Telecom - CMS,RMS & Financial Dashboard
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An Overview of the Indian Telecom Market and Gross Revenue forecast Via. MS Power BI. To Download Power BI (.pbix) file click on the link: https://1drv.ms/u/s!AntKyh9AmaQNjNwVkG8VVvGLthxMAQ?e=RMee2B
![Power BI Desktop
RMS OVERVIEW
Fiscal Year
22-23
Fiscal Qtr
Q1
Region
All
State
All
36%
JIO 31%
19%
BSNL 6%
O… 1%
AIRTEL
VODA-IDEA
RMS - GROSS REVENUE
Gross Revenue - Operator & License
0K 10K 20K
Gross Revenue [Crs.]
AIRTEL
JIO
VODA-IDEA
BSNL
TATA
OTHERS
ACT
SIFY
RAIL TEL
27K
24K
15K
5K
3K
1K
1K
0K
0K
ILD INTERNET MNP NLD PMRTS TELECOM VNO VSAT
JIO 36%
AIRTEL 35%
16%
BSNL 7% 3%0%
VO…
TATA BT
RMS - ADJUSTED G.R.
OPERATOR Gross
Revenue
G.R. QoQ
Var.
G.R. YoY
Var.
Adjusted
G.R.
A.G.R. QoQ
Var.
A.G.R. YoY
Var.
AIRTEL
JIO
VODA-IDEA
BSNL
TATA
OTHERS
ACT
SIFY
RAIL TEL
AT&T
27,186.75
23,770.88
14,718.99
4,711.74
2,792.94
971.88
521.60
298.54
219.82
216 22
3.57%
4.62%
2.88%
-34.30%
-0.56%
5.28%
-5.33%
-7.42%
-10.88%
11 00%
20.09%
21.93%
10.61%
6.26%
35.90%
11.89%
10.01%
8.82%
37.88%
13 42%
21,260.52
22,054.39
9,446.09
4,104.89
1,819.36
498.92
3.04
242.43
219.82
213 44
3.95%
4.41%
-1.82%
2.05%
1.39%
-4.68%
-55.81%
-4.28%
-10.88%
9 64%
19.54%
21.02%
9.16%
18.01%
35.02%
6.07%
-64.15%
5.12%
37.88%
13 69%
TOTAL 76,408.19 0.03% 17.91% 60,529.65 2.79% 17.91%
Bar Chart of Gross Revenue Time Series
0K
20K
40K
60K
80K
Gross
Revenue
[Crs]
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
72K
63K 65K 66K
61K 62K
58K 58K 59K 58K 58K 60K
64K
68K 67K 68K
72K
67K 65K 67K 70K
76K 76K ILD
INTERNET
MNP
NLD
PMRTS
TELECOM
VNO
Operator
All
• Operators with Gross Revenue Less than ₹100 Crs. have been grouped together as "OTHERS". MTNL is grouped with BSNL.
• Filters "Fiscal Year" & "Fiscal Qtr." are not applicable to "Bar Chart Gross Revenue Time Series" , Filter "Operator" is only applicable to this chart.](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
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Telecom - CMS,RMS & Financial Dashboard
- 1. Power BI Desktop BSNL 38% JIO 27% 24% TATA 6% 1% AIR… RCOM WIRELINE CMS JIO 38% AIRTEL 35% 22% BSNL 6% VODA-I… WIRELESS VLR CMS Wireless, Wireline & VRL Count and MoM Variation OPERATOR Wireless Subs. Count Wireless MoM Var. Wireline Subs. Count Wireline MoM Var. Rank Wireless VLR Subs. Count W. VLR MoM Var. W. VLR 3 Mths. Var. W. VLR 6 Mths. Var. W. VLR 12 Mths. Var. JIO AIRTEL VODA-IDEA BSNL TATA QUADRANT RCOM 41,30,10,694 36,29,68,293 25,66,45,622 11,47,62,788 0 0 3,154 1.03% 0.22% -0.70% -1.14% NaN NaN 0.00% 69,76,912 60,28,614 6,71,308 98,34,039 15,86,221 2,98,440 1,69,468 3.57% 0.99% 14.45% -0.49% -0.52% 2.53% -0.60% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 38,27,42,359 35,47,17,611 21,86,12,535 5,84,24,963 0 0 2,412 0.02% 0.51% -0.63% -1.75% NaN NaN -0.29% 1.03% 0.74% -3.29% -3.39% NaN NaN -3.60% 5.05% 2.78% -4.71% 0.47% NaN NaN -8.64% 12.46% 4.28% -9.54% -1.00% NaN NaN -61.89% TOTAL 1,14,73,90,551 0.16% 2,55,65,002 1.32% 1 1,01,44,99,880 -0.05% -0.29% 1.75% 3.40% CMS OVERVIEW Year 2022 Month June Region All State All Trendline of VRL Subscribers - Operator Wise VLR Subscribers 0.0bn 0.1bn 0.2bn 0.3bn 0.4bn 2018 2020 2022 AIRTEL BSNL JIO VODA-IDEA CMS - Customer Market Share Var. - Variation Subs. - Subscribers VLR - Visitor Location Register JIO 36% AIRTEL 32% 22% BSNL 10% VO… WIRELESS CMS • Dotted line in "Trendline of VRL Subscribers" chart represent the trend of the all VLR subscribers in the market. • Operators have been ranked based on the Sum of the VLR Wireless & Wireline Subscribers. MTNL have been grouped together with BSNL Year & Month filter is not applicable to "Trendline of VRL Subscribers" chart
- 2. Power BI Desktop RMS OVERVIEW Fiscal Year 22-23 Fiscal Qtr Q1 Region All State All 36% JIO 31% 19% BSNL 6% O… 1% AIRTEL VODA-IDEA RMS - GROSS REVENUE Gross Revenue - Operator & License 0K 10K 20K Gross Revenue [Crs.] AIRTEL JIO VODA-IDEA BSNL TATA OTHERS ACT SIFY RAIL TEL 27K 24K 15K 5K 3K 1K 1K 0K 0K ILD INTERNET MNP NLD PMRTS TELECOM VNO VSAT JIO 36% AIRTEL 35% 16% BSNL 7% 3%0% VO… TATA BT RMS - ADJUSTED G.R. OPERATOR Gross Revenue G.R. QoQ Var. G.R. YoY Var. Adjusted G.R. A.G.R. QoQ Var. A.G.R. YoY Var. AIRTEL JIO VODA-IDEA BSNL TATA OTHERS ACT SIFY RAIL TEL AT&T 27,186.75 23,770.88 14,718.99 4,711.74 2,792.94 971.88 521.60 298.54 219.82 216 22 3.57% 4.62% 2.88% -34.30% -0.56% 5.28% -5.33% -7.42% -10.88% 11 00% 20.09% 21.93% 10.61% 6.26% 35.90% 11.89% 10.01% 8.82% 37.88% 13 42% 21,260.52 22,054.39 9,446.09 4,104.89 1,819.36 498.92 3.04 242.43 219.82 213 44 3.95% 4.41% -1.82% 2.05% 1.39% -4.68% -55.81% -4.28% -10.88% 9 64% 19.54% 21.02% 9.16% 18.01% 35.02% 6.07% -64.15% 5.12% 37.88% 13 69% TOTAL 76,408.19 0.03% 17.91% 60,529.65 2.79% 17.91% Bar Chart of Gross Revenue Time Series 0K 20K 40K 60K 80K Gross Revenue [Crs] 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 72K 63K 65K 66K 61K 62K 58K 58K 59K 58K 58K 60K 64K 68K 67K 68K 72K 67K 65K 67K 70K 76K 76K ILD INTERNET MNP NLD PMRTS TELECOM VNO Operator All • Operators with Gross Revenue Less than ₹100 Crs. have been grouped together as "OTHERS". MTNL is grouped with BSNL. • Filters "Fiscal Year" & "Fiscal Qtr." are not applicable to "Bar Chart Gross Revenue Time Series" , Filter "Operator" is only applicable to this chart.
- 3. Power BI Desktop CMS & RMS Trend Monthly/Quarterly Customer Market Share Trend OPERATOR 2021-08 2021-09 2021-10 2021-11 2021-12 2022-01 2022-02 2022-03 2022-04 2022-05 2022-06 2022-07 JIO AIRTEL VODA-IDEA BSNL MTNL RCOM QUADRANT TATA 35.46% 34.79% 23.91% 5.78% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 35.80% 34.64% 23.75% 5.75% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 36.07% 34.56% 23.58% 5.73% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 36.17% 34.76% 23.30% 5.71% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 36.54% 34.61% 23.01% 5.77% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 36.75% 34.54% 22.81% 5.85% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.38% 34.34% 22.32% 5.90% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.23% 34.61% 22.22% 5.88% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.42% 34.67% 21.98% 5.86% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.70% 34.77% 21.67% 5.80% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.73% 34.96% 21.55% 5.70% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37.81% 34.98% 21.47% 5.67% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Year 2022 Month July Region All State All Revenue Market Share Trend OPERATOR 2019-09 2019-12 2020-03 2020-06 2020-09 2020-12 2021-03 2021-06 2021-09 2021-12 2022-03 2022-06 AIRTEL JIO VODA-IDEA BSNL TATA OTHERS ACT SIFY AT&T 31.77% 26.58% 27.26% 7.26% 3.24% 0.87% 0.51% 0.42% 32.38% 25.79% 27.01% 7.45% 2.95% 0.78% 0.70% 0.48% 0.47% 32.33% 25.80% 26.94% 7.77% 3.00% 0.80% 0.70% 0.42% 0.39% 32.69% 28.97% 24.47% 6.93% 2.95% 0.73% 0.73% 0.40% 0.42% 33.06% 29.94% 23.14% 7.00% 3.01% 0.66% 0.64% 0.41% 0.38% 33.61% 30.14% 22.72% 6.45% 2.83% 1.22% 0.64% 0.40% 0.39% 34.46% 28.16% 21.77% 7.73% 3.20% 1.30% 0.74% 0.42% 0.37% 34.93% 30.08% 20.54% 6.84% 3.17% 1.34% 0.73% 0.42% 0.39% 35.75% 30.17% 20.23% 6.02% 3.14% 1.60% 0.73% 0.44% 0.40% 34.85% 30.42% 19.90% 6.74% 3.66% 1.15% 0.72% 0.45% 0.29% 34.37% 29.74% 18.73% 9.39% 3.68% 1.21% 0.72% 0.42% 0.32% 35.58% 31.11% 19.26% 6.17% 3.66% 1.27% 0.68% 0.39% 0.28% Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Fiscal Y… 22-23 License All Operator All Fiscal Qtr Q1
- 4. Power BI Desktop Operator Region AIRTEL VLR Subs. CMS MoM ~ BSNL VLR Subs. CMS MoM ~ JIO VLR Subs. CMS MoM ~ VODA-IDEA VLR Subs. CMS MoM ~ Total VLR Subs. CMS MoM ~ EAST NORTH SOUTH WEST 8,47,42,765 11,90,01,228 9,54,93,373 5,54,80,245 39.0% 37.9% 39.1% 23.2% 0.28% -0.21% 1.14% 1.37% 1,11,72,688 1,44,19,387 2,31,25,616 97,07,272 5.1% 4.6% 9.5% 4.1% -1.09% -3.04% -1.38% -1.47% 8,93,30,016 11,23,86,582 7,65,01,578 10,45,24,183 41.1% 35.8% 31.3% 43.7% -1.37% -1.15% 1.12% 1.73% 3,20,07,758 6,81,31,687 4,90,88,401 6,93,84,689 14.7% 21.7% 20.1% 29.0% -0.83% -1.34% -0.69% 0.22% 21,72,53,227 31,39,38,884 24,42,08,968 23,90,96,389 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% -0.64% -0.93% 0.52% 1.07% Total 35,47,17,611 35.0% 0.51% 5,84,24,963 5.8% -1.75% 38,27,42,359 37.7% 0.02% 21,86,12,535 21.5% -0.63% 1,01,44,97,468 100.0% -0.05% Operator Region AIRTEL G.R. RMS QoQ ~ BSNL G.R. RMS QoQ ~ JIO G.R. RMS QoQ ~ VODA-IDEA G.R. RMS QoQ ~ TOTAL G.R. RMS QoQ ~ EAST NORTH PAN SOUTH WEST 4,593.41 7,521.80 4,754.90 6,335.37 3,981.27 40.22% 39.90% 44.82% 42.79% 27.09% 5.88% 6.25% -6.70% 5.84% 6.15% 442.41 847.35 1,820.74 998.39 602.85 3.87% 4.49% 17.16% 6.74% 4.10% -43.14% -18.75% -30.76% 3.26% -65.63% 5,038.81 6,815.92 946.61 4,798.56 6,170.98 44.11% 36.15% 8.92% 32.41% 41.98% 3.29% 5.19% 9.26% 4.21% 4.75% 1,347.50 3,667.48 3,086.10 2,674.07 3,943.84 11.80% 19.45% 29.09% 18.06% 26.83% 3.70% 3.47% 2.12% 0.79% 4.12% 11,422.13 18,852.55 10,608.35 14,806.39 14,698.94 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1.13% 3.89% -8.66% 4.19% -3.19% TOTAL 27,186.75 38.62% 3.57% 4,711.74 6.69% -34.30% 23,770.88 33.77% 4.62% 14,718.99 20.91% 2.88% 70,388.36 100.00% -0.09% Year 2022 Month June Region All State All Region & State - RMS & CMS
- 5. Power BI Desktop Scatter Plot of Wireless VLR Subs. Vs Gross Reveue 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M Gross Revenue [Crs.] WireLess VLR Subs. 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 AIRTEL BSNL JIO MTNL VODA-IDEA Operator All Region All State All FORECAST - Gross Revenue • Model Equation : 12.90 + 4.04E-05*WirelessVLR Sub. + 15.66*AIRTEL + 0*BSNL + 88.24*JIO + -63.25*VodaIdea + 9.73*ASM + 2.99*BHR + 34.16*KOL + 0*NES + -26.82*ORS + -19.56+ROB • Model prediction accuracy is at 90% with adjusted R-Square at 92.4%, this can be further improved using different prediction models like "Random Forest Regression", "Lasso Regression", "K-Neighbors Regression", "Gradient Descent", "Support Vector Machines", "Ridge Regression", "Elastic Net", "Cross Validation", "Boosting", "Stacking", "Artificial Neural Networks" etc. PREDICTIVE MODEL SELECT WRELESS VLR SUBCRIBERS 1,03,75,300 AIRTEL 0 BSNL 0 VODA-ID… 0 JIO 1 ASM 0 BHR 0 KOL 1 NES 0 ORS 0 ROB 0 ₹ 554 Crs. Predicted Gross Revenue • Model is for "East Region" of India. • Predicted Gross Revenue is auto calculated based on the selection. • 1 stands for Selected 0 stand for un- selected. • The reason as to why VLR wireless subscribers was selected for prediction of Gross revenue and not other parameters such as total wireless subscribers, sum of wireline and wireless subscribers is mention in detail with appropriate calculation in separate "jupyter" file. • "Multiple Linear Regression Model" is used for prediction. • On the top right side is a scatter plot of wireless to see the trend. SELECT STATE SELECT OPERATOR
- 6. Power BI Desktop • Activity Ratios • Solvency Ratios • Liquidity Ratios • Equity Valuation Ratios Figures are from respective operators annual financial statements...... Finacial Ratio Analysis WORK IN PROGRESS