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Value investing and a decade of
outperformance:

             the case of Tocqueville Value Europe

                   Sebastien Lemonnier / Don Fitzgerald
                                             May 2010
Table of content


      The principles of Value Investing                             p3


      Review of Value Investing                                     p 14


      Outperformance of Tocqueville Value Europe                    p 17


      Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context (“TVE”)   p 26


      Conclusion                                                    p 32


      Appendices                                                    p 35
The principles of Value Investing
The principles of Value Investing


    “Value” investing: investing in a company that is trading at a substantial discount to
    its intrinsic value




       Independence of investment: no constraints in terms of sectors, geographical areas or
    stock market capitalisation

      Contrarian stance


      Evaluation of company fundamentals at core of investment process


      Margin of safety as necessary condition for investing




                                                                                               4
The principles of Value Investing

     Independence of investment


      “Don’t trust anyone over thirty. And don’t trust anyone thirty and under. Do your own work”
                    Joel Greenblatt from the book “How to be a stock market genius”




    Be confident in your own judgement
     An investment consists of buying a small part of a company, not its shares on the
   stock market
    Ignore market’s noise to capitalise on occasional inefficiencies
    The composition of the index is not a factor in portfolio construction




                                                                                                    5
The principles of Value Investing

      Independence of investment




     Investor perception:

         • Distant Norwegian company with limited analyst coverage
         • Competitive industry subject to discretionary consumption
         • Uncommunicative management
         • Conservative balance sheet


     The company’s intrinsic quality:

         •   Market leader with strong brands and exclusive relations with retailers
         •   Market share gains and geographical expansion
         •   Strong profitability and return on capital
         •   Management team that concentrates on organic growth
         •   Stable and attractive dividend policy



                                                                                       6
The principles of Value Investing

     Contrarian stance

             “Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy”
                                          Warren Buffett

                               • Beware of passing fads
                               • Be prepared to be counter-cyclical


   Our hunting ground:

    A series of profit warnings
    Turnaround situations
    Fallen angels
    Limited coverage by financial analysts
    Disappointing IPOs
    Company break-ups
    Optimisation of balance-sheet structures


                                                                                          7
The principles of Value Investing

          Contrarian stance




                              Bought




  Source : Bloomberg                   8
The principles of Value Investing

      Evaluate the fundamentals


                   “Don’t confuse growth with sustainable competitive advantage”
                                          Warren Buffett




    Is it a solid and sustainable business model in terms of the structural
   environment, entry barriers and competitive advantages?
    What are the operational and financial risks?
    How credible and motivated is management?
    What are the principal catalysts?




                                                                                   9
The principles of Value Investing

     Evaluate the fundamentals



    Why is it a solid and sustainable business model?
        • Strong brands: Omega, Breguet, Blancpain, Rado, Longines, Swatch…
        • High margins
        • Vertical integration
        • Near monopoly in the production of watch mechanisms
    What are the operational and financial risks?
        • Discretionary consumer spending
        • High fixed costs
    How credible and motivated is management?
        • Family ownership structure: Hayek with a 38% stake
        • Nicolas G Hayek restructured the Swiss watch industry in the 1980s
    What are the principal catalysts and operating levers of the business?
        • Market share gains
        • Bringing profitability back in line with historical standards
        • Possible optimisation of the group’s excess cash reserves


                                                                               10
The principles of Value Investing

     Margin of safety

        “Confronted with the challenge to distil the secret of sound investment into three words,
                             we venture the motto, MARGIN OF SAFETY”
                                      Ben Graham, Intelligent Investor



   Why is margin of safety important?

    Over time market price should converge to intrinsic value
    Valuation is an imprecise art
    The future is unpredictable
    Protects against bad luck, poor investment timing and errors of judgement




                                                                                                    11
The principles of Value Investing

          Margin of safety

                       Replacement value of the group’s assets 65
                       8.7x 2009 EV/EBITDA, average private market transaction multiple   €75
                       If shares traded in line with peers €70
                       7.0x EV/EBITDA on normalised earnings €72




                                               Intrinsic value




                                                                                Bought



  Source : Bloomberg                                                                            12
The principles of Value Investing

      Value investing: Applying common sense

       Independent thought beats the consensus

       The best ideas are the least appreciated

       Dissociate fundamental investment from speculation

       Protect capital using margin of safety




                                                            13
Review of Value Investing
Review of Value Investing

          Value Investing has outperformed over the last decade




  Source : Bloomberg                                              15
Review of Value Investing

                     Strengths                         Weaknesses


       • Common sense approach                • “Mr Market” is stronger in the short term

       • Margin of safety                     • Short-term prospects are often
                                              disappointing
       • Investment independence allows one
       to outperform indices                  • Risk of a “value trap”: cheap for good
                                              reasons
       • Takes account of company strengths
       and weaknesses in valuation            • At times invest in shares with limited
                                              liquidity
       • Valuation of company over the
       economic cycle                         • A rigorous value approach can lead to
                                              lost opportunities




                     An attractive risk/return ratio over time

                                                                                            16
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance




  Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time   18
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance per 30/04/2010

      Volatility




                                                                       Tocqueville Value
                       Volatility                                                                                                 MSCI Europe
                                                                           Europe

 1 month                                                                           14.43                                             18.74

 1 year                                                                            13.47                                             16.59

 3 years                                                                           19.19                                             20.57

 5 years                                                                           16.13                                             17.36

 Since inception                                                                   14.98                                             17.07



  Source: Europerformance at 30/04/10, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time                 19
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance

      Market sensitivity


                   5%

                                                                                                             3,47%
                                                                                                                                 2,93%




                   0%




                                                               -2,76%                  MSCIE Total return    TOCQUEVILLE VALUE EUROPE



                                            -4,14%
                   -5%
                                            Bear market                                                        Bull market
                                           Participation rate in a                                          Participation rate in a
                                           falling market: 66.73%                                           raising market: 84.53%




  Source: Tocqueville Finance Europe, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time           20
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance

                Performance/Volatility since inception
80,00




60,00




40,00




20,00




 0,00




-20,00                                                                                  Moyenne




-40,00




-60,00




-80,00
         0,00                    5,00                    10,00                  15,00             20,00   25,00
                                                                   Volatility




          Source : Europerformance from 31/03/2000 to 31/03/2010                                                  21
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance


      2000-2002: bursting of the TMT bubble



      Tocqueville Value Europe -10.8%* versus MSCI Europe -48%*



        Limited exposure to telecoms, media and technology

        Small and mid caps out of favour

        Invested in companies with resilient margins

        Takeovers and structural changes in 2001: Britax, Isis, Européenne de Casino, Cristaleria, Rolo Banca…

        Prudent management with a cash reserve up to 15% in 2002




  *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time   22
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance


      2003-2006: stock market and economic recovery



      Tocqueville Value Europe +93.8%* versus MSCI Europe +75.4%*



        Restructuring and turnaround stories were important investment themes

        Market recognition of the undervaluation of small and mid caps

        Began to find more investment opportunities among large caps from 2005 onwards

        Several takeovers: Mecatherm, Urbium, Beru, McCarthy & Stone, Société du Louvre…

        Successful investments: Fielmann, Ekornes, Carillion, K+S, OPG, BASF…




  *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time   23
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance


      2007: the start of a financial crisis



      Tocqueville Value Europe -9.4%* versus MSCI Europe +0.1%*



        Underperformance limited to the second half of the year (TVE -15.5% vs. MSCI Europe -7.2%)

        Exposure to small caps was detrimental

        Excessive exposure to UK consumer spending

        Value Investing forsaken in favour of growth stories (emerging markets and commodities) and financial
      leverage

        Continued repositioning towards large caps




  *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time   24
Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance


     2008-2010: historical crisis followed by a market rally

      Tocqueville Value Europe -15%* versus MSCI Europe -28.3%*



        Prudent management with liquidity ranging between 10% and 20%

        Portfolio diversification in terms of market capitalisation

        Limited exposure to banks and insurers

        Investments in companies with solid balance sheets were favourable

        Preference for companies with sound fundamentals

        Successful investments: Ansaldo, Parmalat, BASF, BHP Billiton, Ekornes, Michelin…

        Takeover: Elf Aquitaine




  *Source: Europerformance, from 31 December 2007 to 30 April 2010                          25
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context

     The “Bears” point to:

    Government stimulus as not sustainable

    A move to a less favourable regulatory environment

    Industrial overcapacity

    Public deficits

    Household deleveraging

    Demographic problems




                                                         27
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context

     It is also easy to be a “Bull”

    The risk of a “systemic crisis is behind us”

    Company balance sheets are healthier

    Revival of mergers and acquisitions

    Attractive valuations in a low interest-rate, low inflation environment

    Equities are the most profitable asset class in this context

    Restructuring efforts and structural improvements in profitability

    Global growth driven by emerging countries




                                                                              28
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context

           Historical market valuations based on normalised earnings




  Source: FactSet, Exane BNP Paribas estimates – Cyclically adjusted market P/E, based on current price and 10-year moving average EPS - MSCI Europe   29
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context

     It is time to be pragmatic by favouring stock-picking



    Beware of excessive optimism, as well as pessimism

        • Market over-reaction to sovereign debt levels
        • Sceptical of an infatuation with emerging market growth



    Look out where:

        • Economic recovery is fully priced into valuations: BASF, ArcelorMittal, Rheinmetall…
        • Restructuring efforts are largely reflected in valuations: Assa Abloy, Saab…




                                                                                                 30
Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context

     It is time to be pragmatic by favouring stock-picking


    The markets still contain some inefficiencies.

    We currently favour:


        • Structural winners: Publicis, Lufthansa, Marr…

        • Quality companies that have been overlooked:
        Nestlé, Vicat, Finmeccanica, DCC, Diageo, Adidas…

        • Small caps that have been forgotten: Jungheinrich, Southern Cross Healthcare…

        • Forced sellers: Irish Continental Group, HeidelbergCement…

        • Disappointing IPOs: Gategroup…




                                                                                          31
Conclusion
Conclusion

     Our approach to Value Investing has many advantages:


    Solid historical performance

    Below average volatility

    An approach that makes particular sense in the current context of:
       • Uncertainty...
       • … but continued investment opportunities




                              Reasonable risk/reward ratio




                                                                         33
Conclusion

        Tocqueville Finance has proven expertise in managing equity funds in:


       France: Ulysse ranked No.1 since its creation *

       Europe: Tocqueville Value Europe ranked No.2 since its creation **

       US: Tocqueville Value Amérique ranked No.1 since its creation ***




   *    from 07/10/93 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general French equities category
   * * from 31/03/2000 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general European equities category
   *** from 31/12/1998 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general North American equities category

                                                                                                         34
Appendices
Conclusion

                 Tocqueville Value Europe…


   100% fundamental value fund

    Flexible and independently-managed mutual fund
        • No limitations in terms of geography, sector or market capitalisation


    European expertise established over the last decade

    Significant outperformance since inception
        • The No.2 ranked fund out of 67 funds in its category since its inception (Source Europerformance, from
        31/03/00)


    Lower volatility than indices since inception

    Common sense and transparent management                                       Isin : FR0010547067 (Part C)

        • No leverage or complex instruments (derivatives, etc.)                  Isin : FR0010600239 (Part I)

                                                                                                                   36
Fund structure per 30 April 2010




                                   37
Evolution of weightings by region


    100%

     90%

     80%

     70%

     60%

     50%

     40%

     30%

     20%

     10%

     0%
           2000   2001   2002     2003      2004     2005       2006       2007   2008   2009

                         France   UK     Allemagne
                                         Germany     Italie
                                                      Italy   Resteof Europe
                                                              Rest Europe




                                                                                                38
Evolution of weightings by market capitalisation


    100%

     90%

     80%

     70%

     60%

     50%

     40%

     30%

     20%

     10%

     0%
           2001   2002       2003      2004        2005       2006        2007       2008   2009

                   < € 1bn   between 1 and € 5bn   between 5 and € 10bn   > € 10bn




                                                                                                   39
Evolution of the portion invested in equities

     94%



     92%



     90%



     88%



     86%



     84%



     82%



     80%
           2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009




                                                                                 40
Portfolio liquidity



           100%       95,3%



            80%



            60%



            40%



            20%

                                     1,4%                3,3%
                                                                          0,0%
             0%
                    < 10 days   between 10 et 50   between 50 and 100   > 100 days
                                     days                days


       95.3% of portfolio lines can be fully liquidated in less than 10 days…




                                                                                     41
Tocqueville Value Europe’s managers


         Sébastien Lemonnier (30)

          Fund manager, TVE, since January 2006
          Since 2003 dedicated financial analyst Tocqueville Value Europe
          Master « Financial Management » from Université Paris I – Panthéon Sorbonne (2003)




          Don Fitzgerald, CFA (35)

           Financial analyst, TVE, since February 2007 and fund manager, TVE, since January 2008
           7 years expertise in identifying, analyzing and investing in undervalued securities in both the
          European equity & high yield / distressed debt markets
           Prior to that 7 years experience in corporate & investment banking
           Degree in Business Studies and German from Trinity College, Dublin
           CFA charter-holder
           Cross-cultural experience having worked in Dublin, London, Frankfurt & Paris
           Irish national, fluent French & German speaker



                                                                                                    42
Disclaimers


    • This document is strictly confidential and intended solely for the recipients. It must not be reproduced,
    distributed or published, in whole or in part, without the prior and written authorisation of Tocqueville Finance S.A.

    • This marketing document should not be interpreted as a contractual or pre-contractual commitment by
    Tocqueville Finance S.A. It is provided for purely indicative purposes and may be modified at any time without
    notice.

    • The information and analysis contained in this document, especially quantified information, is derived in part
    from external sources considered to be reliable. However, Tocqueville Finance SA cannot guarantee the
    complete, precise and up-to-date nature of this analysis and information.

    • Tocqueville Finance S.A. draws investors’ attention to the fact that the past performance presented is based on
    figures relating to past years and is not a guarantee of future performance.

    •Tocqueville Finance S.A. does not guarantee in any manner the current or future performance of funds referred
    to in this document.

    • This is a reminder that any financial investment involves risks (market risks, capital risks and currency risks)
    and may result in financial losses. Accordingly, Tocqueville Finance S.A. recommends that, prior to any
    investment, the recipient of this document reads carefully the prospectuses of the funds referred to, which are
    available free of charge at our head office at 8 rue Lamennais, Paris 75008 or on our internet site
    www.tocquevillefinance.fr, and ensure that he or she has sufficient experience and expertise to make an
    investment decision, particularly with regard to its legal and tax consequences.




                                                                                                                             43

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10 Year Anniversary Tocqueville Value Europe

  • 1. Value investing and a decade of outperformance: the case of Tocqueville Value Europe Sebastien Lemonnier / Don Fitzgerald May 2010
  • 2. Table of content The principles of Value Investing p3 Review of Value Investing p 14 Outperformance of Tocqueville Value Europe p 17 Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context (“TVE”) p 26 Conclusion p 32 Appendices p 35
  • 3. The principles of Value Investing
  • 4. The principles of Value Investing “Value” investing: investing in a company that is trading at a substantial discount to its intrinsic value Independence of investment: no constraints in terms of sectors, geographical areas or stock market capitalisation Contrarian stance Evaluation of company fundamentals at core of investment process Margin of safety as necessary condition for investing 4
  • 5. The principles of Value Investing Independence of investment “Don’t trust anyone over thirty. And don’t trust anyone thirty and under. Do your own work” Joel Greenblatt from the book “How to be a stock market genius” Be confident in your own judgement An investment consists of buying a small part of a company, not its shares on the stock market Ignore market’s noise to capitalise on occasional inefficiencies The composition of the index is not a factor in portfolio construction 5
  • 6. The principles of Value Investing Independence of investment Investor perception: • Distant Norwegian company with limited analyst coverage • Competitive industry subject to discretionary consumption • Uncommunicative management • Conservative balance sheet The company’s intrinsic quality: • Market leader with strong brands and exclusive relations with retailers • Market share gains and geographical expansion • Strong profitability and return on capital • Management team that concentrates on organic growth • Stable and attractive dividend policy 6
  • 7. The principles of Value Investing Contrarian stance “Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy” Warren Buffett • Beware of passing fads • Be prepared to be counter-cyclical Our hunting ground: A series of profit warnings Turnaround situations Fallen angels Limited coverage by financial analysts Disappointing IPOs Company break-ups Optimisation of balance-sheet structures 7
  • 8. The principles of Value Investing Contrarian stance Bought Source : Bloomberg 8
  • 9. The principles of Value Investing Evaluate the fundamentals “Don’t confuse growth with sustainable competitive advantage” Warren Buffett Is it a solid and sustainable business model in terms of the structural environment, entry barriers and competitive advantages? What are the operational and financial risks? How credible and motivated is management? What are the principal catalysts? 9
  • 10. The principles of Value Investing Evaluate the fundamentals Why is it a solid and sustainable business model? • Strong brands: Omega, Breguet, Blancpain, Rado, Longines, Swatch… • High margins • Vertical integration • Near monopoly in the production of watch mechanisms What are the operational and financial risks? • Discretionary consumer spending • High fixed costs How credible and motivated is management? • Family ownership structure: Hayek with a 38% stake • Nicolas G Hayek restructured the Swiss watch industry in the 1980s What are the principal catalysts and operating levers of the business? • Market share gains • Bringing profitability back in line with historical standards • Possible optimisation of the group’s excess cash reserves 10
  • 11. The principles of Value Investing Margin of safety “Confronted with the challenge to distil the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, MARGIN OF SAFETY” Ben Graham, Intelligent Investor Why is margin of safety important? Over time market price should converge to intrinsic value Valuation is an imprecise art The future is unpredictable Protects against bad luck, poor investment timing and errors of judgement 11
  • 12. The principles of Value Investing Margin of safety Replacement value of the group’s assets 65 8.7x 2009 EV/EBITDA, average private market transaction multiple €75 If shares traded in line with peers €70 7.0x EV/EBITDA on normalised earnings €72 Intrinsic value Bought Source : Bloomberg 12
  • 13. The principles of Value Investing Value investing: Applying common sense Independent thought beats the consensus The best ideas are the least appreciated Dissociate fundamental investment from speculation Protect capital using margin of safety 13
  • 14. Review of Value Investing
  • 15. Review of Value Investing Value Investing has outperformed over the last decade Source : Bloomberg 15
  • 16. Review of Value Investing Strengths Weaknesses • Common sense approach • “Mr Market” is stronger in the short term • Margin of safety • Short-term prospects are often disappointing • Investment independence allows one to outperform indices • Risk of a “value trap”: cheap for good reasons • Takes account of company strengths and weaknesses in valuation • At times invest in shares with limited liquidity • Valuation of company over the economic cycle • A rigorous value approach can lead to lost opportunities An attractive risk/return ratio over time 16
  • 18. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 18
  • 19. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance per 30/04/2010 Volatility Tocqueville Value Volatility MSCI Europe Europe 1 month 14.43 18.74 1 year 13.47 16.59 3 years 19.19 20.57 5 years 16.13 17.36 Since inception 14.98 17.07 Source: Europerformance at 30/04/10, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 19
  • 20. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance Market sensitivity 5% 3,47% 2,93% 0% -2,76% MSCIE Total return TOCQUEVILLE VALUE EUROPE -4,14% -5% Bear market Bull market Participation rate in a Participation rate in a falling market: 66.73% raising market: 84.53% Source: Tocqueville Finance Europe, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 20
  • 21. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance Performance/Volatility since inception 80,00 60,00 40,00 20,00 0,00 -20,00 Moyenne -40,00 -60,00 -80,00 0,00 5,00 10,00 15,00 20,00 25,00 Volatility Source : Europerformance from 31/03/2000 to 31/03/2010 21
  • 22. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance 2000-2002: bursting of the TMT bubble Tocqueville Value Europe -10.8%* versus MSCI Europe -48%* Limited exposure to telecoms, media and technology Small and mid caps out of favour Invested in companies with resilient margins Takeovers and structural changes in 2001: Britax, Isis, Européenne de Casino, Cristaleria, Rolo Banca… Prudent management with a cash reserve up to 15% in 2002 *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 22
  • 23. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance 2003-2006: stock market and economic recovery Tocqueville Value Europe +93.8%* versus MSCI Europe +75.4%* Restructuring and turnaround stories were important investment themes Market recognition of the undervaluation of small and mid caps Began to find more investment opportunities among large caps from 2005 onwards Several takeovers: Mecatherm, Urbium, Beru, McCarthy & Stone, Société du Louvre… Successful investments: Fielmann, Ekornes, Carillion, K+S, OPG, BASF… *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 23
  • 24. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance 2007: the start of a financial crisis Tocqueville Value Europe -9.4%* versus MSCI Europe +0.1%* Underperformance limited to the second half of the year (TVE -15.5% vs. MSCI Europe -7.2%) Exposure to small caps was detrimental Excessive exposure to UK consumer spending Value Investing forsaken in favour of growth stories (emerging markets and commodities) and financial leverage Continued repositioning towards large caps *Source: Europerformance, past performance is no indication as to future performance and is not constant over time 24
  • 25. Tocqueville Value Europe’s outperformance 2008-2010: historical crisis followed by a market rally Tocqueville Value Europe -15%* versus MSCI Europe -28.3%* Prudent management with liquidity ranging between 10% and 20% Portfolio diversification in terms of market capitalisation Limited exposure to banks and insurers Investments in companies with solid balance sheets were favourable Preference for companies with sound fundamentals Successful investments: Ansaldo, Parmalat, BASF, BHP Billiton, Ekornes, Michelin… Takeover: Elf Aquitaine *Source: Europerformance, from 31 December 2007 to 30 April 2010 25
  • 26. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context
  • 27. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context The “Bears” point to: Government stimulus as not sustainable A move to a less favourable regulatory environment Industrial overcapacity Public deficits Household deleveraging Demographic problems 27
  • 28. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context It is also easy to be a “Bull” The risk of a “systemic crisis is behind us” Company balance sheets are healthier Revival of mergers and acquisitions Attractive valuations in a low interest-rate, low inflation environment Equities are the most profitable asset class in this context Restructuring efforts and structural improvements in profitability Global growth driven by emerging countries 28
  • 29. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context Historical market valuations based on normalised earnings Source: FactSet, Exane BNP Paribas estimates – Cyclically adjusted market P/E, based on current price and 10-year moving average EPS - MSCI Europe 29
  • 30. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context It is time to be pragmatic by favouring stock-picking Beware of excessive optimism, as well as pessimism • Market over-reaction to sovereign debt levels • Sceptical of an infatuation with emerging market growth Look out where: • Economic recovery is fully priced into valuations: BASF, ArcelorMittal, Rheinmetall… • Restructuring efforts are largely reflected in valuations: Assa Abloy, Saab… 30
  • 31. Outlook for Value Investing and TVE in this context It is time to be pragmatic by favouring stock-picking The markets still contain some inefficiencies. We currently favour: • Structural winners: Publicis, Lufthansa, Marr… • Quality companies that have been overlooked: Nestlé, Vicat, Finmeccanica, DCC, Diageo, Adidas… • Small caps that have been forgotten: Jungheinrich, Southern Cross Healthcare… • Forced sellers: Irish Continental Group, HeidelbergCement… • Disappointing IPOs: Gategroup… 31
  • 33. Conclusion Our approach to Value Investing has many advantages: Solid historical performance Below average volatility An approach that makes particular sense in the current context of: • Uncertainty... • … but continued investment opportunities Reasonable risk/reward ratio 33
  • 34. Conclusion Tocqueville Finance has proven expertise in managing equity funds in: France: Ulysse ranked No.1 since its creation * Europe: Tocqueville Value Europe ranked No.2 since its creation ** US: Tocqueville Value Amérique ranked No.1 since its creation *** * from 07/10/93 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general French equities category * * from 31/03/2000 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general European equities category *** from 31/12/1998 to 30/04/2010, source Europerformance, general North American equities category 34
  • 36. Conclusion Tocqueville Value Europe… 100% fundamental value fund Flexible and independently-managed mutual fund • No limitations in terms of geography, sector or market capitalisation European expertise established over the last decade Significant outperformance since inception • The No.2 ranked fund out of 67 funds in its category since its inception (Source Europerformance, from 31/03/00) Lower volatility than indices since inception Common sense and transparent management Isin : FR0010547067 (Part C) • No leverage or complex instruments (derivatives, etc.) Isin : FR0010600239 (Part I) 36
  • 37. Fund structure per 30 April 2010 37
  • 38. Evolution of weightings by region 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 France UK Allemagne Germany Italie Italy Resteof Europe Rest Europe 38
  • 39. Evolution of weightings by market capitalisation 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 < € 1bn between 1 and € 5bn between 5 and € 10bn > € 10bn 39
  • 40. Evolution of the portion invested in equities 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 40
  • 41. Portfolio liquidity 100% 95,3% 80% 60% 40% 20% 1,4% 3,3% 0,0% 0% < 10 days between 10 et 50 between 50 and 100 > 100 days days days 95.3% of portfolio lines can be fully liquidated in less than 10 days… 41
  • 42. Tocqueville Value Europe’s managers Sébastien Lemonnier (30) Fund manager, TVE, since January 2006 Since 2003 dedicated financial analyst Tocqueville Value Europe Master « Financial Management » from Université Paris I – Panthéon Sorbonne (2003) Don Fitzgerald, CFA (35) Financial analyst, TVE, since February 2007 and fund manager, TVE, since January 2008 7 years expertise in identifying, analyzing and investing in undervalued securities in both the European equity & high yield / distressed debt markets Prior to that 7 years experience in corporate & investment banking Degree in Business Studies and German from Trinity College, Dublin CFA charter-holder Cross-cultural experience having worked in Dublin, London, Frankfurt & Paris Irish national, fluent French & German speaker 42
  • 43. Disclaimers • This document is strictly confidential and intended solely for the recipients. It must not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, without the prior and written authorisation of Tocqueville Finance S.A. • This marketing document should not be interpreted as a contractual or pre-contractual commitment by Tocqueville Finance S.A. It is provided for purely indicative purposes and may be modified at any time without notice. • The information and analysis contained in this document, especially quantified information, is derived in part from external sources considered to be reliable. However, Tocqueville Finance SA cannot guarantee the complete, precise and up-to-date nature of this analysis and information. • Tocqueville Finance S.A. draws investors’ attention to the fact that the past performance presented is based on figures relating to past years and is not a guarantee of future performance. •Tocqueville Finance S.A. does not guarantee in any manner the current or future performance of funds referred to in this document. • This is a reminder that any financial investment involves risks (market risks, capital risks and currency risks) and may result in financial losses. Accordingly, Tocqueville Finance S.A. recommends that, prior to any investment, the recipient of this document reads carefully the prospectuses of the funds referred to, which are available free of charge at our head office at 8 rue Lamennais, Paris 75008 or on our internet site www.tocquevillefinance.fr, and ensure that he or she has sufficient experience and expertise to make an investment decision, particularly with regard to its legal and tax consequences. 43