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Lecture 16
Macroeconomics
Final Exam
Wednesday June 27th
Chapters 17- 21
Chapter 17
The Government Budget
Taxes and Spending
Two Objectives
Unemployment
Inflation
Tax Revenues
Income Taxes
Social Security Taxes
Other
Types
Per Head
Flat
Regressive
Progressive
Progressive
The more you earn, the
higher the rate
Types
Income
Sales
VAT
Property
DeïŹcits and Debt
Government
Spending and
Revenue
DeïŹcit
Spending greater
than revenue
Balanced Budget
Spending exactly
equals revenues
Surplus
Revenue greater
than spending
Debt
Accumulated
deficits
Debt
$15 trillion
$45,455 per person
Why would you want
government to go into
debt?
Don’t have to pay
Future larger economy
Debt
Investment
Only if the return is
higher than the
interest rate
How to reduce deïŹcits
Higher taxes
Lower spending
Entitlements
Guaranteed benefits
1960 - 20%
2017 - 60%
Interest Expense
$240 billion
2.0% current rate
6.2% historical
1962-2017
Solution to Debt
Economic Growth
Spending Taxes
Aggregate
Demand
Expand Increase Decrease Right
Contract Decrease Increase Left
Fiscal Policies
Chapter 18
Fiscal Policy
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1 Aggregate
Demand
17
InïŹ‚ation
Where does
government get
money?
Crowding Out
More Taxes
Cancel
No effect
More Borrowing
Crowding Out
Increase interest
rates
Lower Taxes
People may just save
more and not spend
More Spending
Now get free stuff.
No new spending
Get a free iPhone
But your taxes
will go up to
pay for it
No change in total
spending
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Dropped Top Marginal
Income Tax Rate
from 70% to 28%
Supply Side Tax
Changes
Lower marginal tax
rates incentivize people
to work more and firms
to create more.
P4
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
InïŹ‚ation and
Recession
StagïŹ‚ation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Lower Prices
Increase
Output
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Take 1- 3 years
Counterproductive
Multiplier
May not be as large as
Keynes calculated
Multiplier
may not multiply
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Insurance
Taxes

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