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Online Advertising
                 Trends & Forecast
March 21, 2012   2012 Local Online Advertising Conference
Advertising Trends

Group to join:
                 Local Advertising and Marketing Trends


Best Resource for your market: www.adspending.com
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.    All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com




                                                                +4.4%




                                        3.1% CAGR
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.   All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com
“Advertising” is 1/3 of marketing $
                                                                                  2011




                            ($ in Millions)
www.borrellassociates.com




                            © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Promotions is the big driver
www.borrellassociates.com




                            ($ in Millions)




                             © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.   All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com
Local Mobile Advertising
                                                                   By 2016, 88% off all local
                                                                   online advertising will be
                                                                   delivered on a mobile
                                                                   device.
All Rights Reserved.
       © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
www.borrellassociates.com
Strong Growth Ahead for Local Online

                            $30
                                                                                                                                       $27.9
                                                                                                                               $26.6
                                                                             $ in Billions
                                                                                                                       $24.8
                                                                                                               $22.7
                                                                                                 +21.2%
                                                                                                       $19.9
www.borrellassociates.com




                                                                                               $16.4
                                                                                                                11.2% CAGR
                                                                               $13.4   $13.6
                                                                     $12.9


                                                              $8.2

                                                       $5.5
                                                $4.2
                                  $2.0   $2.1

                             $-
                                  2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008      2009    2010    2011    2012f   2013f   2014f   2015f   2016f

© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Change in Local Online Adv. Formats, 2016
www.borrellassociates.com




© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.   All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.   All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com
Weird Little Fact

In 2011, traditional local media
companies controlled 91% of all
advertising, including half of all locally
spent online advertising.

                                Source: Borrell Associates Inc.
How $16b in local online was shared
www.borrellassociates.com




                            © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
www.borrellassociates.com
Big Difference: Online-Only Sales Reps

                                    Gross
                               Online Revenue
                                per Sales Rep                                                                      $208,200
                                (Online $ divided by
                                                                                              $195,000
                               all reps selling digital
                                                                       $185,900
                                     products.)



                                            $146,500
www.borrellassociates.com




                                                                                   $77,400
                                                            $73,300                                      $70,300
                                                                                                                                             $64,387



                                                                                                                                $30,068




                                             All Data     No Dedicated Dedicated   Newsp-No Newsp-Yes TV-No Online TV-Yes      Radio-No     Radio-Yes
                                                              AEs        AEs       Online AEs Online AEs  AEs     Online AEs   Online AEs   Online AEs
                                                                                                                                            N = 271

© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Looking Forward

                                 Micro Trends (most) newspapers
                             Bloodletting is over for
                             Yellow Pages face slow-motion demise
                             Direct Mail entering the “perfect storm”
www.borrellassociates.com




                             A new disruptor is about to wreak havoc
                             ‘Medium’ companies shrinking
                             ‘Media’ company morphing and surviving
Need more information?

Borrell Associates Inc.
Phone: 757-221-6641
Email: info@borrellassociates.com
Twitter: goborrell

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Local Advertising & Local Online Forecasts for U.S. to 2016

  • 1. Online Advertising Trends & Forecast March 21, 2012 2012 Local Online Advertising Conference
  • 2. Advertising Trends Group to join: Local Advertising and Marketing Trends Best Resource for your market: www.adspending.com
  • 3. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved. www.borrellassociates.com +4.4% 3.1% CAGR
  • 4. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved. www.borrellassociates.com
  • 5. “Advertising” is 1/3 of marketing $ 2011 ($ in Millions) www.borrellassociates.com © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. Promotions is the big driver www.borrellassociates.com ($ in Millions) © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 7. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved. www.borrellassociates.com
  • 8. Local Mobile Advertising By 2016, 88% off all local online advertising will be delivered on a mobile device. All Rights Reserved. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. www.borrellassociates.com
  • 9. Strong Growth Ahead for Local Online $30 $27.9 $26.6 $ in Billions $24.8 $22.7 +21.2% $19.9 www.borrellassociates.com $16.4 11.2% CAGR $13.4 $13.6 $12.9 $8.2 $5.5 $4.2 $2.0 $2.1 $- 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 10. Change in Local Online Adv. Formats, 2016 www.borrellassociates.com © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 11. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved. www.borrellassociates.com
  • 12. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved. www.borrellassociates.com
  • 13. Weird Little Fact In 2011, traditional local media companies controlled 91% of all advertising, including half of all locally spent online advertising. Source: Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 14. How $16b in local online was shared www.borrellassociates.com © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 16. Big Difference: Online-Only Sales Reps Gross Online Revenue per Sales Rep $208,200 (Online $ divided by $195,000 all reps selling digital $185,900 products.) $146,500 www.borrellassociates.com $77,400 $73,300 $70,300 $64,387 $30,068 All Data No Dedicated Dedicated Newsp-No Newsp-Yes TV-No Online TV-Yes Radio-No Radio-Yes AEs AEs Online AEs Online AEs AEs Online AEs Online AEs Online AEs N = 271 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 17. Looking Forward Micro Trends (most) newspapers  Bloodletting is over for  Yellow Pages face slow-motion demise  Direct Mail entering the “perfect storm” www.borrellassociates.com  A new disruptor is about to wreak havoc  ‘Medium’ companies shrinking  ‘Media’ company morphing and surviving
  • 18. Need more information? Borrell Associates Inc. Phone: 757-221-6641 Email: info@borrellassociates.com Twitter: goborrell