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The Dynamics of Populism  in Slovakia  and the  Czech Republic Kevin Deegan-Krause Wayne State University Detroit, Michigan, USA
A Brief Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Populism in General: Definitions My Ally + Voters = Popul ar My Opponent + Voters = Popul ist
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in General: Definitions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in General: Definitions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in General: Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Populism in General: Definitions Programmatic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people
Populism in General: Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Populism in General: Consequences ,[object Object],[object Object],Strong leader Direct Approach Morality Selectivity Opposing “Bad” Elites Defending the People Strong leader Weak Institutions Moralism Idiosyncracy Opposing “Good” Elites Pandering to the Mass
Populism in General: Consequences ,[object Object],Imprecise terminology to cover the notion of an undefined “us” who need the trains to run on time, and a “them” who block it in the name of democratic procedures that we simply cannot afford “ The People” Not “The People” Compatible Position Poor Rich Economic Left Co-ethnics Domestic ethnic groups and co-ethnic “traitors” Nationalism Radical Right Co-citizens Foreign powers and their domestic “agents” Isolationism Euroskepticism Anti-Americanism Believers Non-believers Fundamentalism Well-behaved Criminals Law and Order “ The Besieged” “ The Obstructionists” Authoritarianism
Populism in General: Issue Divides ,[object Object],Other Issue Positions of Populist Parties Nationalist 70% Authoritarian 60% Xenophobic 43% Social 37% None 30%
Populism in General: Issue Divides ,[object Object],Issue Combinations of Populist Parties Authoritarian/National 60% Authoritarian/Xenophobic 43% Xenophobic/National 43% Social/National 37% Social/Authoritarian 27% Social/Xenophobic 10%
Populism in General: Issue Divides ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Populism in General: Issue Divides Programmatic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people Anti-elite program hard to sustain while in power
Populism in General: Issue Divides Programmatic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people Anti-elite program hard to sustain while in power
[object Object],Time in power   Populism in General: Issue Divides Populist  Programmatic  Appeal
[object Object],Time in power   Populism in General: Issue Divides Populist  Programmatic  Appeal Clientelistic  or Other Appeal
[object Object],Time in power   Populism in General: Issue Divides Populist  Programmatic  Appeal Other Programmatic  Appeal Clientelistic  or Other Appeal
[object Object],left      right Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],national  cosmopolitan Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],non-populist populist Populism in General: Issue Divides
Time in power   Populism in General: Issue Divides ,[object Object],Populist Party 1 Populist Party 2 Populist Party 3
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides Colored boxes denote new parties
[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in General: Issue Divides
Populism in Slovakia and the Czech Republic
Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment
Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Programmatic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people Framework
Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Moralistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people Idiosyncratic Stylistic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Programmatic Framework
Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Moralistic Against  All Elites On Behalf of All people Idiosyncratic Stylistic Weak  Institutions Strong  Leader Organizational Programmatic ZRS 1994 Score=18 or 100% SDL 1994 Score=12 or 50% Example
Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment
Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment Year Characteristic HZDS KDH DU SDK SDKU ANO SNS SDL ZRS SOP Smer KSS SMK 1992 strong leader 3 2         2 2         1 avoids constraining organization 2 2         2 1         2 places morality over pragmatism 3 3         2 2         3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1         2 1         1 claims to represent "whole people" 3 1         3 3         2 attacks all elites 2 1         2 2         2 Sum 15 10         13 11         11 1994 strong leader 3 2 2       3 2 3       1 avoids constraining organization 1 1 2       2 1 3       1 places morality over pragmatism 3 3 2       3 2 3       3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1 2       2 1 3       1 claims to represent "whole people" 3 1 2       3 3 3       2 attacks all elites 2 1 2       2 2 3       2 Sum 14 9 12       15 11 18       10 1998 strong leader 3     2     3 1   2     1 avoids constraining organization 1     2     2 3   3     1 places morality over pragmatism 2     2     3 2   2     3 offers idiosyncratic program 2     2     2 1   3     1 claims to represent "whole people" 3     2     3 2   3     2 attacks all elites 2     1     2 1   2     2 Sum 13     11     15 10   15     10 2002 strong leader 3 1     2 3 3       3 1 1 avoids constraining organization 2 1     2 3 3       3 2 1 places morality over pragmatism 2 3     2 3 3       2 3 3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1     1 2 3       3 1 1 claims to represent "whole people" 2 1     2 3 3       3 2 2 attacks all elites 3 1     1 2 3       3 3 2 Sum 14 8     10 16 18       17 12 10 2006 strong leader 3 1     2   3       3   1 avoids constraining organization 2 1     2   2       2   1 places morality over pragmatism 1 3     2   3       2   3 offers idiosyncratic program 3 1     1   3       2   1 claims to represent "whole people" 2 1     2   3       3   2 attacks all elites 3 1     1   3       3   2 Sum 14 8     10   17       15   10
Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment
Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment Year Characteristic ODS ODA US SZ KDU- CSL CSSD KSCM LSU HSD- SMS SPR- RSC Dek.  Od. 1992 strong leader 2 2     1 3 1 2 2 3   avoids constraining organization 2 2     1 2 1 2 2 3   places morality over pragmatism 2 2     3 2 3 2 2 3   offers idiosyncratic program 1 1     1 1 1 1 2 3   claims to represent "whole people" 2 2     1 2 2 2 1 3   attacks all elites 1 1     1 3 3 2 2 3   Sum 10 10     8 13 11 11 11 18   1996 strong leader 2 2     1 3 1     3   avoids constraining organization 1 2     1 1 1     3   places morality over pragmatism 2 2     3 2 3     3   offers idiosyncratic program 1 1     1 1 1     3   claims to represent "whole people" 2 2     1 3 2     3   attacks all elites 1 1     1 3 3     3   Sum 9 10     8 13 11     18   1998 strong leader 3   2   1 3 1         avoids constraining organization 2   2   1 1 1         places morality over pragmatism 2   2   3 2 3         offers idiosyncratic program 1   1   1 1 1         claims to represent "whole people" 2   2   1 2 2         attacks all elites 1   1   1 3 3         Sum 11   10   8 12 11         2002 strong leader 3   1   1 2 1       2 avoids constraining organization 2   2   1 1 1       3 places morality over pragmatism 2   2   3 2 3       3 offers idiosyncratic program 1   1   1 1 1       3 claims to represent "whole people" 2   2   1 2 2       3 attacks all elites 2   1   1 1 3       3 Sum 12   9   8 9 11       17 2006 strong leader 2     3 1 2 1         avoids constraining organization 2     2 1 1 1         places morality over pragmatism 2     3 3 2 3         offers idiosyncratic program 1     2 1 1 1         claims to represent "whole people" 2     2 1 3 2         attacks all elites 2     3 1 1 3         Sum 11     15 8 10 11        
Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment
Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
[object Object],[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides ZRS SOP ANO Smer
[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
Departing members of Smer  not  more likely than continuing members to believe the same propositions Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
 Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides ,[object Object]
[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
Has Smer Routinized Populism? ZRS ANO Smer Time   Non-Routinized  Populism Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
ZRS ANO Smer New Party or Parties Time   Non-Routinized  Populism Has Smer Routinized Populism? Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
ZRS ANO Smer Routinized Populism Time   SOP Has Smer Routinized Populism? Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
All material used here availalable at  www.pozorblog.com Kevin Deegan-Krause Wayne State University Detroit, Michigan, USA [email_address]

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Populism 2007 For Pozorblog

  • 1. The Dynamics of Populism in Slovakia and the Czech Republic Kevin Deegan-Krause Wayne State University Detroit, Michigan, USA
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  • 3. Populism in General: Definitions My Ally + Voters = Popul ar My Opponent + Voters = Popul ist
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  • 7. Populism in General: Definitions Programmatic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people
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  • 14. Populism in General: Issue Divides Programmatic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people Anti-elite program hard to sustain while in power
  • 15. Populism in General: Issue Divides Programmatic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people Anti-elite program hard to sustain while in power
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  • 29. Populism in Slovakia and the Czech Republic
  • 30. Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment
  • 31. Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Programmatic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Moralistic Idiosyncratic Stylistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people Framework
  • 32. Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Moralistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people Idiosyncratic Stylistic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Programmatic Framework
  • 33. Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment Moralistic Against All Elites On Behalf of All people Idiosyncratic Stylistic Weak Institutions Strong Leader Organizational Programmatic ZRS 1994 Score=18 or 100% SDL 1994 Score=12 or 50% Example
  • 34. Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment
  • 35. Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment Year Characteristic HZDS KDH DU SDK SDKU ANO SNS SDL ZRS SOP Smer KSS SMK 1992 strong leader 3 2         2 2         1 avoids constraining organization 2 2         2 1         2 places morality over pragmatism 3 3         2 2         3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1         2 1         1 claims to represent "whole people" 3 1         3 3         2 attacks all elites 2 1         2 2         2 Sum 15 10         13 11         11 1994 strong leader 3 2 2       3 2 3       1 avoids constraining organization 1 1 2       2 1 3       1 places morality over pragmatism 3 3 2       3 2 3       3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1 2       2 1 3       1 claims to represent "whole people" 3 1 2       3 3 3       2 attacks all elites 2 1 2       2 2 3       2 Sum 14 9 12       15 11 18       10 1998 strong leader 3     2     3 1   2     1 avoids constraining organization 1     2     2 3   3     1 places morality over pragmatism 2     2     3 2   2     3 offers idiosyncratic program 2     2     2 1   3     1 claims to represent "whole people" 3     2     3 2   3     2 attacks all elites 2     1     2 1   2     2 Sum 13     11     15 10   15     10 2002 strong leader 3 1     2 3 3       3 1 1 avoids constraining organization 2 1     2 3 3       3 2 1 places morality over pragmatism 2 3     2 3 3       2 3 3 offers idiosyncratic program 2 1     1 2 3       3 1 1 claims to represent "whole people" 2 1     2 3 3       3 2 2 attacks all elites 3 1     1 2 3       3 3 2 Sum 14 8     10 16 18       17 12 10 2006 strong leader 3 1     2   3       3   1 avoids constraining organization 2 1     2   2       2   1 places morality over pragmatism 1 3     2   3       2   3 offers idiosyncratic program 3 1     1   3       2   1 claims to represent "whole people" 2 1     2   3       3   2 attacks all elites 3 1     1   3       3   2 Sum 14 8     10   17       15   10
  • 36. Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment
  • 37. Populism in SK and CZ: (Tentative) Assessment Year Characteristic ODS ODA US SZ KDU- CSL CSSD KSCM LSU HSD- SMS SPR- RSC Dek. Od. 1992 strong leader 2 2     1 3 1 2 2 3   avoids constraining organization 2 2     1 2 1 2 2 3   places morality over pragmatism 2 2     3 2 3 2 2 3   offers idiosyncratic program 1 1     1 1 1 1 2 3   claims to represent "whole people" 2 2     1 2 2 2 1 3   attacks all elites 1 1     1 3 3 2 2 3   Sum 10 10     8 13 11 11 11 18   1996 strong leader 2 2     1 3 1     3   avoids constraining organization 1 2     1 1 1     3   places morality over pragmatism 2 2     3 2 3     3   offers idiosyncratic program 1 1     1 1 1     3   claims to represent "whole people" 2 2     1 3 2     3   attacks all elites 1 1     1 3 3     3   Sum 9 10     8 13 11     18   1998 strong leader 3   2   1 3 1         avoids constraining organization 2   2   1 1 1         places morality over pragmatism 2   2   3 2 3         offers idiosyncratic program 1   1   1 1 1         claims to represent "whole people" 2   2   1 2 2         attacks all elites 1   1   1 3 3         Sum 11   10   8 12 11         2002 strong leader 3   1   1 2 1       2 avoids constraining organization 2   2   1 1 1       3 places morality over pragmatism 2   2   3 2 3       3 offers idiosyncratic program 1   1   1 1 1       3 claims to represent "whole people" 2   2   1 2 2       3 attacks all elites 2   1   1 1 3       3 Sum 12   9   8 9 11       17 2006 strong leader 2     3 1 2 1         avoids constraining organization 2     2 1 1 1         places morality over pragmatism 2     3 3 2 3         offers idiosyncratic program 1     2 1 1 1         claims to represent "whole people" 2     2 1 3 2         attacks all elites 2     3 1 1 3         Sum 11     15 8 10 11        
  • 38. Populism in SK and CZ: Assessment
  • 39. Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
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  • 45. Departing members of Smer not more likely than continuing members to believe the same propositions Populism in SK and CZ: Issue Divides
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  • 49. Has Smer Routinized Populism? ZRS ANO Smer Time  Non-Routinized Populism Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
  • 50. ZRS ANO Smer New Party or Parties Time  Non-Routinized Populism Has Smer Routinized Populism? Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
  • 51. ZRS ANO Smer Routinized Populism Time  SOP Has Smer Routinized Populism? Populism in SK and CZ: The Future
  • 52. All material used here availalable at www.pozorblog.com Kevin Deegan-Krause Wayne State University Detroit, Michigan, USA [email_address]