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[WHY IS IT IMPORTANT?] :



                                                                       ALITP]
                                                                      E Yx
                                                                                                        • Hard economic times and stressful



                                                                   [R
                                                                                                         moods impact how messages and
                                                                                                         products will resonate and which
                                                                                                         ones will break through to consumers
                      STRATEGIC PLANNING • WINTER 2009




                                                                                                        • Consumers will gravitate towards
                                                                                                         brands that fulfill, not only rational
                                                                                                         needs, but emotional needs as well
                                                                                                        • In a new age of personal
                                                                                                         responsibility and back to basics
                                                               [DEFINITION] : Trend towards              values, consumers are looking for
                                                               escapism.
                                                                                                         permission to take little indulgences
                                                               With troubled economic times and a
                                                                                                         for themselves
                                                               constant stream of negative news,
                                                               consumers now more than ever are
                                                               looking for ways to escape our
                                                                                                        [IMPLICATIONS] :
                                                               sobering reality, even if just for a     • Consumers appreciate a chance to


                   trend                                 bot   moment. REALITY Rx is the trend           catch their breath and find moments
                                                                                                         of escape. Help them out through:
   • WINTER 2009




                                                               towards escapism. The desire to find a
                                                                                                              – Light humor
                     a presentation of the                     way to forget or temporarily leave
                                                                                                              – Doable distractions
                   trends affecting culture                    behind the mundane and harsh realities
                                                                                                              – Hints of nostalgia
                    and why they matter.                       of the day in order to find moments of
                                                                                                              – Honest reflection and BS-proof
[REALITY]




                                                               joy, excitement, comfort, surprise, or
     Px




                                                               change from the routine.                         solutions
                                                                                                              – Happy (but grounded) endings
KEY TREND DRIVERS: Joy / Fun / Excitement

                                       Drunken Nostalgia                              Trashing the Dress
                                       Classic board games are invading the           Brides are ditching the stuffy
                                       nightlife across the country through           tradition of keeping their
                                       PlayDates, where people can enjoy              dresses pristine and are having
                                       some nostalgic fun while sipping a             “Trash the Dress” photo
                                       cocktail.           Source: playdateus.com     sessions that leave their
                                                                                      dresses in less than perfect
                                                                                      condition, but add some
                   The No Pants! Express                                              lighthearted fun to their big day.         Source: Iconoculture
                   In countries around the world on
                   1.10.09, nearly 2,500 people
                   boarded subways without their
                                                                                                                 Playful Spaces
                   pants on, as part of Improv
                                                                                                                 As part of his Playful Spaces
                   Everywhere’s Annual No Pants!
                                                                                                                 project, artist Bruno Taylor turns
                   Subway Ride.
                                                      Source: improveverywhere.com                               public property into a playground
                                                                                                                 for adults. So far he has installed
                                                                                                                 a swing in a bus stop shelter and
                                                                                                                 created a seemingly average park
                                        Recess Revisited                                                         bench that bounces when you sit
   • WINTER 2009




                                        Grown-up versions of gym class                                           on it.
                                        staples are popping up around the                                                      Source: designboom.com
                                        country. From relay races to
                                        Ultimate Frisbee to tag, adults are
                                        enjoying childhood games without
                                                                                       Wii Are Getting Tipsy
[REALITY]




                                        all of the rules. These classes
     Px




                                                                                       With 10.7 million units sold in 2008, adults
                                        provide entertainment, social time
                                        and a distraction from the fact that           are putting their own spin on Nintendo Wii
                                                                                       games by swapping tips on how to
                                        they are exercising.
                                                                                       convert them into drinking games.
                                           Source: oldschoolpe.com; urbanrecess.com    Source: wiiaredrunk.com
KEY TREND DRIVERS: Surprise / Break from routine

                                                          Spiked French Toast?
                      %                                   Forget the martinis of
                                                          yesteryear. Consumers
                                                          are looking for novelty, even in
                   Social Gaming                          their alcoholic beverages. Edible
                   Within the top 5 most                  cocktails like White Russian Rice       Take a “Gap” Year
                   popular Facebook                       Krispies are being served in bars
                                                                                                  With unemployment and stress levels higher than ever,
                   Applications, 4 of them are            in NY and Australia.
                                                                                                  many adults are taking “gap” years from their careers
                   games. Over 15% of the                           Source: NY Times | 11.26.08
                                                                                                  to go out and explore the world like they’ve always
                   people who downloaded
                                                                                                  wanted to. Save up $6,000-$15,000, and you can
                   these applications use it on
                                                                                                  recharge in a Nepal monastery like 61 yr old Dr. Sinar,
                   a daily basis.
                                                                                                  volunteer overseas, or just kickback and spend leisure
                        Source: Silicon Alley Insider |
                                                07.08                                             time at home.                      Source: NY Times | 01.09




                                                                                                          Hard Fact: Group Vacay

                                                                                                  %
                                                                                                          Groups 15 to 19 strong spent an
                                  Surprise Gifts                                                          approximate $18.9 billion on hotels, airfares
                   J. Crew allows shoppers
   • WINTER 2009




                                                                                                          and car rentals this year- a 23.5% increase
                   to sign up for the brand’s             Pack Traveling                                  from over 2005.
                   gift-of-the-month club.                Savvy vacationers aren’t                                                     Source: NY Times | 05.08
                   Members receive a                      letting the economy keep
                   monthly surprise item of               them from getting away.
                   choice, only allowing                  Sites like TripHub and                          Sand Hotels: Limited Time Experience
[REALITY]
     Px




                   members to state their                 GroupAbout make planning                        LateRooms created the world’s largest
                   preference for shoes and               for a group vacation, which                     functioning sand castle in Dorset, England for
                   allowing them to make size             is much more affordable, a                      the summer. For $19 per night, guests received
                   exchanges.                             feasible reality.                               a bed and a starry night.
                           Source: WSJ.com | 12.08                   Source: Triphub.com                                              Source: BBC News | 07.08
KEY TREND DRIVERS: Fantasy / Distraction


                                                                                                                            %
                                                   Lolita Spreads to the States
                    %                                                 Recently, girls in the streets of NY have
                                                                      been spotted donned in bows and
                                                                      bonnets, similar to the escapist Lolita             “Get Real” Gets Lost
                                                                      trend of Tokyo.                                      Dr. Phil’s “get real” advice
                   Gaming                                                                                                  isn’t resonating during the
                   Video game sales were                                            “Lolita is ...[about]                  recession. National ratings


                                                                      “”
                   up 18% in October                                                women…creating their own               for "Dr. Phil" have plunged
                   from 2007.                                                       world into which they can get          27% compared with last
                     Source: Yahootech | 11.08                                      away from the pressures of             season, while the more
                                                                                    the larger society.” – Naoto           chipper “The Ellen
                                                                                    Hirooka, Japanese fashion designer
                                                                                                                           DeGeneres Show” rose
                                                                                                                           11%. Source: LA Times | 01.09

                    %
                                                                                            Source: NYtimes.com | 01.09




                                                   Superheroes: Ultimate Fantasy
                                                   3 of the Top 5 Grossing Movies of
                                                   08’ featured superheroes.
                                                                                                             %            Twilight Mayhem
                                                                                                                          Breaking Dawn, the most
   • WINTER 2009




                                                                                                                          recent of Stephanie
                   Boob Tube                                                                                              Meyer’s Twilight series,
                                                     1. The Dark Knight
                   Number of LCD and HD                                                                                   sold 1.3 million copies in a
                                                     2. Iron Man
                   TVs shipped to retailers in                                                                            single day. Its movie debut
                                                     3. Indiana Jones
                   the U.S. and Canada                                                                                    saw even more success,
                                                         & the Kingdom of
                   jumped 26 % compared                                                                                   thus far grossing over
[REALITY]




                                                           the Crystal Skull
     Px




                   with the first quarter of                                                                               $340 million in ticket sales
                                                     4. Hancock
                   2008                                                                                                   since its release.
                                                     5. WALL-E
                        Source: NY Times | 08.08
                                                               Source: Boxofficemojo.com | 12.08                           Source: Boxofficemojo.com | 01.09
KEY TREND DRIVER: Comfort

                                                      Not Vacation, Staycation          Take (or Drink) a Chill Pill

                      %                               Instead of planning
                                                      extravagant trips to Paris,
                                                      consumers are instead
                                                                                        Energy drinks are so 90’s rave. Now comes
                                                                                        the anti-energy drink for the 21st century.
                                                                                        Vacation in a Bottle (ViB) Beverages has
                                                      opting for relaxing               released its Chill-N anti-energy drink. Chillax
                   Netflix-it                          staycations close to home in      with this caffeine-free “pomegranate berry
                   While most companies are           order to disconnect and           wave of relaxation” and imagine yourself under
                   losing business, Netflix saw        escape. “Vacation: Monet          a Polynesian sun.               Source: drinkvib.com
                   its profit rise 45% in the 4Q       and Manet at the Musee
                   of 2008 alone, as more             d’Orsay. Staycation: Judge
                   and more people turn to                                                            “People are getting back to comfort foods
                                                      Judy.”        Source: New York



                                                                                         “”
                   the comfort of their own                           Times | 8.29.08                 because of the economy, and dessert is very
                   homes for entertainment.                                                           comforting.”
                                                                                                                        Source: Matt Lewis, baker and coauthor
                   With its growing streaming                                                                           of Baked, NYDailyNews.com | 12.7.08
                   offerings escape is now
                   just a click away.                                                     “I may be unemployed, but I’m not giving up dessert.”
                               Source: Associated                                                             Source: Overheard at a nearby table of young adults
                                  Press | 1.26.09                                                             during a recent evening out, SFGate.com | 12.10.08
   • WINTER 2009




                    Time For Supper                                                     A Dessert That’ll Fizz in Your Mouth
                    What to do when you still want to enjoy
                                                                                        Pop Rocks, that fizzy candy popular in
                    the experience of going out for dinner but
                                                                                        the 70s and 80s, is the latest
                    are strapped for cash? Start a supper
                                                                                        gastronomic flirtation with the past.
                    club. These upscale, highly coordinated
                                                                                        Nickel Diner in Downtown LA sprinkles
[REALITY]




                    potlucks seem to have reached a tipping
      x




                                                                                        the candy on top of one of its
     P




                    point in popularity as consumers look for
                                                                                        desserts. As consumers search for an
                    new and creative ways to cut back, but
                                                                                        escape, fizzy food is a fun, delicious,
                    continue experiencing good food and                                 and comforting distraction.
                    good times with friends.                Source: Iconoculture               Source: Iconoculture, RPA; 5cdiner.com

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Trendbot 2009

  • 1. [WHY IS IT IMPORTANT?] : ALITP] E Yx • Hard economic times and stressful [R moods impact how messages and products will resonate and which ones will break through to consumers STRATEGIC PLANNING • WINTER 2009 • Consumers will gravitate towards brands that fulfill, not only rational needs, but emotional needs as well • In a new age of personal responsibility and back to basics [DEFINITION] : Trend towards values, consumers are looking for escapism. permission to take little indulgences With troubled economic times and a for themselves constant stream of negative news, consumers now more than ever are looking for ways to escape our [IMPLICATIONS] : sobering reality, even if just for a • Consumers appreciate a chance to trend bot moment. REALITY Rx is the trend catch their breath and find moments of escape. Help them out through: • WINTER 2009 towards escapism. The desire to find a – Light humor a presentation of the way to forget or temporarily leave – Doable distractions trends affecting culture behind the mundane and harsh realities – Hints of nostalgia and why they matter. of the day in order to find moments of – Honest reflection and BS-proof [REALITY] joy, excitement, comfort, surprise, or Px change from the routine. solutions – Happy (but grounded) endings
  • 2. KEY TREND DRIVERS: Joy / Fun / Excitement Drunken Nostalgia Trashing the Dress Classic board games are invading the Brides are ditching the stuffy nightlife across the country through tradition of keeping their PlayDates, where people can enjoy dresses pristine and are having some nostalgic fun while sipping a “Trash the Dress” photo cocktail. Source: playdateus.com sessions that leave their dresses in less than perfect condition, but add some The No Pants! Express lighthearted fun to their big day. Source: Iconoculture In countries around the world on 1.10.09, nearly 2,500 people boarded subways without their Playful Spaces pants on, as part of Improv As part of his Playful Spaces Everywhere’s Annual No Pants! project, artist Bruno Taylor turns Subway Ride. Source: improveverywhere.com public property into a playground for adults. So far he has installed a swing in a bus stop shelter and created a seemingly average park Recess Revisited bench that bounces when you sit • WINTER 2009 Grown-up versions of gym class on it. staples are popping up around the Source: designboom.com country. From relay races to Ultimate Frisbee to tag, adults are enjoying childhood games without Wii Are Getting Tipsy [REALITY] all of the rules. These classes Px With 10.7 million units sold in 2008, adults provide entertainment, social time and a distraction from the fact that are putting their own spin on Nintendo Wii games by swapping tips on how to they are exercising. convert them into drinking games. Source: oldschoolpe.com; urbanrecess.com Source: wiiaredrunk.com
  • 3. KEY TREND DRIVERS: Surprise / Break from routine Spiked French Toast? % Forget the martinis of yesteryear. Consumers are looking for novelty, even in Social Gaming their alcoholic beverages. Edible Within the top 5 most cocktails like White Russian Rice Take a “Gap” Year popular Facebook Krispies are being served in bars With unemployment and stress levels higher than ever, Applications, 4 of them are in NY and Australia. many adults are taking “gap” years from their careers games. Over 15% of the Source: NY Times | 11.26.08 to go out and explore the world like they’ve always people who downloaded wanted to. Save up $6,000-$15,000, and you can these applications use it on recharge in a Nepal monastery like 61 yr old Dr. Sinar, a daily basis. volunteer overseas, or just kickback and spend leisure Source: Silicon Alley Insider | 07.08 time at home. Source: NY Times | 01.09 Hard Fact: Group Vacay % Groups 15 to 19 strong spent an Surprise Gifts approximate $18.9 billion on hotels, airfares J. Crew allows shoppers • WINTER 2009 and car rentals this year- a 23.5% increase to sign up for the brand’s Pack Traveling from over 2005. gift-of-the-month club. Savvy vacationers aren’t Source: NY Times | 05.08 Members receive a letting the economy keep monthly surprise item of them from getting away. choice, only allowing Sites like TripHub and Sand Hotels: Limited Time Experience [REALITY] Px members to state their GroupAbout make planning LateRooms created the world’s largest preference for shoes and for a group vacation, which functioning sand castle in Dorset, England for allowing them to make size is much more affordable, a the summer. For $19 per night, guests received exchanges. feasible reality. a bed and a starry night. Source: WSJ.com | 12.08 Source: Triphub.com Source: BBC News | 07.08
  • 4. KEY TREND DRIVERS: Fantasy / Distraction % Lolita Spreads to the States % Recently, girls in the streets of NY have been spotted donned in bows and bonnets, similar to the escapist Lolita “Get Real” Gets Lost trend of Tokyo. Dr. Phil’s “get real” advice Gaming isn’t resonating during the Video game sales were “Lolita is ...[about] recession. National ratings “” up 18% in October women…creating their own for "Dr. Phil" have plunged from 2007. world into which they can get 27% compared with last Source: Yahootech | 11.08 away from the pressures of season, while the more the larger society.” – Naoto chipper “The Ellen Hirooka, Japanese fashion designer DeGeneres Show” rose 11%. Source: LA Times | 01.09 % Source: NYtimes.com | 01.09 Superheroes: Ultimate Fantasy 3 of the Top 5 Grossing Movies of 08’ featured superheroes. % Twilight Mayhem Breaking Dawn, the most • WINTER 2009 recent of Stephanie Boob Tube Meyer’s Twilight series, 1. The Dark Knight Number of LCD and HD sold 1.3 million copies in a 2. Iron Man TVs shipped to retailers in single day. Its movie debut 3. Indiana Jones the U.S. and Canada saw even more success, & the Kingdom of jumped 26 % compared thus far grossing over [REALITY] the Crystal Skull Px with the first quarter of $340 million in ticket sales 4. Hancock 2008 since its release. 5. WALL-E Source: NY Times | 08.08 Source: Boxofficemojo.com | 12.08 Source: Boxofficemojo.com | 01.09
  • 5. KEY TREND DRIVER: Comfort Not Vacation, Staycation Take (or Drink) a Chill Pill % Instead of planning extravagant trips to Paris, consumers are instead Energy drinks are so 90’s rave. Now comes the anti-energy drink for the 21st century. Vacation in a Bottle (ViB) Beverages has opting for relaxing released its Chill-N anti-energy drink. Chillax Netflix-it staycations close to home in with this caffeine-free “pomegranate berry While most companies are order to disconnect and wave of relaxation” and imagine yourself under losing business, Netflix saw escape. “Vacation: Monet a Polynesian sun. Source: drinkvib.com its profit rise 45% in the 4Q and Manet at the Musee of 2008 alone, as more d’Orsay. Staycation: Judge and more people turn to “People are getting back to comfort foods Judy.” Source: New York “” the comfort of their own Times | 8.29.08 because of the economy, and dessert is very homes for entertainment. comforting.” Source: Matt Lewis, baker and coauthor With its growing streaming of Baked, NYDailyNews.com | 12.7.08 offerings escape is now just a click away. “I may be unemployed, but I’m not giving up dessert.” Source: Associated Source: Overheard at a nearby table of young adults Press | 1.26.09 during a recent evening out, SFGate.com | 12.10.08 • WINTER 2009 Time For Supper A Dessert That’ll Fizz in Your Mouth What to do when you still want to enjoy Pop Rocks, that fizzy candy popular in the experience of going out for dinner but the 70s and 80s, is the latest are strapped for cash? Start a supper gastronomic flirtation with the past. club. These upscale, highly coordinated Nickel Diner in Downtown LA sprinkles [REALITY] potlucks seem to have reached a tipping x the candy on top of one of its P point in popularity as consumers look for desserts. As consumers search for an new and creative ways to cut back, but escape, fizzy food is a fun, delicious, continue experiencing good food and and comforting distraction. good times with friends. Source: Iconoculture Source: Iconoculture, RPA; 5cdiner.com