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3 
Collecting Information 
and 
Forecasting Demand 
1
Chapter Questions 
 What are the components of a modern 
marketing information system? 
 What are useful internal records? 
 What makes up a marketing intelligence 
system? 
 What are some influential macro 
environment developments? 
 How can companies accurately measure 
and forecast demand? 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-2
What is a 
Marketing Information System? 
A marketing information system 
consists of people, equipment, and 
procedures to gather, sort, analyze, 
evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, 
and accurate information to 
marketing decision makers. 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-3
Case Study: MEDC 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-4
Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes 
 What decisions do you regularly make? 
 What information do you need to make these 
decisions? 
 What information do you regularly get? 
 What studies do you periodically request? 
 What information would you want that you are 
not getting now? 
 What are the four most helpful improvements 
that could be made in the present marketing 
information system? 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-5
Internal Records and 
Marketing Intelligence 
 Order-to-payment cycle 
 Sales information system 
 Databases, warehousing, data mining 
 Marketing intelligence system 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-6
Database Management 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-7
What is a 
Marketing Intelligence System? 
A marketing intelligence system is 
a set of procedures and sources that 
managers use to obtain everyday 
information about developments in 
the marketing environment. 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-8
Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence 
 Train sales force to scan for new developments 
 Motivate channel members to share intelligence 
 Hire external experts to collect intelligence 
 Network externally 
 Utilize a customer advisory panel 
 Utilize government data sources 
 Purchase information 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-9
Sources of Competitive Information 
 Independent customer goods and service 
review forums 
 Distributor or sales agent feedback sites 
 Combination sites offering customer reviews 
and expert opinions 
 Customer complaint sites 
 Public blogs 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-10
Needs and Trends 
Fad 
Trend 
Megatrend 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-11
Major Forces in the Environment 
Demographic 
Economic 
Socio-cultural 
Natural 
Political-legal 
Technological 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-12
Population and Demographics 
 Population growth 
 Population age mix 
 Ethnic markets 
 Educational groups 
 Household patterns 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-13
Perspective on the Global 
Demographic Environment 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-14
Economic Environment 
Consumer Psychology 
Income Distribution 
Income, Savings, Debt, Credit 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-15
Economic Environment and 
Consumer Psychology 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-16
Income Distribution 
 Subsistence economies 
 Raw-material-exporting economies 
 Industrializing economies 
 Industrial economies 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-17
Social-Cultural Environment 
 Views of themselves 
 Views of others 
 Views of organizations 
 Views of society 
 Views of nature 
 Views of the universe 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-18
Table 3.4 Most Popular 
American Leisure Activities 
 Reading 
 TV Watching 
 Spending time with 
family 
 Going to movies 
 Fishing 
 Computer activities 
 Gardening 
 Renting movies 
 Walking 
 Exercise 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-19
Socio-Cultural Influences 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-20
Natural Environment 
 Shortage of raw materials 
 Increased energy costs 
 Anti-pollution pressures 
 Governmental protections 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-21
Keys to Avoiding 
Green Marketing Myopia 
 Consumer Value Positioning 
 Calibration of Consumer Knowledge 
 Credibility of Product Claims 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-22
Consumer Environmental 
Segments 
 Genuine Greens 
 Not Me Greens 
 Go-with-the-Flow Greens 
 Dream Greens 
 Business First Greens 
 Mean Greens 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-23
Technological Environment 
 Pace of change 
 Opportunities for innovation 
 Varying R&D budgets 
 Increased regulation of change 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-24
The Political-Legal Environment 
Business Legislation 
Growth of Special Interest Groups 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-25
Forecasting and 
Demand Measurement 
 How can we measure market demand? 
 Potential market 
 Available market 
 Target market 
 Penetrated market 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-26
A Vocabulary for 
Demand Measurement 
Market Demand 
Market Forecast 
Market Potential 
Company Demand 
Company Sales Forecast 
Company Sales Potential 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-27
Market Demand Functions 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-28
Estimating Current Demand: 
Total Market Potential 
 Calculations 
 Multiple potential 
number of buyers by 
average quantity each 
purchases times price 
 Chain-ratio method 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-29
Estimating Current Demand: 
Area Market Potential 
Market-Buildup 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-30
Estimating Current Demand: 
Area Market Potential 
Multiple-Factor Index 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-31
Estimating Future Demand 
 Survey of Buyers’ Intentions 
 Composite of Sales Force Opinions 
 Expert Opinion 
 Past-Sales Analysis 
 Market-Test Method 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-32
For Review 
 What are the components of a modern 
marketing information system? 
 What are useful internal records? 
 What makes up a marketing intelligence 
system? 
 What are some influential macroenvironment 
developments? 
 How can companies accurately measure and 
forecast demand? 
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-33

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Kotler mm 14e_03_ippt

  • 1. 3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand 1
  • 2. Chapter Questions  What are the components of a modern marketing information system?  What are useful internal records?  What makes up a marketing intelligence system?  What are some influential macro environment developments?  How can companies accurately measure and forecast demand? Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-2
  • 3. What is a Marketing Information System? A marketing information system consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate information to marketing decision makers. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-3
  • 4. Case Study: MEDC Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-4
  • 5. Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes  What decisions do you regularly make?  What information do you need to make these decisions?  What information do you regularly get?  What studies do you periodically request?  What information would you want that you are not getting now?  What are the four most helpful improvements that could be made in the present marketing information system? Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-5
  • 6. Internal Records and Marketing Intelligence  Order-to-payment cycle  Sales information system  Databases, warehousing, data mining  Marketing intelligence system Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-6
  • 7. Database Management Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-7
  • 8. What is a Marketing Intelligence System? A marketing intelligence system is a set of procedures and sources that managers use to obtain everyday information about developments in the marketing environment. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-8
  • 9. Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence  Train sales force to scan for new developments  Motivate channel members to share intelligence  Hire external experts to collect intelligence  Network externally  Utilize a customer advisory panel  Utilize government data sources  Purchase information Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-9
  • 10. Sources of Competitive Information  Independent customer goods and service review forums  Distributor or sales agent feedback sites  Combination sites offering customer reviews and expert opinions  Customer complaint sites  Public blogs Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-10
  • 11. Needs and Trends Fad Trend Megatrend Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-11
  • 12. Major Forces in the Environment Demographic Economic Socio-cultural Natural Political-legal Technological Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-12
  • 13. Population and Demographics  Population growth  Population age mix  Ethnic markets  Educational groups  Household patterns Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-13
  • 14. Perspective on the Global Demographic Environment Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-14
  • 15. Economic Environment Consumer Psychology Income Distribution Income, Savings, Debt, Credit Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-15
  • 16. Economic Environment and Consumer Psychology Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-16
  • 17. Income Distribution  Subsistence economies  Raw-material-exporting economies  Industrializing economies  Industrial economies Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-17
  • 18. Social-Cultural Environment  Views of themselves  Views of others  Views of organizations  Views of society  Views of nature  Views of the universe Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-18
  • 19. Table 3.4 Most Popular American Leisure Activities  Reading  TV Watching  Spending time with family  Going to movies  Fishing  Computer activities  Gardening  Renting movies  Walking  Exercise Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-19
  • 20. Socio-Cultural Influences Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-20
  • 21. Natural Environment  Shortage of raw materials  Increased energy costs  Anti-pollution pressures  Governmental protections Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-21
  • 22. Keys to Avoiding Green Marketing Myopia  Consumer Value Positioning  Calibration of Consumer Knowledge  Credibility of Product Claims Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-22
  • 23. Consumer Environmental Segments  Genuine Greens  Not Me Greens  Go-with-the-Flow Greens  Dream Greens  Business First Greens  Mean Greens Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-23
  • 24. Technological Environment  Pace of change  Opportunities for innovation  Varying R&D budgets  Increased regulation of change Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-24
  • 25. The Political-Legal Environment Business Legislation Growth of Special Interest Groups Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-25
  • 26. Forecasting and Demand Measurement  How can we measure market demand?  Potential market  Available market  Target market  Penetrated market Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-26
  • 27. A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement Market Demand Market Forecast Market Potential Company Demand Company Sales Forecast Company Sales Potential Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-27
  • 28. Market Demand Functions Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-28
  • 29. Estimating Current Demand: Total Market Potential  Calculations  Multiple potential number of buyers by average quantity each purchases times price  Chain-ratio method Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-29
  • 30. Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential Market-Buildup Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-30
  • 31. Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential Multiple-Factor Index Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-31
  • 32. Estimating Future Demand  Survey of Buyers’ Intentions  Composite of Sales Force Opinions  Expert Opinion  Past-Sales Analysis  Market-Test Method Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-32
  • 33. For Review  What are the components of a modern marketing information system?  What are useful internal records?  What makes up a marketing intelligence system?  What are some influential macroenvironment developments?  How can companies accurately measure and forecast demand? Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-33