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ZEE Enterprise Limited

ANNUAL REPORT ANALYSIS

                                            Management Discussion & Analysis
Market Data        21th,August 2009              Management has classified FY09 into two distinct parts: the first half from April to
CMP (Rs.)                       195              September and the second half from October to March. While the first half was
Shares outs (Cr)               30.1              fueled by growth and an enhanced competitive environment, the second half saw
Equity Cap (Rs. Cr)            43.4              a slowdown in advertising revenues.
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr)              8,463              Key steps taken by the management into competitive environment were (i) To
Face Value (Rs)                 1.0              take appropriate steps to safeguard its leadership position in a fiercely
Bloomberg Code                 Z.IN              competitive environment (ii) To concentrate on additional revenues from digital
                                                 pay platforms (iii) Rationalize on costs across different heads, especially towards
Analyst :
                                                 the latter half of the year (iv) Fortify its expansion in the international markets.
                                                 Going forward, management estimates that the economic slowdown will be
Rohit Maheshwari
rohit.maheshwari@krchoksey.com                   overcome by the second half of the fiscal 2010 and that an upward trend will
℡ 91-22-6696 5206                                follow with regard to spends by the advertisers. We expect company’s to post a
                                                 muted growth in advertising space and growth will be driven from direct to home
                                                 (DTH) because currently, in India there are ~120 million homes and ~80 million
                                                 these homes have cable and satellite connection of which about 12 million homes
                                                 are on DTH as on March 2009. The DTH homes have increased to 14 million as of
                                                 June 2009.


                                            Significant Event
                                                 The Company started movie production business under Zee Motion Pictures. The
                                                 Company has discontinued the studio model and working to de-risk the business.
                                                 The Company released 15 movies and incurred a loss of Rs 11 crore. The Company
                                                 has few movies to be released.
Operating income grew at a CAGR
                                                 The Company has entered into an agreement with a Charitable Trust/Society to
of 10.1% from FY05 to FY09
                                                 acquire exclusive rights for providing educational infrastructure, content,
                                                 advisory and other related services for a period of 30 years for Rs 75 crore and
                                                 advance of Rs 45.3 crore has been paid for acquiring the rights.
                                                 The Company has bid for a plot in Bandra-Kurla Complex to set up a school. The
                                                 Company is targeting to have 1 million students in KidZee and Zee High School by
                                                 2012-13. This business would be under ETC Network, wherein the Company holds
                                                 50.18% stake.
                                                 The Company has no plans to hive off Zee Sports. It would do a re-structuring of
                                                 sports business once Ten Sports is acquired completely.
                                                 The case against Prasar Bharati is pending. The Company has put a claim for
                                                 about Rs 123 crore which includes Rs 50 crore deposited with the apex court and
                                                 interest of Rs 72.24 crore.
                                                 Ten Sports has acquired telecast rights to 5 cricket boards: Sri Lanka, Pakistan,
                                                 South Africa, West Indies and Zimbabwe giving it over 100 days of cricket every
                                                 year for next 4 years.
                                            Financial Scan – Income Statement
                                                 In FY09, the first half saw advertising revenues growth was 30% and second half it
                                                 register a muted growth on the back of economy slowdown. Advertising revenues
DTH revenues grew 93%                            grew 14%, contributing 49% of revenues and subscription revenues grew 22%
contributing 5% of revenues                      contributing 41% of the revenues.
                                                 Of the subscription revenues, DTH revenues grew 93% contributing 5% of
                                                 revenues, domestic cable revenues grew 20% contributing 15% of revenues and
                                                 international subscription revenues grew 14% contributing 21% of revenues.
                                                 Zee Turner, subsidiary of the Company, distributing Pay TV bouquet, had
                      KRC Research is also available on Bloomberg KRCS<GO>, Thomson First Call, Reuters, Factset and Capital IQ
ZEE Enterprise Limited
                                           revenues of Rs 197.88 crore with loss at PAT level of Rs 15.54 crore and
No further forex losses to be              accumulated losses of Rs 52.48 crore. The bad debt writes off has come down
incurred in FY10.                          from 30% of revenues to 3% of revenues. The Company is facing problems of
                                           collection from cable operators.
                                           The Company incurred forex loss of Rs 88.9 crore for FY2009. This includes forex
                                           loss on derivatives. The Company does not have any derivative contracts as of
Operating costs for the year are           March 31, 2009.
up by 26% on the back of a 68%             Operating costs for the year are up by 26% on the back of a 68% increase in selling
increase in selling and distribution       and distribution costs and 41% increase in personnel costs. This is primarily on
costs and 41% increase in                  account of the increased competition in the Hindi GEC space as also higher
personnel costs                            carriage fees paid during the year.
                                           In addition, on the personnel costs front, higher bonuses were paid during the
                                           year for the performance in the previous year.
                                           In addition, other expenditure is lower by 48% on account of lower bad debt
                                           provisioning and write off (Rs551m in FY09 against Rs1.07bn in FY08).
                                       Financial Scan – Balance Sheet
                                           Secured loan- The total Loan funds of the Company increased from Rs 386.6 crore
                                           as on March 31, 2008 to Rs 575.7 crore on March 31, 2009. This increase is mainly
                                           on account of fixed term borrowing for Taj TV Ltd. at the time for bidding major
                                           sporting events telecasting rights and by Asia Today Ltd. for acquiring Media
                                           assets.
                                           Fixed Assets: During the year, the Company’s Gross Fixed Assets block increased
                                           by Rs. 270.6 crore. This increase is mainly on account of Goodwill arising out of
                                           acquisition of balance 40% shareholding in Asia Business Broadcasting Limited.
                                           There has been addition to New Building premises, additional studio, production
                                           equipment and up-linking facility at NOIDA and at TAJ TV Dubai. The Net Block
                                           increased by Rs. 243.7 crore from Rs. 1498.6.1 crore as on March 31, 2008 to Rs.
                                           1742.3 crore as on March 31, 2009. This increase is on account of increase of
                                           Gross Fixed Assets.
                                           Capital Work in progress- Capital Work-in Progress of Rs 66.9 crore includes Rs.
                                           45.0 crore towards rights for managing School for an Education Business and Rs.
                                           15 crore for Building under constructions.
                                           Investment: The Investments of the Company were valued at Rs. 127.1 crore on
                                           March 31, 2009 as compared to Rs 251.5 crore on March 31, 2008, a decrease of
                                           Rs. 1,24.4 crore over 2008. During the year, Company’s Subsidiary Asia Today
                                           Limited had divested its 100% holding in Pan Asia Infrastructure Limited and
                                           48.44% holding in Broadcast South Asia Limited.
                                           Sundry Debtors: After netting off provision for Doubtful Debts and Bad Debts
In FY09, the Net Debtors is                written off, Net Debtors as on March 31, 2009 stood at Rs 643.6 crore. This was at
improved by 10 days to 107 days.           Rs 590.7 crore as on March 31, 2008. This increase is commensurate to the
                                           increase in scale of operations. The Net Debtors is improved to 107 days of sales
                                           in 2009 as against 117 days of sales in 2008.
                                           Loan and Advances: The total of loans, advances and deposits has increased by
                                           Rs 261.2 crore from Rs 1147.5 crore on March 31, 2008 to Rs 1,408.7 crore on
                                           March 31, 2009. Advances to Dish TV has decreased by Rs 74.7 crore to Rs 243
                                           crore, in case of WWIL it has increased by Rs 48 crore to Rs 155 crore and
                                           promoters & group companies has increased by Rs 115 crore to Rs 843 crore.
                                           Corporate Guarantees: In addition, ZEEL has given corporate guarantees to the
                                           tune of Rs 450 crore in FY09 for group companies. This includes Rs 330 crore for
                                           Dish TV and Rs 92.1 crore for WWIL.


2                                                                                                          KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited


                                         Shareholding Pattern & Fund holding.
Promoter and Institution holding     Shareholding Pattern
remain consistent over the years                                                    FY06   FY07   FY08            FY09
signifying their confidence in the    Promoter & Promoter Group                     41.5   41.5   41.5            41.5
business                              Mutual Funds & FII                            50.1   50.1   50.1            50.1
                                      Public and Other                              8.4    8.4    8.4             8.4


                                     Fund Holding
                                                                                                                    Amt inv
                                                                                                                    (Rs in
                                      Date        Fund House                                        % Net Asset     Cr)
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Equity                                        3.71        87.12
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Equity Inst                                   3.71        87.12
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Top 200                                           1.85        82.80
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Equity                                            1.88        81.35
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Growth                                            5.87        73.42
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Long Term Equity                              3.66        70.52
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Long-term Equity                                  5.34        56.90
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Tax Saver                                     2.30        46.12
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Infrastructure                                    2.35        34.64
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Tax saver                                         1.82        31.61
                                        Jul-09    DSPBR Top 100 Equity Reg                               1.63        31.60
                                        Jul-09    DSPBR Top 100 Equity Inst                              1.63        31.60
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Prudence                                          1.06        29.75
                                        Jul-09    Fidelity Equity                                        1.09        27.45
                                        Jul-09    SBI One India                                          1.90        22.32
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Premier Multi-Cap                                 4.11        19.20
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities                             1.64        18.60
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Regular Savings Equity                        1.30        18.59
                                        Jul-09    Birla Sun Life Equity                                  1.63        18.18
                                        Jul-09    Reliance Media & Entertainment                         13.76       17.85
                                        Jul-09    HDFC Core & Satellite                                  3.39        13.00
                                        Jul-09    Magnum Contra                                          0.43        12.57
                                        Jul-09    Fidelity Tax Advantage                                 1.06        10.38
                                        Jul-09    Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Plan A                 1.11        10.22
                                        Jul-09    Magnum MultiCap                                        1.42           9.49
                                        Jul-09    HDFC LT Advantage                                      1.12           9.30
                                        Jul-09    DSPBR Equity                                           0.69           9.25
                                        Jul-09    Tata Pure Equity                                       2.21           8.80
                                        Jul-09    Tata Equity Opportunities                              1.99           8.09
                                        Jul-09    SBI Bluechip                                           0.71           7.99
                                     Source: Value Researchonline.com




3                                                                                                        KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited


                                       Operational Check
Operating margin declined
significantly by 423bps to 25.2%,        2,400.0                                                                                              35.0

on the back of increase in
                                         2,200.0                                                     29.4
Programming costs is mainly due                                                                                                               30.0
to newly launched Channel and            2,000.0
                                                                                                                              25.2
other key events.
                                                                                                                                              25.0
                                         1,800.0
                                                                                 21.1                 20.9

                                         1,600.0                                                                             23.5
                                                                18.0                                                                          20.0
Net margins improved by 260bps
                                                                                  15.6
to 23.5% despite of increase in          1,400.0
                                                                14.4
                                                                                                                                              15.0
operating cost. The improvement
                                         1,200.0
was mainly on the back of tax                              1,477.1               1,515.9             1,835.4                2,177.3
refund of Rs 142.5 crore, which          1,000.0                                                                                              10.0
led to decline in tax provision by                              FY06              FY07                FY08                   FY09
87%.                                                    Sales                    EBIDTA %                      PAT %

                                       Source: Company Data, KRC Research
                                       Income Statement Analysis

                                               100%
Raw material cost as a % of sales
                                                91%
increased by 186% to 41.97%, on
                                                82%
the back of new show air to retain
                                                73%
its position in Top 3 slots of Hindi            64%
genre.                                          55%

                                                46%

                                                37%

                                                28%
                                                19%

                                                10%

                                                   1%
                                                                 FY06              FY07               FY08                  FY09


                                          Raw Material Costs       Emloyee Exp   Other Expenses   Depriciation   Interest    Tax     Profit/ Loss



                                       Source: Company Data, KRC Research


                                       Revenue Mix


                                          100%
                                           90%
Contribution of Subscription
                                           80%
revenue to sales increased by 100          70%
bps to 41.5% because of DTH                60%
segment, register a growth of 93%          50%
y-o-y basis.                               40%
                                           30%
                                           20%
                                           10%
                                             0%
                                                            FY06                     FY07                    FY08


                                          Advertising revenue              Subscription Revenue              Other Operating Income



4                                                                                                                                  KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited

                                           Other Operating
                                            Income, 9.9%                                                        Advertising
                                                                                                              revenue, 48.6%




                                           Subscription
                                          Revenue, 41.5%


                                      Working Capital Cycle

                                          190.0
                                          170.0
                                          150.0
                                          130.0
                                          110.0
Net cash conversion cycle                  90.0
increased by 74 days to 157 days           70.0
due to poor management of                  50.0
inventory.                                               FY06              FY07              FY08                FY09

                                                    Debtor Days                              Creditors Days
                                                    I nventory Days                          Cash Conversion Cycle
Debtor’s days decreased from
117.5 to 107.9 days, due to           Source: Company Data, KRC Research
effective realization.
                                      Sources of Funds


                                             100%



                                              80%



                                              60%



                                              40%


Portion of loan fund in sources of            20%
fund has increased significantly by
270bps to 12.4%. Debt equity ratio
                                               0%
increased to 0.17 from 0.14.                             FY06            FY07             FY08           FY09

                                            Shareholders Funds        Minority Interest     Loan Funds          CL & Prov



                                      Source: Company Data, KRC Research




5                                                                                                                  KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited
Portion of investment in             Application of Funds
application of fund has decreased
significantly by 360bps to 2.7%. .
During the year, Company’s                 100%

Subsidiary Asia Today Limited had
                                            80%
divested its 100% holding in Pan
Asia Infrastructure Limited and
                                            60%
48.44% holding in Broadcast South
Asia Limited.
                                            40%


                                            20%


                                             0%
                                                        FY06              FY07       FY08          FY09

                                         Fixed Assets          Investments       Cash & Bank Bal   Inventory
                                         Debtors               Loans and Adv     Capital WIP       Deferred Tax liability


                                     Source: Company Data, KRC Research




6                                                                                                       KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited


                         Our View
                         As advertising is the major revenue driver (contribution of ~40-50% to topline) for any
                         broadcasting company, we might see pressure on this front mainly due to corporates are
                         cutting down their advertising spends due to slowdown in the economy. However, on the
                         other hand, subscription revenues (includes DTH, Cable and international revenue) would
                         partially offset some slowdown in the advertising segment because of the aggressive
                         growth strategies being employed by existing DTH players such as BHARTI, DISH TV, TATA
                         SKY, BIG TV.
                         As ZEEL’s is one of the India largest media and entertainment companies and has a
                         presence across genres, it would strongly benefit from a revival in the economy, as we
                         expecting the economy to show signs of revival from H2FY10 onwards. On the other hand
                         company is aggressively trying to regain its No.2 position by launching new programs such
                         as Chotti Bahu, Dance India Dance and Agle Janam Mohe Bitiya Hi Kijo.

                         We believe company is better placed than its peers to face the current economic
                         challenges on advertising front as well tap new opportunities. At the CMP of Rs 195, the
                         company’s stock is trading at 18.9x its FY10E EPS of Rs 10.3 per share.
                         Key Ratios
                          Particulars                                           FY07               FY08                 FY09


                          Per Share Data

                          EPS                                                    2.5               3.26                 3.04

                          Book Value                                            60.4                66                  78.3

                          Equity Dividend %                                     200%               200%                 200%

                          Operating Ratio %

                          EBIDTA %                                              21.1               29.4                 25.2

                          NPM %                                                 15.6               20.9                 23.5

                          Interest Coverage                                     14.5               25.4                 23.9

                          Debt/Equity                                            0.1                0.1                  0.2

                          Return Ratios

                          RoE                                                    9.1               13.4                 15.1

                          RoCE                                                  12.5               19.0                 16.6

                          Dividend payout/ Networth                              2.5                3.0                  2.6

                          Valuation Ratios

                          P/E                                                   78.0               59.8                 64.1

                          P/BV                                                   3.2                3.0                  2.5

                          P/Cash EPS                                            66.4               36.4                 15.0

                          EV/EBIDTA                                             40.6               21.2                  9.9

                          M.Cap/ Sales                                           5.6                4.6                  3.9
                         Source: Company Data, KRC Research
                         Note: FY06 not included since the data available is for 6months hence not comparable


7                                                                                                               KRC Equity Research
ZEE Enterprise Limited



    Rajiv Choksey        Co-Head Institutional Equities         rajiv.choksey@krchoksey.com                 +91-22-6653 5135

    Anuj Choksey         Co-Head Institutional Equities         anuj.choksey@krchoksey.com                  +91-22-6696 5500

    Maulik Patel         Head Research                          maulik.patel@krchoksey.com                  +91-22-6696 5574




Disclaimer:
This publication has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a
security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, investors are advised to satisfy
themselves before making any investments. Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., does not bear any responsibility for the
authentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same.
Further, KRC Research Reports only provide information updates and analysis. All opinion for buying and selling are available to investors
when they are registered clients of KRC Investment Advisory Services. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that, Kisan Ratilal Choksey
Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale
thereof while this report is in circulation.




                                         Please send your feedback to krc.research@krchoksey.com

                                                         Visit us at www.krchoksey.com

                                               Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.

                                                            Registered Office:
                                     1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Fort, Mumbai – 400 001.
                                              Phone: 91-22-6633 5000; Fax: 91-22-6633 8060.

                                                              Branch Office:
                          ABHISHEK, 5th Floor, Link Road, Dalia Industrial Estate, Andheri (W), Mumbai – 400 058.
                                           Phone: 91-22-6696 5555; Fax: 91-22-6691 9576.




8                                                                                                                    KRC Equity Research

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Krc Zee 21 Aug09

  • 1. ZEE Enterprise Limited ANNUAL REPORT ANALYSIS Management Discussion & Analysis Market Data 21th,August 2009 Management has classified FY09 into two distinct parts: the first half from April to CMP (Rs.) 195 September and the second half from October to March. While the first half was Shares outs (Cr) 30.1 fueled by growth and an enhanced competitive environment, the second half saw Equity Cap (Rs. Cr) 43.4 a slowdown in advertising revenues. Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr) 8,463 Key steps taken by the management into competitive environment were (i) To Face Value (Rs) 1.0 take appropriate steps to safeguard its leadership position in a fiercely Bloomberg Code Z.IN competitive environment (ii) To concentrate on additional revenues from digital pay platforms (iii) Rationalize on costs across different heads, especially towards Analyst : the latter half of the year (iv) Fortify its expansion in the international markets. Going forward, management estimates that the economic slowdown will be Rohit Maheshwari rohit.maheshwari@krchoksey.com overcome by the second half of the fiscal 2010 and that an upward trend will ℡ 91-22-6696 5206 follow with regard to spends by the advertisers. We expect company’s to post a muted growth in advertising space and growth will be driven from direct to home (DTH) because currently, in India there are ~120 million homes and ~80 million these homes have cable and satellite connection of which about 12 million homes are on DTH as on March 2009. The DTH homes have increased to 14 million as of June 2009. Significant Event The Company started movie production business under Zee Motion Pictures. The Company has discontinued the studio model and working to de-risk the business. The Company released 15 movies and incurred a loss of Rs 11 crore. The Company has few movies to be released. Operating income grew at a CAGR The Company has entered into an agreement with a Charitable Trust/Society to of 10.1% from FY05 to FY09 acquire exclusive rights for providing educational infrastructure, content, advisory and other related services for a period of 30 years for Rs 75 crore and advance of Rs 45.3 crore has been paid for acquiring the rights. The Company has bid for a plot in Bandra-Kurla Complex to set up a school. The Company is targeting to have 1 million students in KidZee and Zee High School by 2012-13. This business would be under ETC Network, wherein the Company holds 50.18% stake. The Company has no plans to hive off Zee Sports. It would do a re-structuring of sports business once Ten Sports is acquired completely. The case against Prasar Bharati is pending. The Company has put a claim for about Rs 123 crore which includes Rs 50 crore deposited with the apex court and interest of Rs 72.24 crore. Ten Sports has acquired telecast rights to 5 cricket boards: Sri Lanka, Pakistan, South Africa, West Indies and Zimbabwe giving it over 100 days of cricket every year for next 4 years. Financial Scan – Income Statement In FY09, the first half saw advertising revenues growth was 30% and second half it register a muted growth on the back of economy slowdown. Advertising revenues DTH revenues grew 93% grew 14%, contributing 49% of revenues and subscription revenues grew 22% contributing 5% of revenues contributing 41% of the revenues. Of the subscription revenues, DTH revenues grew 93% contributing 5% of revenues, domestic cable revenues grew 20% contributing 15% of revenues and international subscription revenues grew 14% contributing 21% of revenues. Zee Turner, subsidiary of the Company, distributing Pay TV bouquet, had KRC Research is also available on Bloomberg KRCS<GO>, Thomson First Call, Reuters, Factset and Capital IQ
  • 2. ZEE Enterprise Limited revenues of Rs 197.88 crore with loss at PAT level of Rs 15.54 crore and No further forex losses to be accumulated losses of Rs 52.48 crore. The bad debt writes off has come down incurred in FY10. from 30% of revenues to 3% of revenues. The Company is facing problems of collection from cable operators. The Company incurred forex loss of Rs 88.9 crore for FY2009. This includes forex loss on derivatives. The Company does not have any derivative contracts as of Operating costs for the year are March 31, 2009. up by 26% on the back of a 68% Operating costs for the year are up by 26% on the back of a 68% increase in selling increase in selling and distribution and distribution costs and 41% increase in personnel costs. This is primarily on costs and 41% increase in account of the increased competition in the Hindi GEC space as also higher personnel costs carriage fees paid during the year. In addition, on the personnel costs front, higher bonuses were paid during the year for the performance in the previous year. In addition, other expenditure is lower by 48% on account of lower bad debt provisioning and write off (Rs551m in FY09 against Rs1.07bn in FY08). Financial Scan – Balance Sheet Secured loan- The total Loan funds of the Company increased from Rs 386.6 crore as on March 31, 2008 to Rs 575.7 crore on March 31, 2009. This increase is mainly on account of fixed term borrowing for Taj TV Ltd. at the time for bidding major sporting events telecasting rights and by Asia Today Ltd. for acquiring Media assets. Fixed Assets: During the year, the Company’s Gross Fixed Assets block increased by Rs. 270.6 crore. This increase is mainly on account of Goodwill arising out of acquisition of balance 40% shareholding in Asia Business Broadcasting Limited. There has been addition to New Building premises, additional studio, production equipment and up-linking facility at NOIDA and at TAJ TV Dubai. The Net Block increased by Rs. 243.7 crore from Rs. 1498.6.1 crore as on March 31, 2008 to Rs. 1742.3 crore as on March 31, 2009. This increase is on account of increase of Gross Fixed Assets. Capital Work in progress- Capital Work-in Progress of Rs 66.9 crore includes Rs. 45.0 crore towards rights for managing School for an Education Business and Rs. 15 crore for Building under constructions. Investment: The Investments of the Company were valued at Rs. 127.1 crore on March 31, 2009 as compared to Rs 251.5 crore on March 31, 2008, a decrease of Rs. 1,24.4 crore over 2008. During the year, Company’s Subsidiary Asia Today Limited had divested its 100% holding in Pan Asia Infrastructure Limited and 48.44% holding in Broadcast South Asia Limited. Sundry Debtors: After netting off provision for Doubtful Debts and Bad Debts In FY09, the Net Debtors is written off, Net Debtors as on March 31, 2009 stood at Rs 643.6 crore. This was at improved by 10 days to 107 days. Rs 590.7 crore as on March 31, 2008. This increase is commensurate to the increase in scale of operations. The Net Debtors is improved to 107 days of sales in 2009 as against 117 days of sales in 2008. Loan and Advances: The total of loans, advances and deposits has increased by Rs 261.2 crore from Rs 1147.5 crore on March 31, 2008 to Rs 1,408.7 crore on March 31, 2009. Advances to Dish TV has decreased by Rs 74.7 crore to Rs 243 crore, in case of WWIL it has increased by Rs 48 crore to Rs 155 crore and promoters & group companies has increased by Rs 115 crore to Rs 843 crore. Corporate Guarantees: In addition, ZEEL has given corporate guarantees to the tune of Rs 450 crore in FY09 for group companies. This includes Rs 330 crore for Dish TV and Rs 92.1 crore for WWIL. 2 KRC Equity Research
  • 3. ZEE Enterprise Limited Shareholding Pattern & Fund holding. Promoter and Institution holding Shareholding Pattern remain consistent over the years FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 signifying their confidence in the Promoter & Promoter Group 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 business Mutual Funds & FII 50.1 50.1 50.1 50.1 Public and Other 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 Fund Holding Amt inv (Rs in Date Fund House % Net Asset Cr) Jul-09 Reliance Equity 3.71 87.12 Jul-09 Reliance Equity Inst 3.71 87.12 Jul-09 HDFC Top 200 1.85 82.80 Jul-09 HDFC Equity 1.88 81.35 Jul-09 HDFC Growth 5.87 73.42 Jul-09 Reliance Long Term Equity 3.66 70.52 Jul-09 HDFC Long-term Equity 5.34 56.90 Jul-09 Reliance Tax Saver 2.30 46.12 Jul-09 HDFC Infrastructure 2.35 34.64 Jul-09 HDFC Tax saver 1.82 31.61 Jul-09 DSPBR Top 100 Equity Reg 1.63 31.60 Jul-09 DSPBR Top 100 Equity Inst 1.63 31.60 Jul-09 HDFC Prudence 1.06 29.75 Jul-09 Fidelity Equity 1.09 27.45 Jul-09 SBI One India 1.90 22.32 Jul-09 HDFC Premier Multi-Cap 4.11 19.20 Jul-09 HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities 1.64 18.60 Jul-09 Reliance Regular Savings Equity 1.30 18.59 Jul-09 Birla Sun Life Equity 1.63 18.18 Jul-09 Reliance Media & Entertainment 13.76 17.85 Jul-09 HDFC Core & Satellite 3.39 13.00 Jul-09 Magnum Contra 0.43 12.57 Jul-09 Fidelity Tax Advantage 1.06 10.38 Jul-09 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Plan A 1.11 10.22 Jul-09 Magnum MultiCap 1.42 9.49 Jul-09 HDFC LT Advantage 1.12 9.30 Jul-09 DSPBR Equity 0.69 9.25 Jul-09 Tata Pure Equity 2.21 8.80 Jul-09 Tata Equity Opportunities 1.99 8.09 Jul-09 SBI Bluechip 0.71 7.99 Source: Value Researchonline.com 3 KRC Equity Research
  • 4. ZEE Enterprise Limited Operational Check Operating margin declined significantly by 423bps to 25.2%, 2,400.0 35.0 on the back of increase in 2,200.0 29.4 Programming costs is mainly due 30.0 to newly launched Channel and 2,000.0 25.2 other key events. 25.0 1,800.0 21.1 20.9 1,600.0 23.5 18.0 20.0 Net margins improved by 260bps 15.6 to 23.5% despite of increase in 1,400.0 14.4 15.0 operating cost. The improvement 1,200.0 was mainly on the back of tax 1,477.1 1,515.9 1,835.4 2,177.3 refund of Rs 142.5 crore, which 1,000.0 10.0 led to decline in tax provision by FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 87%. Sales EBIDTA % PAT % Source: Company Data, KRC Research Income Statement Analysis 100% Raw material cost as a % of sales 91% increased by 186% to 41.97%, on 82% the back of new show air to retain 73% its position in Top 3 slots of Hindi 64% genre. 55% 46% 37% 28% 19% 10% 1% FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Raw Material Costs Emloyee Exp Other Expenses Depriciation Interest Tax Profit/ Loss Source: Company Data, KRC Research Revenue Mix 100% 90% Contribution of Subscription 80% revenue to sales increased by 100 70% bps to 41.5% because of DTH 60% segment, register a growth of 93% 50% y-o-y basis. 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% FY06 FY07 FY08 Advertising revenue Subscription Revenue Other Operating Income 4 KRC Equity Research
  • 5. ZEE Enterprise Limited Other Operating Income, 9.9% Advertising revenue, 48.6% Subscription Revenue, 41.5% Working Capital Cycle 190.0 170.0 150.0 130.0 110.0 Net cash conversion cycle 90.0 increased by 74 days to 157 days 70.0 due to poor management of 50.0 inventory. FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Debtor Days Creditors Days I nventory Days Cash Conversion Cycle Debtor’s days decreased from 117.5 to 107.9 days, due to Source: Company Data, KRC Research effective realization. Sources of Funds 100% 80% 60% 40% Portion of loan fund in sources of 20% fund has increased significantly by 270bps to 12.4%. Debt equity ratio 0% increased to 0.17 from 0.14. FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Shareholders Funds Minority Interest Loan Funds CL & Prov Source: Company Data, KRC Research 5 KRC Equity Research
  • 6. ZEE Enterprise Limited Portion of investment in Application of Funds application of fund has decreased significantly by 360bps to 2.7%. . During the year, Company’s 100% Subsidiary Asia Today Limited had 80% divested its 100% holding in Pan Asia Infrastructure Limited and 60% 48.44% holding in Broadcast South Asia Limited. 40% 20% 0% FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Fixed Assets Investments Cash & Bank Bal Inventory Debtors Loans and Adv Capital WIP Deferred Tax liability Source: Company Data, KRC Research 6 KRC Equity Research
  • 7. ZEE Enterprise Limited Our View As advertising is the major revenue driver (contribution of ~40-50% to topline) for any broadcasting company, we might see pressure on this front mainly due to corporates are cutting down their advertising spends due to slowdown in the economy. However, on the other hand, subscription revenues (includes DTH, Cable and international revenue) would partially offset some slowdown in the advertising segment because of the aggressive growth strategies being employed by existing DTH players such as BHARTI, DISH TV, TATA SKY, BIG TV. As ZEEL’s is one of the India largest media and entertainment companies and has a presence across genres, it would strongly benefit from a revival in the economy, as we expecting the economy to show signs of revival from H2FY10 onwards. On the other hand company is aggressively trying to regain its No.2 position by launching new programs such as Chotti Bahu, Dance India Dance and Agle Janam Mohe Bitiya Hi Kijo. We believe company is better placed than its peers to face the current economic challenges on advertising front as well tap new opportunities. At the CMP of Rs 195, the company’s stock is trading at 18.9x its FY10E EPS of Rs 10.3 per share. Key Ratios Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 Per Share Data EPS 2.5 3.26 3.04 Book Value 60.4 66 78.3 Equity Dividend % 200% 200% 200% Operating Ratio % EBIDTA % 21.1 29.4 25.2 NPM % 15.6 20.9 23.5 Interest Coverage 14.5 25.4 23.9 Debt/Equity 0.1 0.1 0.2 Return Ratios RoE 9.1 13.4 15.1 RoCE 12.5 19.0 16.6 Dividend payout/ Networth 2.5 3.0 2.6 Valuation Ratios P/E 78.0 59.8 64.1 P/BV 3.2 3.0 2.5 P/Cash EPS 66.4 36.4 15.0 EV/EBIDTA 40.6 21.2 9.9 M.Cap/ Sales 5.6 4.6 3.9 Source: Company Data, KRC Research Note: FY06 not included since the data available is for 6months hence not comparable 7 KRC Equity Research
  • 8. ZEE Enterprise Limited Rajiv Choksey Co-Head Institutional Equities rajiv.choksey@krchoksey.com +91-22-6653 5135 Anuj Choksey Co-Head Institutional Equities anuj.choksey@krchoksey.com +91-22-6696 5500 Maulik Patel Head Research maulik.patel@krchoksey.com +91-22-6696 5574 Disclaimer: This publication has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, investors are advised to satisfy themselves before making any investments. Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., does not bear any responsibility for the authentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further, KRC Research Reports only provide information updates and analysis. All opinion for buying and selling are available to investors when they are registered clients of KRC Investment Advisory Services. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that, Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale thereof while this report is in circulation. Please send your feedback to krc.research@krchoksey.com Visit us at www.krchoksey.com Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd. Registered Office: 1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Fort, Mumbai – 400 001. Phone: 91-22-6633 5000; Fax: 91-22-6633 8060. Branch Office: ABHISHEK, 5th Floor, Link Road, Dalia Industrial Estate, Andheri (W), Mumbai – 400 058. Phone: 91-22-6696 5555; Fax: 91-22-6691 9576. 8 KRC Equity Research