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Victor  Der  ,  General  Manager    -­  The  Americas  
Atlantic  Council  –  Global  CCS  Institute    Forum    
9  September  2013  
Advanced  Fossil  Energy    Technologies  -­    Key  Issues    to  Energy  Access    
&  Security  and  Enhancing  Environmental  Performance    -­  Role  of  CCS    
Fossil  Fuel’s  Role  in  Meeting  Future  Energy  Demand  
in  a  Carbon-­Constrained  World  
Fossil  Energy  will  continue  to  be  the  dominant  energy  
resource  used  globally    -­    relatively  affordable,  geographically  
diverse  and  abundant    =>  provides  energy  security  
  
Challenge:  Using  fossil  resources  wisely    across  global  
economies    –    affordable  &  environmentally  sustainable  
    
CCS/CCUS  -­    a  key  role  in  meeting  the  challenge  WITH:  
Properly  structured  policies,  regulatory  frameworks    
and  incentives  -­  sustainability  and  certainty  for  markets      
  Continued  Technology  RD&D  investments  -­-­    cost  and  
performance  improvement  
Gain  understanding  and  acceptance  –market    and  
public.  
     2  
DRIVERS  FOR  CCS  
3  
TECHNOLOGY  
POLICY  &  
MARKETS  
UNDERSTANDING  
&  ACCEPTANCE  
1. International  developments  and  opportunities  in  these  areas  
2.   Importance  of  US  Leadership  and  Collaboration  in  the  global  
development,  demonstration  and  deployment  of  CCS  
3. Global  CCS  Institute    –  Knowledge  Sharing;;  Advising;;  Creating  Favorable  
Conditions  for  Global  CCS  Implementation    
CCS:  A  VITAL  PART  OF  OUR  LOW-­CARBON  
ENERGY  FUTURE  
4  
CCS  TECHNOLOGY  –  INTERNATIONAL  
DEVELOPMENTS  
ASSESSMENT  
Individual  CCS  components    broadly  understood    
Many  CCS  aspects  already  technically  mature  
Safe  storage  displayed  by  CCS  projects  operating  over  the  past  decade  
Pilot  &  larger  scale  test  facilities  are  important  contributors  to  knowledge  
Confidence  that  remaining  technical/economic  challenges  can  be  met  
    
OPPORTUNITIES  
Successful  demonstration  of  integrated  operation  at  large  scale  in  power  
and  additional  industrial  processes  is  key:  
o Establishes  positive  acceptance  of  CCS  as  a  ‘proven’  technology  
o Pass  on  ‘learning  by  doing’  cost  savings  
o Build  public  trust  that  CO2  storage  is  safe.  
R&D  to  mature  2nd  generation  capture  technologies  as  a  ‘game-­changer’  
Identification  of  viable  storage  sites  to  facilitate  CCS  deployment  post  2020  
   5  
POLICY  &  MARKETS  –  INTERNATIONAL  
DEVELOPMENTS  
6  
ASSESSMENT  
International  policy  discussions  consistently  acknowledge  importance  of  CCS  -­  
continued  progress  at  UNFCCC,  CEM,  CSLF  and  ISO,  but  …  
Industry  highlights  that  national  climate  and  energy  policies  do  not  provide  long  
term  clarity  to  support  widespread  adoption  of  CCS  projects  (high  capex  &  long  lived)    
CCS  is  often  not  treated  equivalently  to  other  low  carbon  technologies  
National  regulations  have  advanced  but  critical  uncertainties  remain  (storage)  
Existing  CCS  funding  programs  for    demos  mostly  exhausted  
  
OPPORTUNITIES  
Certain  governments  are  considering  approaches  to  re-­invigorate  funding  
programs  –  need  urgent  support  to  maintain  momentum  for  demonstrations  to  2020  
U.S.  –  Potential  support  mechanisms  (CURC  &  NEORI  –  Rockefeller  Bill)?  
Continued  development  of  low  carbon  future  roadmaps:  sustainable  policy  
outcomes  and  market  mechanisms  which  are  technology  neutral    
Post  Kyoto  2020  agreement  for  decision  in  2015  
UNDERSTANDING  &  ACCEPTANCE  –  
INTERNATIONAL  DEVELOPMENTS  
7  
ASSESSMENT  
Stakeholder  relationship  management  critical  to  project  delivery  
Global  awareness  and  understanding  of  CCS  and  CCS  energy  context  is  low  
CCS  communication  focused  on  risks  and  challenges;;  not  value  and  opportunity  
Persistent  views  of  CCS  as  experimental,  not  cost  competitive  and  associated  
with  fossil  fuel  instead  of  role  in  low  carbon  energy  
Building    trust  with  key  stakeholders  is  critical  for  project  acceptance  
  
OPPORTUNITIES  
Successful  global  demonstration  program  is  critical  to  establish  public  and  political  
confidence  in  CCS  –  highlights  urgency  in  progressing  CCS  demonstration  projects  
CCS  projects  are  demonstrating  improved  sharing  and  use  of  best  practice  learning  
Encouraging  public  advocacy  of  CCS  from  trusted  groups  like  academics  and  
environmental  NGOs  to  raise  awareness  and  credibility  of  CCS  
Improve  access  to  education  materials  and  experts  –  particularly  on  topics  like  CO2  
transportation  and  storage.  
  
Opportunities  Created  by  Large  Scale  Projects  with  
Advanced  FE  Technologies  
Integrated  CCUS  projects  like  Kemper    –    valuable  enablers  
for  CCS  along  the  value  chain  (learn  by  doing  via  demos;;  drive  
R&D  for    better  capture  technology;;  create  transport  
infrastructure;;  build  skilled  human  capital;;  increase  understanding  
and  acceptance  of  CCS)  –  Southern  Co.  a  leader  in  CCS/CCUS  
Six  of  nine  operating  projects  are  CO2-­EOR  and  are  in  North  
America  (U.S.  and  Canada)  -­    U.S.  is  a  global  leader    
China    a  new  entrant  with  11  projects  announced  -­  
CCS/CCUS-­  with  emphasis  on  Utilization  aspects  of  CO2  
Advanced  FE  technology  demos  can  offer  platforms  for  next  
generation  CCS    to  lower  cost  and  energy  of  capture  especially  
in  fossil  power  (not  just  about  coal)  and  energy  intensive  and  
process  industries  (cement,  steel,  iron,  aluminum)    
BUT  more  incentives  and  support  needed    
  
8  
ACTIVE  LARGE  SCALE  INTEGRATED  PROJECTS  
9  
Some  progress,  significant  gaps,  urgent  call  to  action  
Lessons  from  the  Past  on  Energy  and  Environment-­
Successful  Deployment  of  New  Technologies  
Technology,  Policy/Regs  and  Market/Public  Acceptance  
must  move  in  concert    –  informing  decisions  with  broad  input;;  
creating  drivers,  opportunities  and  acceptance  
Initial  costs  always  high:    advancing    the  technology  and  
creating  demonstration  opportunities  with    incentives  and  
sustainable  policies  key  to  successful  deployment    
Workable  approach  to  phased-­in  compliance  is  important  
to  success  of  acceptance  and  market  penetration    
Similarities  and  differences  in  compliance  experience  with  
criteria    emissions  and  that  expected  for  carbon  emissions    
Similarities:  Initially  high  cost;;  RD&D  needed  for  commercial  adoption  
&  competitive  tech  =>  market  choices;;  initially  faced  future  regulatory  
uncertainties–  timing  and  emission  reduction  mandates  “debated”    
Differences:  lacking  carbon  valuation  policy;;  magnitude  of  emissions;;  
global  nature  (sustainable  policy  frameworks;;  collaboration  and  capacity  
building  especially  in  developing  economies);;  stakes  are  much  higher      
10  
Technology  –  Importance  of      RD&D  in  Deployment    
Creates  Shared  Knowledge  -­  technology  performance  and  
applications:  
Cutting-­edge  Capture  R&D  in  several  countries  –    
opportunities  for  collaboration  (e.g.,  TCM  Mongstad  
International    Test  Facilities  Network  -­  several  U.S.  pilot  test  
facilities-­e.g.,  NCCC)  
Capacity  development  in  non-­OECD  countries-­  e.g.,    
CCS    demo  experience;;  next  generation  technology;;  
policy/reg/legal  frameworks  and  general  acceptance;;    
Continued  funding  for  CCS  R&D  and  pilot  testing  is  vital    
Technology  suppliers  -­  key  to  assuring  technology  
maturity;;  change  perceptions  about  CCS  being  ‘experimental’    
Warranties  and    performance  guarantees  help  projects.  
FOAK  Demos  like  Kemper-­IGCC/CCS  –    provide  a  “learning  
curve”  for  future  projects  –  better,  faster,  cheaper  
11  
IMPROVED  ENVIRONMENTAL  
PERFORMANCE  
0  
1  
2  
3  
4  
5  
SO2   NOX   PM  
1970  
1997  
2005  (Projected)  
0  
5  
10  
15  
20  
25  
Coal  Use  for  Power    
Generation  in  the  U.S.  
Average  Emission  Rate  from    
U.S.  Coal-­Fired  Power  Plants  
QBtu/yr  
Emissions  
(lb/mm  Btu  Coal  Burned)  
Emissions  Per  Unit  of  Coal  Burned  Have  Decreased  Significantly  
SOX  AND  NOX  TECHNOLOGY-­  
CLEANER  AIR  AT  LOWER  COSTS  
Bef ore
CCT
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$0
Capital  Cost  Per  Plant
SCR
Before
CCT
SCR
Af ter
CCT
CCT
Low   NOx
Burn ers
Af ter
CCT
$75M
$40M
$10M
$100M
$200M
Savings  to
Consumers:
$5 0  BILLION
Savings  to
Consumers:
$2 5  BILLION
Scr ub ber s
For  a  Typical
500MW  Plant
NOx  Co ntrol
Through  2005
Through  2005
14  
KEY  TAKE-­AWAY:    CCS    HAS  ESSENTIAL  ROLE  IN  CLIMATE  AND  
ENERGY  SECURITY    PORTFOLIO  STRATEGY  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
Fossil  Fuels  continues  to  be  dominant  energy  source  in  future    
Technology,  Policy/Markets  and  Acceptance  must  move  in  
harmony    and  sustainably  for  successful  outcomes  
CCS  in  a  clean  technologies  portfolio    with  equitable  incentives  
and  treatment  allows  competition  –  provides  added  pathway.  
Shared  Knowledge    from  more  Demos    is  important    to  
accelerating  CCS  progress  –  [GCCSI  has  mission  to  help  enable]  
Encourage  CCS  capacity  building  in  developing  economies  –        
major  future  emissions    due  to  reliance  on  fossil  energy  
Critical  funding  and    incentives  for  CCS  projects  can  leverage    
big  benefits  –  potential    $2T  cost  savings  with  inclusion  of  CCS  
  Need  CCS  to  meet  GHG  targets  –  stakes  are  high    
  
Networking  capability      Expert  support  to  Members  
Comprehensive  resources       Best  practice  guidelines  and  toolkits  
THE  GLOBAL  CCS  INSTITUTE  –  WHAT  WE  CAN  DO  
GLOBAL  STATUS  OF  CCS:  2013,  SEOUL  
Annual  Global  CCS  Institute  Member  event  
10-­11  October,  2013  with  site  tours  9  October  
Meeting  content  to  be  translated  to  Japanese  
Release  of  annual  Global  Status  of  CCS  report  
Contact  events@globalccsinstitute.com  for  information  
16  
Atlantic Council - Victor Der

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Atlantic Council - Victor Der

  • 1. Victor  Der  ,  General  Manager    -­  The  Americas   Atlantic  Council  –  Global  CCS  Institute    Forum     9  September  2013   Advanced  Fossil  Energy    Technologies  -­    Key  Issues    to  Energy  Access     &  Security  and  Enhancing  Environmental  Performance    -­  Role  of  CCS    
  • 2. Fossil  Fuel’s  Role  in  Meeting  Future  Energy  Demand   in  a  Carbon-­Constrained  World   Fossil  Energy  will  continue  to  be  the  dominant  energy   resource  used  globally    -­    relatively  affordable,  geographically   diverse  and  abundant    =>  provides  energy  security     Challenge:  Using  fossil  resources  wisely    across  global   economies    –    affordable  &  environmentally  sustainable       CCS/CCUS  -­    a  key  role  in  meeting  the  challenge  WITH:   Properly  structured  policies,  regulatory  frameworks     and  incentives  -­  sustainability  and  certainty  for  markets        Continued  Technology  RD&D  investments  -­-­    cost  and   performance  improvement   Gain  understanding  and  acceptance  –market    and   public.       2  
  • 3. DRIVERS  FOR  CCS   3   TECHNOLOGY   POLICY  &   MARKETS   UNDERSTANDING   &  ACCEPTANCE   1. International  developments  and  opportunities  in  these  areas   2.  Importance  of  US  Leadership  and  Collaboration  in  the  global   development,  demonstration  and  deployment  of  CCS   3. Global  CCS  Institute    –  Knowledge  Sharing;;  Advising;;  Creating  Favorable   Conditions  for  Global  CCS  Implementation    
  • 4. CCS:  A  VITAL  PART  OF  OUR  LOW-­CARBON   ENERGY  FUTURE   4  
  • 5. CCS  TECHNOLOGY  –  INTERNATIONAL   DEVELOPMENTS   ASSESSMENT   Individual  CCS  components    broadly  understood     Many  CCS  aspects  already  technically  mature   Safe  storage  displayed  by  CCS  projects  operating  over  the  past  decade   Pilot  &  larger  scale  test  facilities  are  important  contributors  to  knowledge   Confidence  that  remaining  technical/economic  challenges  can  be  met       OPPORTUNITIES   Successful  demonstration  of  integrated  operation  at  large  scale  in  power   and  additional  industrial  processes  is  key:   o Establishes  positive  acceptance  of  CCS  as  a  ‘proven’  technology   o Pass  on  ‘learning  by  doing’  cost  savings   o Build  public  trust  that  CO2  storage  is  safe.   R&D  to  mature  2nd  generation  capture  technologies  as  a  ‘game-­changer’   Identification  of  viable  storage  sites  to  facilitate  CCS  deployment  post  2020     5  
  • 6. POLICY  &  MARKETS  –  INTERNATIONAL   DEVELOPMENTS   6   ASSESSMENT   International  policy  discussions  consistently  acknowledge  importance  of  CCS  -­   continued  progress  at  UNFCCC,  CEM,  CSLF  and  ISO,  but  …   Industry  highlights  that  national  climate  and  energy  policies  do  not  provide  long   term  clarity  to  support  widespread  adoption  of  CCS  projects  (high  capex  &  long  lived)     CCS  is  often  not  treated  equivalently  to  other  low  carbon  technologies   National  regulations  have  advanced  but  critical  uncertainties  remain  (storage)   Existing  CCS  funding  programs  for    demos  mostly  exhausted     OPPORTUNITIES   Certain  governments  are  considering  approaches  to  re-­invigorate  funding   programs  –  need  urgent  support  to  maintain  momentum  for  demonstrations  to  2020   U.S.  –  Potential  support  mechanisms  (CURC  &  NEORI  –  Rockefeller  Bill)?   Continued  development  of  low  carbon  future  roadmaps:  sustainable  policy   outcomes  and  market  mechanisms  which  are  technology  neutral     Post  Kyoto  2020  agreement  for  decision  in  2015  
  • 7. UNDERSTANDING  &  ACCEPTANCE  –   INTERNATIONAL  DEVELOPMENTS   7   ASSESSMENT   Stakeholder  relationship  management  critical  to  project  delivery   Global  awareness  and  understanding  of  CCS  and  CCS  energy  context  is  low   CCS  communication  focused  on  risks  and  challenges;;  not  value  and  opportunity   Persistent  views  of  CCS  as  experimental,  not  cost  competitive  and  associated   with  fossil  fuel  instead  of  role  in  low  carbon  energy   Building    trust  with  key  stakeholders  is  critical  for  project  acceptance     OPPORTUNITIES   Successful  global  demonstration  program  is  critical  to  establish  public  and  political   confidence  in  CCS  –  highlights  urgency  in  progressing  CCS  demonstration  projects   CCS  projects  are  demonstrating  improved  sharing  and  use  of  best  practice  learning   Encouraging  public  advocacy  of  CCS  from  trusted  groups  like  academics  and   environmental  NGOs  to  raise  awareness  and  credibility  of  CCS   Improve  access  to  education  materials  and  experts  –  particularly  on  topics  like  CO2   transportation  and  storage.    
  • 8. Opportunities  Created  by  Large  Scale  Projects  with   Advanced  FE  Technologies   Integrated  CCUS  projects  like  Kemper    –    valuable  enablers   for  CCS  along  the  value  chain  (learn  by  doing  via  demos;;  drive   R&D  for    better  capture  technology;;  create  transport   infrastructure;;  build  skilled  human  capital;;  increase  understanding   and  acceptance  of  CCS)  –  Southern  Co.  a  leader  in  CCS/CCUS   Six  of  nine  operating  projects  are  CO2-­EOR  and  are  in  North   America  (U.S.  and  Canada)  -­    U.S.  is  a  global  leader     China    a  new  entrant  with  11  projects  announced  -­   CCS/CCUS-­  with  emphasis  on  Utilization  aspects  of  CO2   Advanced  FE  technology  demos  can  offer  platforms  for  next   generation  CCS    to  lower  cost  and  energy  of  capture  especially   in  fossil  power  (not  just  about  coal)  and  energy  intensive  and   process  industries  (cement,  steel,  iron,  aluminum)     BUT  more  incentives  and  support  needed       8  
  • 9. ACTIVE  LARGE  SCALE  INTEGRATED  PROJECTS   9   Some  progress,  significant  gaps,  urgent  call  to  action  
  • 10. Lessons  from  the  Past  on  Energy  and  Environment-­ Successful  Deployment  of  New  Technologies   Technology,  Policy/Regs  and  Market/Public  Acceptance   must  move  in  concert    –  informing  decisions  with  broad  input;;   creating  drivers,  opportunities  and  acceptance   Initial  costs  always  high:    advancing    the  technology  and   creating  demonstration  opportunities  with    incentives  and   sustainable  policies  key  to  successful  deployment     Workable  approach  to  phased-­in  compliance  is  important   to  success  of  acceptance  and  market  penetration     Similarities  and  differences  in  compliance  experience  with   criteria    emissions  and  that  expected  for  carbon  emissions     Similarities:  Initially  high  cost;;  RD&D  needed  for  commercial  adoption   &  competitive  tech  =>  market  choices;;  initially  faced  future  regulatory   uncertainties–  timing  and  emission  reduction  mandates  “debated”     Differences:  lacking  carbon  valuation  policy;;  magnitude  of  emissions;;   global  nature  (sustainable  policy  frameworks;;  collaboration  and  capacity   building  especially  in  developing  economies);;  stakes  are  much  higher       10  
  • 11. Technology  –  Importance  of      RD&D  in  Deployment     Creates  Shared  Knowledge  -­  technology  performance  and   applications:   Cutting-­edge  Capture  R&D  in  several  countries  –     opportunities  for  collaboration  (e.g.,  TCM  Mongstad   International    Test  Facilities  Network  -­  several  U.S.  pilot  test   facilities-­e.g.,  NCCC)   Capacity  development  in  non-­OECD  countries-­  e.g.,     CCS    demo  experience;;  next  generation  technology;;   policy/reg/legal  frameworks  and  general  acceptance;;     Continued  funding  for  CCS  R&D  and  pilot  testing  is  vital     Technology  suppliers  -­  key  to  assuring  technology   maturity;;  change  perceptions  about  CCS  being  ‘experimental’     Warranties  and    performance  guarantees  help  projects.   FOAK  Demos  like  Kemper-­IGCC/CCS  –    provide  a  “learning   curve”  for  future  projects  –  better,  faster,  cheaper   11  
  • 12. IMPROVED  ENVIRONMENTAL   PERFORMANCE   0   1   2   3   4   5   SO2   NOX   PM   1970   1997   2005  (Projected)   0   5   10   15   20   25   Coal  Use  for  Power     Generation  in  the  U.S.   Average  Emission  Rate  from     U.S.  Coal-­Fired  Power  Plants   QBtu/yr   Emissions   (lb/mm  Btu  Coal  Burned)   Emissions  Per  Unit  of  Coal  Burned  Have  Decreased  Significantly  
  • 13. SOX  AND  NOX  TECHNOLOGY-­   CLEANER  AIR  AT  LOWER  COSTS   Bef ore CCT $50,000,000 $100,000,000 $150,000,000 $200,000,000 $0 Capital  Cost  Per  Plant SCR Before CCT SCR Af ter CCT CCT Low  NOx Burn ers Af ter CCT $75M $40M $10M $100M $200M Savings  to Consumers: $5 0  BILLION Savings  to Consumers: $2 5  BILLION Scr ub ber s For  a  Typical 500MW  Plant NOx  Co ntrol Through  2005 Through  2005
  • 14. 14   KEY  TAKE-­AWAY:    CCS    HAS  ESSENTIAL  ROLE  IN  CLIMATE  AND   ENERGY  SECURITY    PORTFOLIO  STRATEGY                 Fossil  Fuels  continues  to  be  dominant  energy  source  in  future     Technology,  Policy/Markets  and  Acceptance  must  move  in   harmony    and  sustainably  for  successful  outcomes   CCS  in  a  clean  technologies  portfolio    with  equitable  incentives   and  treatment  allows  competition  –  provides  added  pathway.   Shared  Knowledge    from  more  Demos    is  important    to   accelerating  CCS  progress  –  [GCCSI  has  mission  to  help  enable]   Encourage  CCS  capacity  building  in  developing  economies  –         major  future  emissions    due  to  reliance  on  fossil  energy   Critical  funding  and    incentives  for  CCS  projects  can  leverage     big  benefits  –  potential    $2T  cost  savings  with  inclusion  of  CCS    Need  CCS  to  meet  GHG  targets  –  stakes  are  high      
  • 15. Networking  capability      Expert  support  to  Members   Comprehensive  resources       Best  practice  guidelines  and  toolkits   THE  GLOBAL  CCS  INSTITUTE  –  WHAT  WE  CAN  DO  
  • 16. GLOBAL  STATUS  OF  CCS:  2013,  SEOUL   Annual  Global  CCS  Institute  Member  event   10-­11  October,  2013  with  site  tours  9  October   Meeting  content  to  be  translated  to  Japanese   Release  of  annual  Global  Status  of  CCS  report   Contact  events@globalccsinstitute.com  for  information   16