This Slideshare presentation is a partial preview of the full business document. To view and download the full document, please go here:
http://flevy.com/browse/business-document/excel-model-for-valuation-of-natural-gas-firm-1138
DESCRIPTION
This is an valuation model of Petronet LNG. This model covers the different valuation types to arrive at the fair value of a stock.
18. 1 tonne 52 mmbtu
1 MMTPA 52000000 mmmbto
I bcm 2.8 mmscmd
1 mmbtu 26.8 cubic metres
I mmscmd 35700 mmbtu
142800
TBTUS
112.13 90.78
13.62 0.97
MMBTUS
112130000 90780000
13620000 970000
MMTPA
2.156346154 1.745769231
0.261923077 0.018653846
2.418269231 1.764423077
This document is a partial preview. Full document download can be found on Flevy:
http://flevy.com/browse/document/excel-model-for-valuation-of-natural-gas-firm-1138
19. PLL's Existing Contracts
Supplier
Duration
(In Years) Period
Qty. Contracted
(In MMTPA)
RasGas, Qatar 25 2004-29 5
RasGas, Qatar 25 2009-34 2.5
Gorgon LNG, Aus 20 2014-34 1.5-2.5
GAIL 60% 4.5 30% 0.45
IOC 30% 2.25 30% 0.45
BPCL 10% 0.75 40% 0.6
Total 100% 7.5 100% 1.5
417
353.6
0.056512
Dahej
% Quantity (mmtpa)
Kochi
% Quantity (mmtpa)Company
These contracts are back to back long term
sales agreement on a take or pay basis for the
sale of R LNG to the contracted off takers.
This document is a partial preview. Full document download can be found on Flevy:
http://flevy.com/browse/document/excel-model-for-valuation-of-natural-gas-firm-1138
20. DAHEJ TERMINAL
Initial Investment 1900 Starting 2003
Spread over of period 24 Completed in 2004
Expansion Capex 1400 Starting FY06
Spread over the period 36 Completed in FY09
Dahej- Planned Expansion 900 Starting FY11
36 Will be completed in FY14
Maintainence Capex
Year Initial Investment PAT +DEP FCFF
FY03 -950 -950.00
FY04 -950 -950.00
FY05 -95 68.36 -26.64
FY06 -420.00 295.88 295.88 IRR 16%
FY07 -420.00 415.28 -4.72
FY08 -420.00 576.83 156.83
FY09 -165 565.36 400.36
FY10 -165 478.18 313.18
FY11 -150 767.71 617.71
FY12 -300 971.16 671.16
FY13 -300 716.3 416.32
FY14 -360 804.7 444.72
FY15 -210 946.6 736.57
FY16 -220.5 963.2 742.68
FY17 -221.03 979.8 758.82
FY18 -221.05 996.56 775.51
FY19 -221.05 1013.30 792.25
FY20 -221.05 1181.25 960.20
FY21 -221.05 995.31 774.26
FY22 -221.05 1220.58 999.53
Cost of Capital Calculation
Cost of Equity 9.93 0.30
Cost of Debt 8.00 0.70
Cost of Capital 8.58
Kochi Terminal
Particulars In Rs crore
Initial Investment 2100 Starting FY08
Spread over a period of 60 Months
Incremental Capex 1900 Starting Dec 2010
Spread over a period of 25 months
Maintainnence Capex
This document is a partial preview. Full document download can be found on Flevy:
http://flevy.com/browse/document/excel-model-for-valuation-of-natural-gas-firm-1138
21. Year Initial Investment PAT +DEP FCFF
FY08 -420 -420 IRR 12%
FY09 -420 -420
FY10 -420 -420
FY11 -192 -192
FY12 -1332 -1332
FY13 -380 138.1 -241.94
FY14 -200 529.0 328.97
FY15 -200 749.7 549.66
FY16 -200 805.9 605.89
FY17 -200 820.0 620.02
FY18 -200 834.5 634.50
FY19 -200 849.3 649.33
FY20 -200 864.5 664.52
FY21 -200 880.1 680.08
FY22 -200 896.0 696.01
FY23 -200 912.3 712.33
FY24 -200 929.0 729.03
FY25 -200 946.1 746.13
FY26 -200 963.6 763.64
FY27 -200 981.6 781.57
Cost of Capital Calculation
Cost of Equity 9.93 0.30
Cost of Debt 8.00 0.70
Cost of Capital 8.58
Cost of Equity Calculation
Beta 0.8928
Rf 7.6752
Rm 10.2
Cost of Equity 9.93
This document is a partial preview. Full document download can be found on Flevy:
http://flevy.com/browse/document/excel-model-for-valuation-of-natural-gas-firm-1138