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11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 1/12
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Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require
the Most Effective Approach
Contributed by Joseph Robinson on August 6, 2019 in Management & Leadership, Organization, Change, & HR
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In today’s business environment, management consulting firms must be ready to address client challenges and needs that will transform their
business by 10 or 100 times. Tools and methods must be scaled up to ensure applicability to the widest possible audience globally.
The Consulting Workshop Series provides a good understanding of the 10 methods of conducting Workshops that are custom designed to fit
specific workshop objectives. Different methods are developed for the purpose of providing organizations the most appropriate tool necessary
to support organizations to achieve their strategic goals and targets.
If it is the management’s goal to expose all opinions and options regarding a complex issue, then the Delphi Workshop Method is the perfect
approach to undertake. By using Delphi, organizations can gain the benefits of pooling and exchanging opinions to learn from other’s views.
11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 2/12
Understanding Delphi as a Consulting Workshop Series Method
Delphi is a structured communication technique originally developed as a systematic
interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts. Its main objective is to
expose all opinions and options regarding a complex issue.
Delphi is most effectively used in technology forecasting, as well as business forecasting such
as sales of new products. It is used in the implementation of multi-stakeholder approaches
for participating policy-making. It is also effective in patent participation identification and
public policy issues such as economic trends, health, and education.
A dialectical process, it has been designed to provide the benefits of pooling and exchanging
of opinions to learn from other’s views.
Discovering the Delphi Approach
Delphi can be approached in 3 different angles. Depending on the objective of the activity, we can determine which is the most strategic way
to approach Delphi.
11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 3/12
11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 4/12
1. The Conventional Delphi. Called a pen and paper Delphi, it is aimed at a consensus of the most probable future by iteration. It has
three main characteristics: the anonymity of the participants, the structuring of information flow, and regular feedback. These three key
characteristics help participants focus on the issues at hand.
2. The Policy Delphi. The Policy Delphi is a tool for analysis of policy issues. It is employed to generate the strongest possible opposing
views on the potential resolutions of a major issue. Generating a consensus is not its primary objective and survey questionnaires are
given greater emphasis.
3. The Delphi Conference. A Group Delphi, it allows for more discussions and debate. In the Delphi Conference, participants forego
anonymity. Time constraints may require a fixed number of cycles and consensus can be increased from one to two rounds of voting. The
Delphi Conference often takes less time than the traditional Delphi.
In undertaking the Conventional Delphi, the Policy Delphi, and the Delphi Conference, organizations must be keen on following the right
procedure in undertaking any of these Delphi. Because of its different approaches, the steps that are undertaken also varies. Taking the right
step is necessary for better understanding and clarity of flow, as well as optimizing the use of Delphi in achieving the appropriate results at the
end of the activity.
Interested in gaining more understanding of the Delphi consulting workshop method? You can learn more and download an editable
PowerPoint about Consulting Workshop Series: Delphi here on the Flevy documents marketplace.
Are you a management consultant?
You can download this and hundreds of other consulting frameworks and consulting training guides from the FlevyPro library.
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11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 5/12
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About Joseph Robinson
Joseph Robinson is the Vice President of Strategy at Flevy. Flevy is the marketplace for best practices in business management. Learn how
the Fortune 100 and global consulting firms do it. Improve the growth and efficiency of your organization by leveraging Flevy's library of best
practice methodologies and templates. The documents at Flevy (https://flevy.com) are of the same caliber as those produced by top-tier
management consulting firms, like McKinsey, BCG, Bain, and Accenture. Most were developed by seasoned executives and consultants with
20+ years of experience. Flevy covers 200+ management topics, ranging from Digital Transformation to Growth Strategy to Lean Management. You can
peruse a full list of management topics available on Flevy here. Prior to Flevy, Joseph worked as an Associate at BCG and holds an MBA from the Sloan
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11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 6/12
What Is Digital Transformation?
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http://www.webawesome.co.uk Cheers DT
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11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog
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[Whitepaper] Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach

  • 1. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 1/12 evyblog Flevy Blog is an online business magazine covering Business Strategies, Business Theories, & Business Stories. MANAGEMENT &LEADERSHIP STRATEGY,MARKETING,SALES OPERATIONS&SUPPLYCHAIN ORGANIZATION&CHANGE IT/MIS Other Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach Contributed by Joseph Robinson on August 6, 2019 in Management & Leadership, Organization, Change, & HR Complete Toolkit for Improving Meetings 30-slide PowerPoint presentation Initial Meeting Sales Presentation 18-slide PowerPoint presentation Effective Meetings 53-slide PowerPoint presentation Workshop Facilitation Techniques (Volume 1) 28-slide PowerPoint presentation In today’s business environment, management consulting firms must be ready to address client challenges and needs that will transform their business by 10 or 100 times. Tools and methods must be scaled up to ensure applicability to the widest possible audience globally. The Consulting Workshop Series provides a good understanding of the 10 methods of conducting Workshops that are custom designed to fit specific workshop objectives. Different methods are developed for the purpose of providing organizations the most appropriate tool necessary to support organizations to achieve their strategic goals and targets. If it is the management’s goal to expose all opinions and options regarding a complex issue, then the Delphi Workshop Method is the perfect approach to undertake. By using Delphi, organizations can gain the benefits of pooling and exchanging opinions to learn from other’s views.
  • 2. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 2/12 Understanding Delphi as a Consulting Workshop Series Method Delphi is a structured communication technique originally developed as a systematic interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts. Its main objective is to expose all opinions and options regarding a complex issue. Delphi is most effectively used in technology forecasting, as well as business forecasting such as sales of new products. It is used in the implementation of multi-stakeholder approaches for participating policy-making. It is also effective in patent participation identification and public policy issues such as economic trends, health, and education. A dialectical process, it has been designed to provide the benefits of pooling and exchanging of opinions to learn from other’s views. Discovering the Delphi Approach Delphi can be approached in 3 different angles. Depending on the objective of the activity, we can determine which is the most strategic way to approach Delphi.
  • 3. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 3/12
  • 4. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 4/12 1. The Conventional Delphi. Called a pen and paper Delphi, it is aimed at a consensus of the most probable future by iteration. It has three main characteristics: the anonymity of the participants, the structuring of information flow, and regular feedback. These three key characteristics help participants focus on the issues at hand. 2. The Policy Delphi. The Policy Delphi is a tool for analysis of policy issues. It is employed to generate the strongest possible opposing views on the potential resolutions of a major issue. Generating a consensus is not its primary objective and survey questionnaires are given greater emphasis. 3. The Delphi Conference. A Group Delphi, it allows for more discussions and debate. In the Delphi Conference, participants forego anonymity. Time constraints may require a fixed number of cycles and consensus can be increased from one to two rounds of voting. The Delphi Conference often takes less time than the traditional Delphi. In undertaking the Conventional Delphi, the Policy Delphi, and the Delphi Conference, organizations must be keen on following the right procedure in undertaking any of these Delphi. Because of its different approaches, the steps that are undertaken also varies. Taking the right step is necessary for better understanding and clarity of flow, as well as optimizing the use of Delphi in achieving the appropriate results at the end of the activity. Interested in gaining more understanding of the Delphi consulting workshop method? You can learn more and download an editable PowerPoint about Consulting Workshop Series: Delphi here on the Flevy documents marketplace. Are you a management consultant? You can download this and hundreds of other consulting frameworks and consulting training guides from the FlevyPro library. Readers Are Also Interested in These Resources Complete Toolkit for Improving Meetings 30-slide PowerPoint presentation Initial Meeting Sales Presentation 18-slide PowerPoint presentation Effective Meetings 53-slide PowerPoint presentation Workshop Facilitation Techniques (Volume 1) 28-slide PowerPoint presentation Workshop Facilitation Techniques (Volume 2) 27-slide PowerPoint presentation Effective Facilitation 59-slide PowerPoint presentation
  • 5. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 5/12 Post to Facebook Add to LinkedIn Post to Twitter About Joseph Robinson Joseph Robinson is the Vice President of Strategy at Flevy. Flevy is the marketplace for best practices in business management. Learn how the Fortune 100 and global consulting firms do it. Improve the growth and efficiency of your organization by leveraging Flevy's library of best practice methodologies and templates. The documents at Flevy (https://flevy.com) are of the same caliber as those produced by top-tier management consulting firms, like McKinsey, BCG, Bain, and Accenture. Most were developed by seasoned executives and consultants with 20+ years of experience. Flevy covers 200+ management topics, ranging from Digital Transformation to Growth Strategy to Lean Management. You can peruse a full list of management topics available on Flevy here. Prior to Flevy, Joseph worked as an Associate at BCG and holds an MBA from the Sloan School of Management at MIT. You can connect with Joseph on LinkedIn here. View all posts by Joseph Robinson →
  • 6. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 6/12 What Is Digital Transformation? 1 comment • 3 years ago Avatar bankydoo — Good stuff. Needed this for my arsenal. http://www.webawesome.co.uk Cheers DT 4 Business Metrics Everyone Needs To Know 1 comment • 4 years ago Avatar Stephen Alagaratnam — Excellent pick of metrics! may I add Product/Service Quality? Are you Ready to be an Agile Manager? 1 comment • a year ago Avatar Becky Allen — Thanks for the great article. I have also started writing my own blog. You can check it out here. http://suntrics.com Although it's on start phase but love to get some feedback. :) 5 Ways Collective Intelligence Helps Build Smart Teams 1 comment • 8 months ago Avatar Ritesh Patil — Mobisoft Infotech is Houston based smartphone application development company specialize in iOS, Android and BB Enterprise app development and our portfolio comprise of ALSO ON FLEVY BLOG 0 Comments Flevy Blog Login1 t Tweet f Share Sort by Best LOG IN WITH OR SIGN UP WITH DISQUS Name Start the discussion… ? Be the first to comment. Subscribe✉ Add Disqus to your siteAdd DisqusAddd Disqus' Privacy PolicyPrivacy PolicyPrivacy🔒 Recommend
  • 7. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 7/12 FEATURED DOCUMENTS Healthcare Business Capability Model 1-page PDF document A business capability model for a Healthcare company. To be used as a core document for Enterprise Architects and EA work. Also very valuable to Business Architects and Business Architecture projects/programmes. [Read More] ITIL 4 Foundation - PPT + ITIL 4 Poster (New) 210-slide PowerPoint presentation ITIL 4 Foundation PPT + ITIL 4 Foundation Poster ( printable in A1, A2, A3 format) 200 pages PPT + 75+ Exam preparation Questions Couseware is accredited according to the actual official Syllabus and contains: - The key concepts and [Read More] POPULAR DOCUMENTS ON FLEVY Digital Transformation Strategy 118-slide PowerPoint presentation Complete Business Frameworks Reference Guide 388-slide PowerPoint presentation 1000+ Consulting Diagrams, Templates, Graphics & Icons 1125-slide PowerPoint presentation ITIL 4 Poster (ITIL 4 - 2019, ITIL 4 SVS) - New 2-page PDF document
  • 8. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 8/12 Get Your Cloud Strategy Right 170-page PDF document 875+ High Impact Presentation Templates 878-slide PowerPoint presentation Commercial Due Diligence (CDD) 63-slide PowerPoint presentation Project Quality Management v1 121-slide PowerPoint presentation ITIL 4 Foundation - PPT + ITIL 4 Poster (New) 210-slide PowerPoint presentation Strategic Planning - Hoshin Policy Deployment 137-slide PowerPoint presentation POPULAR ARTICLES
  • 9. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 9/12 14 Principles of Lean Toyota Production System (TPS) Editor's Note: Charles Intrieri is a consultant with over 25 years of experience in Operational Excellence, Supply Chain & Logistics, and Metrics-driven Ma... The 8 Most Critical Levers to Managing and Sustaining Change Most Transformation initiatives fail to achieve their anticipated objectives. Change Management is all about engaging and rallying people at all levels ... Avoid the Mistake of Taking Inventory Accuracy for Granted Inaccurate inventory leads to loss of sales, poor customer experience, and may indicate a more drastic issue of retail theft. Inventory Records Accuracy (... Top 4 Time Wasters Identified and Ways to Increase Productivity Time management is the act or process of planning and exercising conscious control over the amount of time spent on specific activities, especially to incr... The “Hard” Side of Change When discussing Change Management, most Change professionals focus on the "soft" factors that influence the success of a change program. These include ele... 4 Effective Ways to Manage Resources More Efficiently All workplaces are an integration of numerous departments working together as one to ensure the business runs smoothly. Almost every sector is reliant on o... Do You Have What It Takes to Be an Effective Leader? Leadership is the single most important human capital issue that organizations face. In fact, in today’s 21st century business, leadership has become a vit... Managing Performance by Leveraging the Organizational Health Index (OHI) The typical approach to improving productivity focuses on assessing variance in quality, time, rate, service, or cost, around which management systems deve...
  • 10. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 10/12 COMPLIMENTARY BUSINESS TRAINING GUIDES What is Business Strategy without How can we anticipate & manage Embed View on Twitter Tweets by @flevydocs 59m [Free Download] Applying the #DeltaModel in Higher Education flevy.com/download/tweet… Flevy.com @flevydocs Flevy.com @flevydocs
  • 11. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 11/12 proper Execution? Many companies develop robust strategies, but struggle with operationalizing their strategies into implementable steps. This presentation from flevy introduces 12 powerful business frameworks spanning both Strategy Development and Strategy Execution. [Learn more] BIG Organizational Change? This 48-page whitepaper, authored by consultancy Envisioning, provides the frameworks, tools, and insights needed to manage serious Change— under the backdrop of the business lifecycle. These lifecycle stages are each marked by distinct attributes, challenges, and behaviors. [Learn more] Want to save hours on your future presentations? We've developed a very comprehensive collection of Strategy & Transformation PowerPoint templates for you to use in your own business presentations, spanning topics from Growth Strategy to Brand Development to Innovation to Customer Experience to Strategic Management. [Learn more] Do you work in Operational Excellence or Lean Six Sigma? We have compiled a collection of 10 Lean Six Sigma templates (Excel) and Operational Excellence guides (PowerPoint) by a multitude of LSS experts. These tools cover topics including 8 Disciplines (8D), 5 Why's, 7 Wastes, Value Stream Mapping (VSM), and DMAIC. [Learn more] RECENT ARTICLES BY CORPORATE FUNCTION MANAGEMENT & LEADERSHIP Finding Corporate Philanthropy a Challenge? Let This Primer Guide You How to Achieve GREATER VALUE in M&A? Do the Fundamentals of Post-merger Integration OK, the Merger's Done. How Do We Secure the Promised Revenue Synergies? Why PLUS Decision Making Model is Essential to Ethical STRATEGY, MARKETING, SALES Customer-centric Culture: An Imperative in Today’s Age of the Customer How to Design a Breakthrough Customer Experience? How Do We Maximize Impact of Customer Experience on Value Creation? The 6 Core Capabilities of a Customer-centric Organization: Your OPERATIONS & SUPPLY CHAIN Business Process Reengineering (BPR): Are We Succeeding or Failing? How Do We Maximize Impact of Customer Experience on Value Creation? Just Too Many Processes? Gain Back your Competitiveness through Global Process Optimization How to Achieve GREATER VALUE in M&A? Do the ORGANIZATION, CHANGE, HR Having Productivity Issues? Learn the Basics of Workplace Productivity The Age of Digital Transformation Is Unstoppable: Why the Need for Workforce Digitization In this Digital Age, Are You Ready for Digital Reinvention? Finding Corporate Philanthropy a Challenge? Let This Primer Guide You INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY When Data is Not Enough: The Need to Understand Purpose-driven Analytics The Age of Digital Transformation Is Unstoppable: Why the Need for Workforce Digitization The 6 Core Capabilities of a Customer-centric Organization: Your Ammunition to Winning a Highly Demanding Customer CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS When Sustaining Stakeholder Interest Is Essential: The Importance of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Sources of Value You're Building a Customer- centric Organization, So Where's the Customer Department? What's the Best Way to Manage and Communicate with Virtual Teams?
  • 12. 11/8/2019 Zeroing in on Delphi: When Complex Issues Require the Most Effective Approach | flevy.com/blog https://flevy.com/blog/zeroing-in-on-delphi-when-complex-issues-require-the-most-effective-approach/ 12/12 About Flevy.com / Terms / Privacy Policy Organizations Conducting PMI? Here Are the Critical 8 Decision Levers to Evaluate Ammunition to Winning a Highly Demanding Customer In this Digital Age, Are You Ready for Digital Reinvention? Fundamentals of Post-merger Integration Conducting PMI? Here Are the Critical 8 Decision Levers to Evaluate How to Achieve GREATER VALUE in M&A? Do the Fundamentals of Post-merger Integration Why Knowledge Management Strategy Is Important for Business Sustainability Understanding Enterprise Architecture: Is it Really Important Today? Can Business Communication Be Thought of As a Science? 4 Ways to Improve Customer Communication The Flevy Business Blog (http://flevy.com/blog) is a leading source of information on business strategies, business theories, and business stories. Most articles have been contributed for management consultants and industry executives with over 20 years of experience. If you would like to contribute an article, please email our editor David Tang at dave@flevy.com. Flevy (http://flevy.com) is the marketplace for premium business documents, such as management frameworks, presentation templates, and financial models. Our documents are of the same caliber produced by top tier consulting firms, like McKinsey, Bain, Accenture, BCG, and Deloitte. Learn more about Flevy here. Connect with Flevy: © 2019. Flevy LLC. All Rights Reserved.