1. Population Profiles and
Demographic Transitions
-Analyzing human population by country and population changes.
2. Age structure
• Population profiles shows the age structure of a
population, which is the distribution of population by age
• These profiles help demographers project how
populations will change over time.
• shows the age and gender composition of a region
• horizontal axis: divides gender and shows absolute
number of people or in percentage of population
o male: left-hand female: right-hand
• vertical axis: age in 5-year or 10-year intervals
7. Check you Pyramid Profile
knowledge.
• http://www.ageworks.com/course_demo/200/module2/
• What do the examples on the website show?
• Read the text to confirm your answers.
8. Population Pyramids and
Demographic Stages
• characteristics shapes of ‘pyramids’
o wide base (true pyramid)
o wide middle (bulge), somewhat wider base
o urn- or bottle-shaped
o reversed pyramid
• Pre-reproductive Age: 0-14
• Reproductive Age: 15-44
• Post-Reproductive Age: 45 and older
9. Demographic transitions
• Definition: tendency for a population to shift from high
birth and death rates to low birth and death rates. Often
occurs from economic and social development.
• Countries are usually classified into two groups:
• Developed (US, Japan, France)
• Developing (moderately/less developed): Mexico,
Thailand, Ethiopia
• These categories usually experience similar population
dynamics.
10. Population Paradox: Key terms
• Total Fertility Rate: Average number of children born to
each woman
• Replacement level fertility: Number of children a couple
must produce in order to “replace” themselves
• RLF ranges (2.1-2.7) depending on the country. Why?
• Infant mortality rates: number of infant deaths per 1,000
live births
12. Phase 1 (preindustrial stage)
• high birth rates, high (at
time erratic) death rates,
low growth rates
• stage for much of human
history, traditional societies
where people were
susceptible to disease and
family planning was
nonexistent
• practically no country today
13. Phase 2 (transitional stage)
• high birth rates, declining
death rates, rising growth
rates
• improvements in sanitation
(water) and medicine, lack
of family planning
• in developing countries
such as Iraq, Nepal, etc.
• Population Momentum:
population will continue to
grow for 50-60 years after
reaching replacement
fertitlity
14. Phase 3 (industrial stage)
• continued decline of death
rates, declining birth rates,
growth rates decline from
high to lower levels
• change in behavior:
adaptation to lower death
rate, in particular infant
mortality rate
• economic change:
urbanization (incentive to
have fewer children/ China),
changes in women’s role,
better healthcare
15. Phase 4 (postindustrial stage)
• Phase 4: low birth
rates, low death
rates, low growth
rates
o United States,
Canada
• Better education, more
affluent, cultural attitude
toward smaller families,
better standard of living
16. What happens after Phase 4?
• Phase 5?: low birth rates, rising death rates,
declining growth rates (if birth rates drop
below death rates: negative growth rates)
• Zero population growth: birth rates equal
death rates and there is no growth.
• Graying population: proportion of elderly is
increasing
o Western Europe, Japan, Italy, Spain
