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U.S. Total Energy Production vs. Consumption

                                    120


2012 Energy Gap:                    100
                                                                          13% gap
    20%
2025 Energy Gap:                    80
    13%
                            Quads


                                    60
                                                                         Consumption

                                    40                                   Production
Source: EIA Annual Energy
Outlook 2012, Reference
Case                                20


                                      0
                                      2009   2013   2017   2021   2025
U.S. Liquid Fuel Production vs. Consumption

                                   25


2006 Fuel Gap:
                                   20
    60%
2025 Fuel Gap:
                                   15                                                                                          37% gap
     37%
                            Bb/d



                                   10
Source: EIA Annual Energy
Outlook 2012, Reference                                                                                                     Consumption
Case
                                   5
                                                                                                                            Production

                                   0
                                        1970
                                               1975
                                                      1980
                                                             1985
                                                                    1990
                                                                           1995
                                                                                  2000
                                                                                         2005
                                                                                                2010
                                                                                                       2015
                                                                                                              2020
                                                                                                                     2025
U.S. Crude Oil Imports by Country/Region
                  10

                   9

                   8

                   7
                                                                                            Other
Quadrillion Btu




                   6                                                                        Persian Gulf (OPEC)
                                                                                            West Africa (OPEC)
                   5
                                                                                            North Africa (OPEC)
                   4                                                                        Latin America (OPEC)
                                                                                            North Sea
                   3
                                                                                            Mexico
                   2                                                                        Canada

                   1

                   0
                   2009    2011   2013   2015   2017   2019   2021   2023       2025
                                                                        Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
2025 Energy Demand by Fuel Type

                  100                     10.04 quads is just 9.86% of total
                                          energy demand in 2025

                   80
Quadrillion Btu




                   60
                                       Petroleum

                   40                  Natural Gas

                                       Coal

                   20                  Uranium

                                       Renewables

                    0                  Biofuels

                                                         Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
2025 Scenario: Imported Crude Oil Displaced
Total Crude Oil
                                                                      (quads)
Displaced
Distillate fuel oil        Freight LNG (32% penetration)                2.18

Gasoline                   Light duty CNG (22% penetration)             3.91

Gasoline                   EVs (10% penetration)                        1.75

Various crude              Canadian tight oil & gas (est. surplus)      4.86
products
Total crude oil displaced                                               12.69
Total crude oil imported                                                10.04


Total percentage of crude oil imports displaced                         126%

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2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2

  • 1. U.S. Total Energy Production vs. Consumption 120 2012 Energy Gap: 100 13% gap 20% 2025 Energy Gap: 80 13% Quads 60 Consumption 40 Production Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case 20 0 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
  • 2. U.S. Liquid Fuel Production vs. Consumption 25 2006 Fuel Gap: 20 60% 2025 Fuel Gap: 15 37% gap 37% Bb/d 10 Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Consumption Case 5 Production 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
  • 3. U.S. Crude Oil Imports by Country/Region 10 9 8 7 Other Quadrillion Btu 6 Persian Gulf (OPEC) West Africa (OPEC) 5 North Africa (OPEC) 4 Latin America (OPEC) North Sea 3 Mexico 2 Canada 1 0 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
  • 4. 2025 Energy Demand by Fuel Type 100 10.04 quads is just 9.86% of total energy demand in 2025 80 Quadrillion Btu 60 Petroleum 40 Natural Gas Coal 20 Uranium Renewables 0 Biofuels Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
  • 5. 2025 Scenario: Imported Crude Oil Displaced Total Crude Oil (quads) Displaced Distillate fuel oil  Freight LNG (32% penetration) 2.18 Gasoline  Light duty CNG (22% penetration) 3.91 Gasoline  EVs (10% penetration) 1.75 Various crude  Canadian tight oil & gas (est. surplus) 4.86 products Total crude oil displaced 12.69 Total crude oil imported 10.04 Total percentage of crude oil imports displaced 126%

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Cause of Reduction in Gap1 bb/d increase in domestic crude production by 20201 mb/d increase in biofuel production by 2020Limited transportation growth in next decadeIncrease in domestic natural gas production
  2. Take away: Crude oil imports will further rely on Canadian imports