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WAYS TO
                      CHANGE
                      Insight on How to Succeed in the Digital Future
                      of Magazine Publishing




Jack Griffin
CEO and Co-founder,
Empirical Media

February 27, 2013
There is no doubt that
success in media from now on
will be digital
The Only Constant is Change




                              3
The Non-linear Networked World




                                 4
A Connected Mobile World…
7 Billion People as of November 2011 (and growing!)




                   77% connected by mobile devices




                                                                                     5
5.3 billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int
…and More to Come
8 Billion People in 2020




                   90% connected by mobile devices




                                                                                     6
5.3 billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int
The Opt-In, Always Connected Consumer




                                        7
Digital’s Growth to Dominance:
67% of total E&M spending growth from 2011 to 2016 will be generated by digital


                                                                   DIGITAL SHARE OF GLOBAL E&M SPENDING



                                                                                                                                                                                       37.5%
                                                                                                                                                          36.1%
                                                                                                                            34.2%
                                                                                               32.6%
                                                                  30.3%
                                     28.0%




                                       2011                         2012                         2013                         2014                          2015                         2016

                                              TOTAL	
  GLOBAL	
  E&M	
  SPENDING	
  =	
  $1.6	
  TRILLION	
  in	
  2011	
  /	
  $2.1	
  TRILLION	
  in	
  2016	
  


Source: PwC 2012; Note: Digital spending consists of broadband and mobile Internet access; online and mobile Internet advertising; mobile TV subscriptions; digital music; electronic home video;
online and wireless video games; digital consumer magazines circulation spending; digital newspaper circulation spending; digital trade magazine circulation spending; electronic consumer,         8
educational, and professional books; and satellite radio subscriptions.
There is no doubt that
China is ready to lead the
future of digital media
China - World’s Largest Market for Internet Use
      China will have nearly twice the number of Internet users as the U.S. and Japan



                                        CHINA INTERNET WATCH
      800	
  
                                  701

      600	
                513

                    384                                                               2009
      400	
  
                                                         269                          2011
                                             240   245
                                                                                      2015e
      200	
  
                                                               87    88     91

          0	
  
                          China               United States         Japan

2011 Penetration          38%                      80%              70%


2015e Penetration         51%                      83%               72%




                                                                                 10
      Source: BCG
Top Five Tablet Markets by Country in 2012

                             Indonesia
                             3.88%
                                         Thailand
                                         4.04%




    United States                              United Kingdom
    25.70%                                     5.27%




                                         China
                                         7.82%




                                                        11
Transition From Print is Already Underway


                         CHINESE NEWSPAPER CIRCULATION



                     7,000,000

                     6,250,000
       copies sold




                     5,500,000


                     4,750,000


                     4,000,000

                            2008    2009     2010        2011




                                                                12
The important question is
how do we transform our
businesses?
Have We Been Here Before?



 “A new medium is never an
   addition to an old one, nor
  does it leave the old one in
    peace. It never ceases to
     oppress the older media
     until it finds new shapes
     and positions for them.”
        – Marshall McLuhan, 1964




                                   14
Digital Media Absorb and Challenge Every
Traditional Model




                                           15
Especially for Print Publishing, the Tablet is
the Major Disruptor

                                    ESTIMATED GLOBAL TABLET SALES & RETAINED BASE
                                                      2012-2016
                                                                                              760

                                                                                       640

                                                                                              389
       Millions of Units




                                                                  500
                                                                                       320

                                              340                 230

                                              140
                           170                                                                375
                                                                                       320
                                                                  270
                                              200
                            140

                           2012               2013                2014                 2015   2016

                                                     New Unit Sales   Retained Units


                                                                                                     16
Source: Forrester Research, June 2012
The Comfortable, Linear World of Print


  ad sales




                                   subscriptions




  newsstand



                                             17
Digital Transformation


        1961             2011




                                18
Print Media’s Decisive Years

                           Newspapers                          Magazines
                        Change 2007-2012                   Change 2007-2012
                         Global Spending                    Global Spending




                                        +2%
                                        Circulation



             Advertising                              Advertising       Circulation




                                                                        -11%
                                                      -17%
             -24%

                                                                                  19
Source: PriceWaterhouse Coopers, 2012
Making The New York Times Digital: Web App




                                        20
Advertising Becomes a Lesser Factor




                                      21
Result: NY Times’ Digital Circulation Now
Exceeds Daily Print Edition




                                    640,000
                                       Digital
                                    Subscriptions



                                     +13%
                                      Q4 2012


                                                    22
Advertising Age, February 7, 2013
Ways to Change
Like Calculus, Digital is Cumulative




                                       24
Convergence Adds New Competition
for Users’ Time and Attention…
                                                   TABLET USERS – U.S.

                                                    Shopping, 5%
                                  Voice/Text, 4%

                         Documents, 5%
                                                                         Video/ Audio, 25%

                         Email, 5%



               Reading, 6%




        Localization, 11%


                                                                          Social, 18%

                                       Browsing, 14%                                         25
Source: McKinsey iConsumer 2010
And New “Jobs” and Opportunities…




       mobile is becoming an important companion,
          particularly for the in between times

                                                    26
Content That Fits Every Platform




                                   27
Digital Organizations:
New roles and skills




                                                              CEO




                 Chief Revenue                      Chief Content                               Chief Marketing
                    Officer                            Officer                                      Officer




                                                                                                                  Partnerships/
   Data and Analytics            Sales   Social Media         User Experience   Subscriptions   Discoverability   Opportunities




                                                                                                                       28
Commitment to Perpetual Change:
The Newsweek Experience




                                  29
30
31
32
Jack Griffin
CEO and Co-founder,
Empirical Media

February 27, 2013

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Ways to Change - Insight on How to Succeed in the Digital Future of Magazine Publishing

  • 1. WAYS TO CHANGE Insight on How to Succeed in the Digital Future of Magazine Publishing Jack Griffin CEO and Co-founder, Empirical Media February 27, 2013
  • 2. There is no doubt that success in media from now on will be digital
  • 3. The Only Constant is Change 3
  • 5. A Connected Mobile World… 7 Billion People as of November 2011 (and growing!) 77% connected by mobile devices 5 5.3 billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int
  • 6. …and More to Come 8 Billion People in 2020 90% connected by mobile devices 6 5.3 billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int
  • 7. The Opt-In, Always Connected Consumer 7
  • 8. Digital’s Growth to Dominance: 67% of total E&M spending growth from 2011 to 2016 will be generated by digital DIGITAL SHARE OF GLOBAL E&M SPENDING 37.5% 36.1% 34.2% 32.6% 30.3% 28.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL  GLOBAL  E&M  SPENDING  =  $1.6  TRILLION  in  2011  /  $2.1  TRILLION  in  2016   Source: PwC 2012; Note: Digital spending consists of broadband and mobile Internet access; online and mobile Internet advertising; mobile TV subscriptions; digital music; electronic home video; online and wireless video games; digital consumer magazines circulation spending; digital newspaper circulation spending; digital trade magazine circulation spending; electronic consumer, 8 educational, and professional books; and satellite radio subscriptions.
  • 9. There is no doubt that China is ready to lead the future of digital media
  • 10. China - World’s Largest Market for Internet Use China will have nearly twice the number of Internet users as the U.S. and Japan CHINA INTERNET WATCH 800   701 600   513 384 2009 400   269 2011 240 245 2015e 200   87 88 91 0   China United States Japan 2011 Penetration 38% 80% 70% 2015e Penetration 51% 83% 72% 10 Source: BCG
  • 11. Top Five Tablet Markets by Country in 2012 Indonesia 3.88% Thailand 4.04% United States United Kingdom 25.70% 5.27% China 7.82% 11
  • 12. Transition From Print is Already Underway CHINESE NEWSPAPER CIRCULATION 7,000,000 6,250,000 copies sold 5,500,000 4,750,000 4,000,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 12
  • 13. The important question is how do we transform our businesses?
  • 14. Have We Been Here Before? “A new medium is never an addition to an old one, nor does it leave the old one in peace. It never ceases to oppress the older media until it finds new shapes and positions for them.” – Marshall McLuhan, 1964 14
  • 15. Digital Media Absorb and Challenge Every Traditional Model 15
  • 16. Especially for Print Publishing, the Tablet is the Major Disruptor ESTIMATED GLOBAL TABLET SALES & RETAINED BASE 2012-2016 760 640 389 Millions of Units 500 320 340 230 140 170 375 320 270 200 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 New Unit Sales Retained Units 16 Source: Forrester Research, June 2012
  • 17. The Comfortable, Linear World of Print ad sales subscriptions newsstand 17
  • 18. Digital Transformation 1961 2011 18
  • 19. Print Media’s Decisive Years Newspapers Magazines Change 2007-2012 Change 2007-2012 Global Spending Global Spending +2% Circulation Advertising Advertising Circulation -11% -17% -24% 19 Source: PriceWaterhouse Coopers, 2012
  • 20. Making The New York Times Digital: Web App 20
  • 21. Advertising Becomes a Lesser Factor 21
  • 22. Result: NY Times’ Digital Circulation Now Exceeds Daily Print Edition 640,000 Digital Subscriptions +13% Q4 2012 22 Advertising Age, February 7, 2013
  • 24. Like Calculus, Digital is Cumulative 24
  • 25. Convergence Adds New Competition for Users’ Time and Attention… TABLET USERS – U.S. Shopping, 5% Voice/Text, 4% Documents, 5% Video/ Audio, 25% Email, 5% Reading, 6% Localization, 11% Social, 18% Browsing, 14% 25 Source: McKinsey iConsumer 2010
  • 26. And New “Jobs” and Opportunities… mobile is becoming an important companion, particularly for the in between times 26
  • 27. Content That Fits Every Platform 27
  • 28. Digital Organizations: New roles and skills CEO Chief Revenue Chief Content Chief Marketing Officer Officer Officer Partnerships/ Data and Analytics Sales Social Media User Experience Subscriptions Discoverability Opportunities 28
  • 29. Commitment to Perpetual Change: The Newsweek Experience 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. Jack Griffin CEO and Co-founder, Empirical Media February 27, 2013