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Anesthesia Patient Safety Foundation
                                                                                                                 Section Editor: Sorin J. Brull




Nitrous Oxide and Long-Term Morbidity and Mortality
in the ENIGMA Trial
Kate Leslie, MBBS, MD, MEpi, FANZCA,* Paul S. Myles, MBBS, MD, MPH, FANZCA, FCARSCI, FRCA,†
Matthew T. V. Chan, MBBS, FANZCA,‡ Andrew Forbes, MSc, PhD,§
Michael J. Paech, MBBS, DM, DRCOG, FRCA, FANZCA, FFPMANZCA, FRANZCOG (Hon),ʈ
Philip Peyton, MBBS, MD, FANZCA,¶ Brendan S. Silbert, MBBS, FANZCA,# and Elizabeth Williamson, PhD**

                   BACKGROUND: There is a plausible pathophysiologic rationale for increased long-term cardio-
                   vascular morbidity and mortality in patients receiving significant exposure to nitrous oxide.
                   However, this relationship has not been established clinically. The ENIGMA trial randomized
                   2050 patients having noncardiac surgery lasting more than 2 hours to nitrous oxide– based or
                   nitrous oxide–free anesthesia. We conducted a follow-up study of the ENIGMA patients to
                   evaluate the risk of cardiovascular events in the longer term.
                   METHODS: The trial case report forms and medical records of all study patients were reviewed.
                   The date and cause of death and occurrence of myocardial infarction or stroke were recorded. A
                   telephone interview was then conducted with all surviving patients. The primary endpoint of the
                   study was survival.
                   RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 3.5 (range: 0 to 5.7) years. Three hundred eighty
                   patients (19%) had died since the index surgery, 91 (4.5%) were recorded as having myocardial
                   infarction, and 44 (2.2%) had a stroke during the entire follow-up period. Nitrous oxide did not
                   significantly increase the risk of death [hazard ratio ϭ 0.98 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.80 to
                   1.20; P ϭ 0.82)]. The adjusted odds ratio for myocardial infarction in patients administered
                   nitrous oxide was 1.59 (95% CI: 1.01 to 2.51; P ϭ 0.04) and for stroke was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.55
                   to 1.87; P ϭ 0.97).
                   CONCLUSIONS: The administration of nitrous oxide was associated with increased long-term risk
                   of myocardial infarction, but not of death or stroke in patients enrolled in the ENIGMA trial. The
                   exact relationship between nitrous oxide administration and serious long-term adverse outcomes
                   will require confirmation by an appropriately designed large randomized controlled trial. (Anesth
                   Analg 2011;112:387–93)




T      here is a plausible pathophysiologic rationale for
       increased long-term cardiovascular morbidity and
       mortality in patients receiving significant exposure
to nitrous oxide.1,2 Nitrous oxide oxidizes the cobalt atom
                                                                                 established. As the importance of anesthetic manage-
                                                                                 ment to long-term outcomes has been questioned,10
                                                                                 further exploration of this issue is warranted.
                                                                                    The ENIGMA trial randomized 2050 patients having
on vitamin B12, inactivating methionine synthase and caus-                       noncardiac surgery lasting more than 2 hours to nitrous
ing a dose-dependent increase in plasma homocysteine                             oxide– based or nitrous oxide–free anesthesia.11 Within 30
concentrations for days after surgery.3–5 Acutely increased                      days of surgery, 16 patients had died (9 in the nitrous oxide
plasma homocysteine concentrations impair endothelial                            group and 3 in the nitrous oxide–free group; P ϭ 0.10).
function,6 induce oxidative stress7 and potentially destabi-                     Myocardial infarction (MI) was confirmed by electrocardio-
lize coronary artery plaques.8 Furthermore, several studies                      graphic changes and cardiac enzyme increase in 13 patients
reported increased incidences of myocardial ischemia                             in the nitrous oxide group, and in 7 patients in the nitrous
within 48 hours9 and cardiovascular events within 30 days5                       oxide–free group (P ϭ 0.20). Furthermore, 30 patients in the
in patients receiving nitrous oxide. However, a relationship                     nitrous oxide group and 10 patients in the nitrous oxide–
between nitrous oxide administration and long-term                               free group recorded electrocardiographic changes or car-
cardiovascular morbidity and mortality has not been                              diac enzyme increase suggestive of MI (P ϭ 0.002).12
                                                                                 Finally, postoperative plasma homocysteine concentrations
                                                                                 were increased in patients receiving nitrous oxide, empha-
Authors’ affiliations are listed at the end of the article.                      sizing the pathophysiologic rationale for a relationship
Accepted for publication August 5, 2010.                                         between nitrous oxide and MI.5,13 Together these findings
This study was supported by a project grant from the Australian and New          support further study of this issue.
Zealand College of Anaesthetists and a direct grant for research from the
Chinese University of Hong Kong (project #2041315). The ENIGMA Trial                We therefore conducted a follow-up study of the
was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council of                ENIGMA patients. We tested the hypothesis that patients
Australia (236956).
                                                                                 exposed to nitrous oxide during noncardiac surgery would
Address correspondence to Kate Leslie, MBBS, MD, MEpi, FANZCA,
Parkville, Victoria, 3050, Australia. Address e-mail to kate.leslie@mh.org.au.   be at greater risk of death, MI, and stroke in subsequent
Copyright © 2011 International Anesthesia Research Society                       years than would patients whose indexed anesthetic did
DOI: 10.1213/ANE.0b013e3181f7e2c4                                                not include nitrous oxide.

February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2                                                                www.anesthesia-analgesia.org         387
ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up



METHODS                                                                 Survival rates were computed for each category of each
In the original ENIGMA trial, 2050 surgical patients aged           predictor and are expressed as deaths per 1000 person-
18 years or older were randomized to 70% nitrous oxide in           years. Univariate Cox proportional hazard models were
30% oxygen or 80% oxygen in 20% nitrogen. In all other              used to define hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals
respects, perioperative care was at the discretion of the           (CIs). The multivariable Cox proportional hazard models
anesthesiologists. The primary end point was duration of            were constructed as follows: preoperative variables (age,
hospital stay. Major complications were assessed in hospi-          gender, weight, ASA physical status, history of coronary
tal and at a 30-day medical record review and telephone             artery disease, anemia, emergency surgery, and abdominal
interview.11 A subset of patients consented to blood sam-           surgery) were adjusted for each other. Nitrous oxide,
pling for plasma homocysteine and folate assays preopera-           propofol maintenance, and bispectral index monitoring
tively and on the first postoperative day.5                         were adjusted for each other and preoperative variables.
                                                                    Volatile anesthetic administration Ͻ0.75 MAC equivalents
                                                                    (the median MAC value in patients receiving volatile
Protocol                                                            anesthetic maintenance) and duration of anesthesia were
For the current study, ethics committee approval was                adjusted for each other, preoperative variables, nitrous
obtained at each participating site. Patient consent had been       oxide, and bispectral index monitoring (propofol mainte-
obtained for the original study, and patients could refuse          nance was not included because the 267 patients who
participation in the present study at the time of follow-up,        received propofol for maintenance had missing data for
so a second written consent process was waived by all               volatile anesthetic administration, causing this variable to
centers. The trial case report forms and medical records of         be dropped from the model). This approach was taken to
all study patients were reviewed for the study endpoints.           minimize bias.14 Assessment of proportionality of hazard
The date and cause of death or the occurrence of MI or
                                                                    functions was performed.
stroke were recorded. This was followed by a structured
                                                                        In many cases, the date of MI or stroke was imprecise
telephone interview with all surviving patients. Verbal
                                                                    (i.e., just the year of the event) or was missing, so logistic
consent was obtained before patients were questioned
                                                                    regression was used to compute odds ratios and 95% CIs
about the occurrence of MI and stroke since the indexed
                                                                    for MI and stroke during the follow-up period. The multi-
surgery. If the patient had died, the patient’s relatives or
                                                                    variable models were constructed as above. The preplanned
doctors were interviewed, after verbal consent had been
                                                                    assessment of the interaction of each variable with nitrous
obtained, using the same questionnaire. At least 3 attempts
                                                                    oxide was performed using interaction terms in the regression
were made to contact patients with the contact details on
                                                                    models. We used the 90th percentile of the preoperative
the original case report form and the hospitals’ information
                                                                    homocysteine concentration of patients in whom preoperative
management systems. If these attempts failed, at least 3
                                                                    homocysteine concentration was measured (single measure-
attempts were made to contact the patients’ relatives,
                                                                    ment per patient) to define postoperative hyperhomocysteine-
doctors, or both.
                                                                    mia.15 No further blood sampling was undertaken as part of
    The primary endpoint of the study was survival, which
                                                                    this follow-up study. Data were compared using paired t-tests
was recorded as the time to the last confirmed contact with
                                                                    or ␹2 tests as appropriate.
the patient or the time of death. Secondary endpoints were
                                                                        To assess the effects of missing follow-up data, we
MI and stroke, defined by (1) a verbal report by the patient
                                                                    undertook two sets of sensitivity analyses. Multiple impu-
or his or her relatives or doctors or (2) a note in the patient’s
                                                                    tation based on the multivariate normal distribution was
medical record. MI was defined as a typical increase and
                                                                    performed,16 assuming that the missing stroke and MI
decline in cardiac enzymes (troponin or creatine kinase–MB
                                                                    outcomes were missing at random. For the survival analy-
fraction) with at least one of the following: typical ischemic
                                                                    ses, inverse probability-of-censoring weights were esti-
symptoms, new Q-wave or ST-segment electrocardio-
                                                                    mated using logistic models, and the Cox models were
graphic changes, or coronary intervention, or pathologic
                                                                    refitted with these weights.14 Results were unchanged
findings of MI. Stroke was defined as new neurologic
                                                                    under both sensitivity analyses.
deficit persisting for 24 hours or longer, confirmed by
                                                                        Analyses were conducted using Stata 10.0 (Stata Corpo-
assessment by a neurologist or computed tomography or
                                                                    ration, College Station, TX, USA). All P values are two-
magnetic resonance imaging.
                                                                    sided, and P Ͻ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Data Analysis                                                       RESULTS
The following preoperative and intraoperative characteris-          Recruitment to the ENIGMA trial occurred between April
tics were chosen prospectively as predictors in the models:         2003 and November 2004, and 2012 patients were included
age, gender, weight, ASA physical status, history of coro-          in the intention-to-treat analysis. Long-term follow-up oc-
nary artery disease, anemia, emergency surgery, abdominal           curred between January 2007 and November 2008, with a
surgery, propofol maintenance, volatile anesthetic admin-           median follow-up of 3.5 (range: 0 to 5.7) years. No attempt
istration, nitrous oxide use, bispectral index monitoring,          was made to follow-up 227 of the patients who had
and duration of anesthesia. Median volatile anesthetic              survived 30 days because of a lack of resources at the
concentrations for the case were recorded by the anesthe-           recruiting centers; 113 patients who had survived 30 days
siologist on the case report form and were converted to             could not be contacted when follow-up was attempted; and
minimum alveolar concentration (MAC) equivalents before             2 patients declined further participation. The follow-up
analysis.                                                           time of all of these patients was recorded as 30 days; they


388      www.anesthesia-analgesia.org                                                               ANESTHESIA & ANALGESIA
Figure 1. Flow chart for inclusion of ENIGMA
Trial patients in this long-term follow-up study
(N2O ϭ nitrous oxide).




were coded as alive, and the occurrence of MI and stroke by           Nitrous oxide did not increase the risk of stroke (odds
30 days was used in the analyses. Follow-up data were              ratio ϭ 1.01 (95% CI: 0.55 to 1.87; P ϭ 0.97). Increasing age
obtained for 1660 (83%) of study patients (Fig. 1).                was the only significant predictor of stroke in a multivari-
    Three hundred eighty patients (19%) had died since the         able model that included the same predictors used in the
indexed surgery (12 before 30 days and 368 subsequently).          survival and MI analyses (results not shown). The adjusted
The causes of death were cancer (76%), MI (5%), stroke             odds ratio was largely unaffected after multiple imputation
(1%), other cardiovascular death (2%), respiratory failure         for missing data (1.01 [95% CI: 0.55 to 1.87; P ϭ 0.98]).
(1%), sepsis (6%), other causes (6%), and unknown (3%).               Postoperative plasma homocysteine and folate con-
Interviews therefore were completed in 1290 (65%) pa-              centrations were significantly increased in comparison
tients. Ninety-one patients (4.5%) were recorded as having         with preoperative values in patients who had an MI
an MI, and 44 patients (2.2%) were recorded as having a            (Table 3). In addition, a larger proportion of patients
stroke during the entire follow-up period.                         with MI recorded postoperative hyperhomocysteinemia.
    Nitrous oxide did not increase the risk of death (hazard       There were no differences found between surviving and
ratio ϭ 0.98; 95% CI: 0.80 to 1.20; P ϭ 0.82) (Table 1).           deceased patients with respect to plasma homocysteine
Increasing age, male gender, abdominal surgery, propofol           and folate concentrations.
maintenance, MAC equivalents Ͻ0.75, and longer duration
of anesthesia were significant predictors of death. There          DISCUSSION
was a significant interaction between nitrous oxide admin-         Nitrous oxide was associated with a marginal increase in
istration and abdominal surgery (overall P ϭ 0.028). The           the long-term risk of MI, but not of death or stroke in the
hazard ratio for death after the use of nitrous oxide in           ENIGMA patients. The ENIGMA trial recruited relatively
abdominal surgery was 1.02 (95% CI: 0.55 to 1.90; P ϭ 0.95),       unselected patients with low 30-day and long-term event
and in nonabdominal surgery, it was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.43 to          rates, and therefore may have been underpowered to
0.96; P ϭ 0.03) (i.e., there was a 36% reduction in the risk of    confidently confirm a “true” increased risk of MI in patients
mortality among nonabdominal surgery patients having               receiving nitrous oxide.17 A clinically important increase or
nitrous oxide–free anesthesia, but no effect was observed in       decrease in the risk of these major outcomes is still possible
patients having abdominal surgery).                                and therefore should be explored. Consequently, we are
    The adjusted odds ratio for MI in patients receiving nitrous   conducting a randomized trial of nitrous oxide– based
oxide was 1.59 (95% CI: 1.01 to 2.51; P ϭ 0.04) (Table 2). In      versus nitrous oxide–free anesthesia in 7000 noncardiac
addition, increasing age, higher ASA physical status, known        surgery patients who have or are at risk of ischemic heart
coronary artery disease, anemia, and increasing duration of        disease (the ENIGMA–II trial; www.enigma2.org.au).12
anesthesia were significant predictors of MI. There were no           Our long-term follow-up results are consistent with the
significant interactions among predictors. The adjusted odds       30-day incidences of MI (0.5%) and stroke (0.1%) in
ratio was largely unaffected after multiple imputation for         ENIGMA patients. These patients were not selected on the
missing data (1.56 [95% CI: 0.99 to 2.46; P ϭ 0.05]).              basis of cardiovascular risk factors: only 11% of the patients


February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2                                                     www.anesthesia-analgesia.org       389
ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up




 Table 1. Hazard Ratios for Death in All Patients (n ‫)2102 ؍‬
                                             Death rate                  Univariate                                      Multivariate
            Predictor                         (95% CI)                  HR (95% CI)                P value               HR (95% CI)                P value
Age (years)a
  Ͻ49                                        50 (40–62)
  49–64                                      63 (53–76)              1.26 (0.95–1.66)                                 1.06 (0.80–1.41)
  Ն65                                        91 (78–105)             1.79 (1.39–2.32)             Ͻ0.0001             1.45 (1.09–1.91)               0.01
Sexa
  Male                                       76 (67–87)
  Female                                     60 (51–70)              0.78 (0.64–0.96)               0.02              0.77 (0.62–0.95)               0.02
Weight (kg)a
  Ͻ60                                        82 (70–96)
  61–74                                      66 (55–79)              0.80 (0.63–1.01)                                 0.83 (0.65–1.06)
  Ն75                                        58 (48–70)              0.71 (0.55–0.90)               0.02              0.83 (0.64–1.08)               0.23
ASA physical statusa
  1–2                                        63 (56–72)
  3–4                                        84 (70–100)             1.31 (1.06–1.63)               0.01              1.12 (0.87–1.45)               0.36
Coronary artery diseasea
  No                                         66 (59–74)
  Yes                                        87 (67–113)             1.31 (0.99–1.74)               0.06              1.10 (0.80–1.53)               0.55
Anemiaa
  No                                         64 (57–72)
  Yes                                       104 (82–133)             1.61 (1.23–2.10)               0.0005            1.22 (0.92–1.63)               0.16
Emergency surgerya
  No                                         67 (61–75)
  Yes                                        90 (58–140)             1.31 (0.83–2.05)               0.24              1.27 (0.80–2.01)               0.31
Abdominal surgerya
  No                                         41 (34–50)
  Yes                                        90 (80–102)             2.15 (1.71–2.70)             Ͻ0.0001             2.04 (1.60–2.59)             Ͻ0.0001
BIS monitoringb
  No                                         62 (55–70)
  Yes                                        93 (77–112)             1.47 (1.18–1.84)               0.001             1.20 (0.95–1.51)               0.13
Nitrous oxideb
  No                                         72 (63–83)
  Yes                                        65 (56–75)              0.91 (0.74–1.11)               0.34              0.98 (0.80–1.20)               0.82
Propofol maintenanceb
  No                                         63 (56–71)
  Yes                                       102 (82–127)             1.59 (1.24–2.03)             Ͻ0.0001             1.60 (1.23–2.07)               0.0004
MAC equivalentsc
  Ն0.75                                      45 (37–55)
  Ͻ0.75                                      80 (70–92)              1.77 (1.39–2.24)             Ͻ0.0001             1.59 (1.22–2.08)               0.0007
Duration of anesthesia (hours)c
  Ͻ2.5                                       37 (28–47)
  2.5–3.9                                    63 (53–75)              1.73 (1.26–2.36)                                 1.43 (1.01–2.02)
  Ն4.0                                       97 (86–114)             2.65 (1.97–3.57)             Ͻ0.0001             2.03 (1.44–2.87)               0.0001
CI ϭ confidence interval; HR ϭ hazard ratio (the hazard in the exposed group divided by the hazard in the unexposed group, in which hazard is the incidence rate
of an event); ASA ϭ American Society of Anesthesiologists; BIS ϭ bispectral index; MAC ϭ minimum alveolar concentration.
a
  Adjusted for each other.
b
  Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnote a.
c
  Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnotes a and b except for propofol maintenance (267 missing values for MAC equivalents).



reported a history of coronary artery disease, and only 4%                        plasma homocysteine concentrations)21–23 and omission of
reported a history of stroke. Our results are also consistent                     nitrous oxide11 are not currently convincingly proven to
with the incidence of MI and stroke in unselected surgical                        reduce the risk of MI. The effects of both of these strategies
patients,18,19 rather than those incidences that are typical in                   await confirmation with large randomized trials.12,22
patients at higher risk.20                                                           Nitrous oxide may adversely affect outcomes through
   Hyperhomocysteinemia was present in 11% of patients                            mechanisms other than hyperhomocysteinemia. This in-
without MI and 46% with MI in this long-term follow-up                            cludes immunosuppression, impairment of erythrocyte
study. Laboratory studies have suggested that homocys-                            production, promotion of pulmonary atelectasis, and the
teine is both atherogenic and thrombogenic. Epidemiologi-                         need to use low inspired oxygen concentrations.1,2 Indeed,
cal, dietary, and genetic studies support higher incidences                       ENIGMA patients had an increased risk of wound infec-
of cardiac events in patients with hyperhomocysteinemia.15                        tion, fever, and pulmonary complications during the first
However, folate supplementation (which normalizes                                 30 postoperative days.11 However, our follow-up study did


390       www.anesthesia-analgesia.org                                                                                    ANESTHESIA & ANALGESIA
Table 2. Odds Ratios for Myocardial Infarction in All Patients (n ‫)2102 ؍‬
                                                                  Univariate                                        Multivariate
           Predictor                         n (%)               OR (95% CI)                  P value               OR (95% CI)                  P value
Age (years)a
  Ͻ49                                       7 (1)
  49–64                                    27 (4)             4.26 (1.84–9.84)                                   3.25 (1.38–7.67)
  Ն65                                      57 (9)             9.41 (4.26–20.18)              Ͻ0.0001             4.47 (1.93–10.35)                0.002
Sexa
  Male                                     57 (5)
  Female                                   34 (4)             0.64 (0.42–0.99)                 0.05              0.73 (0.46–1.16)                 0.19
Weight (kg)a
  Ͻ60                                      36 (6)
  61–74                                    35 (5)             0.90 (0.56–1.45)                                   0.97 (0.58–1.60)
  Ն75                                      20 (3)             0.50 (0.28–0.87)                 0.04              0.56 (0.31–1.03)                 0.13
ASA physical statusa
  1–2                                      31 (2)
  3–4                                      60 (12)            6.67 (4.27–10.43)              Ͻ0.0001             3.50 (2.08–5.86)               Ͻ0.0001
Coronary artery diseasea
  No                                       57 (3)
  Yes                                      34 (15)            5.47 (3.48–8.58)               Ͻ0.0001             1.71 (1.01–2.92)                 0.048
Anemiaa
  No                                       67 (4)
  Yes                                      24 (10)            2.98 (1.83–4.86)               Ͻ0.0001             1.85 (1.06–3.25)                 0.03
Emergency surgerya
  No                                       84 (4)
  Yes                                       7 (9)             2.08 (0.93–4.65)                 0.08              1.02 (0.42–2.50)                 0.96
Abdominal surgerya
  No                                       41 (5)
  Yes                                      50 (4)             0.93 (0.61–1.42)                 0.74              0.78 (0.49–1.26)                 0.31
BIS monitoringb
  No                                       69 (4)
  Yes                                      22 (5)             1.22 (0.75–2.00)                 0.42              1.16 (0.68–1.97)                 0.58
Nitrous oxideb
  No                                       37 (4)
  Yes                                      54 (5)             1.46 (0.95–2.24)                 0.08              1.59 (1.01–2.51)                 0.04
Propofol maintenanceb
  No                                       98 (4)
  Yes                                      13 (5)             1.09 (0.60–2.00)                 0.77              1.36 (0.71–2.59)                 0.35
MAC equivalentsc
  Ն0.75                                    29 (3)
  Ͻ0.75                                    49 (6)             1.75 (1.10–2.90)                 0.02              0.84 (0.48–1.46)                 0.53
Duration of anesthesia (hours)c
  Ͻ2.5                                     19 (3)
  2.5–3.9                                  23 (3)             1.05 (0.57–1.95)                                   0.81 (0.40–1.63)
  Ն4.0                                     49 (7)             2.36 (1.38–4.06)                 0.0006            1.93 (1.00–3.72)                 0.009
OR ϭ odds ratio (the odds of an event in the exposed group divided by the odds of an event in the unexposed group); CI ϭ confidence interval; ASA ϭ American
Society of Anesthesiologists; BIS ϭ bispectral index; MAC ϭ minimum alveolar concentration.
a
  Adjusted for each other.
b
  Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnote a.
c
  Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnotes a and b except for propofol maintenance (267 missing values for MAC equivalents).


not provide any evidence to support a concern that these                        of serious comorbidities and intolerance of the hemodynamic
consequences of nitrous oxide use increase long-term mor-                       effects of volatile anesthetics in these patients.
tality in noncardiac surgery patients.                                              A potential limitation of the ENIGMA trial was that
    In this follow-up study, various baseline characteristics                   inspired oxygen concentrations were not the same in the 2
were identified as independent predictors of adverse out-                       groups (30% in the nitrous oxide– based group and 80% in
comes. Many of these have been reported, including in-                          the nitrous oxide–free group). The study was designed that
creasing age,24 –26 increasing ASA physical status                              way because these gaseous combinations reflected routine
score,24,26,27 and longer duration of surgery.25 Increased mor-                 practice and allowed patients to take advantage of all the
tality among abdominal surgery patients may reflect cancer                      reported benefits of the omission of nitrous oxide (includ-
treatment, although we cannot confirm this because we did                       ing high inspired oxygen concentration).11 In addition, the
not record malignancy status in this study. Similarly, the                      design allowed us to examine the data for an independent
administration of lower volatile anesthetic concentrations to                   effect of oxygen, which we did not find.11 A further
patients who subsequently died probably reflects the presence                   limitation of the follow-up study was that surveillance for


February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2                                                                       www.anesthesia-analgesia.org              391
ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up



                                                                           Western Australia, Perth, Australia, and Department of Anaes-
 Table 3. Plasma Homocysteine and                                          thesia and Pain Medicine, King Edward Memorial Hospital for
 Folate Concentrations                                                     Women, Perth, Australia; ¶Department of Anaesthesia, Austin
                                  Alive          Dead        P value       Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, and Dept of Surgery, Austin
Preoperative                                                               Hospital and University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia;
  Homocysteine (␮mol/L)         9.3 Ϯ 4.0      9.8 Ϯ 4.0        —          #Department of Anaesthesia, St. Vincent’s Hospital, Mel-
    (n ϭ 387)
                                                                           bourne, Australia; Department of Surgery, University of Mel-
  Folate (mmol/L)             23.6 Ϯ 5.0     23.8 Ϯ 5.0         —
    (n ϭ 386)
                                                                           bourne, Melbourne, Australia; **Department of Epidemiology
Postoperative                                                              and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne,
  Homocysteine (␮mol/L)         9.9 Ϯ 6.0    10.6 Ϯ 4.0      0.8831a       Australia.
    (n ϭ 370)
  Folate (mmol/L)             24.3 Ϯ 6.0     25.5 Ϯ 6.0      0.2442a       AUTHORS’ CONTRIBUTIONS
    (n ϭ 370)                                                              KL helped design the study, conduct the study, analyze the
  Homocysteine Ն13.5            32 (12)         20 (18)      0.151         data, and write the manuscript and was responsible for archiv-
    (␮mol/L) (n ϭ 52)
                                                                           ing the study files. PSM helped design the study, conduct the
                                   No                                      study, analyze the data, and write the manuscript. MTVC
                               myocardial     Myocardial                   helped conduct the study and write the manuscript. AF helped
                               infarction     infarction     P value
                                                                           analyze the data and write the manuscript. MJP helped con-
Preoperative
  Homocysteine (␮mol/L)         9.2 Ϯ 4.1    11.9 Ϯ 4.1         —
                                                                           duct the study and write the manuscript. PP helped conduct
    (n ϭ 387)                                                              the study and write the manuscript. BSS helped conduct the
  Folate (mmol/L)             23.8 Ϯ 5.2     22.8 Ϯ 5.8         —          study and write the manuscript. EW helped analyze the data
    (n ϭ 386)                                                              and write the manuscript.
Postoperative
  Homocysteine (␮mol/L)         9.7 Ϯ 5.8    13.9 Ϯ 5.1       0.0447a      ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
    (n ϭ 370)                                                              Australia: P. Myles, Alfred Hospital; P. Peyton, Austin
  Folate (mmol/L)             24.6 Ϯ 6.2     25.0 Ϯ 5.7       0.0286a
                                                                           Health; R. Solly, Geelong Hospital; M. Paech, King Edward
    (n ϭ 370)
  Homocysteine Ն13.5            36 (11)         16 (46)     Ͻ0.0001
                                                                           Hospital and Royal Perth Hospital; K. Leslie, Royal Mel-
    (␮mol/L) (n ϭ 52)                                                      bourne Hospital; B. Silbert, St. Vincent’s Hospital Mel-
                                                                           bourne; R. Halliwell and M. Priestly, Westmead Hospital; A.
Data are presented as mean Ϯ standard deviation or number (percentage).
Hyperhomocysteinaemia was defined by the 90th percentile of the preopera-
                                                                           Jeffreys and S. Astegno, Western Hospital. New Zealand: Y.
tive homocysteine concentration (i.e., 13.5 ␮mol/L).                       Young and D. Campbell, Auckland City Hospital. Hong
a
  Adjusted for preoperative value.                                         Kong: M. Chan, Prince of Wales Hospital. Singapore: N.
                                                                           Chua, Tan Tock Seng Hospital.
postoperative MI and stroke was at the discretion of the
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Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, and Department of                 7. Chambers J, McGregor A, Jean-Marie J, Obeid O, Kooner J.
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Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Austra-                     undergoing carotid endarterectomy. Anesth Analg 2000;91:
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February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2                                                           www.anesthesia-analgesia.org          393

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Enigma trial

  • 1. Anesthesia Patient Safety Foundation Section Editor: Sorin J. Brull Nitrous Oxide and Long-Term Morbidity and Mortality in the ENIGMA Trial Kate Leslie, MBBS, MD, MEpi, FANZCA,* Paul S. Myles, MBBS, MD, MPH, FANZCA, FCARSCI, FRCA,† Matthew T. V. Chan, MBBS, FANZCA,‡ Andrew Forbes, MSc, PhD,§ Michael J. Paech, MBBS, DM, DRCOG, FRCA, FANZCA, FFPMANZCA, FRANZCOG (Hon),ʈ Philip Peyton, MBBS, MD, FANZCA,¶ Brendan S. Silbert, MBBS, FANZCA,# and Elizabeth Williamson, PhD** BACKGROUND: There is a plausible pathophysiologic rationale for increased long-term cardio- vascular morbidity and mortality in patients receiving significant exposure to nitrous oxide. However, this relationship has not been established clinically. The ENIGMA trial randomized 2050 patients having noncardiac surgery lasting more than 2 hours to nitrous oxide– based or nitrous oxide–free anesthesia. We conducted a follow-up study of the ENIGMA patients to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular events in the longer term. METHODS: The trial case report forms and medical records of all study patients were reviewed. The date and cause of death and occurrence of myocardial infarction or stroke were recorded. A telephone interview was then conducted with all surviving patients. The primary endpoint of the study was survival. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 3.5 (range: 0 to 5.7) years. Three hundred eighty patients (19%) had died since the index surgery, 91 (4.5%) were recorded as having myocardial infarction, and 44 (2.2%) had a stroke during the entire follow-up period. Nitrous oxide did not significantly increase the risk of death [hazard ratio ϭ 0.98 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.80 to 1.20; P ϭ 0.82)]. The adjusted odds ratio for myocardial infarction in patients administered nitrous oxide was 1.59 (95% CI: 1.01 to 2.51; P ϭ 0.04) and for stroke was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.55 to 1.87; P ϭ 0.97). CONCLUSIONS: The administration of nitrous oxide was associated with increased long-term risk of myocardial infarction, but not of death or stroke in patients enrolled in the ENIGMA trial. The exact relationship between nitrous oxide administration and serious long-term adverse outcomes will require confirmation by an appropriately designed large randomized controlled trial. (Anesth Analg 2011;112:387–93) T here is a plausible pathophysiologic rationale for increased long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in patients receiving significant exposure to nitrous oxide.1,2 Nitrous oxide oxidizes the cobalt atom established. As the importance of anesthetic manage- ment to long-term outcomes has been questioned,10 further exploration of this issue is warranted. The ENIGMA trial randomized 2050 patients having on vitamin B12, inactivating methionine synthase and caus- noncardiac surgery lasting more than 2 hours to nitrous ing a dose-dependent increase in plasma homocysteine oxide– based or nitrous oxide–free anesthesia.11 Within 30 concentrations for days after surgery.3–5 Acutely increased days of surgery, 16 patients had died (9 in the nitrous oxide plasma homocysteine concentrations impair endothelial group and 3 in the nitrous oxide–free group; P ϭ 0.10). function,6 induce oxidative stress7 and potentially destabi- Myocardial infarction (MI) was confirmed by electrocardio- lize coronary artery plaques.8 Furthermore, several studies graphic changes and cardiac enzyme increase in 13 patients reported increased incidences of myocardial ischemia in the nitrous oxide group, and in 7 patients in the nitrous within 48 hours9 and cardiovascular events within 30 days5 oxide–free group (P ϭ 0.20). Furthermore, 30 patients in the in patients receiving nitrous oxide. However, a relationship nitrous oxide group and 10 patients in the nitrous oxide– between nitrous oxide administration and long-term free group recorded electrocardiographic changes or car- cardiovascular morbidity and mortality has not been diac enzyme increase suggestive of MI (P ϭ 0.002).12 Finally, postoperative plasma homocysteine concentrations were increased in patients receiving nitrous oxide, empha- Authors’ affiliations are listed at the end of the article. sizing the pathophysiologic rationale for a relationship Accepted for publication August 5, 2010. between nitrous oxide and MI.5,13 Together these findings This study was supported by a project grant from the Australian and New support further study of this issue. Zealand College of Anaesthetists and a direct grant for research from the Chinese University of Hong Kong (project #2041315). The ENIGMA Trial We therefore conducted a follow-up study of the was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council of ENIGMA patients. We tested the hypothesis that patients Australia (236956). exposed to nitrous oxide during noncardiac surgery would Address correspondence to Kate Leslie, MBBS, MD, MEpi, FANZCA, Parkville, Victoria, 3050, Australia. Address e-mail to kate.leslie@mh.org.au. be at greater risk of death, MI, and stroke in subsequent Copyright © 2011 International Anesthesia Research Society years than would patients whose indexed anesthetic did DOI: 10.1213/ANE.0b013e3181f7e2c4 not include nitrous oxide. February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2 www.anesthesia-analgesia.org 387
  • 2. ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up METHODS Survival rates were computed for each category of each In the original ENIGMA trial, 2050 surgical patients aged predictor and are expressed as deaths per 1000 person- 18 years or older were randomized to 70% nitrous oxide in years. Univariate Cox proportional hazard models were 30% oxygen or 80% oxygen in 20% nitrogen. In all other used to define hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals respects, perioperative care was at the discretion of the (CIs). The multivariable Cox proportional hazard models anesthesiologists. The primary end point was duration of were constructed as follows: preoperative variables (age, hospital stay. Major complications were assessed in hospi- gender, weight, ASA physical status, history of coronary tal and at a 30-day medical record review and telephone artery disease, anemia, emergency surgery, and abdominal interview.11 A subset of patients consented to blood sam- surgery) were adjusted for each other. Nitrous oxide, pling for plasma homocysteine and folate assays preopera- propofol maintenance, and bispectral index monitoring tively and on the first postoperative day.5 were adjusted for each other and preoperative variables. Volatile anesthetic administration Ͻ0.75 MAC equivalents (the median MAC value in patients receiving volatile Protocol anesthetic maintenance) and duration of anesthesia were For the current study, ethics committee approval was adjusted for each other, preoperative variables, nitrous obtained at each participating site. Patient consent had been oxide, and bispectral index monitoring (propofol mainte- obtained for the original study, and patients could refuse nance was not included because the 267 patients who participation in the present study at the time of follow-up, received propofol for maintenance had missing data for so a second written consent process was waived by all volatile anesthetic administration, causing this variable to centers. The trial case report forms and medical records of be dropped from the model). This approach was taken to all study patients were reviewed for the study endpoints. minimize bias.14 Assessment of proportionality of hazard The date and cause of death or the occurrence of MI or functions was performed. stroke were recorded. This was followed by a structured In many cases, the date of MI or stroke was imprecise telephone interview with all surviving patients. Verbal (i.e., just the year of the event) or was missing, so logistic consent was obtained before patients were questioned regression was used to compute odds ratios and 95% CIs about the occurrence of MI and stroke since the indexed for MI and stroke during the follow-up period. The multi- surgery. If the patient had died, the patient’s relatives or variable models were constructed as above. The preplanned doctors were interviewed, after verbal consent had been assessment of the interaction of each variable with nitrous obtained, using the same questionnaire. At least 3 attempts oxide was performed using interaction terms in the regression were made to contact patients with the contact details on models. We used the 90th percentile of the preoperative the original case report form and the hospitals’ information homocysteine concentration of patients in whom preoperative management systems. If these attempts failed, at least 3 homocysteine concentration was measured (single measure- attempts were made to contact the patients’ relatives, ment per patient) to define postoperative hyperhomocysteine- doctors, or both. mia.15 No further blood sampling was undertaken as part of The primary endpoint of the study was survival, which this follow-up study. Data were compared using paired t-tests was recorded as the time to the last confirmed contact with or ␹2 tests as appropriate. the patient or the time of death. Secondary endpoints were To assess the effects of missing follow-up data, we MI and stroke, defined by (1) a verbal report by the patient undertook two sets of sensitivity analyses. Multiple impu- or his or her relatives or doctors or (2) a note in the patient’s tation based on the multivariate normal distribution was medical record. MI was defined as a typical increase and performed,16 assuming that the missing stroke and MI decline in cardiac enzymes (troponin or creatine kinase–MB outcomes were missing at random. For the survival analy- fraction) with at least one of the following: typical ischemic ses, inverse probability-of-censoring weights were esti- symptoms, new Q-wave or ST-segment electrocardio- mated using logistic models, and the Cox models were graphic changes, or coronary intervention, or pathologic refitted with these weights.14 Results were unchanged findings of MI. Stroke was defined as new neurologic under both sensitivity analyses. deficit persisting for 24 hours or longer, confirmed by Analyses were conducted using Stata 10.0 (Stata Corpo- assessment by a neurologist or computed tomography or ration, College Station, TX, USA). All P values are two- magnetic resonance imaging. sided, and P Ͻ 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Data Analysis RESULTS The following preoperative and intraoperative characteris- Recruitment to the ENIGMA trial occurred between April tics were chosen prospectively as predictors in the models: 2003 and November 2004, and 2012 patients were included age, gender, weight, ASA physical status, history of coro- in the intention-to-treat analysis. Long-term follow-up oc- nary artery disease, anemia, emergency surgery, abdominal curred between January 2007 and November 2008, with a surgery, propofol maintenance, volatile anesthetic admin- median follow-up of 3.5 (range: 0 to 5.7) years. No attempt istration, nitrous oxide use, bispectral index monitoring, was made to follow-up 227 of the patients who had and duration of anesthesia. Median volatile anesthetic survived 30 days because of a lack of resources at the concentrations for the case were recorded by the anesthe- recruiting centers; 113 patients who had survived 30 days siologist on the case report form and were converted to could not be contacted when follow-up was attempted; and minimum alveolar concentration (MAC) equivalents before 2 patients declined further participation. The follow-up analysis. time of all of these patients was recorded as 30 days; they 388 www.anesthesia-analgesia.org ANESTHESIA & ANALGESIA
  • 3. Figure 1. Flow chart for inclusion of ENIGMA Trial patients in this long-term follow-up study (N2O ϭ nitrous oxide). were coded as alive, and the occurrence of MI and stroke by Nitrous oxide did not increase the risk of stroke (odds 30 days was used in the analyses. Follow-up data were ratio ϭ 1.01 (95% CI: 0.55 to 1.87; P ϭ 0.97). Increasing age obtained for 1660 (83%) of study patients (Fig. 1). was the only significant predictor of stroke in a multivari- Three hundred eighty patients (19%) had died since the able model that included the same predictors used in the indexed surgery (12 before 30 days and 368 subsequently). survival and MI analyses (results not shown). The adjusted The causes of death were cancer (76%), MI (5%), stroke odds ratio was largely unaffected after multiple imputation (1%), other cardiovascular death (2%), respiratory failure for missing data (1.01 [95% CI: 0.55 to 1.87; P ϭ 0.98]). (1%), sepsis (6%), other causes (6%), and unknown (3%). Postoperative plasma homocysteine and folate con- Interviews therefore were completed in 1290 (65%) pa- centrations were significantly increased in comparison tients. Ninety-one patients (4.5%) were recorded as having with preoperative values in patients who had an MI an MI, and 44 patients (2.2%) were recorded as having a (Table 3). In addition, a larger proportion of patients stroke during the entire follow-up period. with MI recorded postoperative hyperhomocysteinemia. Nitrous oxide did not increase the risk of death (hazard There were no differences found between surviving and ratio ϭ 0.98; 95% CI: 0.80 to 1.20; P ϭ 0.82) (Table 1). deceased patients with respect to plasma homocysteine Increasing age, male gender, abdominal surgery, propofol and folate concentrations. maintenance, MAC equivalents Ͻ0.75, and longer duration of anesthesia were significant predictors of death. There DISCUSSION was a significant interaction between nitrous oxide admin- Nitrous oxide was associated with a marginal increase in istration and abdominal surgery (overall P ϭ 0.028). The the long-term risk of MI, but not of death or stroke in the hazard ratio for death after the use of nitrous oxide in ENIGMA patients. The ENIGMA trial recruited relatively abdominal surgery was 1.02 (95% CI: 0.55 to 1.90; P ϭ 0.95), unselected patients with low 30-day and long-term event and in nonabdominal surgery, it was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.43 to rates, and therefore may have been underpowered to 0.96; P ϭ 0.03) (i.e., there was a 36% reduction in the risk of confidently confirm a “true” increased risk of MI in patients mortality among nonabdominal surgery patients having receiving nitrous oxide.17 A clinically important increase or nitrous oxide–free anesthesia, but no effect was observed in decrease in the risk of these major outcomes is still possible patients having abdominal surgery). and therefore should be explored. Consequently, we are The adjusted odds ratio for MI in patients receiving nitrous conducting a randomized trial of nitrous oxide– based oxide was 1.59 (95% CI: 1.01 to 2.51; P ϭ 0.04) (Table 2). In versus nitrous oxide–free anesthesia in 7000 noncardiac addition, increasing age, higher ASA physical status, known surgery patients who have or are at risk of ischemic heart coronary artery disease, anemia, and increasing duration of disease (the ENIGMA–II trial; www.enigma2.org.au).12 anesthesia were significant predictors of MI. There were no Our long-term follow-up results are consistent with the significant interactions among predictors. The adjusted odds 30-day incidences of MI (0.5%) and stroke (0.1%) in ratio was largely unaffected after multiple imputation for ENIGMA patients. These patients were not selected on the missing data (1.56 [95% CI: 0.99 to 2.46; P ϭ 0.05]). basis of cardiovascular risk factors: only 11% of the patients February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2 www.anesthesia-analgesia.org 389
  • 4. ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up Table 1. Hazard Ratios for Death in All Patients (n ‫)2102 ؍‬ Death rate Univariate Multivariate Predictor (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value Age (years)a Ͻ49 50 (40–62) 49–64 63 (53–76) 1.26 (0.95–1.66) 1.06 (0.80–1.41) Ն65 91 (78–105) 1.79 (1.39–2.32) Ͻ0.0001 1.45 (1.09–1.91) 0.01 Sexa Male 76 (67–87) Female 60 (51–70) 0.78 (0.64–0.96) 0.02 0.77 (0.62–0.95) 0.02 Weight (kg)a Ͻ60 82 (70–96) 61–74 66 (55–79) 0.80 (0.63–1.01) 0.83 (0.65–1.06) Ն75 58 (48–70) 0.71 (0.55–0.90) 0.02 0.83 (0.64–1.08) 0.23 ASA physical statusa 1–2 63 (56–72) 3–4 84 (70–100) 1.31 (1.06–1.63) 0.01 1.12 (0.87–1.45) 0.36 Coronary artery diseasea No 66 (59–74) Yes 87 (67–113) 1.31 (0.99–1.74) 0.06 1.10 (0.80–1.53) 0.55 Anemiaa No 64 (57–72) Yes 104 (82–133) 1.61 (1.23–2.10) 0.0005 1.22 (0.92–1.63) 0.16 Emergency surgerya No 67 (61–75) Yes 90 (58–140) 1.31 (0.83–2.05) 0.24 1.27 (0.80–2.01) 0.31 Abdominal surgerya No 41 (34–50) Yes 90 (80–102) 2.15 (1.71–2.70) Ͻ0.0001 2.04 (1.60–2.59) Ͻ0.0001 BIS monitoringb No 62 (55–70) Yes 93 (77–112) 1.47 (1.18–1.84) 0.001 1.20 (0.95–1.51) 0.13 Nitrous oxideb No 72 (63–83) Yes 65 (56–75) 0.91 (0.74–1.11) 0.34 0.98 (0.80–1.20) 0.82 Propofol maintenanceb No 63 (56–71) Yes 102 (82–127) 1.59 (1.24–2.03) Ͻ0.0001 1.60 (1.23–2.07) 0.0004 MAC equivalentsc Ն0.75 45 (37–55) Ͻ0.75 80 (70–92) 1.77 (1.39–2.24) Ͻ0.0001 1.59 (1.22–2.08) 0.0007 Duration of anesthesia (hours)c Ͻ2.5 37 (28–47) 2.5–3.9 63 (53–75) 1.73 (1.26–2.36) 1.43 (1.01–2.02) Ն4.0 97 (86–114) 2.65 (1.97–3.57) Ͻ0.0001 2.03 (1.44–2.87) 0.0001 CI ϭ confidence interval; HR ϭ hazard ratio (the hazard in the exposed group divided by the hazard in the unexposed group, in which hazard is the incidence rate of an event); ASA ϭ American Society of Anesthesiologists; BIS ϭ bispectral index; MAC ϭ minimum alveolar concentration. a Adjusted for each other. b Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnote a. c Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnotes a and b except for propofol maintenance (267 missing values for MAC equivalents). reported a history of coronary artery disease, and only 4% plasma homocysteine concentrations)21–23 and omission of reported a history of stroke. Our results are also consistent nitrous oxide11 are not currently convincingly proven to with the incidence of MI and stroke in unselected surgical reduce the risk of MI. The effects of both of these strategies patients,18,19 rather than those incidences that are typical in await confirmation with large randomized trials.12,22 patients at higher risk.20 Nitrous oxide may adversely affect outcomes through Hyperhomocysteinemia was present in 11% of patients mechanisms other than hyperhomocysteinemia. This in- without MI and 46% with MI in this long-term follow-up cludes immunosuppression, impairment of erythrocyte study. Laboratory studies have suggested that homocys- production, promotion of pulmonary atelectasis, and the teine is both atherogenic and thrombogenic. Epidemiologi- need to use low inspired oxygen concentrations.1,2 Indeed, cal, dietary, and genetic studies support higher incidences ENIGMA patients had an increased risk of wound infec- of cardiac events in patients with hyperhomocysteinemia.15 tion, fever, and pulmonary complications during the first However, folate supplementation (which normalizes 30 postoperative days.11 However, our follow-up study did 390 www.anesthesia-analgesia.org ANESTHESIA & ANALGESIA
  • 5. Table 2. Odds Ratios for Myocardial Infarction in All Patients (n ‫)2102 ؍‬ Univariate Multivariate Predictor n (%) OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value Age (years)a Ͻ49 7 (1) 49–64 27 (4) 4.26 (1.84–9.84) 3.25 (1.38–7.67) Ն65 57 (9) 9.41 (4.26–20.18) Ͻ0.0001 4.47 (1.93–10.35) 0.002 Sexa Male 57 (5) Female 34 (4) 0.64 (0.42–0.99) 0.05 0.73 (0.46–1.16) 0.19 Weight (kg)a Ͻ60 36 (6) 61–74 35 (5) 0.90 (0.56–1.45) 0.97 (0.58–1.60) Ն75 20 (3) 0.50 (0.28–0.87) 0.04 0.56 (0.31–1.03) 0.13 ASA physical statusa 1–2 31 (2) 3–4 60 (12) 6.67 (4.27–10.43) Ͻ0.0001 3.50 (2.08–5.86) Ͻ0.0001 Coronary artery diseasea No 57 (3) Yes 34 (15) 5.47 (3.48–8.58) Ͻ0.0001 1.71 (1.01–2.92) 0.048 Anemiaa No 67 (4) Yes 24 (10) 2.98 (1.83–4.86) Ͻ0.0001 1.85 (1.06–3.25) 0.03 Emergency surgerya No 84 (4) Yes 7 (9) 2.08 (0.93–4.65) 0.08 1.02 (0.42–2.50) 0.96 Abdominal surgerya No 41 (5) Yes 50 (4) 0.93 (0.61–1.42) 0.74 0.78 (0.49–1.26) 0.31 BIS monitoringb No 69 (4) Yes 22 (5) 1.22 (0.75–2.00) 0.42 1.16 (0.68–1.97) 0.58 Nitrous oxideb No 37 (4) Yes 54 (5) 1.46 (0.95–2.24) 0.08 1.59 (1.01–2.51) 0.04 Propofol maintenanceb No 98 (4) Yes 13 (5) 1.09 (0.60–2.00) 0.77 1.36 (0.71–2.59) 0.35 MAC equivalentsc Ն0.75 29 (3) Ͻ0.75 49 (6) 1.75 (1.10–2.90) 0.02 0.84 (0.48–1.46) 0.53 Duration of anesthesia (hours)c Ͻ2.5 19 (3) 2.5–3.9 23 (3) 1.05 (0.57–1.95) 0.81 (0.40–1.63) Ն4.0 49 (7) 2.36 (1.38–4.06) 0.0006 1.93 (1.00–3.72) 0.009 OR ϭ odds ratio (the odds of an event in the exposed group divided by the odds of an event in the unexposed group); CI ϭ confidence interval; ASA ϭ American Society of Anesthesiologists; BIS ϭ bispectral index; MAC ϭ minimum alveolar concentration. a Adjusted for each other. b Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnote a. c Adjusted for each other and all predictors identified by footnotes a and b except for propofol maintenance (267 missing values for MAC equivalents). not provide any evidence to support a concern that these of serious comorbidities and intolerance of the hemodynamic consequences of nitrous oxide use increase long-term mor- effects of volatile anesthetics in these patients. tality in noncardiac surgery patients. A potential limitation of the ENIGMA trial was that In this follow-up study, various baseline characteristics inspired oxygen concentrations were not the same in the 2 were identified as independent predictors of adverse out- groups (30% in the nitrous oxide– based group and 80% in comes. Many of these have been reported, including in- the nitrous oxide–free group). The study was designed that creasing age,24 –26 increasing ASA physical status way because these gaseous combinations reflected routine score,24,26,27 and longer duration of surgery.25 Increased mor- practice and allowed patients to take advantage of all the tality among abdominal surgery patients may reflect cancer reported benefits of the omission of nitrous oxide (includ- treatment, although we cannot confirm this because we did ing high inspired oxygen concentration).11 In addition, the not record malignancy status in this study. Similarly, the design allowed us to examine the data for an independent administration of lower volatile anesthetic concentrations to effect of oxygen, which we did not find.11 A further patients who subsequently died probably reflects the presence limitation of the follow-up study was that surveillance for February 2011 • Volume 112 • Number 2 www.anesthesia-analgesia.org 391
  • 6. ENIGMA Long-Term Follow-Up Western Australia, Perth, Australia, and Department of Anaes- Table 3. Plasma Homocysteine and thesia and Pain Medicine, King Edward Memorial Hospital for Folate Concentrations Women, Perth, Australia; ¶Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Alive Dead P value Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, and Dept of Surgery, Austin Preoperative Hospital and University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Homocysteine (␮mol/L) 9.3 Ϯ 4.0 9.8 Ϯ 4.0 — #Department of Anaesthesia, St. Vincent’s Hospital, Mel- (n ϭ 387) bourne, Australia; Department of Surgery, University of Mel- Folate (mmol/L) 23.6 Ϯ 5.0 23.8 Ϯ 5.0 — (n ϭ 386) bourne, Melbourne, Australia; **Department of Epidemiology Postoperative and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Homocysteine (␮mol/L) 9.9 Ϯ 6.0 10.6 Ϯ 4.0 0.8831a Australia. (n ϭ 370) Folate (mmol/L) 24.3 Ϯ 6.0 25.5 Ϯ 6.0 0.2442a AUTHORS’ CONTRIBUTIONS (n ϭ 370) KL helped design the study, conduct the study, analyze the Homocysteine Ն13.5 32 (12) 20 (18) 0.151 data, and write the manuscript and was responsible for archiv- (␮mol/L) (n ϭ 52) ing the study files. PSM helped design the study, conduct the No study, analyze the data, and write the manuscript. MTVC myocardial Myocardial helped conduct the study and write the manuscript. AF helped infarction infarction P value analyze the data and write the manuscript. MJP helped con- Preoperative Homocysteine (␮mol/L) 9.2 Ϯ 4.1 11.9 Ϯ 4.1 — duct the study and write the manuscript. PP helped conduct (n ϭ 387) the study and write the manuscript. BSS helped conduct the Folate (mmol/L) 23.8 Ϯ 5.2 22.8 Ϯ 5.8 — study and write the manuscript. EW helped analyze the data (n ϭ 386) and write the manuscript. Postoperative Homocysteine (␮mol/L) 9.7 Ϯ 5.8 13.9 Ϯ 5.1 0.0447a ACKNOWLEDGMENTS (n ϭ 370) Australia: P. Myles, Alfred Hospital; P. Peyton, Austin Folate (mmol/L) 24.6 Ϯ 6.2 25.0 Ϯ 5.7 0.0286a Health; R. Solly, Geelong Hospital; M. Paech, King Edward (n ϭ 370) Homocysteine Ն13.5 36 (11) 16 (46) Ͻ0.0001 Hospital and Royal Perth Hospital; K. Leslie, Royal Mel- (␮mol/L) (n ϭ 52) bourne Hospital; B. Silbert, St. Vincent’s Hospital Mel- bourne; R. Halliwell and M. Priestly, Westmead Hospital; A. Data are presented as mean Ϯ standard deviation or number (percentage). Hyperhomocysteinaemia was defined by the 90th percentile of the preopera- Jeffreys and S. Astegno, Western Hospital. New Zealand: Y. tive homocysteine concentration (i.e., 13.5 ␮mol/L). Young and D. Campbell, Auckland City Hospital. Hong a Adjusted for preoperative value. Kong: M. Chan, Prince of Wales Hospital. Singapore: N. Chua, Tan Tock Seng Hospital. postoperative MI and stroke was at the discretion of the REFERENCES patients’ doctors, and we relied on the review of medical 1. Myles P, Leslie K, Silbert B, Paech M, Peyton P. 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