Gabriel Thoumi (Forest Carbon Offsets LLC), Augustus Kent (CO2RS), and Colm Fay (Erb Institute, University of Michigan) sat down on June 29, 2010, to discuss how forest carbon in the US is maturing in terms of finance and insurance standards and how the adoption of these standards can change the face of risk management for forest carbon projects and assets.
2. Conservation Finance –
Forestry is 21st Century Mega-Trend
Sustainability is a mega-trend of the 21st Century.
SEC ruling that climate risk is material to investors.
EPA’s mandate that greenhouse gases be regulated as a pollutant.
Sustainability imperative.
Systematize methods and models.
Align strategy and deployment.
Systematize reporting and communication.
Integrate management.
Trees in forests through photosynthesis consume atmospheric CO2
resulting in mitigating climate change easily and inexpensively.
Current US climate legislation suggests a need for up to 515 million
mtCO2e in biogenic sequestration offsets by 2020, implying 100x market
growth for forest carbon offsets based on 2009 levels.
3. Conservation Finance –
Forest Carbon Portfolio Management Framework
Portfolio management framework.
Risks include financial risks, expropriation, political risk, climate
change risk, local community risk, and model risk.
Investment return vehicles include VC, equity, sovereign debt,
commercial lending, and derivatives on mtCO2e.
Legal and regulatory issues include fee simple property ownership,
carbon as first lien, independent title search on water, timber, oil
and gas, mineral, and development rights, and subnational /
national project rights.
Taxes include ordinary, capital gains, wealth transfer, and
property.
Time horizon for investments are long-term.
Liquidity is low.
Unique characteristics are financial risk mitigation, masquerading,
and financial accounting.
4. Conservation Finance –
Risk Management Key Points
All financial investable assets have risk and return profiles.
Forest carbon is a financial investable asset.
Therefore, industry needs financial risk management best
practices to meet 2020 forest carbon offset demand as
forecasted by US Department of Energy.
Real, measurable, verifiable, additional and insured,
secured, and preferred.
Potential exposures and recommended solutions.
Concerns pertaining to registry administered buffer pools.
How would a revised permanence strategy differ from
current buffer pool designs?
Separate administration structures.
5. Conservation Finance – Standards and Due
Diligence Procedures for Registries Currently
The current registry protocols have put the emphasis on scientific
and social measurements with minimal focus on financial and legal
responsibilities.
What guaranties are in place to ensure viability of the credits?
Do the current procedures meet corporate due-diligence
guidelines?
What is required to adhere to corporate accounting principles?
Registries rely on project developers, managers and verifiers to
follow protocols.
Who is currently responsible, if an error or omission occurs,
whether unintentional or not?
The current submission process’s are dictated by the registries.
What steps have been taken to ensure all parties are legally
required to meet their contractual obligations?
6. Conservation Finance –
Recommended Safeguards
All standards must be transparent, eliminating potential for claims of
misinterpretation.
Reduce potential for errors and/or omissions, by requiring proof of
insurance by all project participants.
Specifically define all steps taken to financially and legally secure the
validity of originators.
Make all parties agree, in writing, to all terms and conditions.
Retain counsel proficient in contractual, insurance and corporate
laws.
Registries must have liability insurance coverages for the directors
and officers, as well as errors and omissions and general liability.
7. Conservation Finance –
The Need for Structure
Many sources of funding - federal, state and private funding.
Increasing complexity of financial vehicles.
Nexus of portfolio managers and stewardship advocacy
organizations.
In the language of Conservation Finance we have the
vocabulary but not the grammar.
Need for a framework to help organizations navigate the
sources of funding that are out there.
8. Conservation Finance –
Increasing Investor Confidence
Management of exposure.
Measureable return on investment – financial and ecological.
Balanced portfolio of financing – debt / grant financing /
donations.
Realizing revenue opportunity through sale of credits,
easements, non-timber forest products, payments for
ecosystem services, and others.
Predictability of future cash flow generation.
Remove opportunity for arbitrage.
Lower transaction costs.
9. Conservation Finance –
Permanence
Permanence is long term contract defined by protocol.
Does the buffer structure pass the your counsel’s legal litmus test?
What steps are taken to guaranty permanence time commitment?
What percentage of credit value is placed on the mechanism to ensure
permanence?
How will registries respond to intentional reversals?
Will there be adequate reserve available for first certified contributors?
What recourse does a project have, if, during verification process, the
protocols are amended? Would the registry be liable for a negative
effects caused to the project?
Is there a legal separation between the buffer pool and the registry? If
not, are there definitive measures in place to remove potential conflict
of interest exposures?
10. Conservation Finance –
Integral Registries’ Buffer Pool Requirements
Complete transparency.
Ensure purchaser confidence in ability to administer reversals.
Require strict adherence to standards agreed by forest carbon credit
originator and all parties involved.
Legally separate buffer pool administration from registry.
Any changes that will effect currently registered projects must be done
via mutual acceptance all parties.
Adequate financial reserves available for any potential expenses –
defense, enforcement, investigation, and other, not covered by registry’s
insurance policies.
Immediately access to carbon credits, if reversals exceed pools credit
reserves.
11. Conservation Finance –
Risk Management Key Points
All financial investable assets have risk and return profiles.
Forest carbon is a financial investable asset.
Therefore, industry needs financial risk management best
practices to meet 2020 forest carbon offset demand as
forecasted by US Department of Energy.
Real, measurable, verifiable, additional and insured,
secured, and preferred.
Potential exposures and recommended solutions.
Concerns pertaining to registry administered buffer pools.
How would a revised permanence strategy differ from
current buffer pool designs?
Separate administration structures.
12. Conservation Finance –
Q&A
Colm Fay, University of Michigan
colmfay@umich.edu
Gabriel Thoumi, Forest Carbon Offsets, LLC
gabrielthoumi@forestcarbonoffsets.net
Gus Kent, CO2RS
gus.kent@co2rs.com
Cameron Prell, McGuire Woods
cprell@mcguirewoods.com
Thank you
13. Conservation Finance –
Further Literature
The Sustainability Imperative by David A. Lubin and Daniel C. Esty
Forest Carbon is in the Climate Bill, but How do we Insure it? With
Trees! By Gus Kent and Gabriel Thoumi,
EcosystemMarketplace.com
Review of Carbon Markets, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, UK
Will Forest Carbon Markets Thrive, or Get Lost in the Woods? By
Gabriel Thoumi, Greenbiz.com
What Kind of Assets Are Forestry Credits? By Talitha Haller and
Gabriel Thoumi, EcosystemMarketplace.com
Strategic Innovation: New Game Strategies for Competitive
Advantage by Allan Afuah