Lecture Material @ Strategic Intelligence Studies, University of Indonesia

1. Telecommunication
@
Strategic Intelligence Studies
Arief Hamdani Gunawan
September 10th, 2009

2. Agenda
• Macro – Policy and Business
– Global Condition
– Indonesia
• Micro – Technology and Application
Telecommunication
@
Strategic Intelligence Studies
Arief Hamdani Gunawan
September 10th, 2009

3. Current State of the World: A Digital Divide Exists
17%
17.4%
41% 15.7%
41%
59% 83%
Global MOBILE Penetration Global INTERNET Penetration
For every 100 people worldwide, only 41 have a mobile phone.
Far fewer have Internet access.
Source: World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database online 11th
edition, 2007. Retrieved November 13, 2007, from http://www.itu.int/ITU-
D/ict/statistics/ict/index.html

4. Why Wireless Connectivity Matters
Mobile Penetration:
1% increase 4.7% increase in
average per capita income
Internet Penetration:
1% increase 10.5% increase
in average per capita income
Source: Telecommunications Management Group,
Inc (TMG) and ITU World Telecommunications
Database Statistics; 2007
Nearly ~2 Billion More Devices Than Any Other Computing or Consumer Electronics Device Globally

5. 3G: A Key Solution to Bridging the Digital
Divide- Offering Broadband Today
670 Million+ 3G
Subscribers Today

6. 3G Supports Entire Range of IP Services
•Video/Music
•Telco-quality VoIP
•Low-Latency Gaming
•Push to Talk / Push to Media
•Multimedia Upload/Exchange
•High-Speed Web Browsing
•Streaming/Downloads
•Video Telephony
•Service Tiering
•Multicasting

7. Increasingly Powerful Services
for Consumers
Health &
Mobile TV Fitness
3D Gaming
Mobile
Location-Based Commerce
2D Gaming Services
Voice Wallpaper
3G Services Evolution
Text
Messaging Ringtones MMS Music & Video
on Demand Blogging
Social RSS Feeds Advertising &
Paul,
How did Networking & Tagging Recommend
the
meeting
go?
Send
Options

8. Growing Role of ASEAN in Asia Pacific 3G Market (2008-2012)
Hong Kong
India
1%
22%
Japan
China 30% Australia
14% Others
Australia ASEAN
ASEAN 2%
3%
2%
Others
Korea
15%
Share
Share Hong Kong
1% increased
increased China 1%
ASEAN Taiw an
3%
New Zealand to 29%
to 29% 11%
11% 1%
India
2008 Q1 22%
Taiw an
3% Japan
19%
New Zealand
1%
Korea 2012 Q4
9%
*3G standards include CDMA2000 & WCDMA
Sources: Population (as of 2007) – International Telecommunication Union ICT Statistics Database http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/icteye/Indicators/Indicators.aspx#
Mobile & 3G Subscriber no. (as of Mar 2008) – Wireless Intelligence database www.wirelessintelligence.com & WCIS database

9. 3G * Market Share of ASEAN Economies
(2008 – 2012)
Robust Rise in
Robust Rise in
ASEAN 3G
ASEAN 3G
Subscribers
Subscribers
Mobile 3G 3G Subscriber
3G %
Countries Subscribers Subscribers Growth Rate
(Q4 2012)
(Q4 2012) (Q1 2012) (2008 – 2012)
Indonesia 172.01 M 110.47 M 64.22% 391%
Malaysia 31.18 M 18.94 M 60.74% 1504%
Philippines 85.63 M 34.01 M 39.71% 760%
Singapore 7.77 M 6.68 M 85.93% 219%
Thailand 86.36 M 7.33 M 8.49% 585%
Viet Nam 101.35 M 7.31 M 7.21% 113%
Others (Brunei,
Cambodia, East
Timor, Laos
7.44 M 0.34 M 4.61% 113%
and Myanmar)
*3G standards include CDMA2000 & WCDMA
Others include Brunei, Cambodia, East Timor, Laos and Myanmar.
Sources: Population (as of 2007) – International Telecommunication Union ICT Statistics Database http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/icteye/Indicators/Indicators.aspx#
Mobile & 3G Subscriber no. (as of Mar 2008) – Wireless Intelligence database www.wirelessintelligence.com & WCIS database

10. Mobile Subscribers in ASEAN Economies
Year-to-year
Total mobile
Region/ Country 3G subscribers* growth rate
subscribers
(subscribers)
Asia Pacific 287.73 M 1433.95 M 32%
ASEAN 34.37 M 284.82 M 33%
Brunei 0.13 M 0.36 M 3.07%
Cambodia 0M 2.69 M 55.23%
East Timor 0M 0.09 M 65.45%
Indonesia 22.48 M 98.15 M 51.99%
Laos 0M 0.73 M 30.71%
Malaysia 1.18 M 23.28 M 19.51%
Myanmar 0.04 M 0.08 M 7.11%
Philippines 3.95 M 57.82 M 30.00%
Singapore 2.09M 5.92 M 23.76%
Thailand 1.07M 56.24 M 28.62%
Vietnam 3.43M 39.46 M 139.68%
Singapore 2.09M 5.92 M 23.76%
* 3G standards include CDMA2000 & WCDMA
Sources: Wireless Intelligence database & WCIS database as of Mar 2008.

11. TLKM market share in wireless
market - 2007
Hutchinson
1.6%
24.1%
14.9%
14.2%
36%
Limited Mobility 10.3%
2.5% 58%
46.1%
48.7%
6.1%
Wireless Industry Fixed Wireless

12. Operator Utama TIME
(Telecommunication, Information, Media dan Entertainment)
Fixed Wireline Cellular - GSM Pay TV IT Services
Broadband - Wireline
Portal
Cellular - CDMA
Enterprise
Fixed Wireless Access
Broadband - Wireless
Wholesale Network
12

13. ICT Market Profile
Status: Q1 2008

14. Indonesia Super Low Cost Handset War
Rp 175,000 Rp 168,000 Rp 199,000 * Rp 190,000 * Rp 199,000
($ 19) ($ 18) ($ 22) ($ 21) ($ 22)
Nexian ZTE Huawei ZTE Huawei
FP288 C300 C2601/C2605 X175/X176 C120
Tariff Tariff Tariff Tariff Tariff
Call Rp 49/min Call Rp 1,000/day Call Rp 50/min or Call Free (90 days Call Rp 100/min
unlimited Rp 1,000/hour period)
SMS Rp 5,000 SMS Rp 100/SMS
unlimited SMS Rp 10/SMS Free 1500 SMS SMS Rp 25/SMS
On net Call & SMS On net Call & SMS On net Call & SMS On net Call & SMS On net Call & SMS
* Excl 10% VAT * For purchase prepaid
minutes, handset free

15. IndonesiaTelecommunication Growth
74.318.804
63.803.015
Selular
46.992.118
30.336.607
7.048.058
6.014.031
FWA
4.683.363
1.673.081
8.803.491 June 2007
8.806.702 2006
PSTN 2005
8.824.467
2004
8.703.300
0 10.000.000 20.000.000 30.000.000 40.000.000 50.000.000 60.000.000 70.000.000 80.000.000

16. Why Regulations need to be Managed ?
The WTO Agreement on Basic Telecommunications
Telah diratifikasi UU Nomor 7 Tahun 1994
• UU 36/1999 ttg Telekomunikasi,
• PP 52/2000 ttg Penyelenggaraan
Telekomunikasi dan
• KM.72/1999 ttg Blue Print
Telekomunikasi Indonesia

17. Agenda
• Macro – Policy and Business
• Micro – Technology and Application
Telecommunication
@
Strategic Intelligence Studies
Arief Hamdani Gunawan
September 10th, 2009

18. Car Radio Pioneer (1930)

19. Handie-Talkie Two-Way Radio (1940)

20. Wireless Broadband Evolution
802.21
Media
Independent
Handover

21. The Future trend of Telco Industry
Past Present Future
Telecom Broadcasting Telecom Broadcasting
Broadcasting
Broadcasting Broadcasting
Broadcasting
Voice/Data
Voice/Data Voice/Data
Voice/Data Contents Voice + Data + Image
Program
Program Program
Program
Telecom
Telecom Broadcasting
Broadcasting Telephony Network +
Telecom
Telecom Broadcasting
Broadcasting Network Internet Network +
Network
Network Network
Network Network
Network Network
Network
Broadcasting Network
Telecom
Telecom Telecom
Telecom
TV TV
TV Device Telephone + PC + TV
Devices TV Devices
Devices
Devices
Access lisence Services lisence
The boundary of broadcasting & telecom is being abolished along with the development
of digital technology and broadband network
21

23. Konvergensi

24. Mobile Phone Terminal

25. Technology Overview—Mobile TV

26. Standards

27. Islands of Automation

28. Enterprise Applications

30. DESCRIPTION (1)
1. Temperature control is effortless whether you are at home or on the road. Using an
outdoor sensor to report weather conditions, your system can automatically adjust the
temperature indoors. A programmable thermostat can send a message to your cell
phone if the temperature changes rapidly, indicating a broken air-conditioning or
heating system.
2. For the ultimate in convenience, the television in the master bedroom can show a
movie from the VCR or DVD player in the family room, eliminating the need for
additional players.
3. Satellite, cable and off-air antennas are routed to the distribution panel through a
common point. No matter what service you choose, you can direct TV signals to any
room in the house from a single connection.
4. Home computers can be networked to share the same Internet line, files and printers –
enabling simultaneous online access for your family. You can even monitor your
children’s usage with parental controls installed on select computers. As an added
benefit, you’ll eliminate the cost for additional Internet services and equipment.
5. Strategically placed cameras can broadcast pictures to any TV screen, providing an
added level of security. Checking on the baby is as easy as changing the channel. You
can even view these cameras at your office for added peace of mind.
6. When a visitor rings the doorbell, all programmed phones – whether land lines or
cellular – ring automatically. Whether you’re at home or away, simply use the phone to
talk to the visitor and dial a code to unlock the door. For added protection, the outdoor
camera can send a picture to all the televisions in your home so you can see who’s at
your entranceway.

31. DESCRIPTION (2)
7. Whole-house audio provides music in the entryway, kitchen, bedroom, office or
anywhere you desire. Convenient in-room controls allow you to adjust the volume in
each room or turn the music off completely. Personalized audio playback allows
family members to plug in portable devices and games in specific areas (i.e. a child’s
bedroom, etc.).
8. The Honeywell home automation system provides the highest level of comfort and
convenience. With the press of one button, you can turn on the TV, start the DVD
player, dim the lights and set the volume of the home theater to the perfect level.
9. From refrigerators to washing machines, a new generation of “smart” appliances can
communicate with your home network. The computer can monitor power
consumption and warn you when a component is about to fail, ensuring that your
appliances are running at optimal performance. You can also conveniently schedule
events to occur at select times, like having the coffee pot brew, running the dryer or
filling the hot tub.
10. Incredibly flexible, the electronic distribution panel is the hub for telephone, video,
security and other services. Instead of rewiring every time you move a television,
simply move a patch cable on the panel.
11. The security system protects you and your loved ones from harm. With the ability to
monitor your system via the telephone or a keypad, you’ll have the peace of mind that
comes from knowing that your home and family are safe and sound.

32. Functional
Room

33. Online System Overview
Legend TOILET
System Control Panel Lobby Manager
Bed Room
Keypad: TouchCenter Conference
Smoke Detector
Knox Box
Heat Detector Security/
Water Flow Laboratory Data Center
MIS
Pond
Living Room
PIV Tamper
Panic Room
Manual Pull Station
Water Sensor
Panic Button
Carbon Monoxide
Natural Gas
Temperature
Humidity Store Room
Accounting
AlarmNet-i
Optiflex Camera Break
Door Sensor

34. Complete Element Legend
Control and Expansion
Communication Options
System Control Panel AlarmNet-A: Long Range Radio
Legend 4297 Extender AlarmNet-C: Cellular Network
System Control Panel AlarmNet-I: Intranet Network 6220 Event Printer
VSI - Isolator
Keypad: TouchCenter
User Interfaces and Access Control, Fire Alarm
Smoke Detector
Control Equipment Surveillance, Panic
Knox Box Smoke Detector
Panic Button
Keypad: TouchCenter Knox Box
Heat Detector
Keypad: Alpha Camera Switcher
Water Flow Heat Detector
Keypad: Symphony Access Door
PIV Tamper Water Flow
Keypad: Symphony, Internet
Manual Pull Station Optiflex PIV
Addressable Relay Output
Water Sensor Manual Pull Station
UVS
Addressable Zone Expander
Panic Button
Perimeter Intrusion Interior Intrusion Environmental Alarm
Carbon Monoxide
Energy Management Occupancy Sensing
Natural Gas
Door/window Sensor - Concealed Glass Break - Surface Humidity Threshold
Temperature
Door/window Sensor - Miniature Temperature Threshold
Motion – Long Range
Humidity
Door/window Sensor - Surface
Motion – Wide Angle Volumetric Water Level, Leak and Flood
AlarmNet-i
Door Sensor – Concealed, Wide Gap
Carbon Monoxide
Optiflex Camera
Door Sensor - Overhead Natural Gas
Door Sensor

35. GADGET

36. Fixed Gadgets - video

37. Portable Gadgets - video

38. Entertainment Gadgets - video

39. Spy Cameras

40. Listening Devices

41. Voice Changer

42. Fake Camera

43. Night Vision Camera

44. Tracking

45. At macro level (policy and business) or
at micro level (technology and application),
you know
every stakeholders (gov’t, telco, etc) need to protect
the country