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THE VERTICAL SHIFT: AVOIDING  THE  MALTHUSIAN  CATASTROPHE BY GORDON GRAFF
“ The power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race.” _____________________________ Thomas Malthus, 1789 THE VERTICAL SHIFT: AVOIDING  THE  MALTHUSIAN  CATASTROPHE BY GORDON GRAFF
Population Pressures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population Pressures
Linear Consumption of Land Dust Bowl – 1930s USA William B. Greeley, The Relation of Geography to Timber Supply, Economic Geo. 1925 DUST BOWL – 1930s US MID-WEST
Linear Consumption of land About œ of the mature tropical forest cover of the earth has been destroyed, somewhere between 750-800 million hectares
Linear Consumption of land AFGHANISTAN 70% loss Between 1990 and 2005 Afghanistan lost  33.8%  of its woodland habitat. In total,  70%  of its forests have been destroyed.
Nigeria presently has the highest rate of deforestation of primary forests, according to the UN.  Between 1990 and 2005 the country lost  35.7%  of its forest cover. All together,  79%  of Nigeria’s primary forests have been destroyed.  Reasons:  Logging, Subsistence Agriculture, Collection of Firewood Linear Consumption of land NIGERIA 79% loss
Linear Consumption of land MADAGASCAR 94% loss Madagascar’s rampant deforestation has resulted in extensive desertification, water resource degradation, and soil loss.  Approximately  94%  of its biologically diverse lands have been destroyed, nearly all of which has occurred since claiming independence from France in 1958. This is disheartening when considering 5% of the earths plant and animal species are located in Madagascar, most of which are endemic.
Linear consumption of land PHILIPPINES +90% loss At one time 95% of the land area of the Philippine archipelago was covered by tropical rainforest Today, over  90%  of this diverse ecosystem has been destroyed The Philippines is ranked as having the most severely endangered mammal and bird faunas in the world
Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tierras Bajas Project – BOLIVIA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Agriculture’s Land Consumption 26% Forrest   & Savannah 38% Agriculture ,[object Object]
Food Security $145 barrel July 2008 $70 barrel July 2006 Environmental Variability Food – Oil Connection Haiti   April 2008 Climate Change Pest Damage Drought Food Security
[object Object],[object Object],INITIATIVES FOR THE 21 st  CENTURY
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],INITIATIVES FOR THE 21 st  CENTURY
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],INITIATIVES FOR THE 21 st  CENTURY
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],INITIATIVES FOR THE 21 st  CENTURY
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],INITIATIVES FOR THE 21 st  CENTURY
Sky Farm Sky Farm
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sky Farm
Sky Farm PHOTOVOLTAICS GREEN WALL (SILAGE)
Sky Farm Sky Farm   YEARLY PRODUCTION 54,388,000   lbs   of Vegetable Produce 989,000   lbs   of Animal Meat  455,000   lbs   of Eggs 2,006,000 lbs of Lettuce 1,822,000 lbs of Cucumber 2,990,000 lbs of Eggplant 3,028,000 lbs of Strawberries 2,736,000 lbs of Peppers 4,672,000 lbs of Carrots 6,570,000 lbs of Spinach 6,570,000 lbs of Soybeans 5,292,000 lbs of Green Beans 5,474,000 lbs of Tomatoes ,[object Object],lbs of Poultry meat 455,000 dzn Eggs 5,997,000 lbs of Wheat 7,231,000 lbs of Potatoes 242,000 lbs of Tilapia (fish) meat
x2.8  SURFACE  AREA Space Efficiency  – Surface Area 63 metres (surface area) 182 metres (growing area) = EXAMPLE : Strawberry Production
x10  HARVESTS Space Efficiency  – Conditioned Space = Multiple Harvests Example: Strawberry Production 1 ACRE  X 2.8 (VERTICAL ORIENT.)  X 10 HARVESTS = 28 ACRES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Space Efficiency  – Vertical Stacking James Wines – HIGHRISE OF HOMES
Sky Farm Sky Farm   PRODUCE EQUAL TO
 1369.62   acre or  547.85   hectares 
 of conventional farming 18.18 acres of Lettuce 12.45 acres of Cucumber 48.93 acres of Eggplant 332.11 acres of Strawberries 22,20 acres of Peppers 18.70 acres of Carrots 389.64 acres of Spinach 340.02 acres of Soybeans 49.10 acres of Green Beans 14.43 acres of Tomatoes n/a acres of Poultry meat n/a acres Eggs 55.10 acres of Wheat 67.95 acres of Potatoes n/a acres of Tilapia (fish) meat
Sky Farm 1.34 hectares
Sky Farm 1.34 hectares 230 hectares
Sky Farm 230 hectares + 230 hectares = only  460 hectares!
Sky Farm Sky Farm   CALCULATIONS
Sky Farm Sky Farm   CALCULATIONS 40,000
ANAEROBIC DIGESTER LIVING MACHINE TM Sky Farm WASTE H 2 0 CLEAN H 2 0  POWER Sky Farm   BUILDING SYSTEM DIAGRAM SILAGE AGRI-WASTE
Sky Farm Sky Farm   CALCULATIONS Data courtesy of Dr. Dickson Despommier Columbia University
Sky Farm POWER Sky Farm   URBAN SYSTEM DIAGRAM PRE-FILTER SEWAGE BIO-WASTE / COMPOSTABLES ORGANIC WASTE WASTE WATER POWER TO GRID WATER TO CITY WATER
GROW Housing   Moss Park (Toronto)
GROW Housing Moss Park ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Program GROW Housing
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],LIVING MACHINE HYDROPONIC FARM ANAEROBIC DIGESTER GROW Housing Building System
Community Gardens ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GROW Housing
GROW Housing Cyclical Resource Flows
GROW Housing
Dongtan  – China ARUP
Masdar  – United Arab Emirates Sir NORMAN FOSTER
RAK Gateway  – United Arab Emirates OMA – REM KOOLHAAS

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Urban farming-presentation july2008

  • 1. THE VERTICAL SHIFT: AVOIDING THE MALTHUSIAN CATASTROPHE BY GORDON GRAFF
  • 2. “ The power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race.” _____________________________ Thomas Malthus, 1789 THE VERTICAL SHIFT: AVOIDING THE MALTHUSIAN CATASTROPHE BY GORDON GRAFF
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Linear Consumption of Land Dust Bowl – 1930s USA William B. Greeley, The Relation of Geography to Timber Supply, Economic Geo. 1925 DUST BOWL – 1930s US MID-WEST
  • 6. Linear Consumption of land About Âœ of the mature tropical forest cover of the earth has been destroyed, somewhere between 750-800 million hectares
  • 7. Linear Consumption of land AFGHANISTAN 70% loss Between 1990 and 2005 Afghanistan lost 33.8% of its woodland habitat. In total, 70% of its forests have been destroyed.
  • 8. Nigeria presently has the highest rate of deforestation of primary forests, according to the UN. Between 1990 and 2005 the country lost 35.7% of its forest cover. All together, 79% of Nigeria’s primary forests have been destroyed. Reasons: Logging, Subsistence Agriculture, Collection of Firewood Linear Consumption of land NIGERIA 79% loss
  • 9. Linear Consumption of land MADAGASCAR 94% loss Madagascar’s rampant deforestation has resulted in extensive desertification, water resource degradation, and soil loss. Approximately 94% of its biologically diverse lands have been destroyed, nearly all of which has occurred since claiming independence from France in 1958. This is disheartening when considering 5% of the earths plant and animal species are located in Madagascar, most of which are endemic.
  • 10. Linear consumption of land PHILIPPINES +90% loss At one time 95% of the land area of the Philippine archipelago was covered by tropical rainforest Today, over 90% of this diverse ecosystem has been destroyed The Philippines is ranked as having the most severely endangered mammal and bird faunas in the world
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Food Security $145 barrel July 2008 $70 barrel July 2006 Environmental Variability Food – Oil Connection Haiti April 2008 Climate Change Pest Damage Drought Food Security
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Sky Farm Sky Farm
  • 21.
  • 22. Sky Farm PHOTOVOLTAICS GREEN WALL (SILAGE)
  • 23.
  • 24. x2.8 SURFACE AREA Space Efficiency – Surface Area 63 metres (surface area) 182 metres (growing area) = EXAMPLE : Strawberry Production
  • 25.
  • 26. Space Efficiency – Vertical Stacking James Wines – HIGHRISE OF HOMES
  • 27. Sky Farm Sky Farm PRODUCE EQUAL TO
 1369.62 acre or 547.85 hectares 
 of conventional farming 18.18 acres of Lettuce 12.45 acres of Cucumber 48.93 acres of Eggplant 332.11 acres of Strawberries 22,20 acres of Peppers 18.70 acres of Carrots 389.64 acres of Spinach 340.02 acres of Soybeans 49.10 acres of Green Beans 14.43 acres of Tomatoes n/a acres of Poultry meat n/a acres Eggs 55.10 acres of Wheat 67.95 acres of Potatoes n/a acres of Tilapia (fish) meat
  • 28. Sky Farm 1.34 hectares
  • 29. Sky Farm 1.34 hectares 230 hectares
  • 30. Sky Farm 230 hectares + 230 hectares = only 460 hectares!
  • 31. Sky Farm Sky Farm CALCULATIONS
  • 32. Sky Farm Sky Farm CALCULATIONS 40,000
  • 33. ANAEROBIC DIGESTER LIVING MACHINE TM Sky Farm WASTE H 2 0 CLEAN H 2 0 POWER Sky Farm BUILDING SYSTEM DIAGRAM SILAGE AGRI-WASTE
  • 34. Sky Farm Sky Farm CALCULATIONS Data courtesy of Dr. Dickson Despommier Columbia University
  • 35. Sky Farm POWER Sky Farm URBAN SYSTEM DIAGRAM PRE-FILTER SEWAGE BIO-WASTE / COMPOSTABLES ORGANIC WASTE WASTE WATER POWER TO GRID WATER TO CITY WATER
  • 36. GROW Housing Moss Park (Toronto)
  • 37.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. GROW Housing Cyclical Resource Flows
  • 43. Dongtan – China ARUP
  • 44. Masdar – United Arab Emirates Sir NORMAN FOSTER
  • 45. RAK Gateway – United Arab Emirates OMA – REM KOOLHAAS