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The Washington Poll

                Issues and Opinions
                     May 2010

   Results by Party and Region


Statewide sample = 1,252 registered voters, +/- 2.8%   May 24, 2010
About the Poll
The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project
sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity, Race &
Sexuality (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the
School of Social Sciences. Dr. Matt Barreto, an Associate Professor of
Political Science is the Director of WISER and principal investigator on this
survey. Dr. Christopher Parker, an Associate Professor of Political Science
is the co-principal investigator of the Washington Poll.

The survey was administered by telephone, by the Washington Survey
Research Center at the UW, based on a randomly selected list of phone
numbers using a publicly available list of registered voters. The survey was
in the field from May 3 – May 23, 2010. A total of 1,252 registered voters
throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding a 2.8%
margin of error. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Questions/Comments: mbarreto@uw.edu
                                                             © May 24, 2010
About the Poll
Overall sample size is 1,252 with margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.
However, for crosstabs presented here, the cell size for each row is smaller
and carries a larger margin of error.


For example, the Puget sound sample is 54% of all, or 676 cases, margin of
error of +/- 3.8 percent. Eastern WA is 21% of all, or 263 cases, +/- 6.0;
and Other Western WA is 25% of all, or 313 cases, +/- 5.5.
For party identification, the sample of Democrats is 438, +/- 4.7 percent;
Republicans is 351, +/- 5.2; and Independents/other sample is 463, +/- 4.6




Questions/Comments: mbarreto@uw.edu
                                                            © May 24, 2010
The Washington Poll

Do you think things here in Washington state are generally going in
the right direction, or seriously on the wrong track?

                                   Right               Wrong   Don’t
                                   Direction           Track   Know
Statewide total                    41%                 44%     15%
Democrat                           64%                 19%     16%
Republican                         19%                 69%     12%
Independent                        34%                 49%     17%
Puget Sound region                 46%                 39%     14%
Eastern Washington                 31%                 54%     16%
Other Western WA                   37%                 44%     19%


Statewide sample = 1,252 registered voters, +/- 2.8%                   May 24, 2010
The Washington Poll

Job Approval: Federal
                                Percent who approve
                        Obama       Murray            Congress
Statewide total         58%         51%               30%
Democrat                93%         77%               47%
Republican              20%         21%               14%
Independent             54%         40%               25%
Puget Sound region      69%         57%               36%
Eastern Washington      38%         48%               18%
Other Western WA        53%         43%               26%
The Washington Poll

Job Approval: State
                                 Percent who approve
                      Gregoire       McKenna           Legislature
Statewide total       44%            41%               36%
Democrat              74%            26%               54%
Republican            15%            52%               20%
Independent           36%            43%               32%
Puget Sound region    52%            43%               39%
Eastern Washington    27%            40%               33%
Other Western WA      41%            36%               35%
The Washington Poll
Thinking ahead to the November election for U.S. Senate, are you
planning to vote for, Patty Murray the Democrat, or the Republican
candidate?

                         Murray          Republican
Statewide total          42%             39%
Democrat                 85%              5%
Republican                6%             84%
Independent              31%             34%
Puget Sound region       52%             28%
Eastern Washington       25%             63%
Other Western WA         40%             35%
The Washington Poll
Thinking ahead to the November election for U.S. Senate, are you
planning to vote for, Patty Murray the Democrat, or Dino Rossi, the GOP
candidate?

                        Murray           Rossi
Statewide total         44%              40%
Democrat                79%               8%
Republican               2%              84%
Independent             35%              41%
Puget Sound region      48%              32%
Eastern Washington      40%              48%
Other Western WA        34%              49%
The Washington Poll
Thinking ahead to the November election for Washington state legislature,
are you planning to vote for the Republican candidate, or the Democratic
candidate?

                        Democrat         Republican
Statewide total         39%              38%
Democrat                89%               2%
Republican               6%              88%
Independent             21%              31%
Puget Sound region      46%              30%
Eastern Washington      25%              58%
Other Western WA        45%              34%
The Washington Poll
Thinking ahead to the November election for Washington state legislature,
are you planning to vote for the GOP candidate, or the Democratic
candidate?

                        Democrat         GOP
Statewide total         42%              37%
Democrat                84%               4%
Republican               1%              86%
Independent             25%              36%
Puget Sound region      50%              25%
Eastern Washington      29%              59%
Other Western WA        30%              47%
The Washington Poll
State Income Tax

Now I’m going to read an initiative that may appear on the November ballot:
Initiative 1077 would reduce property taxes by 20% and reduce the business and
occupation tax and also institute a new income tax on individuals earning more
than $200,000 or household earning more than $400,000. Will you vote yes or no on
initiative 1077?

                           Yes                No
Statewide total            58%                30%
Democrat                   72%                17%
Republican                 41%                47%
Independent                57%                30%
Puget Sound region         59%                32%
Eastern Washington         56%                25%
Other Western WA           57%                32%
The Washington Poll
Liquor Privatization

Another initiative that could be on the ballot in November would privatize alcohol
sales. Currently hard alcohol can only be sold by the Washington State Liquor
Control Board, but this initiative would allow alcohol to be sold at grocery stores
and other places where beer and wine are already sold. Will you vote yes or no on
the alcohol privatization initiative?

                            Yes                No
Statewide total             52%                37%
Democrat                    50%                40%
Republican                  57%                36%
Independent                 55%                35%
Puget Sound region          55%                34%
Eastern Washington          42%                47%
Other Western WA            59%                34%
The Washington Poll
The health care reform bill passed by Congress this past March

                               Approve              Disapprove
Statewide total                45%                  41%
Democrat                       78%                   8%
Republican                     11%                  80%
Independent                    40%                  46%
Puget Sound region             54%                  34%
Eastern Washington             29%                  56%
Other Western WA               43%                  46%

Washington state Attorney General Rob McKenna's decision to sue the federal government to
block some provisions of the health care bill from taking effect

                               Approve              Disapprove
Statewide total                40%                  40%
Democrat                        9%                  69%
Republican                     77%                   8%
Independent                    45%                  37%
Puget Sound region             36%                  49%
Eastern Washington             53%                  23%
Other Western WA               40%                  39%
The Washington Poll
The budget passed by the Washington state legislature that includes new taxes on candy,
beer, cigarettes, and bottled water to raise more than $800 million in revenues?

                                Approve               Disapprove
Statewide total                 49%                   45%
Democrat                        66%                   28%
Republican                      34%                   60%
Independent                     44%                   51%
Puget Sound region              55%                   40%
Eastern Washington              45%                   48%
Other Western WA                40%                   53%

Requiring tax increases by the state legislature to be approved by a two-thirds majority?

                                Approve               Disapprove
Statewide total                 60%                   24%
Democrat                        41%                   37%
Republican                      79%                   10%
Independent                     65%                   23%
Puget Sound region              58%                   24%
Eastern Washington              63%                   24%
Other Western WA                63%                   22%
The Washington Poll
Removing state civil and criminal penalties for possession or use of marijuana?

                                Approve              Disapprove
Statewide total                 52%                  35%
Democrat                        64%                  25%
Republican                      34%                  47%
Independent                     54%                  35%
Puget Sound region              56%                  31%
Eastern Washington              44%                  45%
Other Western WA                51%                  34%

The immigration law in Arizona which requires police to question people they suspect are
illegal immigrants for proof of legal status

                                Approve              Disapprove
Statewide total                 52%                  42%
Democrat                        26%                  67%
Republican                      80%                  15%
Independent                     55%                  39%
Puget Sound region              45%                  50%
Eastern Washington              61%                  31%
Other Western WA                57%                  35%
Additional Results
If you have additional questions and would like to see any
additional - or more specific - results, please send us an
email; and we will try to accommodate your request.


Research team
Dr. Matt Barreto:                 mbarreto@uw.edu
Dr. Christopher Parker:           csparker@uw.edu


Research Assistants:
Chris Towler, Betsy Cooper, Francisco Pedraza, Loren
Collingwood, Ben Gonzalez, Daniel Byrd, Justin Reedy,
Marcela Garcia-Castanon, Melinda Straub

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The Washington Poll - May 2010

  • 1. The Washington Poll Issues and Opinions May 2010 Results by Party and Region Statewide sample = 1,252 registered voters, +/- 2.8% May 24, 2010
  • 2. About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity, Race & Sexuality (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Matt Barreto, an Associate Professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and principal investigator on this survey. Dr. Christopher Parker, an Associate Professor of Political Science is the co-principal investigator of the Washington Poll. The survey was administered by telephone, by the Washington Survey Research Center at the UW, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers using a publicly available list of registered voters. The survey was in the field from May 3 – May 23, 2010. A total of 1,252 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding a 2.8% margin of error. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. Questions/Comments: mbarreto@uw.edu © May 24, 2010
  • 3. About the Poll Overall sample size is 1,252 with margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent. However, for crosstabs presented here, the cell size for each row is smaller and carries a larger margin of error. For example, the Puget sound sample is 54% of all, or 676 cases, margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent. Eastern WA is 21% of all, or 263 cases, +/- 6.0; and Other Western WA is 25% of all, or 313 cases, +/- 5.5. For party identification, the sample of Democrats is 438, +/- 4.7 percent; Republicans is 351, +/- 5.2; and Independents/other sample is 463, +/- 4.6 Questions/Comments: mbarreto@uw.edu © May 24, 2010
  • 4. The Washington Poll Do you think things here in Washington state are generally going in the right direction, or seriously on the wrong track? Right Wrong Don’t Direction Track Know Statewide total 41% 44% 15% Democrat 64% 19% 16% Republican 19% 69% 12% Independent 34% 49% 17% Puget Sound region 46% 39% 14% Eastern Washington 31% 54% 16% Other Western WA 37% 44% 19% Statewide sample = 1,252 registered voters, +/- 2.8% May 24, 2010
  • 5. The Washington Poll Job Approval: Federal Percent who approve Obama Murray Congress Statewide total 58% 51% 30% Democrat 93% 77% 47% Republican 20% 21% 14% Independent 54% 40% 25% Puget Sound region 69% 57% 36% Eastern Washington 38% 48% 18% Other Western WA 53% 43% 26%
  • 6. The Washington Poll Job Approval: State Percent who approve Gregoire McKenna Legislature Statewide total 44% 41% 36% Democrat 74% 26% 54% Republican 15% 52% 20% Independent 36% 43% 32% Puget Sound region 52% 43% 39% Eastern Washington 27% 40% 33% Other Western WA 41% 36% 35%
  • 7. The Washington Poll Thinking ahead to the November election for U.S. Senate, are you planning to vote for, Patty Murray the Democrat, or the Republican candidate? Murray Republican Statewide total 42% 39% Democrat 85% 5% Republican 6% 84% Independent 31% 34% Puget Sound region 52% 28% Eastern Washington 25% 63% Other Western WA 40% 35%
  • 8. The Washington Poll Thinking ahead to the November election for U.S. Senate, are you planning to vote for, Patty Murray the Democrat, or Dino Rossi, the GOP candidate? Murray Rossi Statewide total 44% 40% Democrat 79% 8% Republican 2% 84% Independent 35% 41% Puget Sound region 48% 32% Eastern Washington 40% 48% Other Western WA 34% 49%
  • 9. The Washington Poll Thinking ahead to the November election for Washington state legislature, are you planning to vote for the Republican candidate, or the Democratic candidate? Democrat Republican Statewide total 39% 38% Democrat 89% 2% Republican 6% 88% Independent 21% 31% Puget Sound region 46% 30% Eastern Washington 25% 58% Other Western WA 45% 34%
  • 10. The Washington Poll Thinking ahead to the November election for Washington state legislature, are you planning to vote for the GOP candidate, or the Democratic candidate? Democrat GOP Statewide total 42% 37% Democrat 84% 4% Republican 1% 86% Independent 25% 36% Puget Sound region 50% 25% Eastern Washington 29% 59% Other Western WA 30% 47%
  • 11. The Washington Poll State Income Tax Now I’m going to read an initiative that may appear on the November ballot: Initiative 1077 would reduce property taxes by 20% and reduce the business and occupation tax and also institute a new income tax on individuals earning more than $200,000 or household earning more than $400,000. Will you vote yes or no on initiative 1077? Yes No Statewide total 58% 30% Democrat 72% 17% Republican 41% 47% Independent 57% 30% Puget Sound region 59% 32% Eastern Washington 56% 25% Other Western WA 57% 32%
  • 12. The Washington Poll Liquor Privatization Another initiative that could be on the ballot in November would privatize alcohol sales. Currently hard alcohol can only be sold by the Washington State Liquor Control Board, but this initiative would allow alcohol to be sold at grocery stores and other places where beer and wine are already sold. Will you vote yes or no on the alcohol privatization initiative? Yes No Statewide total 52% 37% Democrat 50% 40% Republican 57% 36% Independent 55% 35% Puget Sound region 55% 34% Eastern Washington 42% 47% Other Western WA 59% 34%
  • 13. The Washington Poll The health care reform bill passed by Congress this past March Approve Disapprove Statewide total 45% 41% Democrat 78% 8% Republican 11% 80% Independent 40% 46% Puget Sound region 54% 34% Eastern Washington 29% 56% Other Western WA 43% 46% Washington state Attorney General Rob McKenna's decision to sue the federal government to block some provisions of the health care bill from taking effect Approve Disapprove Statewide total 40% 40% Democrat 9% 69% Republican 77% 8% Independent 45% 37% Puget Sound region 36% 49% Eastern Washington 53% 23% Other Western WA 40% 39%
  • 14. The Washington Poll The budget passed by the Washington state legislature that includes new taxes on candy, beer, cigarettes, and bottled water to raise more than $800 million in revenues? Approve Disapprove Statewide total 49% 45% Democrat 66% 28% Republican 34% 60% Independent 44% 51% Puget Sound region 55% 40% Eastern Washington 45% 48% Other Western WA 40% 53% Requiring tax increases by the state legislature to be approved by a two-thirds majority? Approve Disapprove Statewide total 60% 24% Democrat 41% 37% Republican 79% 10% Independent 65% 23% Puget Sound region 58% 24% Eastern Washington 63% 24% Other Western WA 63% 22%
  • 15. The Washington Poll Removing state civil and criminal penalties for possession or use of marijuana? Approve Disapprove Statewide total 52% 35% Democrat 64% 25% Republican 34% 47% Independent 54% 35% Puget Sound region 56% 31% Eastern Washington 44% 45% Other Western WA 51% 34% The immigration law in Arizona which requires police to question people they suspect are illegal immigrants for proof of legal status Approve Disapprove Statewide total 52% 42% Democrat 26% 67% Republican 80% 15% Independent 55% 39% Puget Sound region 45% 50% Eastern Washington 61% 31% Other Western WA 57% 35%
  • 16. Additional Results If you have additional questions and would like to see any additional - or more specific - results, please send us an email; and we will try to accommodate your request. Research team Dr. Matt Barreto: mbarreto@uw.edu Dr. Christopher Parker: csparker@uw.edu Research Assistants: Chris Towler, Betsy Cooper, Francisco Pedraza, Loren Collingwood, Ben Gonzalez, Daniel Byrd, Justin Reedy, Marcela Garcia-Castanon, Melinda Straub