The document discusses the resurgence of socialism and political realignment in Europe and America. In Europe, center-right and centrist parties lost support while socialists, greens, and nationalists/populists gained. Similarly in America, both political parties have adopted more collectivist economic policies through factions appealing to nationalists, unions, globalist technocrats, and greens. This has weakened the case for free markets and increased support for greater government intervention. The document calls for free market advocates to develop alliances between thinkers and business people to better communicate the benefits of capitalism and risks of socialism.
5. Similar Story
Across EU
Center right squeezed
Socialists squeezed
Centrist “liberals” gained
Greens gained
Nationalists/Populists gained
6. France Divided
RN (Nationalist) – Blue
En Marche (“Centrist”) – Yellow
Ou sont les parties de Nicolas
Sarkozy et Francois Hollande?
7. What About America?
America is a two-party system
Nationalists – Trump faction of GOP
Nationalists – industrial wing of Democrats?
Globalist Technocrats – Obama/Biden/Khanna wing of Democrats
Greens – Progressive Democrats
Green New Deal adopted by most Presidential candidates
Biden plan a regulatory/technocratic version of GND
8. What Does This Mean for Socialism?
These factions each have their own versions of collectivist economic policy
“Trump” nationalists
Protectionism, antitrust, border controls, centrally-funded infrastructure
Union nationalists
Protectionism, collective bargaining, border controls, centrally-planned infrastructure
Globalist technocrats
Regulatory state, market socialism, managed trade, nudge/Chokepoint
Greens
Environmentalism, “post-growth” economics, controls on energy use incl. carbon tariffs,
hyper-local
9. Tucker’s Conversion to Collectivism
“In Washington, almost nobody speaks for
the majority of voters. You're either a
libertarian zealot controlled by the banks,
yammering on about entrepreneurship
and how we need to cut entitlements.
That's one side of the aisle. Or worse,
you're some decadent trust fund socialist
who wants to ban passenger cars and give
Medicaid to illegal aliens. That's the other
side.”
10. Bipartisan Collectivism
Greens and “Crunchy Cons”
“Benedict option” pretty similar to Green hyper-localism “soviets”
“Hipster antitrust”
“Curse of Bigness” neo-Brandeisianism adopted by both sides
Neo-Mercantilism
Return of tariffs and use of non-tariff barriers in global power games
Welfare State-ism
For citizens (nationalists) or UBI (globalists)
11. What Happened to Fusionism?
Free Markets
Powered the Economy
National Defense
Kept us safe
Social Conservativism
Preserved community values
Free Markets
Weaken communities
Fueled rise of threats eg China, Arab oil
National Defense
Constant war
Cost too much
Social Conservatism
Hostile to immigration
Isolationist
12. “Ask not what you can do for your country”
Radically reduced number of people making the case for markets
Increased number of people saying government can do good things
Increased number arguing government can protect you
Regulatory state has taken place of civil society
Rise of “Global Elite” credentialed class
Rise of “Alienated America”
Economics is not seen as providing an answer to anybody
Ample breeding ground for collectivism
13. Who Makes the Case for Capitalism?
Opinion Leaders?
George Will, David French, Jonah Goldberg all attacked
Big Businessmen?
Big corporations seen as “them” in “us v them” struggle
The Silicon Valley Dilemma – Go Woke, Go Broke
Educators?
Swimming against the tide
Free speech on campus problem
14. The Communications Challenge
People aren’t stupid because they’re
stupid. They’re stupid because
they’re smart. And if we try to make
them smart, then we’re being stupid!
Fred Smith, Founder of CEI
16. Idea: Thinker-Doer Alliance
Left uses “Thinker-Doer” alliances, eg World Economic Forum
Free-marketers need their own versions
Thinkers need resources of narratives, networks doers can provide
Doers need wider perspective, authority thinkers can provide
Idea can scale to local level – local think tanks, educators, and businesses
Example – businessman, academic, and think tank making case that tariffs harm
local communities, the poor, and the state
Result could legitimize capitalism once more
17. Your Ideas?
How do we find a niche in the global political realignment?
How do we convince the alienated that markets are good for them?
How do we convince the susceptible that collectivism is bad for them?
How do we persuade people that the risks of freedom are less worrisome
than the risks of government control?
How do we break through the noise of the new social media world?