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Outline
• Introduction
• Long-Range Vs. Short-Range Radar deployments
• Possible Radar Solutions
   – Idealized radar Calculations
   – Coverage for Example radar networks
   – Radar Coverage simulations (Wyoming/ Washington)
• Cost Considerations
   – Long-range radar
   – Short-range radar
• Summary
Introduction
• Severe tornado events in northeastern
  Wyoming and a three-day coastal storm system
  in Washington raised awareness of the radar
  coverage gaps if the observation current
  system (NEXRAD)

• These coverage gaps have several causes: the
  distance between radars (345 km in the
  western United States); radar beam blockage
  due to mountains and other terrain.

• A study that assesses the meteorological need
  for and the feasibility of deploying additional
  radars to augment the current radar observing
  system in northeastern and southwestern
  Wyoming and coastal Washington was funded
  by a contract from NOAA to CASA through the
  University of Oklahoma with Dr. Jerry Brotzge
  as Principal Investigator [1]
This work was primarily supported by the Engineering Research Center Program of the
National Science Foundation under NSF Award Number 0313747. Any opinions, findings
and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author
and do not necessarily reflect of the National Science Foundation.
Wyoming
• The gap regions in Wyoming lack radar
  coverage because of the distance
  between radars and mountain
  blockage. In Campbell County, no radar
  coverage is available below 3 km AGL,
  and only 24% of Johnson County and
  39% of Sweetwater County have
  coverage below 3 km AGL.

• Low-level radar coverage is needed for
  routine detection of snow, flooding
  rains, and low-topped thunderstorms




                                           (Top) The County Warning Forecast Areas of Wyoming. Figures courtesy of the NWS
                                           (http://www.weather.gov/mirs/public/prods/maps/state_list_cwfa.htm). (Bottom) The existing radar coverage at
                                           heights 1 km (yellow), 2 km (red) and 3 km (blue) AGL. Interstate highways are marked in red and county outlines
                                           are marked in black.
Washington
• Radar coverage gaps in coastal
  Washington are primarily caused by
  beam blockage. Much of the region is
  blocked by the Olympic Mountains to
  the west, and so there is virtually no
  coverage over the ocean where the
  majority of western Washington's
  weather hazards originate

• Flooding and severe (non-thunderstorm)
  winds are the primary weather threats
  to western Washington state. While the
  number of severe weather events is
  relatively low, these events are typically
  large in scale, duration, and severity.

• High vulnerability in the coastal counties
  Jefferson, Grays Harbor, Pacific because
  the lack low-level (< 3 km AGL) radar
  coverage


                                     The County Warning Forecast Areas of western Washington. Figure courtesy of the NWS:
                                     (http://www.weather.gov/mirs/public/prods/maps/state_list_cwfa.htm). (Bottom) The existing radar coverage at
                                     heights 1 km (yellow), 2 km (red) and 3 km (blue) AGL. Interstate highways are marked in red and county outlines are
                                     marked in black.
Long-range radars Vs. short-range radar
                                       14.0°
NEXRAD
           Operating frequency
                                    WSR-88D
                                    2.7 – 3.0
                                                   CASA
                                                   9.41 GHz
                                                                                              CASA                  11.0°
                                    GHz                                                            E-SCAN PANELS
           Wavelength               10.0 cm        3 cm
           Antenna diameter         8.53 m         1.20 m
           Antenna gain
           Antenna beamwidth
                                    45.5 dB
                                    1.0º
                                                   38 dB
                                                   1.8º                                                              9.0°
           Range gate spacing       250 m          100 m
           Maximum rotation rate    36 deg s-1     35 deg s-1
           Acceleration rate        15 deg s-2     50 deg s-2
           Average transmitter      1.56 kW        9 W/pol
           power
           Peak transmitter power   750 kW         7.5 kW/pol
                                                                                                                     7.0°
           Min. Detect. Reflect.    -23 dBZ        -2 dBZ
           (10 km)                                                        CASA IP1
           Pulse repetition         318-452        1.6, 2.4 kHz
           frequency                318-1304
                                    pulses/sec                                                                       5.0°
           Pulse width              1.6, 4.5-5.0   660 nsec
                                    μ sec
           Dual-polarization        For 2010-      Yes
                                    2012                                                                             3.0°

                                                                                                                     2.0°

                                                                                                                     1.0°




                                                                              PR1                                     First Off the Grid
                                                                        (Stefani) Radar                               Radar Tested At
                                                           “Storm signatures are detected with higher temporal            Chill/CSU
                                                            and spatial resolution with PR1 data and the radar
                                                          seems to be functioning correctly” - Israel Matos (MIC)
Possible radar solutions Wyoming
                                                                                               WYOMING STATE
                    165 km
                                                                                               Domain A:
                                                                                               Area: 165x165 km2
                                                                                               Counties:                             Short Range                                                                                            Long Range




                                      165 km
                                                                                                • Sheridan
                                                                                                • Johnson
                                                                                                • Campbell                           Rmax=40km                                                                                              Rmax=230km
                                                                                               Domain B:                             Rspacing=35km                                                                                          Rspacing=225km
                                                                                               Area: 210x141 km2
                                                                                               Counties:
                                                                                                                                                                                            3dB                                                                             3dB
                                                                                                • Sweetwater                                 el _ min                                             0.9o                                              el _ min                       0.5o
          210 km
                                                                                                                                                                                             2                                                           2
                                                                                                     LEGEND                          No cone of silence area                                                                                No cone of silence area
 141 km




                                                                                              2km<H<3km                              Triangular Grid                                                                                        Triangular Grid
                                                                                                                        
                                                                                              1km<H<2km                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                   H<1km


                                                                                           Vertical Coverage                                                                          Wyoming Domain A (160km x160km)
                                                                                          Wyoming Domain A                                                                             Height H:1km Coverage: 1e+002%
                                                                                4                                                            0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.9
                                                                               3.5                                                          20

 Wyoming – Domain                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0.8
                                               Heigh above Ground level (km)




                                                                                3                                                           40
                    160km




         A                                                                     2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.7
                                                                                                                                            60
• Small nodes: 18                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0.6


• Large nodes: 01                                                                                                             Range in km
                                                                                2                                                           80                                                                                        0.5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                               1.5                                                          100
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Vertical Coverage                0.3                             Coverage in Plan view- Wyoming Domain A
                                                                                1                                                           120                                              Wyoming Domain A(160km x 160km)                                               Height H:1km CoverageS: 69%
                                                                                                                                                                                       4                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.2
                                                                               0.5                                                          140                                                                                                                                                                 0.9
                                                                                162 km                                                                                                3.5                                             0.1                   20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.8
                                                                                0                                                         160
                                                                                                                                                      Heigh above Ground level (km)




                                                                                 0   5   10     15     20     25   30    35                       0                                    3     50             100           150                               40
                                                                                              Distance (km)                                                                                       Range in km                                                                                                   0.7
                                                                                                                                                                                      2.5                                                                   60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.6




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Range in km
                                                                                                                                                                                       2                                                                    80                                                  0.5
                                                                                Wyoming – Domain                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.4
                                                                                                                                                                                      1.5                                                                   100
                                                                                        B
                             138 km




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.3
                                                                               • Small nodes: 16                                                                                       1                                                                    120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.2

                                                                               • Large nodes: 01                                                                                      0.5                                                                   140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.1

                                                                                                                                                                                       0                                                                 160
                                                                                                                                                                                        0         50       100      150         200                               0             50             100        150
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Distance (km)                                                                Range in km
Possible radar solutions Washington
                                                                                                                                                                     Short Range                                                                   Long Range
                                                                                               WASHINGTON STATE
                                                                                                                                                                     Rmax=40km                                                                     Rmax=230km
                                                                                                Domain C:
                                                                                                Area: ~360x160
                                                                                                km2
                                                                                                                                                                     Rspacing=35km                                                                 Rspacing=225km
                   360 km
                                                                                                Counties:
                                                                                                                                                                                                3dB                                                                
                                                                                                 • Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                el _ min              0.9o                                            el _ min  3dB  0.5o
                                                                                                 • Pacific
                                                                                                 • Thurston
                                                                                                                                                                                                 2                                                                    2
~60 nmi



                                                                      160 km
                                                                                                 • Pierce
                                                                                                 • King
                                                                                                                                                                     No cone of silence area                                                       No cone of silence area
                                                                                                 • Kitsap
                                                                                                 • Mason
                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                     Triangular Grid                                                               Triangular Grid
                                                                                                 • Grays Harbor                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                       LEGEND
                                                                                               2km<H<3km
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Washington Domain C(360km x 160km)
                                                                                               1km<H<2km
                                                          Vertical Coverage - Washington Domain C(360km x 160km)                                                                                     Height H:1km Coverage: 83%
                                                     4                                                                                                                           0
                                                                                                 H<1km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.9
                                                    3.5
                                                                                                                                                                                50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.8

                                                     3
                                                                                                                                                                                100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.7
                    Heigh above Ground level (km)




                                                    2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.6
                                                                                                                                                                                150




                                                                                                                                                                  Range in km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Washington Domain C(260km x 140km)
                                                                                                                    Vertical Coverage - Washington Domain C(260km x 140km)
                                                     2                                                                                                                                                                                                         Height H:1km Coverage: 37%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0.5
                                                                                                                           4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                                                                                                200
                                                                                                                                                        3.5                                                                                                                                             0.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.4
                                                    1.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  50                                                    0.8
  141km




                                                                                                                                                         3
                                                                                                                        Heigh above Ground level (km)




                                                                                                                                                                                250                                                                                     0.3                             0.7
                                                     1                                                                                                  2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 100                                                    0.6




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Range in km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.2
                                                                                                                                                         2                      300                                                                                                                     0.5
                                                    0.5                                                                                                                                                                                          150
                                                                                                                                                        1.5                                                                                                                                             0.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.3
                                                                                                                                                         1                      350
          256 km
                                                     0                                                                                                                                                                                          200
                                                      0     5        10        15         20      25       30      35                                                                 0    50        100    150      200     250                 300         350                                        0.2
                                                                               Distance (km)                                                            0.5                                                  Range in km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 250
                                                                                                                                                         0                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                              0                       50      100      150          200                                 0          50         100    150    200   250
                                                                                                                                                                                           Distance (km)                                                                      Range in km
Idealized Radar Calculations
                              Number of Radars vs. Domain Size                                                     Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude
                        for Short-range and Long-range Radar Spacing                                        for Short-range and Long-range Radar Spacings
                                                                                                  100
                   35
                            Short Ideal Grid                                                      90
                            Long Ideal Grid
                   30                                                                             80




                                                                        Coverage Percentage (%)
                                                                                                                                                Short Ideal Grid
Number of Radars




                   25                                                                             70                                            Long Ideal Grid

                                                                                                  60
                   20
                                                                                                  50
                   15
                                                                                                  40
                   10
                                                                                                  30

                    5                                                                             20


                    0                                                                             10
                          50          100           150           200
                                     Domain Size (km)                                              0
                                                                                                        0    0.5        1        1.5        2          2.5         3
                                                                                                                            Altitude (km)

                                       a)                                                                                       b)
a) Number of radars needed to populate a given domain size for short-range (35 km) and long-
range (225 km) radar spacing. The domain considered is square with the side of the square
defined by the "domain size" in kilometers. b) Percent coverage evaluated at a given altitude
for short-range (35 km) and long-range (225 km) radar spacing. Percent coverage is evaluated
at the center of the radar beam, 0.9 deg and 0.5 deg for the short-range and long-range
radars, respectively, and takes into consideration the curvature of the earth.
Radar Coverage Simulations
• Illustration of height of the radar beam (AGL) for
                                                       3 km
  a) "smooth-earth" coverage calculations and b)
  those over terrain. Note that when height is given   2 km

  as AGL the height is relative to the terrain.        1 km




• The radar beam is considered blocked when the
  path integrated occultation is greater than 50%.
                                                              a)
• The blockage calculations were performed using
  the University of Oklahoma’s Advance Regional
                                                       3 km
  prediction System (ARPS).
                                                       2 km

• Geospatial analysis and visualization was            1 km

  performed using Geographic Resources Analysis
  Support System (GRASS) Support System (GRASS)
  and Geographic Information System (GIS).
                                                              b)
Radar Coverage Wyoming Domain A
                                                                                                         WYOMING STATE +            + + +                      WYOMING STATE
                                                                                                                                     +
                                                                                                         Domain A:
                                                                                                         Area: 165x165 km 2
                                                                                                                                +    + +                       Domain A:
                                                                                                                                                               Area: 165x165 km2
                                                                                                         Counties:            + +     +                        Counties:
                                                                                                          • Sheridan                                            • Sheridan
                                                                                                          • Johnson            + + + + +                        • Johnson
                                                                                                          • Campbell                                            • Campbell
                                                                                                                              + + +      +
                                                                                                                                                               # Radars

                                                                                                              LEGEND
                                                                                                                                Domain A                         • Short : 21
                                                                                                                                                                 • Long : 01    +
                                                                                                     2km<H<3km
                                                                                                     1km<H<2km
                                                                                                        H<1km




                               WYOMING STATE
                               Domain A:
                               Area: 165x165 km 2
                               Counties:
                                • Sheridan
                                • Johnson
                                • Campbell
                                                                                    Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude
                                                                                for Wyoming Domain A (165km x 165km)
                                    LEGEND                                     Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 21
                                                                     100
                               2km<H<3km
                               1km<H<2km                             90                                                                             Altitude     Coverage (%)       Coverage (%)
                                  H<1km
                                                                     80
                                                                                                                                                      (m)        Long (1 radar)      Short (21
                                           Coverage Percentage (%)




                                                                                                                                                                                      radars)
                                                                     70                                                                               100               1%              7%
                                                                     60                                                       Short (Smooth)          500              25%             71%
                                                                                                                              Long (Smooth)          1000              61%             90%
WYOMING STATE         LEGEND                                         50                                                       Short (Terrain)        2000              96%             95%
                                                                                                                              Long (Terrain)         3000              99%             97%
Domain A:       2km<H<3km                                            40
Area: 165x165    1km<H<2km
km2                                                                  30
Counties:         H<1km
 • Sheridan                                                          20
 • Johnson
                                                                     10
 • Campbell
                                                                      0
                                                                           0   0.5        1        1.5                2             2.5         3
                                                                                              Altitude (km)
Radar Coverage Wyoming
                                                                                                                                                          WYOMING STATE
                                                                                                                      WYOMING STATE
                                                                                                                                                          Domain B:
                                                                                                                     Domain B:                            Area: 210x141
                                                                                                                     Area: 210x141 km 2                   km2
                                                                                                                     Counties:                            Counties:
                                                                                                                      • Sweetwater                         • Sweetwater

                                                                                                                                                          # Radars
                                                                                                                                                            • Short : 21
                                                                                                                                                                           +
                                                                                                                          LEGEND                            • Long : 01

                                                                                                                     2km<H<3km
                                                                                                                     1km<H<2km
                                                                                                                        H<1km
                                                                                         Domain B
                                                                                     +       +
                                                                                            + +
                                                                                 +       +           +
                                                                                             + + +
                                                                                   +     +
                                                                                 +   + +      + +
                                   WYOMING STATE                                          +
                                                                                 +    +       +
                                  Domain B:
                                  Area: 210x141 km 2
                                  Counties:
                                   • Sweetwater
                                                                                 Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude
                                                                             for Wyoming Domain B(210km x 141km)
                                      LEGEND                               Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 21
                                           100
                                  2km<H<3km
                                  1km<H<2km
                                            90
                                     H<1km
                                                                  80
                                        Coverage Percentage (%)




                                                                                                                                               Altitude         Coverage (%)   Coverage (%)
                                                                  70                                                                             (m)                Long           Short
                                                                                                                         Short (Smooth)                           (1 radar)     (21 radars)
                                                                  60                                                     Long (Smooth)           100                 0%             5%
                                                                                                                         Short (Terrain)         500                14%            80%
                                                                  50                                                                            1000                49%            98%
              WYOMING STATE                                                                                              Long (Terrain)
     LEGEND                                                                                                                                     2000                93%            99%
              Domain B:                                           40
2km<H<3km     Area: 210x141 km2                                                                                                                 3000               100%            99%
              Counties:                                           30
1km<H<2km      • Sweetwater
    H<1km                                                         20

                                                                  10

                                                                  0
                                                                       0   0.5               1            1.5        2          2.5        3
                                                                                                     Altitude (km)
Radar Coverage Washington
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         WASHINGTON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Domain C:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Area: ~360x160
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         km2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Counties:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Pacific
                                                                          Domain C                                                                                                                                        • Thurston
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Pierce
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • King
                                                                                                                        +                           + +         +                                                         • Kitsap
                                                                                                                                +           +              +                                                              • Mason
                                                                                ~60 nmi                                     +                     +    +
                                                                                                                                    +                         +                                                           • Grays Harbor
                                                                                                                            +                    +     + +
                                                                                                                                        +                     +
                                                                                                                                +                + +     +                                                               # Radars
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Short : 27   +
                                                   WASHINGTON STATE                                                                     +           +       +
                                                                                                                            +                            +                                                                • Long : 01
                                                                                                                        LEGEND
                                                Domain C:
                                                Area: ~360x160 km 2                                                 2km<H<3km
                                                Counties:                                                           1km<H<2km
                                                 • Lewis, Pacific, Thurston, Pierce                                   H<1km
                                                 • King, Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor


                                                                                                                             Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude
                                                                                                                        for Washington Domain C(360 km x 160 km)
                                                                                                                        Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 27
                                                                                                          100

                                                                                                          90

                                                                                                          80                                                                              Altitude   Coverage (%)   Coverage (%)
                                                                                Coverage Percentage (%)




ATE                                                                                                       70                                                                                (m)          Long           Short
                          LEGEND                                                                                                                                                                       (1 radar)     (27 radars)
                         WASHINGTON STATE
                                                                                                          60                                                                                100           1%             3%
                      2km<H<3km
                Domain C:                                                                                                                                                                   500          15%            45%
                Area: 1km<H<2km 2
                      ~360x160 km                                                                         50
ston, Pierce                                                                                                                                                        Short (Smooth)         1000          37%            67%
                Counties: H<1km                                                                                                                                                            2000          74%            72%
n, Grays Harbor                                                                                           40                                                        Long (Smooth)
                 • Lewis, Pacific, Thurston, Pierce
                 • King, Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor
                                                                                                                                                                    Short (Terrain)        3000          94%            73%
                                                                                                          30                                                        Long (Terrain)
                                                                                                          20
                                  LEGEND
                                                                                                          10
                             2km<H<3km
                                                                                                           0
                             1km<H<2km                                                                          0       0.5             1            1.5        2         2.5         3
                                                                                                                                                Altitude (km)
                                 H<1km
Cost Considerations
•   For long-range radar, site selection, land
    preparation, site access, tower, communication
    and electrical power, represent a complicated
    process that in most cases takes from one to 3
    years.
•   An estimate for the up-front cost for a long-
    range S-band radar (including the costs to buy
    and install the radar as well as the land and
    supporting infrastructure) is $10M. This figure
    was cited in 2008 in a National Research            Photo of a state-of-the-art phased array radar system.
    Council report (NRC 2008) based on a Lincoln                  Phased arrays cost $1M/m2 today.

    Laboratory estimate. This estimate is derived
    based on the fact that the 156 radar WSR-
                                                                              E-SCAN PANELS
    88D/NEXRAD radar network cost $1.56 billion
    to deploy between 1990 and 1997, or ~ $10M
    per radar.
•   For short-range radar, CASA project has set an
    aim-point of $200k as the up-front cost of each
    radar in a dense radar network and per-site
    recurring cost of $20k per radar per year.         Artistic concept of CASA radar panels attached to a
                                                      cellular telephone tower and the sides of a building.
Summary
•   Additional weather radar, strategically placed along and near critical weather-sensitive
    industries and infrastructure in radar gap regions, may improve public safety and reduce
    weather-imposed economic loss. Beyond simply filling gaps in existing coverage,
    additional radar capabilities such as rapid scanning, higher spatial resolution and multi-
    Doppler coverage and enhanced radar products such as provided by dual-polarization
    have the potential to significantly improve current observing and predicting capabilities.

•   Forty-two small X-band radars (21 radars in NE Wyoming and 21 radars in SW Wyoming)
    or two large S-band radars (one in each region), could provide this coverage. The 42
    short-range (X-band) radars, deployed strategically along critical infrastructure, would
    provide extensive multi-Doppler coverage of wind and rain at low-levels (below 2 km
    AGL), thereby enabling real-time monitoring and improved prediction of warm-season
    severe thunderstorms and low-level winter weather. Two long-range weather radars
    could provide equivalent coverage at and above 2 km AGL.

•   A network of 27 short-range radars, deployed along the coast, would provide multi-
    Doppler coverage as low as 1 km AGL along the coast and up to a distance of 40 km from
    shore. Over terrain, high resolution radar observations would help quantify locally intense
    terrain-forced precipitation improving QPE and identifying low-level wind hazards.
References
Jerry Brotzge, Robb Contreras, Brenda Phillips and Keith Brewsterl, “Radar Feasibility Study,” January 31, 2009.

D. J McLaughlin, et al, “Distributed Collaborative Adaptive Sensing (DCAS) for Improved Detection, Understanding and Predicting
      of Atmosphere Hazards,” in Proc of 85th AMS Annual Meeting 2005, San Diego, CA.

Brotzge, J., K. Brewster, V. Chandrasekar, B. Philips, S. Hill, K. Hondl, B. Johnson, E. Lyons, D. McLaughlin, and D. Westbrook, 2007:
     “CASA IP1: Network operations and initial data”. Preprints, 23rd International Conf. on Interactive Information Processing
     Systems (IIPS) for Meteor., Ocean., and Hydrology, AMS Conf., San Antonio, TX.

Gorgucci, E., and V. Chandrasekar, 2005: “Evaluation of attenuation correction methodology for dual-polarization radars:
     Application to X-band systems”, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 22, 1195-1206.

Brewster, K., E. Fay and F. Junyent, 2005: How will X-band attenuation affect tornado detection in the CASA IP1 radar network?,
    32nd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Albuquerque, NM, AMS, Boston. Conference CD, Paper 14R.4.

Brotzge, J., D. Andra, K. Hondl, and L. Lemon, 2008: “A case study evaluating Distributed, Collaborative, Adaptive Scanning:
     Analysis of the May 8th, 2007, minisupercell event”. Preprints, Symposium on Recent Developments in Atmospheric
     Applications of Radar and Lidar, AMS Conf., New Orleans, LA.

Cheong, B. L., K. Hardwick, J. Fritz, P. S. Tsai, R. Palmer, V. Chandrasekar, S. Frasier, J. George, D. Brunkow, B. Bowie, P. Kennedy,
    2007: “Refractivity retrieval using the CASA X-band radars.” Preprints, Proceedings of AMS 33rd Conference on Radar
    Meteorology, Cairns, Australia.

Leone, D., R. Endlich, J. Petričeks, R. Collis, and J. Porter, 1989: “Meteorological considerations used in planning the NEXRAD
     network.” Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70, 4–13.
Backup slides
500 current radar units reach end of life 2012 – 2025
 Red: sustain, replace legacy radars; Blue: large MPAR solution (~ same coverage)

            10000               Small CASA Radars - Acquisition:
            9000                10,000 radars x $100k per radar = $1B 2012 – 2016
            8000                O&M will be a key factor – to be modeled

            7000
                                                                                                Legacy O&M Cost
            6000        Large MPAR Acquisition:                                                 Legacy Replacement Cost
 Millions




                                                                                                Total Legacy Cost
            5000        320 radars x $10M per radar = $3.2B 2012 - 2016                         Legacy and MPAR O&M Cost
                                                                                                MPAR Acquisition Cost
            4000
                                                                                                Total Cost with MPAR
            3000

            2000

            1000

               0
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Radar Covergare Comparison

  • 1.
  • 2. Outline • Introduction • Long-Range Vs. Short-Range Radar deployments • Possible Radar Solutions – Idealized radar Calculations – Coverage for Example radar networks – Radar Coverage simulations (Wyoming/ Washington) • Cost Considerations – Long-range radar – Short-range radar • Summary
  • 3. Introduction • Severe tornado events in northeastern Wyoming and a three-day coastal storm system in Washington raised awareness of the radar coverage gaps if the observation current system (NEXRAD) • These coverage gaps have several causes: the distance between radars (345 km in the western United States); radar beam blockage due to mountains and other terrain. • A study that assesses the meteorological need for and the feasibility of deploying additional radars to augment the current radar observing system in northeastern and southwestern Wyoming and coastal Washington was funded by a contract from NOAA to CASA through the University of Oklahoma with Dr. Jerry Brotzge as Principal Investigator [1] This work was primarily supported by the Engineering Research Center Program of the National Science Foundation under NSF Award Number 0313747. Any opinions, findings and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect of the National Science Foundation.
  • 4. Wyoming • The gap regions in Wyoming lack radar coverage because of the distance between radars and mountain blockage. In Campbell County, no radar coverage is available below 3 km AGL, and only 24% of Johnson County and 39% of Sweetwater County have coverage below 3 km AGL. • Low-level radar coverage is needed for routine detection of snow, flooding rains, and low-topped thunderstorms (Top) The County Warning Forecast Areas of Wyoming. Figures courtesy of the NWS (http://www.weather.gov/mirs/public/prods/maps/state_list_cwfa.htm). (Bottom) The existing radar coverage at heights 1 km (yellow), 2 km (red) and 3 km (blue) AGL. Interstate highways are marked in red and county outlines are marked in black.
  • 5. Washington • Radar coverage gaps in coastal Washington are primarily caused by beam blockage. Much of the region is blocked by the Olympic Mountains to the west, and so there is virtually no coverage over the ocean where the majority of western Washington's weather hazards originate • Flooding and severe (non-thunderstorm) winds are the primary weather threats to western Washington state. While the number of severe weather events is relatively low, these events are typically large in scale, duration, and severity. • High vulnerability in the coastal counties Jefferson, Grays Harbor, Pacific because the lack low-level (< 3 km AGL) radar coverage The County Warning Forecast Areas of western Washington. Figure courtesy of the NWS: (http://www.weather.gov/mirs/public/prods/maps/state_list_cwfa.htm). (Bottom) The existing radar coverage at heights 1 km (yellow), 2 km (red) and 3 km (blue) AGL. Interstate highways are marked in red and county outlines are marked in black.
  • 6. Long-range radars Vs. short-range radar 14.0° NEXRAD Operating frequency WSR-88D 2.7 – 3.0 CASA 9.41 GHz CASA 11.0° GHz E-SCAN PANELS Wavelength 10.0 cm 3 cm Antenna diameter 8.53 m 1.20 m Antenna gain Antenna beamwidth 45.5 dB 1.0º 38 dB 1.8º 9.0° Range gate spacing 250 m 100 m Maximum rotation rate 36 deg s-1 35 deg s-1 Acceleration rate 15 deg s-2 50 deg s-2 Average transmitter 1.56 kW 9 W/pol power Peak transmitter power 750 kW 7.5 kW/pol 7.0° Min. Detect. Reflect. -23 dBZ -2 dBZ (10 km) CASA IP1 Pulse repetition 318-452 1.6, 2.4 kHz frequency 318-1304 pulses/sec 5.0° Pulse width 1.6, 4.5-5.0 660 nsec μ sec Dual-polarization For 2010- Yes 2012 3.0° 2.0° 1.0° PR1 First Off the Grid (Stefani) Radar Radar Tested At “Storm signatures are detected with higher temporal Chill/CSU and spatial resolution with PR1 data and the radar seems to be functioning correctly” - Israel Matos (MIC)
  • 7. Possible radar solutions Wyoming WYOMING STATE 165 km Domain A: Area: 165x165 km2 Counties: Short Range Long Range 165 km • Sheridan • Johnson • Campbell Rmax=40km Rmax=230km Domain B: Rspacing=35km Rspacing=225km Area: 210x141 km2 Counties: 3dB 3dB • Sweetwater el _ min   0.9o el _ min   0.5o 210 km 2 2 LEGEND No cone of silence area No cone of silence area 141 km 2km<H<3km Triangular Grid Triangular Grid  1km<H<2km  H<1km Vertical Coverage Wyoming Domain A (160km x160km) Wyoming Domain A Height H:1km Coverage: 1e+002% 4 0 0.9 3.5 20 Wyoming – Domain 0.8 Heigh above Ground level (km) 3 40 160km A 2.5 0.7 60 • Small nodes: 18 0.6 • Large nodes: 01 Range in km 2 80 0.5 0.4 1.5 100 Vertical Coverage 0.3 Coverage in Plan view- Wyoming Domain A 1 120 Wyoming Domain A(160km x 160km) Height H:1km CoverageS: 69% 4 0 0.2 0.5 140 0.9 162 km 3.5 0.1 20 0.8 0  160 Heigh above Ground level (km) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 3 50 100 150 40 Distance (km) Range in km 0.7 2.5 60 0.6 Range in km 2 80 0.5 Wyoming – Domain 0.4 1.5 100 B 138 km 0.3 • Small nodes: 16 1 120 0.2 • Large nodes: 01 0.5 140 0.1 0   160 0 50 100 150 200 0 50 100 150 Distance (km) Range in km
  • 8. Possible radar solutions Washington Short Range Long Range WASHINGTON STATE Rmax=40km Rmax=230km Domain C: Area: ~360x160 km2 Rspacing=35km Rspacing=225km 360 km Counties: 3dB  • Lewis el _ min   0.9o el _ min  3dB  0.5o • Pacific • Thurston 2 2 ~60 nmi 160 km • Pierce • King No cone of silence area No cone of silence area • Kitsap • Mason  Triangular Grid Triangular Grid • Grays Harbor  LEGEND 2km<H<3km Washington Domain C(360km x 160km) 1km<H<2km Vertical Coverage - Washington Domain C(360km x 160km) Height H:1km Coverage: 83% 4 0 H<1km 0.9 3.5 50 0.8 3 100 0.7 Heigh above Ground level (km) 2.5 0.6 150 Range in km Washington Domain C(260km x 140km) Vertical Coverage - Washington Domain C(260km x 140km) 2 Height H:1km Coverage: 37% 0.5 4 0 200 3.5 0.9 0.4 1.5 50 0.8 141km 3 Heigh above Ground level (km) 250 0.3 0.7 1 2.5 100 0.6 Range in km 0.2 2 300 0.5 0.5 150 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1 350 256 km 0  200 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 0.2 Distance (km) 0.5 Range in km 0.1 250 0  0 50 100 150 200 0 50 100 150 200 250 Distance (km) Range in km
  • 9. Idealized Radar Calculations Number of Radars vs. Domain Size Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude for Short-range and Long-range Radar Spacing for Short-range and Long-range Radar Spacings 100 35 Short Ideal Grid 90 Long Ideal Grid 30 80 Coverage Percentage (%) Short Ideal Grid Number of Radars 25 70 Long Ideal Grid 60 20 50 15 40 10 30 5 20 0 10 50 100 150 200 Domain Size (km) 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Altitude (km) a) b) a) Number of radars needed to populate a given domain size for short-range (35 km) and long- range (225 km) radar spacing. The domain considered is square with the side of the square defined by the "domain size" in kilometers. b) Percent coverage evaluated at a given altitude for short-range (35 km) and long-range (225 km) radar spacing. Percent coverage is evaluated at the center of the radar beam, 0.9 deg and 0.5 deg for the short-range and long-range radars, respectively, and takes into consideration the curvature of the earth.
  • 10. Radar Coverage Simulations • Illustration of height of the radar beam (AGL) for 3 km a) "smooth-earth" coverage calculations and b) those over terrain. Note that when height is given 2 km as AGL the height is relative to the terrain. 1 km • The radar beam is considered blocked when the path integrated occultation is greater than 50%. a) • The blockage calculations were performed using the University of Oklahoma’s Advance Regional 3 km prediction System (ARPS). 2 km • Geospatial analysis and visualization was 1 km performed using Geographic Resources Analysis Support System (GRASS) Support System (GRASS) and Geographic Information System (GIS). b)
  • 11. Radar Coverage Wyoming Domain A WYOMING STATE + + + + WYOMING STATE + Domain A: Area: 165x165 km 2 + + + Domain A: Area: 165x165 km2 Counties: + + + Counties: • Sheridan • Sheridan • Johnson + + + + + • Johnson • Campbell • Campbell + + + + # Radars LEGEND Domain A • Short : 21 • Long : 01 + 2km<H<3km 1km<H<2km H<1km WYOMING STATE Domain A: Area: 165x165 km 2 Counties: • Sheridan • Johnson • Campbell Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude for Wyoming Domain A (165km x 165km) LEGEND Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 21 100 2km<H<3km 1km<H<2km 90 Altitude Coverage (%) Coverage (%) H<1km 80 (m) Long (1 radar) Short (21 Coverage Percentage (%) radars) 70 100 1% 7% 60 Short (Smooth) 500 25% 71% Long (Smooth) 1000 61% 90% WYOMING STATE LEGEND 50 Short (Terrain) 2000 96% 95% Long (Terrain) 3000 99% 97% Domain A: 2km<H<3km 40 Area: 165x165 1km<H<2km km2 30 Counties: H<1km • Sheridan 20 • Johnson 10 • Campbell 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Altitude (km)
  • 12. Radar Coverage Wyoming WYOMING STATE WYOMING STATE Domain B: Domain B: Area: 210x141 Area: 210x141 km 2 km2 Counties: Counties: • Sweetwater • Sweetwater # Radars • Short : 21 + LEGEND • Long : 01 2km<H<3km 1km<H<2km H<1km Domain B + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + WYOMING STATE + + + + Domain B: Area: 210x141 km 2 Counties: • Sweetwater Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude for Wyoming Domain B(210km x 141km) LEGEND Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 21 100 2km<H<3km 1km<H<2km 90 H<1km 80 Coverage Percentage (%) Altitude Coverage (%) Coverage (%) 70 (m) Long Short Short (Smooth) (1 radar) (21 radars) 60 Long (Smooth) 100 0% 5% Short (Terrain) 500 14% 80% 50 1000 49% 98% WYOMING STATE Long (Terrain) LEGEND 2000 93% 99% Domain B: 40 2km<H<3km Area: 210x141 km2 3000 100% 99% Counties: 30 1km<H<2km • Sweetwater H<1km 20 10 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Altitude (km)
  • 13. Radar Coverage Washington WASHINGTON Domain C: Area: ~360x160 km2 Counties: • Lewis • Pacific Domain C • Thurston • Pierce • King + + + + • Kitsap + + + • Mason ~60 nmi + + + + + • Grays Harbor + + + + + + + + + + # Radars • Short : 27 + WASHINGTON STATE + + + + + • Long : 01 LEGEND Domain C: Area: ~360x160 km 2 2km<H<3km Counties: 1km<H<2km • Lewis, Pacific, Thurston, Pierce H<1km • King, Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor Coverage Percentage vs. Altitude for Washington Domain C(360 km x 160 km) Long-range radars: 1 Short-range radars: 27 100 90 80 Altitude Coverage (%) Coverage (%) Coverage Percentage (%) ATE 70 (m) Long Short LEGEND (1 radar) (27 radars) WASHINGTON STATE 60 100 1% 3% 2km<H<3km Domain C: 500 15% 45% Area: 1km<H<2km 2 ~360x160 km 50 ston, Pierce Short (Smooth) 1000 37% 67% Counties: H<1km 2000 74% 72% n, Grays Harbor 40 Long (Smooth) • Lewis, Pacific, Thurston, Pierce • King, Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor Short (Terrain) 3000 94% 73% 30 Long (Terrain) 20 LEGEND 10 2km<H<3km 0 1km<H<2km 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Altitude (km) H<1km
  • 14. Cost Considerations • For long-range radar, site selection, land preparation, site access, tower, communication and electrical power, represent a complicated process that in most cases takes from one to 3 years. • An estimate for the up-front cost for a long- range S-band radar (including the costs to buy and install the radar as well as the land and supporting infrastructure) is $10M. This figure was cited in 2008 in a National Research Photo of a state-of-the-art phased array radar system. Council report (NRC 2008) based on a Lincoln Phased arrays cost $1M/m2 today. Laboratory estimate. This estimate is derived based on the fact that the 156 radar WSR- E-SCAN PANELS 88D/NEXRAD radar network cost $1.56 billion to deploy between 1990 and 1997, or ~ $10M per radar. • For short-range radar, CASA project has set an aim-point of $200k as the up-front cost of each radar in a dense radar network and per-site recurring cost of $20k per radar per year. Artistic concept of CASA radar panels attached to a cellular telephone tower and the sides of a building.
  • 15. Summary • Additional weather radar, strategically placed along and near critical weather-sensitive industries and infrastructure in radar gap regions, may improve public safety and reduce weather-imposed economic loss. Beyond simply filling gaps in existing coverage, additional radar capabilities such as rapid scanning, higher spatial resolution and multi- Doppler coverage and enhanced radar products such as provided by dual-polarization have the potential to significantly improve current observing and predicting capabilities. • Forty-two small X-band radars (21 radars in NE Wyoming and 21 radars in SW Wyoming) or two large S-band radars (one in each region), could provide this coverage. The 42 short-range (X-band) radars, deployed strategically along critical infrastructure, would provide extensive multi-Doppler coverage of wind and rain at low-levels (below 2 km AGL), thereby enabling real-time monitoring and improved prediction of warm-season severe thunderstorms and low-level winter weather. Two long-range weather radars could provide equivalent coverage at and above 2 km AGL. • A network of 27 short-range radars, deployed along the coast, would provide multi- Doppler coverage as low as 1 km AGL along the coast and up to a distance of 40 km from shore. Over terrain, high resolution radar observations would help quantify locally intense terrain-forced precipitation improving QPE and identifying low-level wind hazards.
  • 16. References Jerry Brotzge, Robb Contreras, Brenda Phillips and Keith Brewsterl, “Radar Feasibility Study,” January 31, 2009. D. J McLaughlin, et al, “Distributed Collaborative Adaptive Sensing (DCAS) for Improved Detection, Understanding and Predicting of Atmosphere Hazards,” in Proc of 85th AMS Annual Meeting 2005, San Diego, CA. Brotzge, J., K. Brewster, V. Chandrasekar, B. Philips, S. Hill, K. Hondl, B. Johnson, E. Lyons, D. McLaughlin, and D. Westbrook, 2007: “CASA IP1: Network operations and initial data”. Preprints, 23rd International Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteor., Ocean., and Hydrology, AMS Conf., San Antonio, TX. Gorgucci, E., and V. Chandrasekar, 2005: “Evaluation of attenuation correction methodology for dual-polarization radars: Application to X-band systems”, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 22, 1195-1206. Brewster, K., E. Fay and F. Junyent, 2005: How will X-band attenuation affect tornado detection in the CASA IP1 radar network?, 32nd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Albuquerque, NM, AMS, Boston. Conference CD, Paper 14R.4. Brotzge, J., D. Andra, K. Hondl, and L. Lemon, 2008: “A case study evaluating Distributed, Collaborative, Adaptive Scanning: Analysis of the May 8th, 2007, minisupercell event”. Preprints, Symposium on Recent Developments in Atmospheric Applications of Radar and Lidar, AMS Conf., New Orleans, LA. Cheong, B. L., K. Hardwick, J. Fritz, P. S. Tsai, R. Palmer, V. Chandrasekar, S. Frasier, J. George, D. Brunkow, B. Bowie, P. Kennedy, 2007: “Refractivity retrieval using the CASA X-band radars.” Preprints, Proceedings of AMS 33rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Cairns, Australia. Leone, D., R. Endlich, J. Petričeks, R. Collis, and J. Porter, 1989: “Meteorological considerations used in planning the NEXRAD network.” Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70, 4–13.
  • 18. 500 current radar units reach end of life 2012 – 2025 Red: sustain, replace legacy radars; Blue: large MPAR solution (~ same coverage) 10000 Small CASA Radars - Acquisition: 9000 10,000 radars x $100k per radar = $1B 2012 – 2016 8000 O&M will be a key factor – to be modeled 7000 Legacy O&M Cost 6000 Large MPAR Acquisition: Legacy Replacement Cost Millions Total Legacy Cost 5000 320 radars x $10M per radar = $3.2B 2012 - 2016 Legacy and MPAR O&M Cost MPAR Acquisition Cost 4000 Total Cost with MPAR 3000 2000 1000 0 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Year 1/13/2012 1:45:46 PM HiLo1 ECE697V Fall 2008 18