defined terms such as carbon-free, carbon-neutral, or clean energy in different ways.
For example, some states may allow technologies such as nuclear or natural gas with carbon
capture and storage to count toward policy targets. Other states have left implementation to
regulatory processes and do not yet have formal guidelines on what qualifies to meet the targets.
Maine increased its overall RPS target in June 2019 to 100% of electricity sales from renewable
generation by 2050, up from the previous target of 10% renewable generation by 2017.
Also in June 2019, New York increased its overall RPS target to 100% of electricity sales from clean
energy generation by 2040, with an interim target of 70% renewable generation by 2030. This new
target was an increase from the previous target of 50% renewable generation by 2030.
In July 2019, the Ohio legislature passed legislation decreasing its RPS to 8.5% of electricity sales
from renewable generation by 2026 from the previous target of 12.5% by 2026. Ohio is the first state
in the past decade to reduce or repeal its RPS target since Kansas repealed its RPS in 2009.
In January 2019, the District of Columbia increased its RPS target to 100% renewable electricity
sales by 2040. This change and several other states’ RPS changes in late 2018 were covered in
a previous Today in Energy article.

Canada's heavy oil exports to Asia from U.S. surge: data, traders
Reuters + NewBase
Shipments of Canadian crude from the U.S. Gulf Coast since May have more than doubled all of
2018’s exports as Asian refiners scramble for heavy sour oil, according to vessel-tracking data,
traders and industry sources.
Following U.S. sanctions on Venezuela in late January, Asian refiners have sought new heavy oil
supplies in a hunt that has benefited Canadian oil exporters since this summer.
Thirty-two cargoes with a combined 16 million barrels of Canadian crude loaded in the U.S. Gulf
Coast from May until mid-September have been shipped mainly to buyers to China, India, South
Korea and Europe, according to market intelligence firm ClipperData. Last year, such shipments
totaled 7.7 million barrels.
About 7.3 million barrels of this year’s volumes were discharged in or were headed to China, it said.
The majority of September’s five loadings are heading toward India, including the tanker, Marathi,
due to arrive in Sikka next month, according to data from ClipperData and Refinitiv Eikon.
These shipments came as U.S. refiners, which have drawn on Canada for heavy crude, pulled stock
from inventories and ran at reduced rates compared with last year, traders said.
Canadian shippers may accept “taking a discount now if it means they can get more buyers later,”
said Matthew Blair, a refining analyst at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
Western Canada Select (WCS) heavy blend has been trading at a discount of roughly $14-$11 per
barrel to West Texas Intermediate crude futures in recent months, and is expected to remain strong
because of Alberta production curtailments. It sold for as much as a $52.50 discount last October.
Alberta this year mandated oil production cuts to ease congestion on export pipelines and lessen a
glut that hurt prices. It has been relaxing curbs throughout the year, easing curtailments to 3.81
million barrels per day (bpd) by December, from 3.56 million bpd in January. The economics of
exporting Canadian crude from the U.S. Gulf Coast was helped this year by a wide spread between

Brent and U.S. crude in the summer that made WTI-linked Canadian barrels more competitive
versus Brent-linked barrels.
More Canadian crude could soon reach the Gulf Coast thanks to pipeline company Enbridge Inc
adding up to 100,000 bpd of capacity to its Mainline network by December through efficiency
improvements. But traders said the economics of exporting more Canadian grades would be
challenged given ongoing Alberta curtailments keeping prices tight, and a recent narrowing of the
Brent-WTI spread.
Canada is the sixth-largest producer of crude oil in the world with extensive
oil and natural gas reserves across the country.
Canada is uniquely positioned to provide an abundance
of reliable, safe, and secure energy. Oil and natural gas
resource development, which includes oil sands, natural
gas, and conventional and unconventional oil, is active
across Canada and uses goods and services from many
regions across the country.
Canada’s oil reserves total more than 170 billion barrels,
of which 165 billion barrels (or 96 per cent) can be
recovered from the oil sands using today's technology.
Canada has the world’s third-largest oil reserves, after
Venezuela and Saudi Arabia (Source: AER, 2019 and BP
Statistical Review, 2019). Canada is the world’s fifth-largest
producer of natural gas, with an estimated 1,225 trillion
cubic feet (Tcf) of remaining natural gas resources (Source: National Energy Board, 2019). That’s more
than enough natural gas to for at least 300 years, given current domestic consumption.
Recovering Canada’s energy resources benefits all Canadians. From heating homes, to generating
electricity, from making fuel to providing raw materials for everyday products, oil and natural gas play a
vital role in meeting Canada’s, and potentially the world’s energy needs.

Philippines: Excelerate Energy receives to Proceed with floating
LNG terminal …. Source: Excelerate Energy
On September 20, 2019, Excelerate Energy received the Notice to Proceed (NTP) from
the Philippine Department of Energy (DOE) to develop a floating liquefied natural gas (LNG) import
terminal in the Bay of Batangas per the DOE’s guidelines for 'Rules and Regulation Governing the
Philippine Natural Gas Industry.'
The project, Luzon LNG, will supply natural gas, sourced from LNG, to existing and new gas-fired
power plants in the region that provide electricity to Luzon including the area of Metro Manila. This
abundant and secure source of gas supply will augment the existing gas production from the
domestic Malampaya fields, as reserves from these fields begin to deplete.
'We are pleased to have received this significant approval from the Government of the Philippines
in supporting the country’s long-term energy objectives – this is an important milestone to move the
project forward,' stated Excelerate Energy Chief Commercial Officer Daniel Bustos.
'We look forward to working with the government and private sector for the successful completion
of the project that will enable Excelerate to invest in critical infrastructure allowing the country to
continue on its current path of tremendous economic growth.'
The proposed project will be located offshore the city of Batangas to minimize the impact to the
existing shipping traffic in the area and coastline. The terminal will utilize Excelerate’s state-of-the-
art offshore technology specifically designed to perform in extreme weather conditions, like those
of the Philippines, and has been proven at Excelerate’s operations in the Gulf of Mexico, the North
Atlantic, Israel, and most recently, the Bay of Bengal.
'We commend the Government of the Philippines for requiring the structure of the project to include
the challenging integration of LNG supply, technical procurement and implementation, and user
agreements to the benefit of the country.
Excelerate is the only company with the experience to deliver all that is required for this complex
project – this will not be our first time,' continued Mr. Bustos. 'We are in the unique position to offer
the most industry experience to the Philippines to deliver a safe, efficient, and reliable project.'
Luzon LNG will combine all necessary elements to meet the region’s natural gas requirements including a fully-
integrated turnkey floating LNG terminal, arranging the necessary supply of LNG and distribution of natural gas to end-
users across Luzon. Excelerate will develop, design, permit, construct, finance, and operate the terminal.Following the
NTP, Excelerate will seek the necessary permits and raise financing for the project.

NewBase September 30 – 2019 Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE
Oil prices climb & drop world & China data eases demand concerns
Reuters + NewBase
Oil prices edged up on Monday after China’s factories unexpectedly ramped up production in
September, easing concerns about demand at the world’s largest crude importer amid an ongoing
trade war with the United States.
The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for September expanded for a
second straight month as Chinese factories ramped up production and new orders rose, beating
market expectations.
“The Caixin data was a real surprise and should be positive for Asia’s markets today,” said Jeffrey
Halley, OANDA senior analyst in Singapore. He added that the data would need to post similar
results over the next few months to point to a China oil demand growth recovery. The country is the
world’s second largest oil user.
Oil price special
coverage

Brent is set to rise 2.6% in September, its first monthly gain since June, with prices lifted by an
unprecedented attack on Saudi’s oil facilities on Sept. 14 that reduced its production by half. WTI is
set to rise 1.7% this month. .
World’s top oil exporter Saudi Arabia has restored capacity to 11.3 million barrels per day, sources
told Reuters last week although Saudi Aramco has yet to confirm it is fully back online.
“Most of this is already priced in when the Saudis said they were going to do it (resume production)
fast,” said Avtar Sandu, a senior commodities manager at Phillip Futures in Singapore.
While Saudi Arabia is maintaining exports by using crude from inventories and spare production
capacity, how much of it is actually restored could only be determined in the next few weeks, he
added.
Still, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East simmered after Saudi Arabia’s crown prince warned in
an interview broadcast on Sunday that oil prices could spike to “unimaginably high numbers” if the
world does not come together to deter Iran, but said he would prefer a political solution to a military
one.
This came a day after Yemen’s Houthi movement said it had carried out a major attack near the
border with the southern Saudi region of Najran and captured many troops and vehicles, but there
was no immediate confirmation from Saudi Arabian authorities.

NewBase Special Coverage
News Agencies News Release Sep. 30-2019
CO2 Emission cases by 2050 ,
Although population and incomes continue to rise energy and
carbon intensity are projected to continue .. U.S EIA
Worldwide, the amount of energy used per unit of economic production (energy intensity) has
declined steadily for many years. The amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions per unit of
energy consumption (carbon intensity) declined in OECD countries since 2008 and in non-
OECD countries since 2014.
Energy intensity continues to decline in both OECD and non-OECD countries because of
efficiency gains and gross domestic product (GDP) increases generated from low-energy-
intensive services.
Carbon intensity continues to decline largely as a result of China and other countries’ move away
from coal; worldwide growth in the use of non-CO2-emitting sources of energy, such as wind and
solar; and improvements in process efficiencies.
Reference case energy-related carbon dioxide emissions grow
World energy-related CO2 emissions grow at an average rate of 0.6% per year between 2018 and
2050, compared with the average growth rate of 1.8% per year from 1990 to 2018.

In the near term, energy-related CO2 emission growth is slowed by increases in energy efficiency
and a gradual shift from coal toward natural gas and renewable energy sources. In the longer term,
broad population and economic growth leads to increased emissions.
In OECD countries, projected energy-related CO2 emissions decline slightly (-0.2% annually)
through 2050 and are 14% lower than their 2005 levels in 2050 even as their economies gradually
expand.
Energy-related CO2 emissions from non-OECD countries grow at a rate of about 1% per year from
2018 to 2050, slower than the related growth in energy consumption (1.6% per year).
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions grow from all three fossil fuel sources

Coal-related CO2 emissions are projected to increase at an average rate of 0.4% per year between
2018 and 2050, as coal use generally declines in OECD regions and China, but it accelerates after
2040 in India and other parts of non-OECD Asia.
Liquids-related CO2 emissions grow an average 0.6% per year from 2018 to 2050. Despite large
increases in transportation demand, particularly in China and India, this change in emissions is
lower than the 1.3% per year increase in liquids-related CO2 emissions that occurred from 1990 to
2018.
Natural gas CO2 emissions increase an average of 1.1% per year between 2018 and 2050. Even
though the use of natural gas in electricity generation rises, the related emission growth rates are
lower than the 2.2% per year increases seen from 1990 to 2018.
Liquids-related carbon dioxide emissions remain flat or decline in OECD countries but grow rapidly
in India …
CO2 emissions from liquid fuels, about half of which is used in transportation, decline in OECD
countries as increases in energy efficiency offset increases in passenger and freight services.
China’s liquids-related CO2 emissions grow at a decreasing rate as growth in the country’s
population slows. From 2030 to 2050, China and U.S. liquids-related CO2 emissions levels are
similar.
India experiences continuous growth in liquids-related CO2 emissions as its economy expands,
although it starts from a lower level. By 2030, India’s emissions exceed those in OECD Asia and
non-OECD Europe and Eurasia; by 2050, they approach those of OECD Europe.

Natural gas has the greatest carbon dioxide emissions growth in the Reference case,
with the greatest increases in China, the United States, and India
CO2 emissions from natural gas, a relatively lower-emitting fossil fuel used in many applications,
grow across all regions as natural gas consumption increases throughout the projection period.
China has the largest increase in absolute natural gas-related CO2 emission levels because natural
gas is increasingly used for power generation and in transportation.
On a percentage basis, the largest growth in natural gas-related CO2 emissions from 2018 to 2050
is in India, although it starts from a low level. As India’s economy grows, natural gas use increases
along with other fuels, and maintains its share at 6% of total energy consumed.
In OECD Europe, natural gas-related CO2 emissions begin moderately increasing after 2030 as
natural gas-fired capacity begins to replace retiring nuclear generation, putting upward pressure on
overall emission levels and increasing the carbon intensity of their fuel mixes.

World coal-related carbon dioxide emissions continue to grow through 2050 in the
Reference case, and increases from India more than offset decreases from most
other regions .
World coal-related CO2 emissions grow 0.4% per year annually from 2018 to 2050, compared with
their historical growth rate of 2.1% per year from 1990 to 2018.
China shifts from coal to natural gas, nuclear power, and renewable energy during the projection
period. This shift is a departure from historical trends and has a major effect on global energy-
related CO2 emissions because of the size of China’s economy.
The decline in China’s coal-related CO2 emissions is more than offset by growth in India’s coal-
related emissions. India has significant coal resources, which it uses to meet its rapidly expanding
electricity and industrial demand. Coal-related emissions in India remain much lower than in China
through 2050.

NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE
The Editor :”Khaled Al Awadi” Your partner in Energy Services
NewBase energy news is produced daily (Sunday to Thursday) and
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Energy
Khaled Malallah Al Awadi,
Energy Consultant
MS & BS Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA
Emarat member since 1990
ASME member since 1995
Hawk Energy member 2010
www.linkedin.com/in/khaled-al-awadi-38b995b
Mobile: +971504822502
khdmohd@hawkenergy.net or khdmohd@hotmail.com
Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a total of 28 years of experience in
the Oil & Gas sector. Currently working as Technical Affairs Specialist for
Emirates General Petroleum Corp. “Emarat“ with external voluntary Energy
consultation for the GCC area via Hawk Energy Service as a UAE operations
base , Most of the experience were spent as the Gas Operations Manager in
Emarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network Facility & gas
compressor stations . Through the years, he has developed great experiences
in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating
stations and in the engineering of supply routes. Many years were spent
drafting, & compiling gas transportation, operation & maintenance agreements along with many
MOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences
held in the UAE and Energy program broadcasted internationally, via GCC leading satellite
Channels.
NewBase : For discussion or further details on the news above you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE
NewBase 2019 K. Al Awadi

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