SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 29
Global Financial Journalism
    Week 4: Covering financial markets

    Jeffrey Timmermans


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Using Twitter for news

    ✤    Bloomberg Top Stories

          ✤    @BloombergNow

    ✤    Reuters Top Stories

          ✤    @Reuters

    ✤    Wall Street Journal Top Stories

          ✤    @WSJ


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Reporting on markets: what you
    need

    ✤    Understanding of how markets work

    ✤    Market data

    ✤    Up-to-date news/info on other markets/countries

    ✤    Market sources

    ✤    Ability to explain this stuff to readers




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Characteristics of markets

    ✤    Bring together buyers (demand) & sellers (supply)

    ✤    Anyone (usually) can participate

    ✤    Products traded are standardized and units of each product are
         interchangeable (fungible)

    ✤    Doesn’t matter who you trade with

    ✤    Trades are all (usually) processed by a central authority

    ✤    Information on all trades is public


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers


                             Prices                Turnover


                                      Volume
                                                   Index levels
                            Bids
                                          Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers
                                        Prices are the most often cited

                             Prices                          Turnover
                                       numbers in markets. They can
                                          be prices of shares, bonds,
                                      futures, or the price of a currency
                                      as measured in another currency

                                        Volume
                                                            Index levels
                            Bids
                                                 Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers


                             Prices                   Turnover

                                                   Volume is the number of
                                                  individual units of an asset
                                      Volume    traded (usually in one day), for
                                                     Index levels
                                               example units of shares or bonds
                            Bids
                                          Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers
                             Turnover is the monetary value
                              of a day’s trading in an asset;
                             Prices
                            basically just volume multiplied
                                                                Turnover
                                 by the prevailing price



                                         Volume
                                                                Index levels
                            Bids
                                                  Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers


                             Prices                           Turnover


                                         Volume
                                   Bids are the prices that would-be
                                                             Index levels
                                    buyers are willing to pay for an
                            Bids   asset; these bids are shown to all
                                           market participants
                                                  Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers


                             Prices                Turnover


                                      Volume
                                                   Index levels
                            Bids
  Offers are the prices that would-
   be sellers are willing to accept
  for an asset they own; offers are       Offers
  shown to all market participants
Thursday, 21 February, 13
Markets: Some numbers


                               Prices                          Turnover


                                          Volume
                              Indexes measure the overall
                            performance of individual assets   Index levels
                                      on a market
                            Bids
                                                  Offers

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market prices

    ✤    Prices in markets are news: they contain information

          ✤    The sum of all market participants’ – people’s – expectations of
               future performance of that asset

    ✤    BUT, just because an asset has a low price in real terms doesn’t mean
         it’s “cheap” or a bargain – or vice versa

          ✤    Berkshire Hathaway’s current price: US$134,584 per share

          ✤    PCCW Ltd.’s current price: HK$3.16 (40 US cents) per share


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Types of financial markets

    ✤    Commodities

    ✤    Stocks

    ✤    Foreign Exchange (Forex)

    ✤    Bonds

    ✤    Derivatives




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Methods of trading


    ✤    “Open outcry” floor trading (NYSE)

    ✤    “Over the counter” electronic trading (Nasdaq)

    ✤    “Dark pool” private markets

    ✤    Bilateral trading (only two participants)




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Photos: Bloomberg (left), AP (right)

Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market participants

    ✤    Retail investors (ordinary people)

    ✤    Institutional investors

          ✤    Insurance companies, brokerages, hedge funds

    ✤    Corporations

    ✤    Governments




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Types of participants

                                  Investment
                                             Information Leverage
                                     size

              Retail investors      Small      Public      Small

                  Institutional               Public &
                                    Large                 Large
                    investors                  Private
                                              Public &
                Governments         Huge                 Unlimited
                                               Private


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Why do they participate?


    ✤    To gain access to capital (funds) for new or existing ventures

    ✤    To put excess funds to use and earn money

    ✤    To hedge (insure) against risks

    ✤    To speculate (bet)




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Price formation in markets

    ✤    People wanting to buy make a “bid” at a certain price for a certain
         amount of an asset

    ✤    Those wanting to sell announce an “offer” (or “ask”) price and
         amount

    ✤    People revise their bids or offers until they find a matching offer or
         bid

    ✤    All participants can see this information



Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market data
    Screenshot of a Reuters 3000 terminal




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market data (free!)
    Screenshot of Google Finance page (finance.google.com)




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market comment sources

    ✤    “Sell side”                                 ✤   “Buy side”

          ✤    Traders                                   ✤   Mutual funds/ETFs

          ✤    Analysts                                  ✤   Hedge funds

          ✤    Strategists                               ✤   Pension funds


                              ...and don’t forget executives of public
                            companies, lawyers, and ordinary investors




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Some key market players


                              Paulson & Co.




              Soros Fund
              Management




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Problems with market sources

    ✤    “Talking their book”

    ✤    Unwilling to comment/too busy

    ✤    Spread rumors

    ✤    Don’t really know what’s going on

    ✤    Use jargon

    ✤    Demand anonymity


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Market comment: basic structure

    ✤    Change

    ✤    Cause

    ✤    Expectations
                            CCE CCF
    ✤    Comment

    ✤    Context

    ✤    Future


Thursday, 21 February, 13
U.S. Stocks Advance, Erasing Earlier Loss,
          Following European Bank Rally
          By Rita Nazareth - Sep 13, 2011
          U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a second day, as French banks
          eased concerns over their access to funding and investors watched for signs of progress in taming
                                                                                                                         Change
          Europe’s debt crisis.

          All 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced as gains were led by industrial, raw material and               Cause
          technology companies. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the U.S. economy, jumped
          3.4 percent as airlines rose. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) and Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) added more than 1
          percent, following a rally in European lenders. Aetna Inc. (AET) jumped 5.4 percent as the health insurer
          said profit will probably beat its forecast.
                                                                                                                      Expectations?
          The S&P 500 increased 0.9 percent to 1,172.87 at 4 p.m. in New York, after falling as much as 0.4
          percent. The gauge has risen 1.6 percent in two days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 44.73
          points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,105.85 today.

          “Stocks are trading on the news of the day and the news was moderately favorable,” Michael Cuggino,
          who oversees $15 billion at Permanent Portfolio Funds in San Francisco, said in a telephone interview.         Comment
          “While the issues of liquidity and health of the European banking system and the long-term viability of
          the euro are still out there, today is a day where people are looking beyond that. We’ve had a big
          correction. Levels really haven’t gotten back to where they were.”

          The S&P 500 fell as much as 18 percent from a three-year high on April 29 through Aug. 8 on growing
          concern over Europe’s debt crisis and an economic slowdown. Since then, the index has risen 4.8
          percent.
                                                                                                                         Context
          The S&P 500 may drop below a one-year low reached last month because too few stocks have declined
          rapidly enough, according to MF Global Inc.
                                                                                                                         Future
Thursday, 21 February, 13
Where to find...

    ✤    Change: market data

    ✤    Cause: world/local events, market sources

    ✤    Expectations: news database, market sources

    ✤    Comment: market sources

    ✤    Context: market data, news database, professional experience

    ✤    Future: market sources, professional experience


Thursday, 21 February, 13
Finding “cause”

    ✤    Any big economic news?

    ✤    Any major local news?

    ✤    What’s happening in other markets?

    ✤    Look for sector-wide moves, then individual share moves

    ✤    Don’t always believe traders’ explanations




Thursday, 21 February, 13
Finding “context”

    ✤    Biggest advance/decline since                                         ✤   Who’s making money and
         when?                                                                     who’s losing money?

    ✤    How many days in a row up/                                            ✤   Is the event cited as a cause
         down?                                                                     typical or atypical?

    ✤    How much have prices/yields                                           ✤   Is today’s event the beginning
         changed in that time?                                                     or end of a trend?

    ✤    Highest/lowest level since                                            ✤   What’s at stake?
         when?
                                                                               ✤   What happens next?

    Source: The Bloomberg Way: A Guide for Reporters & Editors, 10th Edition

Thursday, 21 February, 13

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Mehr von jtimmermans (20)

Class11
Class11Class11
Class11
 
Class10
Class10Class10
Class10
 
Class9
Class9Class9
Class9
 
Class10
Class10Class10
Class10
 
Class9
Class9Class9
Class9
 
Class7
Class7Class7
Class7
 
Class8
Class8Class8
Class8
 
Class7
Class7Class7
Class7
 
Class6
Class6Class6
Class6
 
Class5
Class5Class5
Class5
 
Class5
Class5Class5
Class5
 
Class4
Class4Class4
Class4
 
Class3
Class3Class3
Class3
 
Tutorial1
Tutorial1Tutorial1
Tutorial1
 
Class3
Class3Class3
Class3
 
Class2
Class2Class2
Class2
 
Class2
Class2Class2
Class2
 
Class1
Class1Class1
Class1
 
Class1
Class1Class1
Class1
 
Class10
Class10Class10
Class10
 

Class4

  • 1. Global Financial Journalism Week 4: Covering financial markets Jeffrey Timmermans Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 2. Using Twitter for news ✤ Bloomberg Top Stories ✤ @BloombergNow ✤ Reuters Top Stories ✤ @Reuters ✤ Wall Street Journal Top Stories ✤ @WSJ Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 3. Reporting on markets: what you need ✤ Understanding of how markets work ✤ Market data ✤ Up-to-date news/info on other markets/countries ✤ Market sources ✤ Ability to explain this stuff to readers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 4. Characteristics of markets ✤ Bring together buyers (demand) & sellers (supply) ✤ Anyone (usually) can participate ✤ Products traded are standardized and units of each product are interchangeable (fungible) ✤ Doesn’t matter who you trade with ✤ Trades are all (usually) processed by a central authority ✤ Information on all trades is public Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 5. Markets: Some numbers Prices Turnover Volume Index levels Bids Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 6. Markets: Some numbers Prices are the most often cited Prices Turnover numbers in markets. They can be prices of shares, bonds, futures, or the price of a currency as measured in another currency Volume Index levels Bids Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 7. Markets: Some numbers Prices Turnover Volume is the number of individual units of an asset Volume traded (usually in one day), for Index levels example units of shares or bonds Bids Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 8. Markets: Some numbers Turnover is the monetary value of a day’s trading in an asset; Prices basically just volume multiplied Turnover by the prevailing price Volume Index levels Bids Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 9. Markets: Some numbers Prices Turnover Volume Bids are the prices that would-be Index levels buyers are willing to pay for an Bids asset; these bids are shown to all market participants Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 10. Markets: Some numbers Prices Turnover Volume Index levels Bids Offers are the prices that would- be sellers are willing to accept for an asset they own; offers are Offers shown to all market participants Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 11. Markets: Some numbers Prices Turnover Volume Indexes measure the overall performance of individual assets Index levels on a market Bids Offers Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 12. Market prices ✤ Prices in markets are news: they contain information ✤ The sum of all market participants’ – people’s – expectations of future performance of that asset ✤ BUT, just because an asset has a low price in real terms doesn’t mean it’s “cheap” or a bargain – or vice versa ✤ Berkshire Hathaway’s current price: US$134,584 per share ✤ PCCW Ltd.’s current price: HK$3.16 (40 US cents) per share Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 13. Types of financial markets ✤ Commodities ✤ Stocks ✤ Foreign Exchange (Forex) ✤ Bonds ✤ Derivatives Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 14. Methods of trading ✤ “Open outcry” floor trading (NYSE) ✤ “Over the counter” electronic trading (Nasdaq) ✤ “Dark pool” private markets ✤ Bilateral trading (only two participants) Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 15. Photos: Bloomberg (left), AP (right) Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 16. Market participants ✤ Retail investors (ordinary people) ✤ Institutional investors ✤ Insurance companies, brokerages, hedge funds ✤ Corporations ✤ Governments Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 17. Types of participants Investment Information Leverage size Retail investors Small Public Small Institutional Public & Large Large investors Private Public & Governments Huge Unlimited Private Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 18. Why do they participate? ✤ To gain access to capital (funds) for new or existing ventures ✤ To put excess funds to use and earn money ✤ To hedge (insure) against risks ✤ To speculate (bet) Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 19. Price formation in markets ✤ People wanting to buy make a “bid” at a certain price for a certain amount of an asset ✤ Those wanting to sell announce an “offer” (or “ask”) price and amount ✤ People revise their bids or offers until they find a matching offer or bid ✤ All participants can see this information Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 20. Market data Screenshot of a Reuters 3000 terminal Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 21. Market data (free!) Screenshot of Google Finance page (finance.google.com) Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 22. Market comment sources ✤ “Sell side” ✤ “Buy side” ✤ Traders ✤ Mutual funds/ETFs ✤ Analysts ✤ Hedge funds ✤ Strategists ✤ Pension funds ...and don’t forget executives of public companies, lawyers, and ordinary investors Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 23. Some key market players Paulson & Co. Soros Fund Management Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 24. Problems with market sources ✤ “Talking their book” ✤ Unwilling to comment/too busy ✤ Spread rumors ✤ Don’t really know what’s going on ✤ Use jargon ✤ Demand anonymity Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 25. Market comment: basic structure ✤ Change ✤ Cause ✤ Expectations CCE CCF ✤ Comment ✤ Context ✤ Future Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 26. U.S. Stocks Advance, Erasing Earlier Loss, Following European Bank Rally By Rita Nazareth - Sep 13, 2011 U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a second day, as French banks eased concerns over their access to funding and investors watched for signs of progress in taming Change Europe’s debt crisis. All 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced as gains were led by industrial, raw material and Cause technology companies. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the U.S. economy, jumped 3.4 percent as airlines rose. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) and Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) added more than 1 percent, following a rally in European lenders. Aetna Inc. (AET) jumped 5.4 percent as the health insurer said profit will probably beat its forecast. Expectations? The S&P 500 increased 0.9 percent to 1,172.87 at 4 p.m. in New York, after falling as much as 0.4 percent. The gauge has risen 1.6 percent in two days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 44.73 points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,105.85 today. “Stocks are trading on the news of the day and the news was moderately favorable,” Michael Cuggino, who oversees $15 billion at Permanent Portfolio Funds in San Francisco, said in a telephone interview. Comment “While the issues of liquidity and health of the European banking system and the long-term viability of the euro are still out there, today is a day where people are looking beyond that. We’ve had a big correction. Levels really haven’t gotten back to where they were.” The S&P 500 fell as much as 18 percent from a three-year high on April 29 through Aug. 8 on growing concern over Europe’s debt crisis and an economic slowdown. Since then, the index has risen 4.8 percent. Context The S&P 500 may drop below a one-year low reached last month because too few stocks have declined rapidly enough, according to MF Global Inc. Future Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 27. Where to find... ✤ Change: market data ✤ Cause: world/local events, market sources ✤ Expectations: news database, market sources ✤ Comment: market sources ✤ Context: market data, news database, professional experience ✤ Future: market sources, professional experience Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 28. Finding “cause” ✤ Any big economic news? ✤ Any major local news? ✤ What’s happening in other markets? ✤ Look for sector-wide moves, then individual share moves ✤ Don’t always believe traders’ explanations Thursday, 21 February, 13
  • 29. Finding “context” ✤ Biggest advance/decline since ✤ Who’s making money and when? who’s losing money? ✤ How many days in a row up/ ✤ Is the event cited as a cause down? typical or atypical? ✤ How much have prices/yields ✤ Is today’s event the beginning changed in that time? or end of a trend? ✤ Highest/lowest level since ✤ What’s at stake? when? ✤ What happens next? Source: The Bloomberg Way: A Guide for Reporters & Editors, 10th Edition Thursday, 21 February, 13