1. Intro to Liberec, KLIMATEXT
& the Workshop
“Non-stationary extreme value modelling in climatology”
Liberec, February 15-17, 2012
Jan Kyselý, Jan Picek

2. Liberec
 population of ~100,000 (5th largest city in the Czech Rep.)
 first noted as Reichenberg in 1348
 prevailing German population until WWII
 centre of textile industry since the 19th century, nicknamed "Manchester of
Bohemia“
 collection of late 19th century buildings (e.g. town hall)

3. Liberec
 population of ~100,000 (5th largest city in the Czech Rep.)
 first noted as Reichenberg in 1348
 prevailing German population until WWII
 centre of textile industry since the 19th century, nicknamed "Manchester of
Bohemia“
 collection of late 19th century buildings (e.g. town hall)
 notable people include
Ferdinand Porsche (1875-1951; Volkswagen Beetle – most
manufactured car…)
Karel Hubáček (1924-2011; SIAL Architectural Studio, Ještěd Tower –
city’s dominant & the most respected Czech architectural work of the
20th century)

4. Ještěd Mt. & Tower
 built in 1963-1968
 at the top of Ještěd Mt. (1012 m)
 1969: the Perret Prize from the International Union of Architects
 2000: Czech architects named Ještěd tower the most successful domestic
architectural work of the 20th century
 shape naturally extends the silhouette of the hill
 a place to oversee much of Bohemia and parts of Poland and Germany

5. Liberec
 in the centre of a mountain region (surrounded by the Jizera Mountains
and the Ještěd-Kozákov Ridge, both exceeding 1000 m a.s.l.)
 World Championship in cross-country (Nordic) skiing 2009
 plenty of rain & snow…
Nová Louka, July
29, 1897:
345 mm in 24 h
(record-breaking
in Central Europe)

6. KLIMATEXT project
 2011/10 – 2014/9
 PI: Jan Picek
 “Statistical Modelling of CLIMATE EXTremes”
 statisticians, climatologists, hydrologist, geographers
 built on previous successful cooperation between Czech climatologists and
statisticians
 “Strengthening international cooperation of the KLIMATEXT research team”
(ESF)
 cooperating institutions: KNMI (de Bilt, Netherlands), CSIC (Zaragoza,
Spain), University of Lisbon (Portugal)

7. KLIMATEXT project
 development of advanced statistical models for estimating
probabilities of climate extremes
 “advanced”: non-stationarity/covariates
spatial/regional analysis
 attracting a lot of interest in recent years – “extreme progress” in
development and implementation of these methodologies in the past 5-7
years at the international literature
(availability of 1) statistical methodologies,
2) computation/programming resources,
3) “research need” – climate change)
 still many open and unresolved issues

8. The Workshop (Feb. 15-17)
 non-stationarity/covariates in EVA in climatology
 formal time schedule: yes, but…
 work in progress
 questions, comments, ideas etc. during presentations welcome
 logistic things, forms etc.: Ivana Šafarčíková & Pavla Charwotová
 lunch – university canteen

9. The Workshop (Feb. 15-17)
 field trip (this afternoon): fill-in your preference during tea break!
 meeting at 14:50 (option 1) or 14:40 (option 2) at the reception
 cable car: return ticket 120 CZK, one-way 75 CZK
 the plan is to go down at 17:00 and have dinner at ~17:30
Option 1:
Ještěd by cable car
(meeting at 14:50 at
the reception)
Option 2:
Ještěd on foot (14:40
at the reception)
Option 3:
no excursion (17:30
at restaurant in Horní
Hanychov; maps will
be available)

10. The Workshop (Feb. 15-17)
Today:
 Session 1: Extremes in climate models, spatial dependence
 Session 2: Nonstationary peaks-over-threshold (POT) method
Tomorrow:
 Session 3: Covariate-dependent extremes
 Session 4: Precipitation, covariates & extremes

11. Hope you will enjoy all 3:
Liberec, KLIMATEXT & the Workshop
“Non-stationary extreme value modelling in climatology”