SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 11
PSA Test accuracy Gaetan “Guy” Lion July 2010
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How accurate is this test? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prostate Cancer Incidence Rate Those incidence rates look very small.  But, on a cumulative basis they translate into material prevalence rates as one ages as shown on the next slide.
Prostate Cancer Prevalence Rate At 45 years old very few men have prostate cancer.  By 85, nearly a quarter of them do have it. The age specific prevalence rate of prostate cancer is a material driver of the accuracy of the PSA test.  The higher the prevalence rate the more accurate the PSA test.
PSA Test Accuracy with high Prevalence The high end prevalence is 23.4% associated with 85 years old.  In such a case, a positive test is 50% accurate.
PSA Test Accuracy across Prevalence Rates Using the same Bayesian logic as on the previous page, we can see how the test accuracy when positive decreases very quickly when the age-specific prevalence drops and vice versa.
PSA Test Accuracy vs Prevalence Rate Accuracy goes up as the age specific prevalence rate goes up.  But, at the high end of prevalence rate (for 85 years old) a positive test is still no more accurate than a flip of the coin.
PSA Test Accuracy vs Age Bucket For anyone under 70 years old, the PSA test (positive result) is highly inaccurate (accuracy ranging from near 0% to only 22%).  This will cause a lot of unnecessary biopsies.
The Data is not the whole story ,[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) Recommendation For men 75 years or older, the USPSTF, explicitly recommends no screening. For men under 75 years, the USPSTF makes no recommendation because “the evidence is inadequate to determine whether screening improves health outcomes.” Per the USPSTF, harms of treatment include erectile dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel dysfunction, and death.  A proportion of those treated would never have developed cancer symptoms during their lifetime.

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021
What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021
What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021Robert J Miller MD
 
Prostate Cancer Testing and Screening
Prostate Cancer Testing and ScreeningProstate Cancer Testing and Screening
Prostate Cancer Testing and ScreeningCatherine Holborn
 
Prostate carcinoma- pathology and staging
Prostate  carcinoma- pathology and stagingProstate  carcinoma- pathology and staging
Prostate carcinoma- pathology and stagingGovtRoyapettahHospit
 
EARLY BREAST CANCER Sohini
EARLY BREAST CANCER SohiniEARLY BREAST CANCER Sohini
EARLY BREAST CANCER SohiniArkaprovo Roy
 
Oncoimaging: prostate cancer
Oncoimaging: prostate cancerOncoimaging: prostate cancer
Oncoimaging: prostate cancerThorsang Chayovan
 
Amol april prostate cancer imaging
Amol april prostate cancer imagingAmol april prostate cancer imaging
Amol april prostate cancer imagingAmol Gulhane
 
Prostate cancer - prevention and treatment
Prostate cancer  - prevention and treatmentProstate cancer  - prevention and treatment
Prostate cancer - prevention and treatmentDR.NEHEMIAH NDUBI OKERIO
 
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCER
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCERROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCER
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCERKanhu Charan
 
Cholangiocarcinoma
CholangiocarcinomaCholangiocarcinoma
Cholangiocarcinomadocatuljain
 
Gynecologic Tumor Markers
Gynecologic  Tumor  MarkersGynecologic  Tumor  Markers
Gynecologic Tumor Markerswaleed shehadat
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021
What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021
What’s new in prostate cancer part 1, 2021
 
Breast cancer
Breast cancerBreast cancer
Breast cancer
 
Prostate cancer
Prostate cancer Prostate cancer
Prostate cancer
 
Prostate Cancer Testing and Screening
Prostate Cancer Testing and ScreeningProstate Cancer Testing and Screening
Prostate Cancer Testing and Screening
 
Prostate carcinoma- pathology and staging
Prostate  carcinoma- pathology and stagingProstate  carcinoma- pathology and staging
Prostate carcinoma- pathology and staging
 
EARLY BREAST CANCER Sohini
EARLY BREAST CANCER SohiniEARLY BREAST CANCER Sohini
EARLY BREAST CANCER Sohini
 
Prostate Cancer (Urology)
Prostate Cancer (Urology)Prostate Cancer (Urology)
Prostate Cancer (Urology)
 
Oncoimaging: prostate cancer
Oncoimaging: prostate cancerOncoimaging: prostate cancer
Oncoimaging: prostate cancer
 
testicular tumors
testicular tumorstesticular tumors
testicular tumors
 
Amol april prostate cancer imaging
Amol april prostate cancer imagingAmol april prostate cancer imaging
Amol april prostate cancer imaging
 
Pancreatic Cancer.pptx
Pancreatic Cancer.pptxPancreatic Cancer.pptx
Pancreatic Cancer.pptx
 
Tumor Marker
Tumor MarkerTumor Marker
Tumor Marker
 
Prostate cancer - prevention and treatment
Prostate cancer  - prevention and treatmentProstate cancer  - prevention and treatment
Prostate cancer - prevention and treatment
 
Prostate cancer
Prostate cancerProstate cancer
Prostate cancer
 
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCER
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCERROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCER
ROLE OF NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIATION IN LOCALLY ADVANCED BREAST CANCER
 
Bladder Cancer Diagnostic Modalities
Bladder Cancer Diagnostic ModalitiesBladder Cancer Diagnostic Modalities
Bladder Cancer Diagnostic Modalities
 
Cholangiocarcinoma
CholangiocarcinomaCholangiocarcinoma
Cholangiocarcinoma
 
Breast screening
Breast screeningBreast screening
Breast screening
 
Gynecologic Tumor Markers
Gynecologic  Tumor  MarkersGynecologic  Tumor  Markers
Gynecologic Tumor Markers
 
Prostate cancer
Prostate cancerProstate cancer
Prostate cancer
 

Ähnlich wie PSA test accuracy

Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiPros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiKesho Conference
 
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiPros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiKesho Conference
 
Screening and prostate cancer
Screening and prostate cancerScreening and prostate cancer
Screening and prostate cancerDr Ankur Shah
 
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista Lemaire
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista LemaireProstate cancer - Vincent Batista Lemaire
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista LemaireNiela Valdez
 
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01zonmbie24456
 
Pap smear test
Pap smear testPap smear test
Pap smear testiangould64
 
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screening
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screeningEvolving recommendations in prostate cancer screening
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screeningsummer elmorshidy
 
Mon 8-00 Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptx
Mon 8-00   Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptxMon 8-00   Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptx
Mon 8-00 Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptxRonitEnterprises
 
Prostrae cancer in men and death
Prostrae cancer in men and deathProstrae cancer in men and death
Prostrae cancer in men and deathNoorUllah Jan
 
Screening for carcinoma prostate
Screening for carcinoma prostateScreening for carcinoma prostate
Screening for carcinoma prostatePrakash Hs
 
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentation
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentationHow to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentation
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentationMarc Laniado
 
Point counterpoint in PCa screening
Point counterpoint in PCa screeningPoint counterpoint in PCa screening
Point counterpoint in PCa screeningPatricia Khashayar
 
Ca prostate presentation1
Ca prostate presentation1Ca prostate presentation1
Ca prostate presentation1Praveen Ganji
 

Ähnlich wie PSA test accuracy (20)

pca screening.pdf
pca screening.pdfpca screening.pdf
pca screening.pdf
 
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiPros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
 
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugiPros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
Pros and cons of prostate cancer screening by mungai ngugi
 
Screening and prostate cancer
Screening and prostate cancerScreening and prostate cancer
Screening and prostate cancer
 
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista Lemaire
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista LemaireProstate cancer - Vincent Batista Lemaire
Prostate cancer - Vincent Batista Lemaire
 
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01
Prostate2013 130412164034-phpapp01
 
Pap smear test
Pap smear testPap smear test
Pap smear test
 
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screening
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screeningEvolving recommendations in prostate cancer screening
Evolving recommendations in prostate cancer screening
 
Mon 8-00 Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptx
Mon 8-00   Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptxMon 8-00   Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptx
Mon 8-00 Prostate Cancer Screening in the Post-USPSTF Era_0.pptx
 
Prostate Cancer 2013
Prostate Cancer 2013Prostate Cancer 2013
Prostate Cancer 2013
 
Module 5 Dr Scholz-Screening&Biopsy
Module 5 Dr Scholz-Screening&BiopsyModule 5 Dr Scholz-Screening&Biopsy
Module 5 Dr Scholz-Screening&Biopsy
 
Prostrae cancer in men and death
Prostrae cancer in men and deathProstrae cancer in men and death
Prostrae cancer in men and death
 
Cancer screening for seniors
Cancer screening for seniorsCancer screening for seniors
Cancer screening for seniors
 
Us2aware
Us2awareUs2aware
Us2aware
 
Screening for carcinoma prostate
Screening for carcinoma prostateScreening for carcinoma prostate
Screening for carcinoma prostate
 
Prostate Cancer.pptx
Prostate Cancer.pptxProstate Cancer.pptx
Prostate Cancer.pptx
 
Prostate cancer (screening)
Prostate cancer (screening)Prostate cancer (screening)
Prostate cancer (screening)
 
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentation
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentationHow to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentation
How to diagnose prostate cancer better in 2017 - IDF presentation
 
Point counterpoint in PCa screening
Point counterpoint in PCa screeningPoint counterpoint in PCa screening
Point counterpoint in PCa screening
 
Ca prostate presentation1
Ca prostate presentation1Ca prostate presentation1
Ca prostate presentation1
 

Mehr von Gaetan Lion

DRU projections testing.pptx
DRU projections testing.pptxDRU projections testing.pptx
DRU projections testing.pptxGaetan Lion
 
Climate Change in 24 US Cities
Climate Change in 24 US CitiesClimate Change in 24 US Cities
Climate Change in 24 US CitiesGaetan Lion
 
Compact Letter Display (CLD). How it works
Compact Letter Display (CLD).  How it worksCompact Letter Display (CLD).  How it works
Compact Letter Display (CLD). How it worksGaetan Lion
 
CalPERS pensions vs. Social Security
CalPERS pensions vs. Social SecurityCalPERS pensions vs. Social Security
CalPERS pensions vs. Social SecurityGaetan Lion
 
Inequality in the United States
Inequality in the United StatesInequality in the United States
Inequality in the United StatesGaetan Lion
 
Housing Price Models
Housing Price ModelsHousing Price Models
Housing Price ModelsGaetan Lion
 
Global Aging.pdf
Global Aging.pdfGlobal Aging.pdf
Global Aging.pdfGaetan Lion
 
Cryptocurrencies as an asset class
Cryptocurrencies as an asset classCryptocurrencies as an asset class
Cryptocurrencies as an asset classGaetan Lion
 
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?Gaetan Lion
 
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?Gaetan Lion
 
How overvalued is the Stock Market?
How overvalued is the Stock Market? How overvalued is the Stock Market?
How overvalued is the Stock Market? Gaetan Lion
 
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest Rates
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest RatesThe relationship between the Stock Market and Interest Rates
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest RatesGaetan Lion
 
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualization
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualizationComparing R vs. Python for data visualization
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualizationGaetan Lion
 
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?Gaetan Lion
 
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?Gaetan Lion
 
Regularization why you should avoid them
Regularization why you should avoid themRegularization why you should avoid them
Regularization why you should avoid themGaetan Lion
 
Basketball the 3 pt game
Basketball the 3 pt gameBasketball the 3 pt game
Basketball the 3 pt gameGaetan Lion
 

Mehr von Gaetan Lion (20)

DRU projections testing.pptx
DRU projections testing.pptxDRU projections testing.pptx
DRU projections testing.pptx
 
Climate Change in 24 US Cities
Climate Change in 24 US CitiesClimate Change in 24 US Cities
Climate Change in 24 US Cities
 
Compact Letter Display (CLD). How it works
Compact Letter Display (CLD).  How it worksCompact Letter Display (CLD).  How it works
Compact Letter Display (CLD). How it works
 
CalPERS pensions vs. Social Security
CalPERS pensions vs. Social SecurityCalPERS pensions vs. Social Security
CalPERS pensions vs. Social Security
 
Recessions.pptx
Recessions.pptxRecessions.pptx
Recessions.pptx
 
Inequality in the United States
Inequality in the United StatesInequality in the United States
Inequality in the United States
 
Housing Price Models
Housing Price ModelsHousing Price Models
Housing Price Models
 
Global Aging.pdf
Global Aging.pdfGlobal Aging.pdf
Global Aging.pdf
 
Cryptocurrencies as an asset class
Cryptocurrencies as an asset classCryptocurrencies as an asset class
Cryptocurrencies as an asset class
 
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?
Can you Deep Learn the Stock Market?
 
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?
Can Treasury Inflation Protected Securities predict Inflation?
 
How overvalued is the Stock Market?
How overvalued is the Stock Market? How overvalued is the Stock Market?
How overvalued is the Stock Market?
 
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest Rates
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest RatesThe relationship between the Stock Market and Interest Rates
The relationship between the Stock Market and Interest Rates
 
Life expectancy
Life expectancyLife expectancy
Life expectancy
 
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualization
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualizationComparing R vs. Python for data visualization
Comparing R vs. Python for data visualization
 
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?
Will Stock Markets survive in 200 years?
 
Standardization
StandardizationStandardization
Standardization
 
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?
Is Tom Brady the greatest quarterback?
 
Regularization why you should avoid them
Regularization why you should avoid themRegularization why you should avoid them
Regularization why you should avoid them
 
Basketball the 3 pt game
Basketball the 3 pt gameBasketball the 3 pt game
Basketball the 3 pt game
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Service
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort ServicePremium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Service
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Servicevidya singh
 
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...astropune
 
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...Dipal Arora
 
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...GENUINE ESCORT AGENCY
 
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟ 9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟  9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟  9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟ 9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...narwatsonia7
 
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Dipal Arora
 
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In Ahmedabad
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In AhmedabadO898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In Ahmedabad
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In AhmedabadGENUINE ESCORT AGENCY
 
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...Arohi Goyal
 
Russian Call Girls Service Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...
Russian Call Girls Service  Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...Russian Call Girls Service  Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...
Russian Call Girls Service Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...parulsinha
 
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Guntur Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Guntur  Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Guntur  Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Guntur Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Coimbatore Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bangalore Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Service
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort ServicePremium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Service
Premium Call Girls Cottonpet Whatsapp 7001035870 Independent Escort Service
 
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Siliguri Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Ludhiana Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Cuttack Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...
Best Rate (Hyderabad) Call Girls Jahanuma ⟟ 8250192130 ⟟ High Class Call Girl...
 
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
 
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...
Pondicherry Call Girls Book Now 9630942363 Top Class Pondicherry Escort Servi...
 
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟ 9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟  9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟  9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...
Top Rated Bangalore Call Girls Ramamurthy Nagar ⟟ 9332606886 ⟟ Call Me For G...
 
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Tirupati Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls Visakhapatnam Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
 
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Bareilly Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In Ahmedabad
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In AhmedabadO898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In Ahmedabad
O898O367676 Call Girls In Ahmedabad Escort Service Available 24×7 In Ahmedabad
 
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Nagpur Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...
All Time Service Available Call Girls Marine Drive 📳 9820252231 For 18+ VIP C...
 
Russian Call Girls Service Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...
Russian Call Girls Service  Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...Russian Call Girls Service  Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...
Russian Call Girls Service Jaipur {8445551418} ❤️PALLAVI VIP Jaipur Call Gir...
 
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kochi Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Guntur Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Guntur  Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Guntur  Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Guntur Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Gwalior Just Call 8617370543 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 

PSA test accuracy

  • 1. PSA Test accuracy Gaetan “Guy” Lion July 2010
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Prostate Cancer Incidence Rate Those incidence rates look very small. But, on a cumulative basis they translate into material prevalence rates as one ages as shown on the next slide.
  • 5. Prostate Cancer Prevalence Rate At 45 years old very few men have prostate cancer. By 85, nearly a quarter of them do have it. The age specific prevalence rate of prostate cancer is a material driver of the accuracy of the PSA test. The higher the prevalence rate the more accurate the PSA test.
  • 6. PSA Test Accuracy with high Prevalence The high end prevalence is 23.4% associated with 85 years old. In such a case, a positive test is 50% accurate.
  • 7. PSA Test Accuracy across Prevalence Rates Using the same Bayesian logic as on the previous page, we can see how the test accuracy when positive decreases very quickly when the age-specific prevalence drops and vice versa.
  • 8. PSA Test Accuracy vs Prevalence Rate Accuracy goes up as the age specific prevalence rate goes up. But, at the high end of prevalence rate (for 85 years old) a positive test is still no more accurate than a flip of the coin.
  • 9. PSA Test Accuracy vs Age Bucket For anyone under 70 years old, the PSA test (positive result) is highly inaccurate (accuracy ranging from near 0% to only 22%). This will cause a lot of unnecessary biopsies.
  • 10.
  • 11. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) Recommendation For men 75 years or older, the USPSTF, explicitly recommends no screening. For men under 75 years, the USPSTF makes no recommendation because “the evidence is inadequate to determine whether screening improves health outcomes.” Per the USPSTF, harms of treatment include erectile dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel dysfunction, and death. A proportion of those treated would never have developed cancer symptoms during their lifetime.