SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 14
By Jaimin Parikh
 Introduction & Background
 Problem –What & Why?
 Proposed Solution adopted by
Government of PRC.
 Results & Learning’s.
 China – A Miracle Economy:
 Three Decades Of Growth Averaging around 10% Annually.
 Rising its Per Capita Income from Megre 299 $ in 1980s to
13,000 $ in 2015, GDP Becomes world’s largest in terms of
Purchasing Power Basis becomes 16Trillion $.
 What is happening suddenly to Chinese Markets? (Slowing of
Economy, Greek Crisis, Euro Zone Crisis & Slowing of American
Markets FedTapering Etc)
 Records the Second Biggest Fall in the History of Shanghai
Composite on 27th July, 2015, 8.48%. Previous Low as 8.84% In
2007.
 The Size of fall in terms of number value is 2.3
Trillion in single day ie roughly Equals to the Entire
GDP of Brazil.
 World watches, Monitors & Braces itself against
the Fall in Markets as keenly as PRC now plays
one of the major role in world economics.
 How &What ExactlyWent Wrong with Such a Strong Economy?
 Growth of Companies not correlated with the Rising Stock Prices,
markets Rise by 50% In three Quarters, Shanghai composite Peaks at
5277 Pts in mid June 2015.
 PE Ratio is 70:1 Where as in Most of the Developed Economies
Average stands at 18:1.
 Most of the investors are Retail Investors Roughly making up the 80%
of Total, These were the investors who were Blind Folded by Bull Run,
many of them left there Jobs and had become Day trader, Self
Proclaimed Stock market Analyst. Most of them had Borrowed Money
to Trade , They were playing in derivatives market thereby increasing
the Margin Risk Further.
 But it was not all glory for them, Bull run in market
had to come to end & it did, as the stocks began
to fall they started to sell the holdings to pay off
the Margins thereby making the market more
weaker.
 Weak Growth numbers add to the woes.
 While its is not just Chinese Markets which are
Affected by the Crash but the Global Markets too.
 Stock Markets across the Globe are Down by 15% on an
average, Indian markets have made a Record Fall of 1200
Points in a Single Day ie 5.8% on Black Monday.
 As the Investment moves to more secure avenues Gold
prices are up by 8% in a month.
 Devaluation of Yuan makes Dollar Strong & thereby
helping Indian Economy as it is primarily on Exports of
Goods & Services.
 Regulators limited short selling under threat of arrest; China
Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) suspends 19 accounts from
short-selling for one month.
 Large mutual funds and pension funds pledged to buy more
stocks, China's top brokerages pledged to collectively buy at least
120 billion Yuan ($19.3 billion) of shares to help steady the market,
and would not sell holdings as long as the Shanghai Composite
Index remained below 4,500.
 The government stopped initial public offerings, More than 28
companies suspended their IPOs, there will be no new IPOs in the
near term," the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)
said in a statement.
 The government also provided cash to brokers to buy shares,
backed by central-bank cash. Because the Chinese markets are
made up mostly of individuals and not institutional funds.
 The CSRC announces relaxation of rules on margin trading before
market open, lowering threshold for individual investors to trade
on margins and expanding brokerages' funding channels, 80
percent of investors in China are individuals, state-run media
continued to persuade its citizens to purchase more stocks.
 China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) imposed a six-
month ban on stockholders owning more than 5 percent of a
company's stock from selling those stocks, resulting in a 6 percent
rise in stock markets.
 Around 1,300 total firms, representing 45
percent of the stock market, suspended the
trading of stocks starting on 8 July.
 Devaluation of Yuan By 5%, Hence making its
Exports More Competitive in Global markets
again, Thereby improving on the profits &
keeping its industries up & Running.
 Bringing policies & Shifting from Production
based economy to consumption based
Economy.
 China has been highly controlled State Economy
, External market forces seldom affect its
economy but this has led to situation of
unbalanced & unsustainable Growth.
 Chinas Experiment with its Market forces &
Financial Services with its new approaches to
low & governance seems to play out now.
 Chinas debt equals to 280% of GDP which is a
very big number and given the market
conditions it’s the big reason to worry.
 Its Primary focus was to be a Production centre of world is
not helping it to sustain growth levels , they have started
to be more of Consumption based economy , which will
help shield itself in future from global economic issues.
 Chinas has been exporting its over capacity through grand
infrastructure projects undertaken in many under
developed & Developing African Economies, But the
recent slowdown has seen a halt in flow of investments &
Money, thereby leaving the infra projects in half built
state, hurting the already poor economies more.
 Its not all bad for all, as the confidence in
Chinas economy is going down it is believed
that India is to benefit the most out of it, but
the Big question is will our Government be
able to convert it in to opportunity?
ThankYou

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
Blossom Out
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

79 i chronicle
79 i chronicle79 i chronicle
79 i chronicle
 
Economic Outlook 2016
Economic Outlook 2016Economic Outlook 2016
Economic Outlook 2016
 
China: kicking the can down the road
China: kicking the can down the roadChina: kicking the can down the road
China: kicking the can down the road
 
China By The Numbers
China By The NumbersChina By The Numbers
China By The Numbers
 
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
 
China Currency devaluation - International Business
China Currency devaluation - International BusinessChina Currency devaluation - International Business
China Currency devaluation - International Business
 
To the Point, November 26 2009
To the Point, November 26 2009To the Point, November 26 2009
To the Point, November 26 2009
 
q32015update
q32015updateq32015update
q32015update
 
Standpoint: Global Reflation by Kevin Lings
Standpoint: Global Reflation by Kevin Lings Standpoint: Global Reflation by Kevin Lings
Standpoint: Global Reflation by Kevin Lings
 
The current account deficit that cried "wolf!"
The current account deficit that cried "wolf!"The current account deficit that cried "wolf!"
The current account deficit that cried "wolf!"
 
China's Changing Economy
China's Changing EconomyChina's Changing Economy
China's Changing Economy
 
October 2010
October 2010October 2010
October 2010
 
Current Thinking, Q1 2015
Current Thinking, Q1 2015Current Thinking, Q1 2015
Current Thinking, Q1 2015
 
Olivier DEsbarres: What to expect in 2016 – same, same, but worse
Olivier DEsbarres: What to expect in 2016 – same, same, but worseOlivier DEsbarres: What to expect in 2016 – same, same, but worse
Olivier DEsbarres: What to expect in 2016 – same, same, but worse
 
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentationOECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
 
Caution gcc economies
Caution gcc economiesCaution gcc economies
Caution gcc economies
 
Le 250 più grandi aziende al mondo nel 2015
Le 250 più grandi aziende al mondo nel 2015Le 250 più grandi aziende al mondo nel 2015
Le 250 più grandi aziende al mondo nel 2015
 
pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
pl_global-powers-cons-products-2015
 
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD U.S. Macro Forecast
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD U.S. Macro ForecastCUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD U.S. Macro Forecast
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD U.S. Macro Forecast
 
2017 Global Investment Outlook
2017 Global Investment Outlook2017 Global Investment Outlook
2017 Global Investment Outlook
 

Andere mochten auch (10)

Videodoris
VideodorisVideodoris
Videodoris
 
Opphavsrett på og utenfor Internett - foredrag for fagbokforlagene 2011
Opphavsrett på og utenfor Internett - foredrag for fagbokforlagene 2011Opphavsrett på og utenfor Internett - foredrag for fagbokforlagene 2011
Opphavsrett på og utenfor Internett - foredrag for fagbokforlagene 2011
 
Dassalami soce PACA Presentation
Dassalami soce PACA PresentationDassalami soce PACA Presentation
Dassalami soce PACA Presentation
 
Dassalami Soce PACA
Dassalami Soce PACA Dassalami Soce PACA
Dassalami Soce PACA
 
ESP
ESPESP
ESP
 
Yale Tulane Special Report - Typhoon Haiyan( Yolanda) Philippines - 9 NOV 201...
Yale Tulane Special Report - Typhoon Haiyan( Yolanda) Philippines - 9 NOV 201...Yale Tulane Special Report - Typhoon Haiyan( Yolanda) Philippines - 9 NOV 201...
Yale Tulane Special Report - Typhoon Haiyan( Yolanda) Philippines - 9 NOV 201...
 
Pendeteksi gerakan manusia sensor pir dan arduino
Pendeteksi gerakan manusia sensor pir dan arduinoPendeteksi gerakan manusia sensor pir dan arduino
Pendeteksi gerakan manusia sensor pir dan arduino
 
Rph kssr pergerakan berirama
Rph kssr pergerakan beriramaRph kssr pergerakan berirama
Rph kssr pergerakan berirama
 
Sistem Jantung (PJM3106)
Sistem Jantung (PJM3106)Sistem Jantung (PJM3106)
Sistem Jantung (PJM3106)
 
Web crawler
Web crawlerWeb crawler
Web crawler
 

Ähnlich wie Analyzing the Chinese Stock Market Crash of 2015

Global economy in reverse gear
Global economy in reverse gearGlobal economy in reverse gear
Global economy in reverse gear
Sandesh Pawar
 
China macroeconomy
China macroeconomyChina macroeconomy
China macroeconomy
garimayadav7
 
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic RebirthThe Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
Tom Shaw
 
Foreign Currency Report 1
Foreign Currency Report 1Foreign Currency Report 1
Foreign Currency Report 1
Mike Korycki
 

Ähnlich wie Analyzing the Chinese Stock Market Crash of 2015 (20)

How much should we worry about the chinese stock market collapse
How much should we worry about the chinese stock market collapseHow much should we worry about the chinese stock market collapse
How much should we worry about the chinese stock market collapse
 
THE CHINA SYNDROME
THE CHINA SYNDROMETHE CHINA SYNDROME
THE CHINA SYNDROME
 
Correction or bear market
Correction or bear marketCorrection or bear market
Correction or bear market
 
Asian Economic Crisis
Asian Economic CrisisAsian Economic Crisis
Asian Economic Crisis
 
Brave New China 2009
Brave New China 2009Brave New China 2009
Brave New China 2009
 
Global economy in reverse gear
Global economy in reverse gearGlobal economy in reverse gear
Global economy in reverse gear
 
China macroeconomy
China macroeconomyChina macroeconomy
China macroeconomy
 
Business Scope China
Business Scope ChinaBusiness Scope China
Business Scope China
 
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic RebirthThe Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
The Pain of Reform and China's Economic Rebirth
 
China's Current Challenges – A Dummies Guide
China's Current Challenges – A Dummies GuideChina's Current Challenges – A Dummies Guide
China's Current Challenges – A Dummies Guide
 
East asian crisis
East asian crisisEast asian crisis
East asian crisis
 
F Inancial Crises And Its Impact On Indian Economy
F Inancial Crises And Its Impact On Indian EconomyF Inancial Crises And Its Impact On Indian Economy
F Inancial Crises And Its Impact On Indian Economy
 
Oei feb-16
Oei feb-16Oei feb-16
Oei feb-16
 
Chinese yuan
Chinese yuanChinese yuan
Chinese yuan
 
What Really Ails China’s Economy
What Really Ails China’s EconomyWhat Really Ails China’s Economy
What Really Ails China’s Economy
 
Rollback Of Stimulus : A Risk or A Need
 Rollback Of Stimulus : A Risk or A Need Rollback Of Stimulus : A Risk or A Need
Rollback Of Stimulus : A Risk or A Need
 
TKA_PEDC_li
TKA_PEDC_liTKA_PEDC_li
TKA_PEDC_li
 
ATRADIUS Payment-Practices-Barometer-ASIA PACIFIC Ene17
ATRADIUS Payment-Practices-Barometer-ASIA PACIFIC Ene17ATRADIUS Payment-Practices-Barometer-ASIA PACIFIC Ene17
ATRADIUS Payment-Practices-Barometer-ASIA PACIFIC Ene17
 
Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Asset Market?
Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Asset Market?Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Asset Market?
Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Asset Market?
 
Foreign Currency Report 1
Foreign Currency Report 1Foreign Currency Report 1
Foreign Currency Report 1
 

Analyzing the Chinese Stock Market Crash of 2015

  • 2.  Introduction & Background  Problem –What & Why?  Proposed Solution adopted by Government of PRC.  Results & Learning’s.
  • 3.  China – A Miracle Economy:  Three Decades Of Growth Averaging around 10% Annually.  Rising its Per Capita Income from Megre 299 $ in 1980s to 13,000 $ in 2015, GDP Becomes world’s largest in terms of Purchasing Power Basis becomes 16Trillion $.  What is happening suddenly to Chinese Markets? (Slowing of Economy, Greek Crisis, Euro Zone Crisis & Slowing of American Markets FedTapering Etc)  Records the Second Biggest Fall in the History of Shanghai Composite on 27th July, 2015, 8.48%. Previous Low as 8.84% In 2007.
  • 4.  The Size of fall in terms of number value is 2.3 Trillion in single day ie roughly Equals to the Entire GDP of Brazil.  World watches, Monitors & Braces itself against the Fall in Markets as keenly as PRC now plays one of the major role in world economics.
  • 5.  How &What ExactlyWent Wrong with Such a Strong Economy?  Growth of Companies not correlated with the Rising Stock Prices, markets Rise by 50% In three Quarters, Shanghai composite Peaks at 5277 Pts in mid June 2015.  PE Ratio is 70:1 Where as in Most of the Developed Economies Average stands at 18:1.  Most of the investors are Retail Investors Roughly making up the 80% of Total, These were the investors who were Blind Folded by Bull Run, many of them left there Jobs and had become Day trader, Self Proclaimed Stock market Analyst. Most of them had Borrowed Money to Trade , They were playing in derivatives market thereby increasing the Margin Risk Further.
  • 6.  But it was not all glory for them, Bull run in market had to come to end & it did, as the stocks began to fall they started to sell the holdings to pay off the Margins thereby making the market more weaker.  Weak Growth numbers add to the woes.
  • 7.  While its is not just Chinese Markets which are Affected by the Crash but the Global Markets too.  Stock Markets across the Globe are Down by 15% on an average, Indian markets have made a Record Fall of 1200 Points in a Single Day ie 5.8% on Black Monday.  As the Investment moves to more secure avenues Gold prices are up by 8% in a month.  Devaluation of Yuan makes Dollar Strong & thereby helping Indian Economy as it is primarily on Exports of Goods & Services.
  • 8.  Regulators limited short selling under threat of arrest; China Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) suspends 19 accounts from short-selling for one month.  Large mutual funds and pension funds pledged to buy more stocks, China's top brokerages pledged to collectively buy at least 120 billion Yuan ($19.3 billion) of shares to help steady the market, and would not sell holdings as long as the Shanghai Composite Index remained below 4,500.  The government stopped initial public offerings, More than 28 companies suspended their IPOs, there will be no new IPOs in the near term," the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) said in a statement.
  • 9.  The government also provided cash to brokers to buy shares, backed by central-bank cash. Because the Chinese markets are made up mostly of individuals and not institutional funds.  The CSRC announces relaxation of rules on margin trading before market open, lowering threshold for individual investors to trade on margins and expanding brokerages' funding channels, 80 percent of investors in China are individuals, state-run media continued to persuade its citizens to purchase more stocks.  China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) imposed a six- month ban on stockholders owning more than 5 percent of a company's stock from selling those stocks, resulting in a 6 percent rise in stock markets.
  • 10.  Around 1,300 total firms, representing 45 percent of the stock market, suspended the trading of stocks starting on 8 July.  Devaluation of Yuan By 5%, Hence making its Exports More Competitive in Global markets again, Thereby improving on the profits & keeping its industries up & Running.  Bringing policies & Shifting from Production based economy to consumption based Economy.
  • 11.  China has been highly controlled State Economy , External market forces seldom affect its economy but this has led to situation of unbalanced & unsustainable Growth.  Chinas Experiment with its Market forces & Financial Services with its new approaches to low & governance seems to play out now.  Chinas debt equals to 280% of GDP which is a very big number and given the market conditions it’s the big reason to worry.
  • 12.  Its Primary focus was to be a Production centre of world is not helping it to sustain growth levels , they have started to be more of Consumption based economy , which will help shield itself in future from global economic issues.  Chinas has been exporting its over capacity through grand infrastructure projects undertaken in many under developed & Developing African Economies, But the recent slowdown has seen a halt in flow of investments & Money, thereby leaving the infra projects in half built state, hurting the already poor economies more.
  • 13.  Its not all bad for all, as the confidence in Chinas economy is going down it is believed that India is to benefit the most out of it, but the Big question is will our Government be able to convert it in to opportunity?