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Hi, I’m 
Shakib Bin Mahmud 
Hello, I’m 
Fiaz Islam Bhuiyan 
Hey, I’m 
Abrar Ahmed 
INTRODUCTION
WEATHER AND CLIMATE
CONTENTS 
 What Is Weather? 
 Understanding and Predicting weather 
 Factors Affecting Weather 
 Forecasting Weather 
 Seasons 
 What is Climate?
CONTENTS 
 Weather and Climate: The Big Difference 
• Factors affecting Climates 
• Climate change and Others 
 The Dark Side of Climate and Weather 
 Miscellaneous Statistics 
 Solution to the Abstract Chaos 
Humanitarian Response
Weather 
Weather is the state of the atmosphere at a particular place during a 
short period of time. It involves such atmospheric phenomena as 
temperature, humidity, precipitation (type and amount), air 
pressure, wind, and cloud cover. 
Weather occurs in the troposphere, that extends from the Earth’s surface 
to 6–8 km at the poles and to about 17 km at the Equator. 
Weather is largely confined to the troposphere , where almost all clouds 
occur and almost all precipitation develops.
Factors Affecting Weather 
 Temperature 
 Humidity 
 Precipitation 
 Air pressure 
 Wind 
 Cloud Layer
Forecasting Weather 
Will you need your snow boots tomorrow? Should you bring an 
umbrella? Accurate weather predictions are important for 
planning our day-to-day activities. Farmers need information 
to help them plan for the planting and harvesting of their 
crops. Airlines need to know about local weather conditions in 
order to schedule flights. Weather forecasting helps us to 
make more informed daily decisions, and may even help keep 
us out of danger. 
Modern weather forecasting involves a combination of computer 
models, observation, and a knowledge of trends and patterns. 
Using these methods, reasonably accurate forecasts can be 
made up to about five days in advance. Beyond that, detailed 
forecasts are less useful, since atmospheric conditions such 
as temperature and wind direction are very complex.
Seasons 
What actually causes the seasons? 
The cycle of seasons is caused by the Earth's tilt toward the 
sun. The planet rotates around an (invisible) axis. At different 
times during the year, the northern or southern axis is closer 
to the sun. During these times, the hemisphere tipped 
toward the star experiences summer, while the hemisphere 
tilted away from the sun experiences winter. 
At other locations in Earth's annual journey, the axis is not 
tilted toward the sun but instead along the planet's path, 
parallel to the star. During these times of the year, the 
hemispheres experience spring and autumn.
Climate 
Climate means the average weather conditions in a 
particular location based on the average weather 
experienced there over 30 years or more. 
Various Conditions Affecting Climate : 
 Landscape 
 Relief 
 Activities taking place (both human and natural) 
 Proximity to the equator or the poles 
 Atmospheric pressure belts 
Climate VS Weather 
Climate refers to what is expected to happen in the 
atmosphere rather than the actual conditions. It is possible 
for the weather to be different from that suggested by the 
climate.
Climate Change & Nature 
Within a climatic region, the climate may vary from place to 
place - e.g. the top of a hill, the sunny and shaded side of 
a hill and the bottom of a hill. These areas with their small 
variations are called Microclimates. 
A place's climate influences the types of vegetation and 
animals that live there, so is fundamental to life on Earth. It 
is possible to divide the world into a number of climatic 
zones or biomes . 
Besides common conditions, extraterrestrial factors such as 
the Solar Radiation plays major rule in the relatively rapid 
climate change. This is when the ‘Green House Effect’ 
comes into the big picture.
Climate Change & Atmosphere 
So, is climate change 
influenced more by human 
activities and excess 
greenhouse gases or changes 
in the sun's energy? 
Answer : The sun has natural 
periods of warming and cooling. 
With satellites, scientists have 
measured fluctuations in the sun's 
energy and found that these recent 
variations have been small in 
comparison to human influences in 
the last several centuries, with no 
increase in solar energy in the past 
50 years.
The Dark Side 
A natural disaster is a sudden event that causes 
widespread destruction, lots of collateral damage or loss 
of life. This is the result of sudden and extreme changes 
in the weather. E.g. Floods, Tornadoes, Hurricanes etc. 
This usually has an acute damage to human, with short time 
effects. 
Climate change, however, is caused over hundreds and 
thousands of years, and can actually effect the way the 
whole future mankind survives. This has more of a 
chronic effect on humans. 
NEVERTHELESS, both the changes are to be dealt with 
EQUAL importance.
Struck With Misery! 
Flood in Uttarkhand, India SIDR- Bangladesh 2007
Natural Disasters are more frequent than 30 years ago 
and more costly too!
Cost of Natural Disasters in Asia
The Green House Effect 
(Responsible for Global Warming) 
It is the warming of Earth’s Surface and lower 
atmosphere caused by mainly water vapor and 
carbon dioxide followed by other trace gases. 
Visible light from the Sun heats the Earth’s 
surface. Part of this energy is radiated back into 
the atmosphere in form of infrared radiation, 
much of which is absorbed by molecules of 
carbon dioxide and water vapor, and re-radiated 
toward the surface as more heat.
Global Warming (1951-2007)
The Solution
The Solution 
Therefore, apart from these reasons, we mean to 
approach this more strategically. 
This approach focuses on Human activities and describes 
the importance of ‘Green Building’ for the conservation 
of energy and resources.
Green Building 
 Buildings are responsible for over 10% of the world’s 
freshwater withdrawals, 25% of its wood harvest, and 
40% of material and energy flows, globally. That’s 
HUGE. 
Green building is the effort to change the way the built 
environment is designed, constructed, and operated. 
This holistic approach considers the entire supply chain 
from siting to design, construction, operation, 
maintenance, renovation, and deconstruction. 
Green building is concerned with air quality, energy and 
water use, human health, waste reduction, pollution, and 
environmental degradation
Strategy – Envelope Category 
• The no-regrets envelope 
strategies focus on 
improving the thermal 
properties of the building 
shell to respond to 
temperature-driven 
impacts. 
• The resilient strategies in 
this category help the shell 
respond to other climate 
impacts such as termite 
damage (pests) or wind-driven 
rain (storms).
Strategy-Siting and Landscape Category 
• The no-regrets siting and 
landscape strategies focus 
on improving the 
performance of a site or 
landscape to respond to 
temperature and 
water/precipitation impacts. 
• The resilient strategies in 
this category help a project 
or landscape respond to 
other climate impacts such 
as wildfire or storm surge 
(coastal).
Strategy - Heating, Cooling, Lighting 
Category 
 The no-regrets heating, 
cooling, and lighting 
strategies focus on 
improving the 
performance of building 
mechanical and electrical 
systems to respond to 
temperature impacts. 
 The only resilient strategy 
in this category adds 
resilience to egress 
lighting systems.
Strategy –Water and Waste 
Category 
• The no-regrets water and 
waste strategies focus on 
improving the efficiency of 
building plumbing systems to 
respond to decreases in water 
supply or interruption of 
electrical power to a building. 
• The resilient strategies in this 
category aim to treat water on 
site to replace potable water 
use, prevent sewage backup 
into a building, or catch water 
for use on site.
Humanitarian Response 
“Early Warning, Early Action”
Early Warning, Early Action means: 
Routinely taking 
humanitarian action 
before a disaster or 
health emergency 
happens, making full 
use of scientific 
information on all 
timescales. 
Using climate and weather 
information to take action 
before a disaster strikes, in 
order to reduce negative 
impacts.
The Elements of 
Early Warning, Early Action 
• Knowledge : Collecting 
data to understand risks 
• Monitoring : Collaboration 
with hazard monitoring 
services 
• Communication : Sharing 
information about hazards 
• Action : Building response 
capability preparing for 
pending hazards.
Risk Knowledge 
• Are hazards and 
vulnerabilities well 
known? 
• What are their 
patterns and trends? 
• Are risks maps and 
data available?
Monitoring (The trickier part!) 
• Hazard monitoring can include, for 
example, river gauges for floods 
and scientific forecasts for extreme 
rain or drought 
• Forecasts issued for days, weeks 
and months in advance 
• Collaboration with national 
meteorological service is a good 
add on to access information 
Fig : Stevenson Screen 
It forms the part of the weather 
station containing various 
individual devices for 
forecasting weather.
Communication 
• Warnings should reach ALL those at risk 
• Risks and warnings should be well understood 
• Warning Information MUST be clear, concise and 
usable 
• Establish and document triggers well before a 
hazard arrives 
• Ensure internal support and external partnerships 
are in place – especially with the government.
Role of BD Army in Disaster 
Management
Example of Early Warning Early 
Action 
• Early Warning: In 2007, the 
Bangladesh Red Crescent 
received early warning 
indicators of Cyclone Sidr 
approaching their coast. 
• Early Action: Working with the 
government 5,000 volunteers 
with megaphones alerted and 
evacuated at risk residents. 
As result 4,500 people died 
compared to 138,000 in 1991.
THE END

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Predicting Weather and Climate ( Including humanitarian response and Solutions )

  • 1. Hi, I’m Shakib Bin Mahmud Hello, I’m Fiaz Islam Bhuiyan Hey, I’m Abrar Ahmed INTRODUCTION
  • 3. CONTENTS  What Is Weather?  Understanding and Predicting weather  Factors Affecting Weather  Forecasting Weather  Seasons  What is Climate?
  • 4. CONTENTS  Weather and Climate: The Big Difference • Factors affecting Climates • Climate change and Others  The Dark Side of Climate and Weather  Miscellaneous Statistics  Solution to the Abstract Chaos Humanitarian Response
  • 5. Weather Weather is the state of the atmosphere at a particular place during a short period of time. It involves such atmospheric phenomena as temperature, humidity, precipitation (type and amount), air pressure, wind, and cloud cover. Weather occurs in the troposphere, that extends from the Earth’s surface to 6–8 km at the poles and to about 17 km at the Equator. Weather is largely confined to the troposphere , where almost all clouds occur and almost all precipitation develops.
  • 6. Factors Affecting Weather  Temperature  Humidity  Precipitation  Air pressure  Wind  Cloud Layer
  • 7. Forecasting Weather Will you need your snow boots tomorrow? Should you bring an umbrella? Accurate weather predictions are important for planning our day-to-day activities. Farmers need information to help them plan for the planting and harvesting of their crops. Airlines need to know about local weather conditions in order to schedule flights. Weather forecasting helps us to make more informed daily decisions, and may even help keep us out of danger. Modern weather forecasting involves a combination of computer models, observation, and a knowledge of trends and patterns. Using these methods, reasonably accurate forecasts can be made up to about five days in advance. Beyond that, detailed forecasts are less useful, since atmospheric conditions such as temperature and wind direction are very complex.
  • 8. Seasons What actually causes the seasons? The cycle of seasons is caused by the Earth's tilt toward the sun. The planet rotates around an (invisible) axis. At different times during the year, the northern or southern axis is closer to the sun. During these times, the hemisphere tipped toward the star experiences summer, while the hemisphere tilted away from the sun experiences winter. At other locations in Earth's annual journey, the axis is not tilted toward the sun but instead along the planet's path, parallel to the star. During these times of the year, the hemispheres experience spring and autumn.
  • 9. Climate Climate means the average weather conditions in a particular location based on the average weather experienced there over 30 years or more. Various Conditions Affecting Climate :  Landscape  Relief  Activities taking place (both human and natural)  Proximity to the equator or the poles  Atmospheric pressure belts Climate VS Weather Climate refers to what is expected to happen in the atmosphere rather than the actual conditions. It is possible for the weather to be different from that suggested by the climate.
  • 10. Climate Change & Nature Within a climatic region, the climate may vary from place to place - e.g. the top of a hill, the sunny and shaded side of a hill and the bottom of a hill. These areas with their small variations are called Microclimates. A place's climate influences the types of vegetation and animals that live there, so is fundamental to life on Earth. It is possible to divide the world into a number of climatic zones or biomes . Besides common conditions, extraterrestrial factors such as the Solar Radiation plays major rule in the relatively rapid climate change. This is when the ‘Green House Effect’ comes into the big picture.
  • 11. Climate Change & Atmosphere So, is climate change influenced more by human activities and excess greenhouse gases or changes in the sun's energy? Answer : The sun has natural periods of warming and cooling. With satellites, scientists have measured fluctuations in the sun's energy and found that these recent variations have been small in comparison to human influences in the last several centuries, with no increase in solar energy in the past 50 years.
  • 12. The Dark Side A natural disaster is a sudden event that causes widespread destruction, lots of collateral damage or loss of life. This is the result of sudden and extreme changes in the weather. E.g. Floods, Tornadoes, Hurricanes etc. This usually has an acute damage to human, with short time effects. Climate change, however, is caused over hundreds and thousands of years, and can actually effect the way the whole future mankind survives. This has more of a chronic effect on humans. NEVERTHELESS, both the changes are to be dealt with EQUAL importance.
  • 13. Struck With Misery! Flood in Uttarkhand, India SIDR- Bangladesh 2007
  • 14. Natural Disasters are more frequent than 30 years ago and more costly too!
  • 15. Cost of Natural Disasters in Asia
  • 16. The Green House Effect (Responsible for Global Warming) It is the warming of Earth’s Surface and lower atmosphere caused by mainly water vapor and carbon dioxide followed by other trace gases. Visible light from the Sun heats the Earth’s surface. Part of this energy is radiated back into the atmosphere in form of infrared radiation, much of which is absorbed by molecules of carbon dioxide and water vapor, and re-radiated toward the surface as more heat.
  • 17.
  • 20. The Solution Therefore, apart from these reasons, we mean to approach this more strategically. This approach focuses on Human activities and describes the importance of ‘Green Building’ for the conservation of energy and resources.
  • 21. Green Building  Buildings are responsible for over 10% of the world’s freshwater withdrawals, 25% of its wood harvest, and 40% of material and energy flows, globally. That’s HUGE. Green building is the effort to change the way the built environment is designed, constructed, and operated. This holistic approach considers the entire supply chain from siting to design, construction, operation, maintenance, renovation, and deconstruction. Green building is concerned with air quality, energy and water use, human health, waste reduction, pollution, and environmental degradation
  • 22. Strategy – Envelope Category • The no-regrets envelope strategies focus on improving the thermal properties of the building shell to respond to temperature-driven impacts. • The resilient strategies in this category help the shell respond to other climate impacts such as termite damage (pests) or wind-driven rain (storms).
  • 23. Strategy-Siting and Landscape Category • The no-regrets siting and landscape strategies focus on improving the performance of a site or landscape to respond to temperature and water/precipitation impacts. • The resilient strategies in this category help a project or landscape respond to other climate impacts such as wildfire or storm surge (coastal).
  • 24. Strategy - Heating, Cooling, Lighting Category  The no-regrets heating, cooling, and lighting strategies focus on improving the performance of building mechanical and electrical systems to respond to temperature impacts.  The only resilient strategy in this category adds resilience to egress lighting systems.
  • 25. Strategy –Water and Waste Category • The no-regrets water and waste strategies focus on improving the efficiency of building plumbing systems to respond to decreases in water supply or interruption of electrical power to a building. • The resilient strategies in this category aim to treat water on site to replace potable water use, prevent sewage backup into a building, or catch water for use on site.
  • 26. Humanitarian Response “Early Warning, Early Action”
  • 27. Early Warning, Early Action means: Routinely taking humanitarian action before a disaster or health emergency happens, making full use of scientific information on all timescales. Using climate and weather information to take action before a disaster strikes, in order to reduce negative impacts.
  • 28. The Elements of Early Warning, Early Action • Knowledge : Collecting data to understand risks • Monitoring : Collaboration with hazard monitoring services • Communication : Sharing information about hazards • Action : Building response capability preparing for pending hazards.
  • 29. Risk Knowledge • Are hazards and vulnerabilities well known? • What are their patterns and trends? • Are risks maps and data available?
  • 30. Monitoring (The trickier part!) • Hazard monitoring can include, for example, river gauges for floods and scientific forecasts for extreme rain or drought • Forecasts issued for days, weeks and months in advance • Collaboration with national meteorological service is a good add on to access information Fig : Stevenson Screen It forms the part of the weather station containing various individual devices for forecasting weather.
  • 31. Communication • Warnings should reach ALL those at risk • Risks and warnings should be well understood • Warning Information MUST be clear, concise and usable • Establish and document triggers well before a hazard arrives • Ensure internal support and external partnerships are in place – especially with the government.
  • 32. Role of BD Army in Disaster Management
  • 33. Example of Early Warning Early Action • Early Warning: In 2007, the Bangladesh Red Crescent received early warning indicators of Cyclone Sidr approaching their coast. • Early Action: Working with the government 5,000 volunteers with megaphones alerted and evacuated at risk residents. As result 4,500 people died compared to 138,000 in 1991.