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2013 Budget Resolution Markup

                Opening Presentation
                                   March 21, 2012




House Budget Committee Democrats
1




             Republican Budget:
• Abandons the Economic Recovery
• Ships American Jobs Overseas
• Harms our Economic Competitiveness


Over 400 days in the Majority
      and No Jobs Plan
House Budget Committee Democrats
2




      Democratic Amendments Will:
• Protect Jobs and the Economic Recovery
  by Offering Elements of the American
  Jobs Act
• Promote Long-Term Economic Growth by
  Making Smart, Targeted Investments,
  including Education, Transportation, and
  R&D

House Budget Committee Democrats
3
    Democrats Turn Job Losses to Gains
3.9 Million Private-Sector Jobs Created in Past 24 Months
 350             Bush Admin.                                               Obama Administration
                                                                                                                                        233

 150



  -50



 -250



 -450


                                                                                Monthly change in
 -650                                                                           private payrolls
                                                                                (thousands)

 -850                                 (839)
        Jan-08   May-08   Sep-08   Jan-09   May-09      Sep-09      Jan-10      May-10      Sep-10      Jan-11     May-11   Sep-11   Jan-12


House Budget Committee Democrats       Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics non-farm payrolls, U.S. Department of Labor.
4



Top Tax Rate and Total Net Job Creation
                 50%                                                                                      30




                                                                                                               Net Total Private-Sector Job Creation in Millions
                 45%
                                                                                                          25
                 40%
                                      39.6%
                 35%
                                                                                                    35%   20
  Top Tax Rate




                 30%
                                 20.8 million                                                             15
                 25%
                                     jobs
                 20%
                                                                                        653,000           10
                                   created
                 15%
                                                                                        jobs lost
                                                                                                          5
                 10%
                                                                                                          0
                 5%

                 0%                                                                                       -5
                       1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

                                President Clinton                               President Bush
                       Source: Department of Treasury and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

House Budget Committee Democrats
5



Top Tax Rate and Average Annual Growth
                 50%                                                                                     5.5%




                                                                                                                 Inflation-Adjusted Economic Growth Rate
                 45%

                 40%                   39.6%                                                             4.5%

                 35%
                                                                                                   35%
                                                                                                         3.5%
  Top Tax Rate




                 30%

                 25%
                                         3.9%                                                            2.5%
                 20%                  Real GDP
                 15%
                                       Growth                                            2.0%            1.5%
                                                                                        Real GDP
                 10%
                                                                                         Growth          0.5%
                 5%

                 0%                                                                                      -0.5%
                       1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

                              President Clinton                                 President Bush
                       Source: Department of Treasury and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 House Budget Committee Democrats
6




Making College More Affordable
   “At a time when Americans owe
    more in tuition debt than credit
    card debt, this Congress needs to
    stop the interest rates on student
    loans from doubling in July.”
                         --- President Obama, State of the Union,
                             January 2012


House Budget Committee Democrats
7




             Republican Budget:
      • Ends Medicare Guarantee
      • Puts Insurance Companies
        Back in Charge
      • Shreds the Social Safety Net


House Budget Committee Democrats
8




      Democratic Amendments Will:
• Reject Putting Seniors at the Mercy of
  Insurance Companies and will Protect the
  Medicare Guarantee
• Preserve the Social Safety Net by
  Rejecting cuts to Medicaid and Food
  Assistance


House Budget Committee Democrats
9


 Per Enrollee, Private Insurance Costs Rise
        Faster than Medicare Costs
                                   Medicare   Private Health Insurance
                                                           9.4%
                                      8.1%




          Average Annual Percent Change in Common Care Benefit Spending Per
                                  Enrollee, 1969-2010


House Budget Committee Democrats
10


Medicare Trustees: Affordable Care
   Act Strengthens Medicare

    “The financial outlook for the
    Medicare program is
    substantially improved as a
    result of the changes in the
    Affordable Care Act.”
                                   Source: 2011 Medicare Trustees Report
House Budget Committee Democrats
11


Affordable Care Act Saves Money for the Budget
                and for Seniors
                              Total Medicare Spending as a Percent of GDP




                                   Source: 2009 and 2010 Medicare Trustees Reports

House Budget Committee Democrats
12


   Republican Budget Gives Tax Cuts to
Wealthy, Slashes Health Care for Low-Income

                                      More Tax Cuts
                         $961         for the
                                      Wealthiest
                                      Americans



                                     Severe Cuts
                                    to Medicaid  -$810

         Dollars in billions, 2013-2022
 House Budget Committee Democrats
13




             Republican Budget:
       Makes Harmful Choices to
       Protect Tax Breaks for the
       Very Wealthy


House Budget Committee Democrats
14




      Democratic Amendments Will:
• Adopt a Balanced Approach to Deficit
  Reduction, Where Everyone Pays Fair
  Share
• Close Tax Loopholes for Special Interests
• Protect Tax Cuts for Working Americans
• Require Tax Rates for Wealthy be More in
  Line with Those for the Middle Class


House Budget Committee Democrats
15

                                              Top 1% See Outsized Income Gains
                           Cumulative Growth in Real After-Tax Incomes by Income Group, 1979-2007
  300%
                          Top 1%                            81-99%                         21-80%                           Bottom 20%                                                                                277.5%
  250%


  200%


  150%


  100%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      65.0%
   50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  37.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  18.3%
    0%


  -50%
                  1980




                                                                                                                                                                                   2003


                                                                                                                                                                                                 2005
           1979


                         1981
                                1982
                                       1983
                                              1984
                                                     1985
                                                            1986
                                                                   1987
                                                                          1988
                                                                                 1989
                                                                                        1990
                                                                                               1991
                                                                                                      1992
                                                                                                             1993
                                                                                                                    1994
                                                                                                                           1995
                                                                                                                                  1996
                                                                                                                                         1997
                                                                                                                                                1998
                                                                                                                                                       1999
                                                                                                                                                              2000
                                                                                                                                                                     2001
                                                                                                                                                                            2002


                                                                                                                                                                                          2004


                                                                                                                                                                                                        2006
                                                                                                                                                                                                               2007
           Source: Congressional Budget Office, October 2011.




House Budget Committee Democrats
16




House Budget Committee Democrats
17

    “Big 5” Oil Company Profits Exceeded
         $1 Trillion over Last Decade
       $351                          (profits in billions)



                                                                           $238

                              $179
                                                                                                        $163

                                              $108




      Exxon                Chevron      Conoco Phillips                    Shell                         BP
                                           Source: http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/02/big_oil_banner_year.html

House Budget Committee Democrats
18




    U.S. Oil Production Rose since 2008
                                   (in millions of barrels per day)

5.8

5.6

5.4

5.2

  5

4.8

4.6
        2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


                                                                      Source: EIA

House Budget Committee Democrats
19


         U.S. Dependence on Foreign Oil
                 Fell Since 2008
                          Net Imports as a Share of Consumption
60%

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%
         2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
                                                                  Source: EIA

House Budget Committee Democrats

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FY2013 Budget Resolution Opening Presentation

  • 1. 2013 Budget Resolution Markup Opening Presentation March 21, 2012 House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 2. 1 Republican Budget: • Abandons the Economic Recovery • Ships American Jobs Overseas • Harms our Economic Competitiveness Over 400 days in the Majority and No Jobs Plan House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 3. 2 Democratic Amendments Will: • Protect Jobs and the Economic Recovery by Offering Elements of the American Jobs Act • Promote Long-Term Economic Growth by Making Smart, Targeted Investments, including Education, Transportation, and R&D House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 4. 3 Democrats Turn Job Losses to Gains 3.9 Million Private-Sector Jobs Created in Past 24 Months 350 Bush Admin. Obama Administration 233 150 -50 -250 -450 Monthly change in -650 private payrolls (thousands) -850 (839) Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 House Budget Committee Democrats Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics non-farm payrolls, U.S. Department of Labor.
  • 5. 4 Top Tax Rate and Total Net Job Creation 50% 30 Net Total Private-Sector Job Creation in Millions 45% 25 40% 39.6% 35% 35% 20 Top Tax Rate 30% 20.8 million 15 25% jobs 20% 653,000 10 created 15% jobs lost 5 10% 0 5% 0% -5 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 President Clinton President Bush Source: Department of Treasury and Bureau of Labor Statistics. House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 6. 5 Top Tax Rate and Average Annual Growth 50% 5.5% Inflation-Adjusted Economic Growth Rate 45% 40% 39.6% 4.5% 35% 35% 3.5% Top Tax Rate 30% 25% 3.9% 2.5% 20% Real GDP 15% Growth 2.0% 1.5% Real GDP 10% Growth 0.5% 5% 0% -0.5% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 President Clinton President Bush Source: Department of Treasury and Bureau of Labor Statistics. House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 7. 6 Making College More Affordable “At a time when Americans owe more in tuition debt than credit card debt, this Congress needs to stop the interest rates on student loans from doubling in July.” --- President Obama, State of the Union, January 2012 House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 8. 7 Republican Budget: • Ends Medicare Guarantee • Puts Insurance Companies Back in Charge • Shreds the Social Safety Net House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 9. 8 Democratic Amendments Will: • Reject Putting Seniors at the Mercy of Insurance Companies and will Protect the Medicare Guarantee • Preserve the Social Safety Net by Rejecting cuts to Medicaid and Food Assistance House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 10. 9 Per Enrollee, Private Insurance Costs Rise Faster than Medicare Costs Medicare Private Health Insurance 9.4% 8.1% Average Annual Percent Change in Common Care Benefit Spending Per Enrollee, 1969-2010 House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 11. 10 Medicare Trustees: Affordable Care Act Strengthens Medicare “The financial outlook for the Medicare program is substantially improved as a result of the changes in the Affordable Care Act.” Source: 2011 Medicare Trustees Report House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 12. 11 Affordable Care Act Saves Money for the Budget and for Seniors Total Medicare Spending as a Percent of GDP Source: 2009 and 2010 Medicare Trustees Reports House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 13. 12 Republican Budget Gives Tax Cuts to Wealthy, Slashes Health Care for Low-Income More Tax Cuts $961 for the Wealthiest Americans Severe Cuts to Medicaid -$810 Dollars in billions, 2013-2022 House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 14. 13 Republican Budget: Makes Harmful Choices to Protect Tax Breaks for the Very Wealthy House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 15. 14 Democratic Amendments Will: • Adopt a Balanced Approach to Deficit Reduction, Where Everyone Pays Fair Share • Close Tax Loopholes for Special Interests • Protect Tax Cuts for Working Americans • Require Tax Rates for Wealthy be More in Line with Those for the Middle Class House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 16. 15 Top 1% See Outsized Income Gains Cumulative Growth in Real After-Tax Incomes by Income Group, 1979-2007 300% Top 1% 81-99% 21-80% Bottom 20% 277.5% 250% 200% 150% 100% 65.0% 50% 37.8% 18.3% 0% -50% 1980 2003 2005 1979 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2006 2007 Source: Congressional Budget Office, October 2011. House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 18. 17 “Big 5” Oil Company Profits Exceeded $1 Trillion over Last Decade $351 (profits in billions) $238 $179 $163 $108 Exxon Chevron Conoco Phillips Shell BP Source: http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/02/big_oil_banner_year.html House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 19. 18 U.S. Oil Production Rose since 2008 (in millions of barrels per day) 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5 4.8 4.6 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: EIA House Budget Committee Democrats
  • 20. 19 U.S. Dependence on Foreign Oil Fell Since 2008 Net Imports as a Share of Consumption 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: EIA House Budget Committee Democrats

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Over the period 1969-2010, per enrollee Medicare spending grew by an annual average of 8.1 percent. Premiums for private health insurance for a common set of benefits (i.e., comparable to Medicare covered benefits – hospitals, physician services, DME, etc.) grew by an annual average of 9.4 percent. CBO’s long-term outlook compares the total rate of excess cost growth in Medicare and other payers and finds that Medicare has a higher rate of excess cost growth over the period 1975-2007 than other payers. The CBO excess cost growth measure differs conceptually from OACT’s comparison of Medicare spending and enrollee premiums in several important respects. For example, the CBO measure captures all health spending (including OOP spending), while the OACT measure compares only spending on covered benefits.
  2. This chart compares the Medicare spending projections from the 2009 Medicare Trustees Report (pre-reform) with the 2010 Trustees Report, which was published after health reform became law.