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Oil & Gas Sector in Scotland




  David Rennie
  Oil & Gas, Thermal Generation & CCS Director
  25 September 2012
Scottish Enterprise

• Scotland‟s main economic
  development agency

• Work with Scotland‟s key
  industries

• Work in partnership with industry,
  further education, local authorities
  and public sector bodies

• Investing around £300 million in
  economic development
UKCS History

• Gas production started SNS in
  late 1960s – 50 metres

• Oil production started NNS in
  mid-1970s – 200 metres

• West of Shetland started late
  1990s – approx 500 metres

• Atlantic margin – between1500 –
  5000 metres
Economic Contribution

     Supports up to 440,000    Oil and Gas provides 75% of
      UK jobs – (c. 45% in       the UK’s primary energy
           Scotland)



      The largest single
           industry            ~ £ 6 billion UK balance of
       “value adding”          trade contribution in 2011
     contributor to the UK
           economy



     Currently providing 68%    ~ £ 11.2 billion in direct
       of the UK’s oil and              taxation
      58% of its gas needs
UKCS Production

 UKCS Oil & Gas Production
                             • UK is 19th largest oil and gas
                               producer

                             • Produced 1.8 million boe per
                               day in 2011

                             • Decline in production offset
                               by growth in oil price


 Source: DECC
UKCS Reserves

 UKCS Reserves and Resources
                               • Up to 24 billion boe still
                                 to be recovered

                               • Technology and
                                 investment key to
                                 unlocking potential
UKCS Expenditure

UKCS Overall Expenditure (2012-16)
                                     • Total UKCS expenditure
                                       increased from £12.4 billion
                                       in 2007 to £17 billion in 2011

                                     • £90.5 billion total forecast
                                       expenditure over five years
                                       2012-16

                                     • Annual average expenditure
                                       £18 billion
Current challenges

Some challenges of a mature UK oil and gas industry

   • Control CAPEX and OPEX - massive increase in costs

   • Ageing assets - maintain integrity of infrastructure -
     high cost of Operation and Maintenance

   • Sustain production levels – technology

   • Create indigenous decommissioning supply chain capability
   – uncertainty of timing
Strategy Themes

 • Focus on maximising recovery through:

    –   Strengthening our supply chain expertise;
    –   Applying Innovation;
    –   Utilising our skills;
    –   And increasing internationalisation.

 • Industry led – through Industry Leadership Group
Opportunity driven

  • Around £90bn of investment in the North Sea in the next 5 years
  • About 40% resources by volume still to extract – more in value terms (up
      to £1.5 trillion)
  •   Current recovery levels average 40% - for each percentage point rise in
      recovery:
       £89bn in economic value
       £22bn in taxation
  •   Oil and Gas will still meet 70% of UK primary energy needs by 2020 –
      even if renewable targets are met
  •   Industry supports about 200,000 jobs in Scotland – but needs 10,000
      new people over the next 5 years
Supply Chain - Domestic

 What is planned?

    • Additional account management resource - primarily in Aberdeen
    • Engage with additional 100 companies over next 3 years – SE
        currently work with around 175 O&G companies in Aberdeen (230 in
        Scotland)
    •   Working with trade associations on how to make that happen –
        identify the best companies
    •   Increase levels of „prospecting‟ within SE
    •   More market research
         – spends and trends
         – opportunities in shale gas
    •   Increase engagement with larger companies
Supply Chain - International

 What is planned?
   •   Focus on priority markets (two thirds of current sales)
   •   Increased SDI resource – increase international activity and exports
   •   Plans for Brazil, Norway and West Africa
   •   Building on Calgary and Middle East
   •   All these will have oil and gas focus
   •   Increased SDI resource based in Scotland
   •   Market Intelligence e.g. a guide on “How to do Business in Brazil”
   •   Market research into Middle East Gas opportunities for Scottish firms
   •   Building on existing SDI activity – learning missions and exhibitions
   •   Work with larger companies re inward investment opportunities
International Activity
Innovation

What is planned?

 • Focus on technologies to enhance recovery
 • £10m over 3 years - series of innovation calls around
     – Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)
     – Subsea
     – Asset integrity
 • Working with the Industry Technology Facilitator (ITF) to deliver
 • Significant interest from Industry in this proposal - we can leverage more
    including field trials and technical support
Scotland a major region for
centres of excellence

 • Shell E&P – Centre of Upstream Technology Excellence & Diving Excellence
 • Total E&P – Centre of Excellence in Geoscience
 • Expro – Centre of Excellence in Design Engineering
 • ChevTex – Subsea Engineering R&D function
 • FMC Technologies – Technology Development Centre
 • Aker Solutions – manufacturing facility for intelligent control systems and valves
 • AMEC Energy Service – drive their global energy activities from Aberdeen
 • Technip – drive European and N African subsea engineering business
 • Health & Safety training - worldwide reputation, North Sea is international benchmark
 • First class hyperbaric centre
New Opportunities

What is planned?

  • Increase supply chain knowledge of new opportunities e.g.
    • Oil & Gas Decommissioning
    • Carbon Capture & Storage
    • Nuclear Decommissioning & New Build outwith Scotland
    • Offshore Renewables
  • Workshops and events working with trade bodies
  • Promote oil and gas capability to these new sectors
  • Encourage cross learning – e.g. “A Guide to Offshore Wind and
    Oil & Gas Capability
Decommissioning


  Forecast Decommissioning
                             • Total £3.7 billion forecast
         Expenditure
                               expenditure to 2016

                             • Rising from £490 million in
                               2012 to £1,050 million in
                               2016

                             • Brent field (Shell) will
                               account for majority of
                               UKCS expenditure over next
                               few years
Skills

What is planned?

 • Skills issues responsibility driven by others – SDS, OPITO and Trade
     Bodies
 •   But ILG has a role to play
       – Facilitating discussions
       – Sharing data and evidence
       – Using account management system to feed back issues and
         shortages
 •   Probably the number one issue right now
 •   Long-term need to increase the size of the talent pool
 •   Messaging to schools and universities about the long-term nature of the
     industry
Promotion and Place

What is planned?

• Work with others who have the main responsibilities here
         • ASCEF
         • Local Authorities
         • Scottish Govt
• Ensure that views regarding local infrastructure are fed via the ILG into
    the above bodies
•   Ensure that local and national policy makers are aware of the issues
    which impact upon the sector
•   Consider possible sources of investment for infrastructure with a focus on
    business space and transport
Supply Chain: Industry Bodies
Next steps


 • Action Plans and sub-groups
 • Some already underway – skills and
   internationalisation
 • Innovation call starting soon
 • Marketing campaign
 • Industry & Parliamentary events
THANK YOU
Existing enabling technologies

 Major technology contributors to sustaining
   exploration & production in the UKCS


    • Improved seismic imaging (3D and 4D)

    • Under-balance drilling

    • Hydraulic fracture stimulation

    • Horizontal wells
Existing enabling technologies (2)
Examples of future technology
requirements

 Exploration & production tools of the future:

    • Improved reservoir imaging – always!
    • Cost-effective drilling
    • e-field real-time operations management
    • Tail-end production and field rejuvenation
    • Handling problematic reservoir fluids/heavy oil
    • Subsea processing and transport

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Oil & gas sector schotland

  • 1. Oil & Gas Sector in Scotland David Rennie Oil & Gas, Thermal Generation & CCS Director 25 September 2012
  • 2. Scottish Enterprise • Scotland‟s main economic development agency • Work with Scotland‟s key industries • Work in partnership with industry, further education, local authorities and public sector bodies • Investing around £300 million in economic development
  • 3. UKCS History • Gas production started SNS in late 1960s – 50 metres • Oil production started NNS in mid-1970s – 200 metres • West of Shetland started late 1990s – approx 500 metres • Atlantic margin – between1500 – 5000 metres
  • 4. Economic Contribution Supports up to 440,000 Oil and Gas provides 75% of UK jobs – (c. 45% in the UK’s primary energy Scotland) The largest single industry ~ £ 6 billion UK balance of “value adding” trade contribution in 2011 contributor to the UK economy Currently providing 68% ~ £ 11.2 billion in direct of the UK’s oil and taxation 58% of its gas needs
  • 5. UKCS Production UKCS Oil & Gas Production • UK is 19th largest oil and gas producer • Produced 1.8 million boe per day in 2011 • Decline in production offset by growth in oil price Source: DECC
  • 6. UKCS Reserves UKCS Reserves and Resources • Up to 24 billion boe still to be recovered • Technology and investment key to unlocking potential
  • 7. UKCS Expenditure UKCS Overall Expenditure (2012-16) • Total UKCS expenditure increased from £12.4 billion in 2007 to £17 billion in 2011 • £90.5 billion total forecast expenditure over five years 2012-16 • Annual average expenditure £18 billion
  • 8. Current challenges Some challenges of a mature UK oil and gas industry • Control CAPEX and OPEX - massive increase in costs • Ageing assets - maintain integrity of infrastructure - high cost of Operation and Maintenance • Sustain production levels – technology • Create indigenous decommissioning supply chain capability – uncertainty of timing
  • 9.
  • 10. Strategy Themes • Focus on maximising recovery through: – Strengthening our supply chain expertise; – Applying Innovation; – Utilising our skills; – And increasing internationalisation. • Industry led – through Industry Leadership Group
  • 11. Opportunity driven • Around £90bn of investment in the North Sea in the next 5 years • About 40% resources by volume still to extract – more in value terms (up to £1.5 trillion) • Current recovery levels average 40% - for each percentage point rise in recovery: £89bn in economic value £22bn in taxation • Oil and Gas will still meet 70% of UK primary energy needs by 2020 – even if renewable targets are met • Industry supports about 200,000 jobs in Scotland – but needs 10,000 new people over the next 5 years
  • 12.
  • 13. Supply Chain - Domestic What is planned? • Additional account management resource - primarily in Aberdeen • Engage with additional 100 companies over next 3 years – SE currently work with around 175 O&G companies in Aberdeen (230 in Scotland) • Working with trade associations on how to make that happen – identify the best companies • Increase levels of „prospecting‟ within SE • More market research – spends and trends – opportunities in shale gas • Increase engagement with larger companies
  • 14. Supply Chain - International What is planned? • Focus on priority markets (two thirds of current sales) • Increased SDI resource – increase international activity and exports • Plans for Brazil, Norway and West Africa • Building on Calgary and Middle East • All these will have oil and gas focus • Increased SDI resource based in Scotland • Market Intelligence e.g. a guide on “How to do Business in Brazil” • Market research into Middle East Gas opportunities for Scottish firms • Building on existing SDI activity – learning missions and exhibitions • Work with larger companies re inward investment opportunities
  • 16. Innovation What is planned? • Focus on technologies to enhance recovery • £10m over 3 years - series of innovation calls around – Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) – Subsea – Asset integrity • Working with the Industry Technology Facilitator (ITF) to deliver • Significant interest from Industry in this proposal - we can leverage more including field trials and technical support
  • 17. Scotland a major region for centres of excellence • Shell E&P – Centre of Upstream Technology Excellence & Diving Excellence • Total E&P – Centre of Excellence in Geoscience • Expro – Centre of Excellence in Design Engineering • ChevTex – Subsea Engineering R&D function • FMC Technologies – Technology Development Centre • Aker Solutions – manufacturing facility for intelligent control systems and valves • AMEC Energy Service – drive their global energy activities from Aberdeen • Technip – drive European and N African subsea engineering business • Health & Safety training - worldwide reputation, North Sea is international benchmark • First class hyperbaric centre
  • 18. New Opportunities What is planned? • Increase supply chain knowledge of new opportunities e.g. • Oil & Gas Decommissioning • Carbon Capture & Storage • Nuclear Decommissioning & New Build outwith Scotland • Offshore Renewables • Workshops and events working with trade bodies • Promote oil and gas capability to these new sectors • Encourage cross learning – e.g. “A Guide to Offshore Wind and Oil & Gas Capability
  • 19. Decommissioning Forecast Decommissioning • Total £3.7 billion forecast Expenditure expenditure to 2016 • Rising from £490 million in 2012 to £1,050 million in 2016 • Brent field (Shell) will account for majority of UKCS expenditure over next few years
  • 20. Skills What is planned? • Skills issues responsibility driven by others – SDS, OPITO and Trade Bodies • But ILG has a role to play – Facilitating discussions – Sharing data and evidence – Using account management system to feed back issues and shortages • Probably the number one issue right now • Long-term need to increase the size of the talent pool • Messaging to schools and universities about the long-term nature of the industry
  • 21. Promotion and Place What is planned? • Work with others who have the main responsibilities here • ASCEF • Local Authorities • Scottish Govt • Ensure that views regarding local infrastructure are fed via the ILG into the above bodies • Ensure that local and national policy makers are aware of the issues which impact upon the sector • Consider possible sources of investment for infrastructure with a focus on business space and transport
  • 22.
  • 24. Next steps • Action Plans and sub-groups • Some already underway – skills and internationalisation • Innovation call starting soon • Marketing campaign • Industry & Parliamentary events
  • 26. Existing enabling technologies  Major technology contributors to sustaining exploration & production in the UKCS • Improved seismic imaging (3D and 4D) • Under-balance drilling • Hydraulic fracture stimulation • Horizontal wells
  • 28. Examples of future technology requirements  Exploration & production tools of the future: • Improved reservoir imaging – always! • Cost-effective drilling • e-field real-time operations management • Tail-end production and field rejuvenation • Handling problematic reservoir fluids/heavy oil • Subsea processing and transport