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New ICLR publication
Risk reduction status of homes reconstructed following
wildfire disasters in Canada
e-newsletter of the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction
Volume 9, Issue 4
July/August 2015
ICLR Board of Directors
Kathy Bardswick (Chair)
The Co-operators
Barbara Bellissimo
State Farm
Charmaine Dean
Western
Louis Gagnon
Intact
Andy Hrymak
Western
Paul Kovacs
ICLR
Kenn Lalonde
TD Insurance
Sharon Ludlow
Aviva Canada
Sean Murphy
Lloyd’s Canada
Gene Paulsen
Peace Hills
Brian Timney
Western
Johnathan Turner
Swiss Re
Philipp Wassenberg
Munich Re Canada
ICLR’s latest study looks into an
aspect of wildfire disaster mitigation
and recovery that has not been
previously investigated. While
previous research has focused on
wildfire risk mitigations that
homeowners should implement,
those that they intend on
implementing, or their attitudes
towards mitigation and risk, this
investigation sought to answer the
question “To what degree have
homeowners actually adopted and
implemented FireSmart measures
to mitigate the risk of future wildfire
losses?”
The two worst wildland/
urban interface (WUI) fire disasters
in modern Canadian history, the
2003 Okanagan Mountain
Provincial Park wildfire at Kelowna,
British Columbia, and the 2011 Flat
Top Complex of wildfires at Slave
Lake, Alberta, occurred within a
decade of each other. Each was a
tragedy of national scale.
However, these
catastrophic circumstances also
offered a rare occasion to better
understand and
improve upon
the effectiveness
of community
wildfire
protection
and risk
mitigation/
education
programs. This
study assessed
current wildfire
hazard
at 445 homes reconstructed since
these wildfires against
recommended FireSmart®
guidelines. This comparison created
a reliable measure of the degree to
which FireSmart guidelines have
been accepted and adopted by
homeowners.
This study focused on
hazard mitigations applied by
residents at, or very near to, private
homes. It did not assess the broad
scale wildfire mitigations being
applied by Kelowna or Slave Lake
authorities on public lands, such as
extensive fuel treatments, fire
guards, public education initiatives,
and other FireSmart activities
identified in their progressive
Community Wildfire Protection
Plans. The latter actions are also
important and complementary to
mitigations employed in backyards
by local residents.
In general, results of this
investigation showed that a few
FireSmart solutions have
been widely adopted by
homeowners, others in part, ►
Inside this issue:
New ICLR publication 2
Flood-related projects
at ICLR
3, 4/7
Wanted: New
products
5
Preliminary losses:
1H2015
6
2
and some very little or not at all.
The degree of adoption for
known risk mitigations varied
between geographic areas,
between different categories of
wildfire hazards, within
categories of related hazard
factors, and spatially within the
home ignition zone. Equally
important, the study revealed
similarities among levels of
adoption for some risk
mitigations. Differences between
urban centres and more rural
settings were minor. Overall,
twice as many wildfire hazard
factors received a poor adoption
grade, than those that attained
an “excellent” rating.
Specifically, the degree
to which guidelines have been
adopted at private homes was
rated good at Slave Lake, but fair
to poor at Kelowna study sites.
Only conditions at Slave Lake
study sites could be confidently
rated as “FireSmart.” Present
conditions at Kelowna study sites
could result in a repeat of 2003
events in those neighbourhoods.
Spatial analysis of
hazards within the home ignition
zone revealed that the greatest
degree of hazard, and lowest
compliance with guidelines,
existed in the most critical area
(i.e. the home and the first 10m
beyond). Without exception, it
was concluded that the lowest
levels of compliance pertained to
guidelines for mitigating hazards
associated with vegetation/fuel
conditions in all fuel layers, and
in all three FireSmart Priority
Zones. Nearly 60% of all wildfire
hazards were attributed to
deficiencies in vegetation/fuel
mitigations, whereas the hazard
apportioned to each of the
structural, ignition site, and
topographic categories of
hazards ranged from 17% to
10%.
Altogether, the
investigation resulted in sixteen
recommendations. These
address levels of FireSmart
adoption; communication,
awareness, and community
engagement; vegetation
management; home construction
and building materials;
miscellaneous ignition factors;
and the wildfire hazard
assessment system itself.
The author made nine
key recommendations in the
study.
While investigation
results warrant optimism that
persistent programs of wildfire
risk education and awareness
are making progress to alleviate
some important hazard factors, it
is apparent that we are failing in
regard to other hazard factors,
including some of the most
critical. This study justifies
concern that low FireSmart
adoption likely prevails in
hundreds of other fire-prone
communities across Canada.
Wildland/urban interface
disasters are expected to
become more frequent in the
future. Adapting current
programs to promote increased
adoption of wildfire risk mitigation
and to reduce the risk of
catastrophic losses should
become an urgent priority for
insurers, urban planners,
municipal administrators,
researchers, fire prevention
educators and public safety
officials at all levels of
government.
‘Risk reduction status of
homes reconstructed following
wildfire disasters in Canada’ can
be downloaded at www.iclr.org
CT
Risk reduction status of homes cont...
Author
Alan Westhaver, M.Sc. Principal,
ForestWise Environmental Consulting
Ltd., Fernie, B.C.
Alan Westhaver holds degrees in forestry
and wildlife biology from the University of
Montana. He recently retired following 34
years of service to Parks Canada, 27 of
them as a senior wildland fire manager.
His passion for the wildland/urban
interface runs deep. He is a past
president of Partners in Protection, served
on its Board of Directors (1992-2012), and
co-chaired the working group that
developed and published the original
FireSmart manual: Protecting Your
Community from Wildfire in 1999.
Between 1999 and 2012, in conjunction
with the Foothills Research Institute and
the Municipality of Jasper, he planned,
managed, and implemented a
comprehensive community wildfire
protection program for the Town of
Jasper, Alberta. The project merged
ecological restoration and wildfire
protection objectives and involved more
than 1,000 hectares of mechanical and
manual forest treatments. It was lauded
for its many innovations with regards to
communications, community
engagement, and environmental
sensitivity. This real-world experiment
resulted in his 2006 M.Sc. thesis which
integrated knowledge from wildland fire
behavior, forestry, wildlife biology and
social sciences to produce ecologically
based fuel treatments attuned to the
aesthetic concerns of WUI residents - and
well supported by the public. Since
retirement, Alan continues to provide
services in the fields of wildland fire
behavior analysis, community wildfire
protection, FireSmart training, and
environmental impact assessment
through his Fernie-based consulting
company. Alan and his wife, Lisa, spend
much time camping, cycling and
exploring, and are beginning to develop a
fondness for the desert.
3
ICLR continues to engage in a
wide range of activities aimed at
reducing basement and urban
flood risk for communities across
Canada. Much of this work is
related to ICLR’s focus on lot-
level mitigation, but specific
projects on management of urban
flood risk through improvement of
infrastructure have been a
growing emphasis for ICLR. This
article briefly summarizes some
of the ongoing urban flood
mitigation work at ICLR.
Lot-level mitigation measures:
Scientific evidence on
reliability and maintenance
ICLR is partnering with Prof.
Andrew Binns of the School of
Engineering at the University of
Guelph to study several aspects
of lot-level flood mitigation
measures. The first part of this
project, which began in August,
involves developing an apparatus
and to measure long-term
reliability issues and maintenance
requirements for backwater
valves. Future work will involve
testing various types of
backwater valves (e.g., valves
placed in the interior and exterior
of homes, bladder-type valves,
among other products), as well
as several other aspects of lot-
level flood mitigation (for
example, reliability of sump pump
systems, issues related to
sanitary laterals and issues
related to the complexity of
basement flooding, such as how
gravel beds beneath floor slabs
contribute to basement flooding
and regional sewer backup risk).
Testing will take place at UWO’s
Insurance Research Lab for
Better Homes in London, Ontario.
The project is being
guided by a technical committee
comprised of municipal
wastewater and stormwater staff
and insurer representatives.
Initial results of the project should
be available in early 2016 and will
inform continued ICLR outputs
aimed at the public and technical
audiences, including ongoing
work on building code issues.
Building the case to manage
Inflow/Infiltration (I&I) in new
urban subdivisions
ICLR and the Regions of Peel
and York are currently working
with Norton Engineering to
develop evidence concerning
infiltration/inflow1
rates in new
urban developments. Though
common sense would suggest
that brand new developments
would have negligible amounts of
excess water entering sanitary
systems, the experience of many
municipalities suggests that I/I
rates are much higher in new
developments than would be
expected. This work was
motivated by the experience of
several southern Ontario
municipalities with new
subdivisions and by the recent
ICLR report authored by Prof.
Ted Kesik (U of T) entitled Best
Management Practices for the
Management of Inflow and
Infiltration in New Urban
Developments.
Project team members
are currently rounding up sanitary
sewer flow monitoring data from
new subdivisions collected by
various municipalities in Ontario.
The intent of
the project is
to provide
evidence to
promote
regulation of
I/I in new
develop-
ments and to
identify
issues
related to
construction
and
inspection
practices that may affect I/I rates.
Public and stakeholder
education
Development of public and
technical resources to assist both
the public and professionals
involved in the management of
urban flood risk continues to be
one of the core activities of ICLR.
Currently, ICLR is building its
capacity in this area through in
three areas, including:
 Development of accessible
information on lot-level
measures;
 The ongoing “Showcase
Homes” program, and;
 Social marketing research in
partnership with Credit Valley
Conservation Authority.
Over the last few months, ICLR
released a new guide entitled
Focus on Sump Pumps. The
guide outlines various important
aspects related to the proper
installation and maintenance of
sump pumps for homeowners.
ICLR is currently developing the
second in this series of
publications, entitled Focus on
Backwater Valves. Further,
basement flooding continues to
be an emphasis of ICLR’s
Showcase Homes program, with
recent basement flood retrofits
completed in Burlington
(December 2014) and Windsor
(May 2015). ►
An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR
By Dan Sandink, Manager, Resilient Cities and Research, ICLR
An example of I/I, as identified through
flow monitoring in a sanitary system
(Kesik/ICLR 2015)
4
ICLR is working with
Credit Valley Conservation
Authority on the development of a
social marketing strategy focused
both on lot-level green
infrastructure measures and
basement flood mitigation. This
project will identify opportunities
to identify social marketing
approaches to encourage
homeowners to mitigate flood
risk. Specifically, the work aims to
identify internal motivators that
affect homeowner decisions to
undertake property
improvements. Typically
programs aimed at homeowner
risk reduction activities focus on
the technical advantages of
mitigation measures – like
reducing risk and reducing
contributions of stormwater to
municipal systems through
downspout disconnection. There
is evidence to suggest, however,
that property owners may be
more likely to engage in home
improvement activities for other
reasons, for example improving
the aesthetics of their homes and
properties.
The goal of the work will
be to identify factors that motivate
homeowners to undertake risk
reduction measures, aside from
the traditionally emphasized
technical reasons, and use these
motivators to promote mitigation
activities. The work will also
identify how contractors and
suppliers,
including
home
improvement
stores and
plumbers,
can be
better
motivated to
encourage
homeowners
to undertake
risk
reduction
work.
Understanding and promoting
best practices
Cities Adapt to Extreme Rainfall,
released in December 2014,
continues to generate interest in
ICLR’s work related to
management of urban flood risk.
The book was sent to municipal
councils and mayors across
Canada, including Calgary,
Brampton, Edmonton, Gatineau,
Halifax, Hamilton, Kitchener,
Laval, Longueuil, Mississauga,
Montreal, Ottawa, Quebec City,
Saskatoon, Surrey, Vancouver,
Windsor, Winnipeg, Regina and
St. John’s. In several cases,
municipal public servants
requested copies to be provided
directly to city councils to educate
them on urban flood, I/I, and
stormwater management issues.
So far ICLR
staff have been
invited to give
dozens of
presentations
based on the
book to local,
provincial and
national
groups. Later
in 2015, ICLR,
in partnership
with Health
Canada, plans
to release the
second book in
this series, this
time focusing on 20 case studies
of cities management of extreme
heat risk.
Improving building codes and
standards
ICLR continues its involvement in
building code issues related to
management of urban flood risk,
including advising code officials,
provincial and federal code
professionals on various issues
related to management of urban
flood risk through adaptation and
implementation of building and
plumbing codes. ICLR staff have
recently joined a Underwriters’
Laboratories of Canada/ULC
technical committee focused on
the development of standards on
methods designed to reduce
sewer backup risk, including
backwater valves. The first task
of the committee is to develop a
technical standard on “smart”
systems designed to mitigate
basement flood risk (specifically,
sensor controlled, electronic
systems that rely on air-filled
bladders to block sewer
connections during sewer backup
events). The technical committee
will also explore the development
of standards related to other
aspects of lot-level sewer backup
risk reduction, including
alternative measures to
backwater valves. ►
An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR cont...
Window well installation in the Burlington
home, November 2014.
ML-FR4 backwater valve installation in
Windsor home.
5
This year may go down as the
worst year ever for wildfires in
British Columbia. While, to date,
insured damages have been
relatively low (despite 29 homes
being lost in Rock Creek),
suppression costs have been well
above average. Indeed, the
province blew through its $63
million wildfire fighting budget by
the end of June, and Premier
Christy Clark has estimated that
suppression costs may reach
$400 million for the year.
Suppression costs are
also up in Alberta which, by mid-
August, had already experienced
a year’s worth of wildfires (1,600
so far). And Saskatchewan isn’t
faring much better, with estimates
that suppression costs will
exceed $100 million when all is
said and done, significantly
higher than the $56 million
budget set aside for 2015.
But with insured damage
nowhere near that experienced in
Kelowna in 2003 and Slave Lake
in 2011, why should the industry
care about high wildfire
suppression costs?
In ‘Narrowing the gap
between insured and economic
damage from natural
hazards’ (http://bit.ly/1ERW5Nl) I
wrote that the insurance
coverage gap spells opportunity
for the (re)insurance
industry. In essence,
the gap exists – in
part – either because
the proper insurance
products have yet to
exist or because no
one from the (re)
insurance industry
has reached out (to
governments in
particular) to offer
solutions to fill voids
in coverage.
But the
Canadian (re)
insurance sector has
shown that it is capable of great
innovation.
A number of years ago, a
block of reinsurers provided a
fairly simple stop-loss product to
the province of Alberta that was
designed to kick in should wildfire
suppression costs exceed a
certain level (the state of Oregon
has been purchasing such
coverage from Lloyd’s of London
for several decades). The product
was only in force for a year or two
before the province opted not to
renew. Nothing quite like it had
been seen in Canada before, and
nothing has been seen like it
since. But it shows the type of
(dare I say it) ‘out of the box’
thinking that is possible.
There is nothing stopping
such a product from being put
into place again. What’s more, it
can be used as a model for other,
similar products.
Imagine a cover that
kicks in if snow or debris removal
expenses exceed a certain
threshold, or one that reimburses
a municipality or utility if overtime
costs exceed a certain amount
because of an extreme weather
event (like the 2013 Christmas
ice storm in the GTA).
How about a simple stop-
loss cover that kicks in if federal
Disaster Financial Assistance
Arrangements (DFAAs) exceed a
certain amount, or what if the
DFAAs were laid off to the
reinsurance industry altogether?
How about a product that
provides coverage for municipal
assets such as roads, sewers
and culverts, which generally fall
outside the usual products
offered by traditional insurance or
reciprocal exchanges?
What about a parametric
cover that kicks in if a rainstorm
or snowstorm of a certain size
affects a community?
Or how about a cat bond
for a city or province?
The possibilities aren’t
endless, but there are many of
them to be sure. And while some
solutions may require blazing
wholly new trails, other solutions
– like those involving simple stop-
loss covers and other traditional
reinsurance products – can easily
borrow from the past.
Essentially, when a
natural disaster strikes, taxpayers
are – in one way or another – left
holding the bag.
Why not leverage the
capital strength and expertise of
the (re)insurance industry and
lighten the financial burden that is
placed on citizens?
In many cases, it’s not
hard to do.
We’ve
already proven that
we can think
innovatively in the
area, we just need
to do a better job of
reaching out, and
explaining the
possibilities.
CT
Wanted: New products to lighten the financial burden
placed on taxpayers from disasters
By Glenn McGillivray, Managing Director, ICLR
6
According to preliminary Swiss
Re sigma estimates, total
economic losses from natural
catastrophes and man-made
disasters reached USD 37 billion
in the first half of 2015. The
global insurance industry covered
nearly 45% (USD 16.5 billion) of
these losses, which is higher than
the previous 10-year average
cover of 27%. Around 18,000
people lost their lives in disaster
events in H1 2015, up from more
than 4,800 in the first half of last
year. The earthquakes in Nepal,
and a heatwave in India and
Pakistan, claimed the highest
number of victims.
Natural catastrophes
caused total economic losses of
USD 33 billion in the first half of
the year, well below the USD 54
billion in H1 2014 and also the
average first-half year loss over
the previous 10 years (USD 99
billion). Of the overall insured
losses, USD 12.9 billion came
from natural disasters, down from
nearly USD 20 billion in H1 2014
and again below the average first
-half year loss of the previous 10
years (USD 25 billion). The
costliest natural catastrophes for
the insurance industry resulted
from severe winter weather and
thunderstorms in the U.S. and
Europe. In February, a winter
storm in the northeastern U.S.
caused
insurance losses
of USD 1.8
billion, the
highest loss of
any event so far
this year. Man-
made disasters,
meanwhile,
triggered an
additional USD
3.6 billion in
overall insurance
losses in H1
2015.
Disaster
events claimed
many lives in the
first six months
of 2015. In all,
around 18,000
people lost their lives. There were
more than 9,000 fatalities in the
earthquakes that struck Nepal in
close succession in April and
May, the largest loss of life due to
any natural catastrophes so far
this year. The quakes also left
many people homeless. The
economic losses in Nepal are
estimated to be more than USD 5
billion. Of those, only around
USD 160 million were insured
losses.
"The tragic events in
Nepal are a reminder of the utility
of insurance," says Kurt Karl,
Chief Economist at Swiss Re.
"Insurance cover does not lessen
the emotional trauma that natural
catastrophes inflict, but it can
help people better manage the
financial fallout from disasters so
they can start to rebuild their
lives".
In the same region, India
and Pakistan were hit by a
severe heat wave in May and
June. Temperatures soared to
48°C, the highest recorded since
1995. It is estimated that more
than 2,500 people died in India
and 1,500 in Pakistan as a result
of the extreme heat.
Another factor in the high
number of victims of disaster
events in the first half of this year
is the number of migrants who
have died attempting to reach
Europe from conflict zones in
northern Africa, often in
unseaworthy vessels. In search
of a better life, sadly these people
have instead lost their lives as
the boats capsized while carrying
them across the Mediterranean.
CT
Preliminary losses for 1H 2015 $37 billion, number of
victims rise: Swiss Re
7
Climate change and
stormwater management
design standards
IDF curve information is typically
calculated based on historical
rainfall events and does not
account for the impacts of climate
change, and information on how
climate change might affect the
frequency of extreme rainfall
events has historically been out
of reach of most municipal
infrastructure managers. The
intention of the IDFCC tool was to
provide access to a standardized
IDF curve update process that
incorporates Global Climate
Model outputs, thus allowing
users to easily assess the
potential impacts of climate
change on local extreme rainfall
information. This information can
then be used to assess
infrastructure vulnerability and
design infrastructure that can
better cope with rainfall
intensities that are expected
under changing climate
conditions.
The IDFCC tool currently
has over 280 registered users
from various sectors, including
municipal, provincial and federal
governments, conservation
authorities, and the consulting
sector. The tool is publicly
accessible and can be found at
http://www.idf-cc-uwo.ca.
Development of the tool was
facilitated by funding from the
Canadian Water Network and
ICLR.
Conclusion
ICLR has engaged with
stakeholders from across Canada
to promote urban flood mitigation,
and continues to develop new
information to support
homeowners, municipalities and
insurers in the management of
urban flood risk. Additional urban
flood work not summarized in this
article include:
 Support and involvement in
the multi-year, multi-million
dollar FloodNET project,
which brings together flood
researchers from across
Canada to work on a variety
of flood related projects,
including flood warning
systems and urban
stormwater management
issues;
 Providing technical support
for the City of Calgary’s
project on assessment of
flood mitigation measures;
 Ongoing partnership with
Green Communities Canada
to provide technical support
and training for “guides” who
inspect homes for basement
flood risk and mitigation
factors, with events held in
Kitchener/Waterloo, Calgary
North Bay, Hamilton, and
planned events in Barrie and
St. Catharines;
 Flood-related workshops as
part of ICLR’s ongoing Friday
Forum workshop series,
including upcoming
presentations by Alberta
WaterSMART on flood
mitigation activities in Alberta,
and;
 Recent academic
publications on the topic of
urban flood management and
flood insurance.2
CT
Notes
1) Inflow/infiltration (I/I) is excess water
that enters municipal sanitary sewer
systems. I/I is one of the most
important causes of sewer backup
during extreme rainfall events. I/I
also results in capacity and
operational issues at wastewater
treatment plants and can cause
serious environmental problems,
including the release of raw sewage
into lakes and streams during
extreme rainfall events.
2) Sandink, D. (2015). Urban Flooding
and Ground-Related Homes in
Canada: An Overview. Journal of
Flood Risk Management. DOI:
10.1111/jfr3.12168
3) Sandink, D., Kovacs, P., Oulahen,
G., and Shrubsole, D. (2015). Public
Relief and Insurance for Residential
Flood Losses in Canada: Current
Status and Commentary. Canadian
Water Resources Journal. DOI:
10.1080/07011784.2015.1040458
An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR cont...
20 Richmond Street East
Suite 210
Toronto, Ontario
M5C 2R9
Tel: (416) 364-8677
Fax: (416) 364-5889
www.iclr.org
www.basementfloodreduction.com
Mission
To reduce the loss of life and property
caused by severe weather and earthquakes
through the identification and support of
sustained actions that improve society’s
capacity to adapt to, anticipate, mitigate,
withstand and recover from natural
disasters.
Western University
Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel
1151 Richmond Street
London, Ontario
N6G 5B9
Tel: (519) 661-3338
Fax: (519) 661-3339
www.iclr.org
www.basementfloodreduction.com
Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction

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Cat Tales July/August 2015

  • 1. New ICLR publication Risk reduction status of homes reconstructed following wildfire disasters in Canada e-newsletter of the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction Volume 9, Issue 4 July/August 2015 ICLR Board of Directors Kathy Bardswick (Chair) The Co-operators Barbara Bellissimo State Farm Charmaine Dean Western Louis Gagnon Intact Andy Hrymak Western Paul Kovacs ICLR Kenn Lalonde TD Insurance Sharon Ludlow Aviva Canada Sean Murphy Lloyd’s Canada Gene Paulsen Peace Hills Brian Timney Western Johnathan Turner Swiss Re Philipp Wassenberg Munich Re Canada ICLR’s latest study looks into an aspect of wildfire disaster mitigation and recovery that has not been previously investigated. While previous research has focused on wildfire risk mitigations that homeowners should implement, those that they intend on implementing, or their attitudes towards mitigation and risk, this investigation sought to answer the question “To what degree have homeowners actually adopted and implemented FireSmart measures to mitigate the risk of future wildfire losses?” The two worst wildland/ urban interface (WUI) fire disasters in modern Canadian history, the 2003 Okanagan Mountain Provincial Park wildfire at Kelowna, British Columbia, and the 2011 Flat Top Complex of wildfires at Slave Lake, Alberta, occurred within a decade of each other. Each was a tragedy of national scale. However, these catastrophic circumstances also offered a rare occasion to better understand and improve upon the effectiveness of community wildfire protection and risk mitigation/ education programs. This study assessed current wildfire hazard at 445 homes reconstructed since these wildfires against recommended FireSmart® guidelines. This comparison created a reliable measure of the degree to which FireSmart guidelines have been accepted and adopted by homeowners. This study focused on hazard mitigations applied by residents at, or very near to, private homes. It did not assess the broad scale wildfire mitigations being applied by Kelowna or Slave Lake authorities on public lands, such as extensive fuel treatments, fire guards, public education initiatives, and other FireSmart activities identified in their progressive Community Wildfire Protection Plans. The latter actions are also important and complementary to mitigations employed in backyards by local residents. In general, results of this investigation showed that a few FireSmart solutions have been widely adopted by homeowners, others in part, ► Inside this issue: New ICLR publication 2 Flood-related projects at ICLR 3, 4/7 Wanted: New products 5 Preliminary losses: 1H2015 6
  • 2. 2 and some very little or not at all. The degree of adoption for known risk mitigations varied between geographic areas, between different categories of wildfire hazards, within categories of related hazard factors, and spatially within the home ignition zone. Equally important, the study revealed similarities among levels of adoption for some risk mitigations. Differences between urban centres and more rural settings were minor. Overall, twice as many wildfire hazard factors received a poor adoption grade, than those that attained an “excellent” rating. Specifically, the degree to which guidelines have been adopted at private homes was rated good at Slave Lake, but fair to poor at Kelowna study sites. Only conditions at Slave Lake study sites could be confidently rated as “FireSmart.” Present conditions at Kelowna study sites could result in a repeat of 2003 events in those neighbourhoods. Spatial analysis of hazards within the home ignition zone revealed that the greatest degree of hazard, and lowest compliance with guidelines, existed in the most critical area (i.e. the home and the first 10m beyond). Without exception, it was concluded that the lowest levels of compliance pertained to guidelines for mitigating hazards associated with vegetation/fuel conditions in all fuel layers, and in all three FireSmart Priority Zones. Nearly 60% of all wildfire hazards were attributed to deficiencies in vegetation/fuel mitigations, whereas the hazard apportioned to each of the structural, ignition site, and topographic categories of hazards ranged from 17% to 10%. Altogether, the investigation resulted in sixteen recommendations. These address levels of FireSmart adoption; communication, awareness, and community engagement; vegetation management; home construction and building materials; miscellaneous ignition factors; and the wildfire hazard assessment system itself. The author made nine key recommendations in the study. While investigation results warrant optimism that persistent programs of wildfire risk education and awareness are making progress to alleviate some important hazard factors, it is apparent that we are failing in regard to other hazard factors, including some of the most critical. This study justifies concern that low FireSmart adoption likely prevails in hundreds of other fire-prone communities across Canada. Wildland/urban interface disasters are expected to become more frequent in the future. Adapting current programs to promote increased adoption of wildfire risk mitigation and to reduce the risk of catastrophic losses should become an urgent priority for insurers, urban planners, municipal administrators, researchers, fire prevention educators and public safety officials at all levels of government. ‘Risk reduction status of homes reconstructed following wildfire disasters in Canada’ can be downloaded at www.iclr.org CT Risk reduction status of homes cont... Author Alan Westhaver, M.Sc. Principal, ForestWise Environmental Consulting Ltd., Fernie, B.C. Alan Westhaver holds degrees in forestry and wildlife biology from the University of Montana. He recently retired following 34 years of service to Parks Canada, 27 of them as a senior wildland fire manager. His passion for the wildland/urban interface runs deep. He is a past president of Partners in Protection, served on its Board of Directors (1992-2012), and co-chaired the working group that developed and published the original FireSmart manual: Protecting Your Community from Wildfire in 1999. Between 1999 and 2012, in conjunction with the Foothills Research Institute and the Municipality of Jasper, he planned, managed, and implemented a comprehensive community wildfire protection program for the Town of Jasper, Alberta. The project merged ecological restoration and wildfire protection objectives and involved more than 1,000 hectares of mechanical and manual forest treatments. It was lauded for its many innovations with regards to communications, community engagement, and environmental sensitivity. This real-world experiment resulted in his 2006 M.Sc. thesis which integrated knowledge from wildland fire behavior, forestry, wildlife biology and social sciences to produce ecologically based fuel treatments attuned to the aesthetic concerns of WUI residents - and well supported by the public. Since retirement, Alan continues to provide services in the fields of wildland fire behavior analysis, community wildfire protection, FireSmart training, and environmental impact assessment through his Fernie-based consulting company. Alan and his wife, Lisa, spend much time camping, cycling and exploring, and are beginning to develop a fondness for the desert.
  • 3. 3 ICLR continues to engage in a wide range of activities aimed at reducing basement and urban flood risk for communities across Canada. Much of this work is related to ICLR’s focus on lot- level mitigation, but specific projects on management of urban flood risk through improvement of infrastructure have been a growing emphasis for ICLR. This article briefly summarizes some of the ongoing urban flood mitigation work at ICLR. Lot-level mitigation measures: Scientific evidence on reliability and maintenance ICLR is partnering with Prof. Andrew Binns of the School of Engineering at the University of Guelph to study several aspects of lot-level flood mitigation measures. The first part of this project, which began in August, involves developing an apparatus and to measure long-term reliability issues and maintenance requirements for backwater valves. Future work will involve testing various types of backwater valves (e.g., valves placed in the interior and exterior of homes, bladder-type valves, among other products), as well as several other aspects of lot- level flood mitigation (for example, reliability of sump pump systems, issues related to sanitary laterals and issues related to the complexity of basement flooding, such as how gravel beds beneath floor slabs contribute to basement flooding and regional sewer backup risk). Testing will take place at UWO’s Insurance Research Lab for Better Homes in London, Ontario. The project is being guided by a technical committee comprised of municipal wastewater and stormwater staff and insurer representatives. Initial results of the project should be available in early 2016 and will inform continued ICLR outputs aimed at the public and technical audiences, including ongoing work on building code issues. Building the case to manage Inflow/Infiltration (I&I) in new urban subdivisions ICLR and the Regions of Peel and York are currently working with Norton Engineering to develop evidence concerning infiltration/inflow1 rates in new urban developments. Though common sense would suggest that brand new developments would have negligible amounts of excess water entering sanitary systems, the experience of many municipalities suggests that I/I rates are much higher in new developments than would be expected. This work was motivated by the experience of several southern Ontario municipalities with new subdivisions and by the recent ICLR report authored by Prof. Ted Kesik (U of T) entitled Best Management Practices for the Management of Inflow and Infiltration in New Urban Developments. Project team members are currently rounding up sanitary sewer flow monitoring data from new subdivisions collected by various municipalities in Ontario. The intent of the project is to provide evidence to promote regulation of I/I in new develop- ments and to identify issues related to construction and inspection practices that may affect I/I rates. Public and stakeholder education Development of public and technical resources to assist both the public and professionals involved in the management of urban flood risk continues to be one of the core activities of ICLR. Currently, ICLR is building its capacity in this area through in three areas, including:  Development of accessible information on lot-level measures;  The ongoing “Showcase Homes” program, and;  Social marketing research in partnership with Credit Valley Conservation Authority. Over the last few months, ICLR released a new guide entitled Focus on Sump Pumps. The guide outlines various important aspects related to the proper installation and maintenance of sump pumps for homeowners. ICLR is currently developing the second in this series of publications, entitled Focus on Backwater Valves. Further, basement flooding continues to be an emphasis of ICLR’s Showcase Homes program, with recent basement flood retrofits completed in Burlington (December 2014) and Windsor (May 2015). ► An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR By Dan Sandink, Manager, Resilient Cities and Research, ICLR An example of I/I, as identified through flow monitoring in a sanitary system (Kesik/ICLR 2015)
  • 4. 4 ICLR is working with Credit Valley Conservation Authority on the development of a social marketing strategy focused both on lot-level green infrastructure measures and basement flood mitigation. This project will identify opportunities to identify social marketing approaches to encourage homeowners to mitigate flood risk. Specifically, the work aims to identify internal motivators that affect homeowner decisions to undertake property improvements. Typically programs aimed at homeowner risk reduction activities focus on the technical advantages of mitigation measures – like reducing risk and reducing contributions of stormwater to municipal systems through downspout disconnection. There is evidence to suggest, however, that property owners may be more likely to engage in home improvement activities for other reasons, for example improving the aesthetics of their homes and properties. The goal of the work will be to identify factors that motivate homeowners to undertake risk reduction measures, aside from the traditionally emphasized technical reasons, and use these motivators to promote mitigation activities. The work will also identify how contractors and suppliers, including home improvement stores and plumbers, can be better motivated to encourage homeowners to undertake risk reduction work. Understanding and promoting best practices Cities Adapt to Extreme Rainfall, released in December 2014, continues to generate interest in ICLR’s work related to management of urban flood risk. The book was sent to municipal councils and mayors across Canada, including Calgary, Brampton, Edmonton, Gatineau, Halifax, Hamilton, Kitchener, Laval, Longueuil, Mississauga, Montreal, Ottawa, Quebec City, Saskatoon, Surrey, Vancouver, Windsor, Winnipeg, Regina and St. John’s. In several cases, municipal public servants requested copies to be provided directly to city councils to educate them on urban flood, I/I, and stormwater management issues. So far ICLR staff have been invited to give dozens of presentations based on the book to local, provincial and national groups. Later in 2015, ICLR, in partnership with Health Canada, plans to release the second book in this series, this time focusing on 20 case studies of cities management of extreme heat risk. Improving building codes and standards ICLR continues its involvement in building code issues related to management of urban flood risk, including advising code officials, provincial and federal code professionals on various issues related to management of urban flood risk through adaptation and implementation of building and plumbing codes. ICLR staff have recently joined a Underwriters’ Laboratories of Canada/ULC technical committee focused on the development of standards on methods designed to reduce sewer backup risk, including backwater valves. The first task of the committee is to develop a technical standard on “smart” systems designed to mitigate basement flood risk (specifically, sensor controlled, electronic systems that rely on air-filled bladders to block sewer connections during sewer backup events). The technical committee will also explore the development of standards related to other aspects of lot-level sewer backup risk reduction, including alternative measures to backwater valves. ► An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR cont... Window well installation in the Burlington home, November 2014. ML-FR4 backwater valve installation in Windsor home.
  • 5. 5 This year may go down as the worst year ever for wildfires in British Columbia. While, to date, insured damages have been relatively low (despite 29 homes being lost in Rock Creek), suppression costs have been well above average. Indeed, the province blew through its $63 million wildfire fighting budget by the end of June, and Premier Christy Clark has estimated that suppression costs may reach $400 million for the year. Suppression costs are also up in Alberta which, by mid- August, had already experienced a year’s worth of wildfires (1,600 so far). And Saskatchewan isn’t faring much better, with estimates that suppression costs will exceed $100 million when all is said and done, significantly higher than the $56 million budget set aside for 2015. But with insured damage nowhere near that experienced in Kelowna in 2003 and Slave Lake in 2011, why should the industry care about high wildfire suppression costs? In ‘Narrowing the gap between insured and economic damage from natural hazards’ (http://bit.ly/1ERW5Nl) I wrote that the insurance coverage gap spells opportunity for the (re)insurance industry. In essence, the gap exists – in part – either because the proper insurance products have yet to exist or because no one from the (re) insurance industry has reached out (to governments in particular) to offer solutions to fill voids in coverage. But the Canadian (re) insurance sector has shown that it is capable of great innovation. A number of years ago, a block of reinsurers provided a fairly simple stop-loss product to the province of Alberta that was designed to kick in should wildfire suppression costs exceed a certain level (the state of Oregon has been purchasing such coverage from Lloyd’s of London for several decades). The product was only in force for a year or two before the province opted not to renew. Nothing quite like it had been seen in Canada before, and nothing has been seen like it since. But it shows the type of (dare I say it) ‘out of the box’ thinking that is possible. There is nothing stopping such a product from being put into place again. What’s more, it can be used as a model for other, similar products. Imagine a cover that kicks in if snow or debris removal expenses exceed a certain threshold, or one that reimburses a municipality or utility if overtime costs exceed a certain amount because of an extreme weather event (like the 2013 Christmas ice storm in the GTA). How about a simple stop- loss cover that kicks in if federal Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAAs) exceed a certain amount, or what if the DFAAs were laid off to the reinsurance industry altogether? How about a product that provides coverage for municipal assets such as roads, sewers and culverts, which generally fall outside the usual products offered by traditional insurance or reciprocal exchanges? What about a parametric cover that kicks in if a rainstorm or snowstorm of a certain size affects a community? Or how about a cat bond for a city or province? The possibilities aren’t endless, but there are many of them to be sure. And while some solutions may require blazing wholly new trails, other solutions – like those involving simple stop- loss covers and other traditional reinsurance products – can easily borrow from the past. Essentially, when a natural disaster strikes, taxpayers are – in one way or another – left holding the bag. Why not leverage the capital strength and expertise of the (re)insurance industry and lighten the financial burden that is placed on citizens? In many cases, it’s not hard to do. We’ve already proven that we can think innovatively in the area, we just need to do a better job of reaching out, and explaining the possibilities. CT Wanted: New products to lighten the financial burden placed on taxpayers from disasters By Glenn McGillivray, Managing Director, ICLR
  • 6. 6 According to preliminary Swiss Re sigma estimates, total economic losses from natural catastrophes and man-made disasters reached USD 37 billion in the first half of 2015. The global insurance industry covered nearly 45% (USD 16.5 billion) of these losses, which is higher than the previous 10-year average cover of 27%. Around 18,000 people lost their lives in disaster events in H1 2015, up from more than 4,800 in the first half of last year. The earthquakes in Nepal, and a heatwave in India and Pakistan, claimed the highest number of victims. Natural catastrophes caused total economic losses of USD 33 billion in the first half of the year, well below the USD 54 billion in H1 2014 and also the average first-half year loss over the previous 10 years (USD 99 billion). Of the overall insured losses, USD 12.9 billion came from natural disasters, down from nearly USD 20 billion in H1 2014 and again below the average first -half year loss of the previous 10 years (USD 25 billion). The costliest natural catastrophes for the insurance industry resulted from severe winter weather and thunderstorms in the U.S. and Europe. In February, a winter storm in the northeastern U.S. caused insurance losses of USD 1.8 billion, the highest loss of any event so far this year. Man- made disasters, meanwhile, triggered an additional USD 3.6 billion in overall insurance losses in H1 2015. Disaster events claimed many lives in the first six months of 2015. In all, around 18,000 people lost their lives. There were more than 9,000 fatalities in the earthquakes that struck Nepal in close succession in April and May, the largest loss of life due to any natural catastrophes so far this year. The quakes also left many people homeless. The economic losses in Nepal are estimated to be more than USD 5 billion. Of those, only around USD 160 million were insured losses. "The tragic events in Nepal are a reminder of the utility of insurance," says Kurt Karl, Chief Economist at Swiss Re. "Insurance cover does not lessen the emotional trauma that natural catastrophes inflict, but it can help people better manage the financial fallout from disasters so they can start to rebuild their lives". In the same region, India and Pakistan were hit by a severe heat wave in May and June. Temperatures soared to 48°C, the highest recorded since 1995. It is estimated that more than 2,500 people died in India and 1,500 in Pakistan as a result of the extreme heat. Another factor in the high number of victims of disaster events in the first half of this year is the number of migrants who have died attempting to reach Europe from conflict zones in northern Africa, often in unseaworthy vessels. In search of a better life, sadly these people have instead lost their lives as the boats capsized while carrying them across the Mediterranean. CT Preliminary losses for 1H 2015 $37 billion, number of victims rise: Swiss Re
  • 7. 7 Climate change and stormwater management design standards IDF curve information is typically calculated based on historical rainfall events and does not account for the impacts of climate change, and information on how climate change might affect the frequency of extreme rainfall events has historically been out of reach of most municipal infrastructure managers. The intention of the IDFCC tool was to provide access to a standardized IDF curve update process that incorporates Global Climate Model outputs, thus allowing users to easily assess the potential impacts of climate change on local extreme rainfall information. This information can then be used to assess infrastructure vulnerability and design infrastructure that can better cope with rainfall intensities that are expected under changing climate conditions. The IDFCC tool currently has over 280 registered users from various sectors, including municipal, provincial and federal governments, conservation authorities, and the consulting sector. The tool is publicly accessible and can be found at http://www.idf-cc-uwo.ca. Development of the tool was facilitated by funding from the Canadian Water Network and ICLR. Conclusion ICLR has engaged with stakeholders from across Canada to promote urban flood mitigation, and continues to develop new information to support homeowners, municipalities and insurers in the management of urban flood risk. Additional urban flood work not summarized in this article include:  Support and involvement in the multi-year, multi-million dollar FloodNET project, which brings together flood researchers from across Canada to work on a variety of flood related projects, including flood warning systems and urban stormwater management issues;  Providing technical support for the City of Calgary’s project on assessment of flood mitigation measures;  Ongoing partnership with Green Communities Canada to provide technical support and training for “guides” who inspect homes for basement flood risk and mitigation factors, with events held in Kitchener/Waterloo, Calgary North Bay, Hamilton, and planned events in Barrie and St. Catharines;  Flood-related workshops as part of ICLR’s ongoing Friday Forum workshop series, including upcoming presentations by Alberta WaterSMART on flood mitigation activities in Alberta, and;  Recent academic publications on the topic of urban flood management and flood insurance.2 CT Notes 1) Inflow/infiltration (I/I) is excess water that enters municipal sanitary sewer systems. I/I is one of the most important causes of sewer backup during extreme rainfall events. I/I also results in capacity and operational issues at wastewater treatment plants and can cause serious environmental problems, including the release of raw sewage into lakes and streams during extreme rainfall events. 2) Sandink, D. (2015). Urban Flooding and Ground-Related Homes in Canada: An Overview. Journal of Flood Risk Management. DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12168 3) Sandink, D., Kovacs, P., Oulahen, G., and Shrubsole, D. (2015). Public Relief and Insurance for Residential Flood Losses in Canada: Current Status and Commentary. Canadian Water Resources Journal. DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2015.1040458 An update on urban flood-related projects at ICLR cont... 20 Richmond Street East Suite 210 Toronto, Ontario M5C 2R9 Tel: (416) 364-8677 Fax: (416) 364-5889 www.iclr.org www.basementfloodreduction.com Mission To reduce the loss of life and property caused by severe weather and earthquakes through the identification and support of sustained actions that improve society’s capacity to adapt to, anticipate, mitigate, withstand and recover from natural disasters. Western University Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel 1151 Richmond Street London, Ontario N6G 5B9 Tel: (519) 661-3338 Fax: (519) 661-3339 www.iclr.org www.basementfloodreduction.com Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction