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Lecture 13
Macroeconomics
Opening
Prayer
Quiz Master
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
AD
Adam Smith
What if people don't want to
change prices?
Recession - Unemployment
Father of Macroeconomics
John Maynard Keynes
(1883 - 1946)
The GeneralTheory of
Employment,
Interest and Money
The ideas of economists and political
philosophers are more powerful than
commonly understood; indeed the
world is ruled by little else.
Two Supply Curves
Long-Run
Short-Run
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
AD
LRAS
SRAS
Supply
In the short run:
No matter the price
you can only produce
so much
AD
Price
Level
LRAS
Adam Smith
Neo-Classical Model
Real GDP
SRAS
John Keynes
Short-Run Supply
Curve
Adrenaline
Give 110%
Push to exceed normal
capacity
Long Run
Run out of
Adrenaline
Fall back to normal
Cannot do 110%
forever
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
AD
LRAS
SRAS
Aggregate Supply Curve
Aggregate Demand Curve
Aggregate
Supply
Shift Left - Decreasing Demand
Slower Money Supply Growth
Fear
Reduced Wealth
Higher Personal Taxes
Lower Government Spending
Decreased Export Growth
Increased Import Growth
Shift Right - Increasing Demand
Faster Money Supply Growth
Confidence
Increased Wealth
Lower Personal Taxes
Higher Government Spending
Increased Export Growth
Decreased Import Growth
Left
Shift Left - Losing Capitals
Bad weather
Higher oil price
Tech slump
Higher business taxes or regulations
War, Earthquake, Pandemic
Shift Right - Gaining Capitals
Good weather
Lower Oil Price
Tech boom
Lower business taxes or regulation
Smooth production
Aggregate
Demand
Right
π Y
Quiz     ADAS Modeling Inflation Output
Curve Direction Level Level
1. Good Weather
2. Slower Money Growth Rate
3. Lower Business Taxes
4. Decrease in Exports
5. New innovation
6. Lower electricity prices
7. Higher Personal Taxes
8. Earthquake
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
If AD shifts, equilibrium is a two-step process
π Y
Quiz     ADAS Modeling Inflation Output
Curve Direction Level Level
1. Good Weather
2. Slower Money Growth Rate
3. Lower Business Taxes
4. Decrease in Exports
5. New innovation
6. Lower electricity prices
7. Higher Personal Taxes
8. Earthquake
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
Mv =
M + v = P
M V MV %∆M +
%∆V
2012 100 3 300
2013 120 4 480
Chang
e
20 1 180
Rate
of
20% 33% 60% 53%
M + v = P
M + v = Inflation + Real
5% + 0% = Inflation + 0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6%
Aggregate Demand
AD = M +V =
P
Inflation
Rate
Y - Real GDP Growth Rate
5% = P +Y
AD = 7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6%
Aggregate Demand
P
Inflatio
n
Y - Real GDP Growth
%∆M + %∆V = 6% = %∆P + %∆Y
6%
6%
0%
0%
%∆P Inflation π
%∆Y GDP
Aggregate Demand
Two Supply
Curves
Long-Run
LRAS
AD (M + v = 10%)
P
Inflation
Rate
π
Y
Real GDP
growth rate
M + v = P + Y
M + v = 10% = 7% + 3%
If Real growth is 3%,
and M is 10%, what is
inflation?
3%
7%
11%
3%
7%
-1%
LRAS1
AD (M + v = 10%)
P
Inflation
Rate
π
Y
Real GDP
growth rate
M + v = P + Y
3%
7%
11%
3%
7%
-1%
LRAS2
LRAS3
New Capital
Human Beings
Ideas
Human
Physical
Intellectual
Financial
Cultural
Markets
Entrepreneurs
Innovations
LRAS1
AD (M + v = 10%)
P
Inflation
Rate
π
Y
Real GDP
growth rate
M + v = P + Y
3%
7%
11%
3%
7%
-1%
New Capital
Human Beings
Ideas
Human
Physical
Intellectual
Financial
Cultural
Markets
Entrepreneurs
Innovations
A
D
Real GDP Growth Rate
Price
Level
AS
Adam Smith
Classical Model
A
D
100
Price
Level
AS
Adam Smith
Classical Model
Recession
Unemployment
Real GDP
$6.50
$4.00
50

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