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Prevention of crime and violence:
evidence based crime prevention – a
public health imperative
John Middleton
Vice President, UK Faculty of Public Health
2nd
International conference on Law Enforcement
and Health, Amsterdam , October 6th
-8th
2014
• Experience of 18 years working with the ‘Safer
Sandwell’ crime and disorder partnership
• What works ? And why does it matter
• The Campbell collaboration
• West Midlands Crimegrip ®
• Knowledge transfer in the Collaboration for
applied health research (CLARHC)
• What should the police expect form health ?
• And what should health expect from the
police?
Research evidence
• 1 Meta-analysis/ systematic reviews
• 2a Single randomised, controlled trial
• 2b Controlled studies
• 3 Observational studies
• 4 Informed opinions
Why evidence based policy?
Things we do can do harm as well as good
Campbell collaboration
International review of
best available research
evidence on most
effective social and
educational interventions
to prevent crime and
improve educational,
social and health
outcomes
www.campbellcollaborationwww.campbellcollaboration..
orgorg
West Midlands Crimegrip
• Early years interventions
• Mild to moderate behaviour disturbance in
children
• Peer education and interactive education
programmes of drugs education
• Harm reduction approaches to drug treatment
and rehabilitation
• Cognitive behavioural approaches to offender
rehabilitation
• Streetlighting
• CCTV
• Restorative justice
• Alcohol brief interventions
• Scared straight
®
00 1010 2020 3030 4040 5050 6060 7070
Did homework at age 15Did homework at age 15
In program for mental impairmentIn program for mental impairment
IQ at 5 90 or moreIQ at 5 90 or more
9th %ile or better in school at 149th %ile or better in school at 14
Average or better literacy at 19Average or better literacy at 19
Data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Bars represent percentage in each of theData from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Bars represent percentage in each of the
two groups. The difference in major educational performance findings between program andtwo groups. The difference in major educational performance findings between program and
non-program children is significant.non-program children is significant.
ProgramProgram No programNo program
00 2020 4040 6060 8080
5 or more arrests by age 275 or more arrests by age 27
Soc.Services ever in previous 10 yearsSoc.Services ever in previous 10 years
High school graduateHigh school graduate
Home owner at age 27Home owner at age 27
$2000 or more monthly pay$2000 or more monthly pay
Further data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Benefits from the programFurther data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Benefits from the program
continue to be seen in adulthood. Bars represent percentages of each of the groups Thecontinue to be seen in adulthood. Bars represent percentages of each of the groups The
difference between program and non-program children is significant.difference between program and non-program children is significant.
ProgramProgram No programNo program
In education, Highscope:
‘If it was a drug, it would be
unethical not to use it’
Parenting interventions for mild to moderate behaviour disturbance
Crimegrip® reports:
Less clear evidence
• Youth services interventions
Crimegrip® report: Youth programmesCrimegrip® report: Youth programmes
Big brother, big sister; Quantum opportunities programme
The level of commitment and caring nature of staff on programmes.
Together with the degree of personal contact and skill at relating to
adolescents.
• Programmes incorporating more elements of the youth development
framework show more positive outcomes
Young people should be involved in programme design from idea
generation to implementation
• The programme activities should have a creative output. For
example, a performance, team record or newspaper.
• Crucial dimensions of programmes are the quality of adult-
adolescent relationships, family involvement and skill development.
• Youth development programmes should be supported by staff
training, certification programmes, and regional professional
development centres.
Crimegrip® report: youth programmes
The longer young people participate in programmes, and
the greater the duration of the programmes themselves,
the better the outcome.
• Let the young people drive the pace and activities. Do not
attempt to change the “mentee”.
• Young people are seen as resources to be developed, not
as problems to be managed
• Programmes should create family-like environments in
which adolescents feel safe and contain facilities which
are perceived as “places of hope”.
• Programmes should have opportunities for active
participation and set adolescents real challenges
Peer education role
Drugs education programmes (Tobler and Stratton
review )
Young people are seen as
resources to be
developed, not as
problems to be managed
Programmes should have
opportunities for active
participation and set
adolescents real
challenges
Peer education role
West Midlands Crimegrip®
No: ‘Scared straight’
No: didactic drugs education lectures in
schools by uniformed staff eg. ‘DARE’
No: driver education for under 17s
No: CCTV- except for car parks!
Randomized trials of ‘Scared Straight’ programmes
(Petrosino et al 2002)
Trial Change in criminal
behaviour
Michigan 1967 26 % increase
Greater Egypt 1979 5 % increase
Yarborough 1979 1 % increase
Orchowsky 1981 2 % increase
Vreeland 1981 11 % increase
Finckenauer 1982 30 % increase
Lewis 1983 14 % increase
The Observer 20th
June
2010
Marsch Addiction 1997
Alcohol –what works?
• Good information systems
• Shared intelligence applied to licensing decisions
Alcohol brief interventions
Random static roadside breath testing
Combined interventions of the Holder Community Trial namely
Responsible beverage training for bar staff
Restriction on under age sales
School and community alcohol education programmes
Drink driving controls
Point of sale and labelling alcohol information
Increasing real price of alcohol
Minimum unit price of alcohol
National restrictions on watershed advertising and alcohol sponsorship
National or international alcohol information labelling
North West Regional Public
Health Observatory
Report July 2011
All crimes alcohol
Woundings alcohol
related
Violence
9pm-2 am
Sandwell last drink survey 2013
UK Responsibility deal has
failed to deliver - control of
advertising and marketing to
young people
Been used to delay regulatory
and fiscal actions - increasing
real price of alcohol
Bringing in minimum unit price
as has been done now in British
Columbia, Saskatchewan and
soon in South Africa
‘Evidence-based crime reduction’
further actions
Home visiting expansion and support for young parents (the
Family Nurse Partnership )
Environmental designing out crime and the Sandwell Healthy
urban Development Unit
20 mph zones
Domestic violence strategy and investment
Shared protocols for domestic violence, drug and alcohol and
children’s safeguarding
Multiagency safeguarding hub
‘Hotspots policing’- ‘tasking’?
http://www.local.gov.uk/web/guest/health/-/journal_content/56/10171/351
1175/ARTICLE-TEMPLATE
Neighbourhood policing :
Real time information
Neighbourhood tasking
Prompt response to
Anti- social behaviour
and
Environmental crime
Birmingham /Warwick Collaboration for
Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care
Knowledge management strand-getting research
into practice
‘Evidence-based crime reduction’ : next steps
Reactivate Crimegrip® through knowledge management
strand of CLARHC?
Create a crime, social welfare and education, ‘healthy
public policy’ trials unit?
Sandwell test for multiagency safeguarding hub
Sandwell commitment to high quality trial on
universal parenting offer
Sandwell commitment to domestic violence strategy
with arrest, victim and perpetrator services
Prof Cynthia Lum ,
George Mason
University, Virginia
Crime
Evidence
based
policing
matrix
http://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=R11zFPYP7fg&feature=player_embedded
Supt Howard Veigas,
Head of Community
Safety Derbyshire
police
North west Public
Health Observatory,
Liverpool John
Moores University.
Mark Bellis et al
Thank you
John Middleton
vppolicy@fph.org.uk
Acknowledgements , declaraation of interests
• John Middleton has been supported in this work by grants from the West
Midlands Branch of the Home Office 2001-2005; the National Institute of
Health Research through the Collaboration for Leadership in Applied
Health Research and Care (CLARHC) 2008-2014, and through the funding
and support of Sandwell primary care trust, Sandwell Metropolitan
Borough Council and West Midlands Police in Safer Sandwell
Partnership.
• The views expressed are his own.
• Thanks to Prof Richard Lilford, Sir Iain Chalmers, Gavin Butler formerly
WM Home Office and all those involved in Crimegrip, CLARHC and the
Safer Sandwell Partnership
Appendix
References, alcohol related slides and other
support material for interest
Crimegrip® review alcohol and brief interventions
i) Wilk A, Jenson N, Havighurst, T.
"Meta-analysis of Randomised Control Trails
Addressing Brief Interventions in Heavy Alcohol Drinkers."
Journal of General Internal Medicine 1997; 12(5) 274-83.
ii) Poikolainen K.
"Effectiveness of Brief Interventions to Reduce
Alcohol Intake in Primary Care Populations;
A Meta-analysis" Preventive medicine 1999; 28: 503-9
iii) Beich A, Thorsen T, Rollnick S.
"Screening in Brief Intervention Trials Targeting Excessive
Drinkers in General Practice; Systematic Review and
Metaanalysis” BMJ 2003; 327
North West Regional Public
Health Observatory
Report July 2011
All crimes alcohol
Woundings alcohol
related
Violence
9pm-2 am
Sandwell last drink survey 2013
Crimegrip® review: Alcohol and brief interventions- ConclusionCrimegrip® review: Alcohol and brief interventions- Conclusion
•Brief interventions are an effective initiative to reduce alcohol misuse
•BIs should be more widely available at GP surgeries, hospitals (esp A&E).
•The evidence for very brief interventions is weak.
•The potential for delivery of BI's in other settings (eg the workplace)
should be explored,
•as should the precise characteristics and elements of the most successful
BI's.
•There is no direct evidence relating brief interventions to crime reduction.
•It remains intuitive that the earlier treatment of individuals with alcohol
problems will reduce crime and needs to be further tested,
•for example in properly constructed studies of alcohol arrest referral
schemes,
•and in setting up long term follow up for brief intervention schemes in
primary care.
October 27th 2006 Birmingham University
Evidence based criminology: J Middleton
Holder et al: Community trials
Responsible beverage training
Restricted outlets and sales to minors
Community and schools education
programmes
Drink driving controls
Labelling and point of sale information
UK Responsibility deal has
failed to deliver - control of
advertising and marketing to
young people
Been used to delay regulatory
and fiscal actions - increasing
real price of alcohol
Bringing in minimum unit price
as has been done now in British
Columbia, Saskatchewan and
soon in South Africa

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141007middletonj evidence based crime prevention vr 2

  • 1. Prevention of crime and violence: evidence based crime prevention – a public health imperative John Middleton Vice President, UK Faculty of Public Health 2nd International conference on Law Enforcement and Health, Amsterdam , October 6th -8th 2014
  • 2. • Experience of 18 years working with the ‘Safer Sandwell’ crime and disorder partnership • What works ? And why does it matter • The Campbell collaboration • West Midlands Crimegrip ® • Knowledge transfer in the Collaboration for applied health research (CLARHC) • What should the police expect form health ? • And what should health expect from the police?
  • 3.
  • 4. Research evidence • 1 Meta-analysis/ systematic reviews • 2a Single randomised, controlled trial • 2b Controlled studies • 3 Observational studies • 4 Informed opinions
  • 5. Why evidence based policy? Things we do can do harm as well as good
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Campbell collaboration International review of best available research evidence on most effective social and educational interventions to prevent crime and improve educational, social and health outcomes www.campbellcollaborationwww.campbellcollaboration.. orgorg
  • 10. West Midlands Crimegrip • Early years interventions • Mild to moderate behaviour disturbance in children • Peer education and interactive education programmes of drugs education • Harm reduction approaches to drug treatment and rehabilitation • Cognitive behavioural approaches to offender rehabilitation • Streetlighting • CCTV • Restorative justice • Alcohol brief interventions • Scared straight ®
  • 11.
  • 12. 00 1010 2020 3030 4040 5050 6060 7070 Did homework at age 15Did homework at age 15 In program for mental impairmentIn program for mental impairment IQ at 5 90 or moreIQ at 5 90 or more 9th %ile or better in school at 149th %ile or better in school at 14 Average or better literacy at 19Average or better literacy at 19 Data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Bars represent percentage in each of theData from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Bars represent percentage in each of the two groups. The difference in major educational performance findings between program andtwo groups. The difference in major educational performance findings between program and non-program children is significant.non-program children is significant. ProgramProgram No programNo program
  • 13. 00 2020 4040 6060 8080 5 or more arrests by age 275 or more arrests by age 27 Soc.Services ever in previous 10 yearsSoc.Services ever in previous 10 years High school graduateHigh school graduate Home owner at age 27Home owner at age 27 $2000 or more monthly pay$2000 or more monthly pay Further data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Benefits from the programFurther data from the High/Scope Perry preschool project. Benefits from the program continue to be seen in adulthood. Bars represent percentages of each of the groups Thecontinue to be seen in adulthood. Bars represent percentages of each of the groups The difference between program and non-program children is significant.difference between program and non-program children is significant. ProgramProgram No programNo program
  • 14. In education, Highscope: ‘If it was a drug, it would be unethical not to use it’
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Parenting interventions for mild to moderate behaviour disturbance
  • 18.
  • 19. Crimegrip® reports: Less clear evidence • Youth services interventions
  • 20. Crimegrip® report: Youth programmesCrimegrip® report: Youth programmes Big brother, big sister; Quantum opportunities programme The level of commitment and caring nature of staff on programmes. Together with the degree of personal contact and skill at relating to adolescents. • Programmes incorporating more elements of the youth development framework show more positive outcomes Young people should be involved in programme design from idea generation to implementation • The programme activities should have a creative output. For example, a performance, team record or newspaper. • Crucial dimensions of programmes are the quality of adult- adolescent relationships, family involvement and skill development. • Youth development programmes should be supported by staff training, certification programmes, and regional professional development centres.
  • 21. Crimegrip® report: youth programmes The longer young people participate in programmes, and the greater the duration of the programmes themselves, the better the outcome. • Let the young people drive the pace and activities. Do not attempt to change the “mentee”. • Young people are seen as resources to be developed, not as problems to be managed • Programmes should create family-like environments in which adolescents feel safe and contain facilities which are perceived as “places of hope”. • Programmes should have opportunities for active participation and set adolescents real challenges Peer education role
  • 22. Drugs education programmes (Tobler and Stratton review ) Young people are seen as resources to be developed, not as problems to be managed Programmes should have opportunities for active participation and set adolescents real challenges Peer education role
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. West Midlands Crimegrip® No: ‘Scared straight’ No: didactic drugs education lectures in schools by uniformed staff eg. ‘DARE’ No: driver education for under 17s No: CCTV- except for car parks!
  • 26.
  • 27. Randomized trials of ‘Scared Straight’ programmes (Petrosino et al 2002) Trial Change in criminal behaviour Michigan 1967 26 % increase Greater Egypt 1979 5 % increase Yarborough 1979 1 % increase Orchowsky 1981 2 % increase Vreeland 1981 11 % increase Finckenauer 1982 30 % increase Lewis 1983 14 % increase
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Alcohol –what works? • Good information systems • Shared intelligence applied to licensing decisions Alcohol brief interventions Random static roadside breath testing Combined interventions of the Holder Community Trial namely Responsible beverage training for bar staff Restriction on under age sales School and community alcohol education programmes Drink driving controls Point of sale and labelling alcohol information Increasing real price of alcohol Minimum unit price of alcohol National restrictions on watershed advertising and alcohol sponsorship National or international alcohol information labelling
  • 40. North West Regional Public Health Observatory Report July 2011
  • 41.
  • 42. All crimes alcohol Woundings alcohol related Violence 9pm-2 am
  • 43.
  • 44. Sandwell last drink survey 2013
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. UK Responsibility deal has failed to deliver - control of advertising and marketing to young people Been used to delay regulatory and fiscal actions - increasing real price of alcohol Bringing in minimum unit price as has been done now in British Columbia, Saskatchewan and soon in South Africa
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. ‘Evidence-based crime reduction’ further actions Home visiting expansion and support for young parents (the Family Nurse Partnership ) Environmental designing out crime and the Sandwell Healthy urban Development Unit 20 mph zones Domestic violence strategy and investment Shared protocols for domestic violence, drug and alcohol and children’s safeguarding Multiagency safeguarding hub ‘Hotspots policing’- ‘tasking’?
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 60. Neighbourhood policing : Real time information Neighbourhood tasking Prompt response to Anti- social behaviour and Environmental crime
  • 61. Birmingham /Warwick Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care Knowledge management strand-getting research into practice
  • 62. ‘Evidence-based crime reduction’ : next steps Reactivate Crimegrip® through knowledge management strand of CLARHC? Create a crime, social welfare and education, ‘healthy public policy’ trials unit? Sandwell test for multiagency safeguarding hub Sandwell commitment to high quality trial on universal parenting offer Sandwell commitment to domestic violence strategy with arrest, victim and perpetrator services
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Prof Cynthia Lum , George Mason University, Virginia Crime Evidence based policing matrix
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 70. North west Public Health Observatory, Liverpool John Moores University. Mark Bellis et al
  • 72. Acknowledgements , declaraation of interests • John Middleton has been supported in this work by grants from the West Midlands Branch of the Home Office 2001-2005; the National Institute of Health Research through the Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLARHC) 2008-2014, and through the funding and support of Sandwell primary care trust, Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council and West Midlands Police in Safer Sandwell Partnership. • The views expressed are his own. • Thanks to Prof Richard Lilford, Sir Iain Chalmers, Gavin Butler formerly WM Home Office and all those involved in Crimegrip, CLARHC and the Safer Sandwell Partnership
  • 73. Appendix References, alcohol related slides and other support material for interest
  • 74.
  • 75. Crimegrip® review alcohol and brief interventions i) Wilk A, Jenson N, Havighurst, T. "Meta-analysis of Randomised Control Trails Addressing Brief Interventions in Heavy Alcohol Drinkers." Journal of General Internal Medicine 1997; 12(5) 274-83. ii) Poikolainen K. "Effectiveness of Brief Interventions to Reduce Alcohol Intake in Primary Care Populations; A Meta-analysis" Preventive medicine 1999; 28: 503-9 iii) Beich A, Thorsen T, Rollnick S. "Screening in Brief Intervention Trials Targeting Excessive Drinkers in General Practice; Systematic Review and Metaanalysis” BMJ 2003; 327
  • 76. North West Regional Public Health Observatory Report July 2011
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 79.
  • 80. All crimes alcohol Woundings alcohol related Violence 9pm-2 am
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84. Sandwell last drink survey 2013
  • 85. Crimegrip® review: Alcohol and brief interventions- ConclusionCrimegrip® review: Alcohol and brief interventions- Conclusion •Brief interventions are an effective initiative to reduce alcohol misuse •BIs should be more widely available at GP surgeries, hospitals (esp A&E). •The evidence for very brief interventions is weak. •The potential for delivery of BI's in other settings (eg the workplace) should be explored, •as should the precise characteristics and elements of the most successful BI's. •There is no direct evidence relating brief interventions to crime reduction. •It remains intuitive that the earlier treatment of individuals with alcohol problems will reduce crime and needs to be further tested, •for example in properly constructed studies of alcohol arrest referral schemes, •and in setting up long term follow up for brief intervention schemes in primary care.
  • 86. October 27th 2006 Birmingham University Evidence based criminology: J Middleton
  • 87. Holder et al: Community trials Responsible beverage training Restricted outlets and sales to minors Community and schools education programmes Drink driving controls Labelling and point of sale information
  • 88.
  • 89.
  • 90.
  • 91. UK Responsibility deal has failed to deliver - control of advertising and marketing to young people Been used to delay regulatory and fiscal actions - increasing real price of alcohol Bringing in minimum unit price as has been done now in British Columbia, Saskatchewan and soon in South Africa