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Is this really the right
time to buy real estate?
Shouldn’t we wait to buy a home?
4 Things You Should Know
1. It Make Sense Financially
2. Buying Is More Affordable Than Renting
3. A Short Sale Can Be a Great Deal
4. The Experts Are Saying Buy Now
It Make Sense Financially
Return on Investment
50
      January 1, 2000 – March 1, 2012
                                                            36.7
30

         18.4

10




-10
                         -1



-30                                      -24.4


-50
         Dow            S&P             NASDAQ          Real Estate

                                                 MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
The Key: Sell High and Buy Low
2000-2005        2006            2007-2010    TODAY 2012-2015


                                                                Optimism
              Euphoria              Fear
                                             Point of maximum
                                                opportunity

            Point of maximum
            risk in investment
 Optimism
                                             Depression
Projected Appreciation & Depreciation
                 Annual Price Change
3.75
                                        3.23              3.32
3.25
                           2.71
2.75

2.25
                1.75
1.75

1.25

0.75

0.25    - .18
-0.25    2012   2013       2014         2015              2016

                                  Home Price Expectations Survey 12/2011
Mortgage Rates – 30 year fixed
5.25



  5



4.75



 4.5



4.25



  4



3.75



       1/01/2011                   Today
                                 Federal Reserve
Case Shiller Pricing Index




     2000    2003            TODAY
Same Price, Major Difference in Cost

            Price    Rate*                       P&I**

  2003     250,000    5.83                   1,471.66

 TODAY     250,000    4.00                    1,193.54

            Monthly Savings                       278.12




                      * Freddie Mac 30 Year Rate **Principal and Interest
Buying Is More Affordable
     Than Renting
Rent vs. Buy                          Best to Rent

“Certainly prices have                     2%
continued to fall nationally,
but rents have been rising
so this would be the
lowest price-to-rent
ratio that we’ve seen.”
- Jed Kolko,
Trulia chief economist          Best to Buy
                                  98%


                                      Source: Forbes 03/23/2012
Rents Rising Rapidly
$1,200
                National Average Rent
$1,175

$1,150

$1,125

$1,100

$1,075

$1,050

$1,025

$1,000
         2009         2010        2011   2012*         2013*           2014*

                                                                    * projected

                                                 Source: Marcus & Millichap 1/26/2012
Rents Rising Rapidly
“Vacancies in the
  home-rental
 market will push
 average rental
   rates up as
  much as 5%
 by early 2013.”




                       Source: HousingWire 3/16/2012
A Short Sale Can
Be a Great Deal
Short Sales Surging
600          Short Sales in thousands
                                               500
500

                                        397
400
                         354
300           274

200

      103
100


  0
      2008    2009       2010           2011   2012
Value by Sale Category
Type of Sale             % of Value
Non-Distressed Sale        100%
Short Sale                 79%
Foreclosure Sale           71%




                              RealtyTrac 02/2012
The Experts Are
Saying Buy Now
Buy                                                                          Rent
      Housing Cost Over
        Next 30 Years*




      * Assuming payment of $1,500 for both rent and mortgage; a fixed
      rate mortgage and an annual rent increase of 3.2% for inflation.
                                                                         Forbes.com 10/13/2011
Buy                                                                         Rent
           Retirement Fund
             Created from
          Homeowner Equity
            After 30 Years*




      * Assuming $300,000 current value with a 1% annual appreciation
      rate for residential property.
                                                                        Forbes.com 10/13/2011
Chris Thornberg
 Chris Thornberg is a former UCLA economist and
 a founding principal of Beacon Economics.

 2007 -“What’s the point of
 buying today when you can
 buy it for 10 percent less in
 a year? For the life of me, I
 can’t figure out that logic.”
 2012 -“Even if you’ve been
 thinking about buying a condo
 in Vegas or buying a condo in
 Miami, buy now. Now is a
 great time to buy a home.”
Source: Orange County Register 1/12/2012
John R. Talbott




             2003            2006

Huffington Post 12/20/2011
                                    Today
Warren Buffett Speaks Out
                 “If I had a way of
                  buying a couple
                hundred thousand
                    single-family
                   homes I would
                load up on them.”
This Week’s Cover

Barron’s
    Magazine
 


                  
                  
   Are you ready to buy a home?

        Contact me today!

    I would love to be your guide
throughout the home-buying process.
                  

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Is Now a Good Time to Buy a Home?

  • 1. Is this really the right time to buy real estate?
  • 2. Shouldn’t we wait to buy a home?
  • 3. 4 Things You Should Know 1. It Make Sense Financially 2. Buying Is More Affordable Than Renting 3. A Short Sale Can Be a Great Deal 4. The Experts Are Saying Buy Now
  • 4. It Make Sense Financially
  • 5. Return on Investment 50 January 1, 2000 – March 1, 2012 36.7 30 18.4 10 -10 -1 -30 -24.4 -50 Dow S&P NASDAQ Real Estate MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
  • 6. The Key: Sell High and Buy Low 2000-2005 2006 2007-2010 TODAY 2012-2015 Optimism Euphoria Fear Point of maximum opportunity Point of maximum risk in investment Optimism Depression
  • 7. Projected Appreciation & Depreciation Annual Price Change 3.75 3.23 3.32 3.25 2.71 2.75 2.25 1.75 1.75 1.25 0.75 0.25 - .18 -0.25 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Home Price Expectations Survey 12/2011
  • 8. Mortgage Rates – 30 year fixed 5.25 5 4.75 4.5 4.25 4 3.75 1/01/2011 Today Federal Reserve
  • 9. Case Shiller Pricing Index 2000 2003 TODAY
  • 10. Same Price, Major Difference in Cost Price Rate* P&I** 2003 250,000 5.83 1,471.66 TODAY 250,000 4.00 1,193.54 Monthly Savings 278.12 * Freddie Mac 30 Year Rate **Principal and Interest
  • 11. Buying Is More Affordable Than Renting
  • 12. Rent vs. Buy Best to Rent “Certainly prices have 2% continued to fall nationally, but rents have been rising so this would be the lowest price-to-rent ratio that we’ve seen.” - Jed Kolko, Trulia chief economist Best to Buy 98% Source: Forbes 03/23/2012
  • 13. Rents Rising Rapidly $1,200 National Average Rent $1,175 $1,150 $1,125 $1,100 $1,075 $1,050 $1,025 $1,000 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013* 2014* * projected Source: Marcus & Millichap 1/26/2012
  • 14. Rents Rising Rapidly “Vacancies in the home-rental market will push average rental rates up as much as 5% by early 2013.” Source: HousingWire 3/16/2012
  • 15. A Short Sale Can Be a Great Deal
  • 16. Short Sales Surging 600 Short Sales in thousands 500 500 397 400 354 300 274 200 103 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 17. Value by Sale Category Type of Sale % of Value Non-Distressed Sale 100% Short Sale 79% Foreclosure Sale 71% RealtyTrac 02/2012
  • 19. Buy Rent Housing Cost Over Next 30 Years* * Assuming payment of $1,500 for both rent and mortgage; a fixed rate mortgage and an annual rent increase of 3.2% for inflation. Forbes.com 10/13/2011
  • 20. Buy Rent Retirement Fund Created from Homeowner Equity After 30 Years* * Assuming $300,000 current value with a 1% annual appreciation rate for residential property. Forbes.com 10/13/2011
  • 21. Chris Thornberg Chris Thornberg is a former UCLA economist and a founding principal of Beacon Economics. 2007 -“What’s the point of buying today when you can buy it for 10 percent less in a year? For the life of me, I can’t figure out that logic.” 2012 -“Even if you’ve been thinking about buying a condo in Vegas or buying a condo in Miami, buy now. Now is a great time to buy a home.” Source: Orange County Register 1/12/2012
  • 22. John R. Talbott 2003 2006 Huffington Post 12/20/2011 Today
  • 23. Warren Buffett Speaks Out “If I had a way of buying a couple hundred thousand single-family homes I would load up on them.”
  • 25.       Are you ready to buy a home? Contact me today! I would love to be your guide throughout the home-buying process.