4. Modern lifestyles are energy demanding
Energy consumption
per person
150
100
Energy consumption
per dollar of GDP
50
Historical Medium Longer
Index term term
1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2001-02 2008-09 2019-20
CSIRO.
5. GHG Emissions Sources 2000
52
2
50 Other
Nat Gas
5
Petroleum
6
40
38
Coal
30
Percent
18
20
14
7
10
3 3
2
0
Waste
Other
Forestry
Energy
Land Use,
Stationary
Transport
Industrial
Agriculture
(Electricity)
Source: AGO (2002) National Greenhouse Gas Inventory
CSIRO.
6. CSIRO R&D Priority Outcomes
Cut emissions from energy generation and use
Increase Australia’s transport fuel self-sufficiency
Enhance the value of Australia’s energy endowment
Australia
& Asia
CSIRO.
7. 50% Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions
500
450 Base case (BAU)
Projection
400
350
300
Mt CO2e
250
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
8. Distributed Generation and Energy Management
Two way power flow
The future
Smart meters
distributed power
Intelligent agents
Power arbitrage 2 way grid system
Base-load power
transmission lines
transmission lines
generation ~ 600 MW
Solar cells
Solar cells
Industrial complex /
factory
Wind
farm
Commercial Hospital / shopping
House /
building complex
residential
suburb
Apartment
block
CSIRO.
9. Energy Efficiency and Energy Management
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Ene
400
350
300
Mt CO2e
250
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
10. Distributed Generation
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Ene
400
Distributed generation
Smart house
350
300
Mt CO2e
250
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
12. Role of Renewables
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Ene
400
Distributed generation
Smart house
350 Renewables
300
Mt CO2e
250
Solar thermal
demonstration
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
13. The Entry of Nuclear
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Ene
400
Distributed generation
Smart house
350 Renewables
Nuclear
300
Mt CO2e
250
Solar thermal
demonstration
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
14. Cleaner Fossil Fuel Power Plants
Generator
Boiler
Liquid CO2
Electricity
CO2
Low CO2 flue gas
Absorber
Stripper
Coal
Flue gas
pretreatme
nt
C.W.
Flyash
Flue Gas Reboiler
Thermal efficiency 28 - 33%
CO2 emissions <100 kg/MWh
CSIRO.
15. The Major Role of Cleaner Fossil Energy
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Capturing and Ene
400 long term
Distributed generation
storage of CO2
Smart house
350 Renewables
Nuclear
300
Mt CO2e
250
Fossil
Solar thermal
demonstration
200
150
Flagship trajectory to
achieve 50%
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.
16. More Efficient Transport
Energy Management
500
450 ..
ural.
Base case (BAU)
truct
&s
Projection ncy
fficie
rgy e
Ene
400 Capturing and long term
Distributed generation
storage of CO2
Smart house
350 Renewables
Nuclear
300
Mt CO2e
250
Fossil
Synthetic
Solar thermal
fuels gaining
demonstration
Alte
market
200 rna
tive
share
fue
Ultrabattery ls &v
deployment ehi
c
les
150 Re
Flagship trajectory to duc
ed
achieve 50% trav
el
reduction in GHG
100 emissions
50
50% below 1990 emission levels
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CSIRO.