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AGE OF REAL-TIME
                               Future Trends in a Digital World




                     September 2009
                    Teemu Arina
tarina.blogging.fi                                     tar1na
We are in the midst of a historic “upload”,

 a frenetic rush to transfer
 the vast wealth of analog
 culture to the digital
 domain.

 It is still barely
 understood how the
 media of the past ought
 to be preserved, presented
 and interconnected for
 the future.




– The Institute for the Future of the Book (2007)
35%
   of book sales at
Amazon when Kindle
editions are available




               Source: Amazon
HELSINKI CITY LIBRARY


        PHYSICAL VISITS          VIRTUAL VISITS


     7,06m
                             6,44m
                     6,39m




             3,50m




       2003               2007            Source: tilastot.kirjastot.fi
LIBRARIES ONLINE?
SCHOOLS ONLINE?
e-Learning 1.0
NETWORK
WEB 2.0: Architectures
of Participation


                   Photo: Christopher Chan
Ref: Scott Leslie
e-Learning 2.0
WHICH SHELF?
Digitalization frees
information architecture
from the constraints of
physical location.
AVG 80 YEAR OLD




                  15 YEARS
                  WATCHING TV
TV > MOBILE HEAD




                   Image: Judy Breck
1 TRILLION
     hours of TV / YEAR




1%   = 100 Wikipedia
       projects
               Source: Clay Shirky
ALEXANDRIA
WIKIPEDIA
             10 times larger than Library of Alexandria




                                                 Source: Wikipedia
Years old
                         7th MASS
500         Print

                            MEDIA
100
            Radio
            Cinema
            Recordings


 50         Television



 15         Internet



 10         Mobile
                              Ref: Tomi T. Ahonen
A LOOK AT THE HISTORY...
PRE-GUTENBERG ERA
PALIMPSESTS
   “Scraped again”
MANUSCRIPTS
Manuscripts as visual communication
3D INTERFACES
Church as a medium for visual communication
LEARNING AS LOOKING
LEARNING AS READING
MOVABLE TYPE
 Johannes Gutenberg, 1439
“Only a fraction of the history of literacy
         has been typographic.”
              Marshall McLuhan (1962)
PRE-HELVETICA
LEARNING AS READING
    Decorate the margins as you go
MASS-EDUCATION
   Copy/paste text into brain
CONTEXTUALITY
MAN-MACHINE SYMBIOSIS
      – J. C. R. Licklider, 1960
ONE MACHINE


Technology as an extension of man.
Man as an extension of technology.
SOCIAL MEDIA
“We are the genitals of our technology.” – McLuhan
CONTEXTUALITY
  Nonlinearity and probing
FRAMING
 SOCIAL
OBJECTS
Pattern Recognition




“Information overload is an opportunity for
pattern recognition” – Marshall McLuhan
                                              Image: jbum
Look              Read         Perceive patterns


Pre-Gutenberg Era   Gutenberg Era   Post-Gutenberg Era
< Mechanic Age of Speed
> Digital Age of Real-time
The web is transitioning from mere interactivity to a more
dynamic, real-time web where read-write functions are
heading towards balanced synchronicity.

The real-time web is the next logical step in
the Internet’s evolution.

   – OM Malik, Giga OM (2009)
From Pages to Streams
FROM COLLECTING
TO PERCEIVING
  PATTERNS
FROM SEQUENTIAL
    MODELS
TO SIMULTANEOUS
   HAPPENING
THE SIXTH SENSE


colored
 caps
              camera



              projector

      phone    mirror



                          Ref: MIT Media Lab
Ref: MIT Media Lab
Magic Wands


        What do you call a h
                            andheld interface fo
            real, actual objects?                r
                                  "A wand."
                    – Bruce Sterling
"It is the framework which changes
 with each new technology and not
 just the picture within the frame."
             Marshall McLuhan
Thanks!
                              Teemu Arina
                              ceo - dicole ltd.


                              mail teemu@dicole.com
                              blog tarina.blogging.fi
                              web www.dicole.com




     “Imagination is more
  important than knowledge”
       – Albert Einstein

                                                  tar1na

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