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Robert Knakal - State of the Distressed Nation

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Ryan Slack
Ryan Slack

Opening Address: State of the Distressed Union: Where We are and Where We are Headed * Robert Knakal, Chairman, Massey Knakal Realty Services

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ROBERT A. KNAKAL Chairman & Founding Partner Massey Knakal Realty Services BACKGROUND: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BROKERAGE: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INVESTMENT SALES MARKET OVERVIEW ROBERT A. KNAKAL
2. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE METRICS TABLE OF CONTENTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1. NEW YORK CITY OVERVIEW ,[object Object],[object Object],4. MACRO CONSIDERATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],4. OPTIMISM VS. PESSIMISM ,[object Object]
NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES Top Brokerage Firms 2001-2009 Based on # of Transactions (All Sales)
CITYWIDE DOLLAR VOLUME (AGGREGATE SALES PRICE) 2005 –2010, ALL SALES (IN BILLIONS) Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
NYC TOTAL SALE DOLLAR VOLUME 2010 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
NYC TOTAL BUILDINGS SOLD Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
% OF TOTAL STOCK SOLD Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
AVG. PRICE PER PROPERTY SOLD (IN MILLIONS) Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2009 -32%
AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2010 -38%
A. VOLUME CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
B. VALUE CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
C. DISTRESSED ASSETS CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET 1. Banks 2. Special Servicers 3. Government
1. Banks CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. SPECIAL SERVICERS CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. GOVERNMENT CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
As we progress into 2011, there are many reasons for: ,[object Object],[object Object],Half Full or Half Empty?
10 THINGS TO KEEP AN EYE ON: 1. Unemployment 3. Banking 4. Global Implications 5. Supply vs. Demand 2011 and BEYOND 2. Corporate Profits 6. Housing Market 7. Inflation 8. Fed Monetary Policy 9. Deleveraging 10. Deficits, Debt, Pensions
ROBERT A. KNAKAL Chairman & Founding Partner Massey Knakal Realty Services [email_address] Massey Knakal Realty Services 275 Madison Avenue New York, NY 10016

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Robert Knakal - State of the Distressed Nation

  • 1.
  • 2. INVESTMENT SALES MARKET OVERVIEW ROBERT A. KNAKAL
  • 3.
  • 4. NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES Top Brokerage Firms 2001-2009 Based on # of Transactions (All Sales)
  • 5. CITYWIDE DOLLAR VOLUME (AGGREGATE SALES PRICE) 2005 –2010, ALL SALES (IN BILLIONS) Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 6. NYC TOTAL SALE DOLLAR VOLUME 2010 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 7. NYC TOTAL BUILDINGS SOLD Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 8. % OF TOTAL STOCK SOLD Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 9. AVG. PRICE PER PROPERTY SOLD (IN MILLIONS) Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 10. AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2009 -32%
  • 11. AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2010 -38%
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. C. DISTRESSED ASSETS CURRENT ISSUES FOR THE INVESTMENT SALES MARKET 1. Banks 2. Special Servicers 3. Government
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. 10 THINGS TO KEEP AN EYE ON: 1. Unemployment 3. Banking 4. Global Implications 5. Supply vs. Demand 2011 and BEYOND 2. Corporate Profits 6. Housing Market 7. Inflation 8. Fed Monetary Policy 9. Deleveraging 10. Deficits, Debt, Pensions
  • 20. ROBERT A. KNAKAL Chairman & Founding Partner Massey Knakal Realty Services [email_address] Massey Knakal Realty Services 275 Madison Avenue New York, NY 10016