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What next? 5 predictions about the future of
online co-creation
Felix Koch, Consultancy Director, Promise Communities
July 2011
Five predictions about the future of online
co-creation


How we keep up with these challenges


How you can future proof your community
In the future, online co-creation will be more...
- MOBILE
- ENGAGING
- REWARDING
- PLAYFUL
- HYBRID
In the future, online co-creation will be more
MOBILE
... because smartphone shipments have
outnumbered those of ‘dumb phones’ (US)

                                160    Feature Phones
       NA Unit Shipments (MM)




                                120


                                80
                                                                                                         !
                                40     Smartphones



                                      2005   2006    2007       2008         2009         2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, North America Shipments of Smartphones vs. Feature Phones, 2005-2013E
... because smartphones are even outpacing
desktop + notebook shipments next year

                                    600
                                                                                                                   !
       Global Unit Shipments (MM)




                                    500

                                    400

                                    300    Desktops & Notebooks

                                    200

                                    100    Smartphones


                                          2005   2006    2007   2008         2009         2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Global Unit Shipments of Desktop PCs & Notebook PCs vs. Smartphones, 2005-2013E
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index 2010-2015
From online co-creation to mobile co-creation
In the future, online co-creation will be more
ENGAGING
... because the fight for people’s attention and
time will intensify: how can we compete?




                          Look at our
                          community!
... because due to its popularity, co-creation
fatigue might become a real threat


                                     Co-creation?
New tools will be launched to keep online
co-creation fresh and consumers engaged

                                 Visualisation
Competitions
                                     Whiteboards
Ethnography

      Video                             Live-Chat
In the future, online co-creation will be more
REWARDING
...because future co-creators will be digitally
literate and aware of the value they are adding
...because prosumers will question traditional
incentive models and ask for royalties

                                                      Co-creation is a great money-spinning
                                                      concept because you can pay 300
                                                      people a few quid for coming up with
                                                      ideas, developing them and showing
                                                      which ones they like.
                                                      The company gets good ideas cheaply
                                                      that they can then implement without
                                                      as much costly R&D...


Source: Quote from community member on the Promise ‘Brand Together Community’, Research, 2011
Example for IP challenges: contributors suing
the Huffington Post after $315m sale to AOL



         “The Huffington Post’s bloggers
         have essentially been turned into
         modern-day slaves on Arianna
         Huffington’s plantation.”




Source: BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12379623
Future incentives and rewards schemes will
have to value people’s contributions more
In the future, online co-creation will be more
PLAYFUL
... because social games boom – and appeal to
everyone, not just the typical gaming community




          50%                       of Facebook
          log-ins are purely to play
          games

Source: The NPD Group, Social Network Gaming Study 2010
... because gamification gains traction in areas such
as marketing, research and online communities
Nike+ as an example of gamification: from mere
jogging to competitive, social fitness
By 2015, more than 50% of
                                                                 organisations that manage
                                                                 innovation processes will
                                                                 gamify those processes.




Source: Gartner, http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1629214
Online co-creation will be gamified and see the
introduction of a range of new game mechanics
  Points      Teams     Leaderboards   Levels
In the future, online co-creation will be more
HYBRID
... because as the knowledge around co-creation
increases, on- & offline forms are better understood




Source: Promise, based on Google Scholar data. Retrieved using the search term ‘co-creation’ and sorted by year
... because we see on- and offline forms of
communication converge: Facebook video
In the future, hybrid co-creation programs will
be launched to combine the best of both worlds
 offline




  online
In the future, online co-creation will be more...
- MOBILE
- ENGAGING
- REWARDING
- PLAYFUL
- HYBRID
Five predictions about the future of online
co-creation


How we keep up with these challenges


How you can future proof your community
But how does the Promise R&D lab cope with
these challenges?!? Mainly, by doing 4 things...
1. We develop our own web & mobile platforms
in-house
2. We conduct research on co-creation: we
invited 300 co-creators to develop our platform



       97% 70% 63%
        of community members                          of community members feel   of community members
        believe that they can                         that the Community allows   believe that their
        share their honest views                      them to be more creative    contributions have a
        & opinions                                                                significant impact




Source: Research undertaken on the Brand Together Community, n=210
3. We create new methods and IP on our away
days (we call them PromConference)
4. And we experiment, experiment, experiment...



    I’ve learnt so much from
    my mistakes,
    I think I’ll make another.
How we fill our innovation pipeline:

       Generate       Filter   Apply & Improve


           Tech
        development


     Co-creation
      Research


       Prom
     Conference


         Experiment
Five predictions about the future of online
co-creation


How we keep up with these challenges


How you can future proof your community
5 steps to future proof your community
‱ Be mobile: Use a simple and user-friendly interface that community
members can access on their smart phones & tablets.

‱ Be engaging: Make sure that the community platform keeps consumers
engaged by adding new functionalities and tools that allow community
members to express their ideas and creativity.

‱ Be rewarding: Ensure to partner with someone whose incentives and
engagement strategy caters for the most demanding co-creation projects.

‱ Be hybrid: Choose a partner who is experienced in handling both spaces
to maximise the impact and benefit of co-creation.

‱ Be experimental: most importantly, choose a consultancy partner rather
than a supplier, who can work with you to keep improving the community.
Sources and image credits

SOURCES                                                                  IMAGE CREDITS

Morgan Stanley Research, North America Shipments of Smartphones vs.      http://www.finzionimagazine.it/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/utopia2-570x300.jpg
Feature Phones, 2005-2013E                                               http://www.richardbagguley.com/informationpaintings.html
                                                                         http://glimmersite.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/OLPC_1.jpg
Morgan Stanley Research, Global Unit Shipments of Desktop PCs &          http://www.nationalgeographic.com.tr/ngm/0804/images/mercek/mercek.2.6.jpg
Notebook PCs vs. Smartphones, 2005-2013E                                 http://www.alannascott.com/portfolio/look-at-me.php
                                                                         http://intelbook.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/bored_students.jpg
Cisco Visual Networking Index 2010-2015
                                                                         http://virtualhelpsquad.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/copy-of-toolbox5.jpeg
Promise, Quote from community member on the Promise ‘Brand               http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_5yBiq5TNqP0/TIwlQD8wfLI/AAAAAAAAAlk/9kz4un2RKsM/
Together Community’, Research, 2011                                      s1600/CarrotStick.png http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_74WAVbHMQ2I/TLWrD-
                                                                         _BIcI/AAAAAAAABhI/FK8KikMGXwE/s1600/douche1.jpg
BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12379623                         http://www.buffalobeast.com/106/images/tasini.jpg
                                                                         http://whygamify.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/virtual-play2.jpg
The NPD Group, Social Network Gaming Study 2010
                                                                         http://s1.t.itc.cn/mblog/pic/201106_27_11/13091460001583.jpg Deck, “Promises and
Deck, “Promises and pitfalls of gameful design”, Sebastian Deterding,    pitfalls of gameful design”, Sebastian Deterding, web directions @media, London,
web directions @media, London, May 27, 2011                              May 27, 2011 http://blog.games.com/2011/04/14/gartner-gamification-gamify-50-
                                                                         percent-companies/ http://iphonecruncher.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-
Gartner, http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1629214                   poster/cache/07046_facebook-video-chat110706174354.jpg
                                                                         http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_KLfaqHv6TXk/TAqENipPbfI/AAAAAAAAAoA/rhOp--
Promise, based on Google Scholar data. Retrieved using the search term   Vh0QQ/s1600/dna%2520synthesis.jpg http://trafficexchangeproject.com/wp-
‘co-creation’ and sorted by year                                         content/uploads/2011/05/johnny_automatic_funnel.jpg

Promise, Research undertaken on the Brand Together Community, n=210
Thank you!
Felix Koch |                                Promise
Consultancy Director, Promise Communities   75 Wells Street
fkoch@promisecorp.com                       London W1T 3QH
                                            telephone: +44 (0) 207 290 0290
                                            fax: +44 (0) 207 290 0280
                                            web: www.promisecorp.com

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The future of_online_co-creation_promise_felix_koch

  • 1. What next? 5 predictions about the future of online co-creation Felix Koch, Consultancy Director, Promise Communities July 2011
  • 2. Five predictions about the future of online co-creation How we keep up with these challenges How you can future proof your community
  • 3. In the future, online co-creation will be more... - MOBILE - ENGAGING - REWARDING - PLAYFUL - HYBRID
  • 4. In the future, online co-creation will be more MOBILE
  • 5. ... because smartphone shipments have outnumbered those of ‘dumb phones’ (US) 160 Feature Phones NA Unit Shipments (MM) 120 80 ! 40 Smartphones 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E Source: Morgan Stanley Research, North America Shipments of Smartphones vs. Feature Phones, 2005-2013E
  • 6. ... because smartphones are even outpacing desktop + notebook shipments next year 600 ! Global Unit Shipments (MM) 500 400 300 Desktops & Notebooks 200 100 Smartphones 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Global Unit Shipments of Desktop PCs & Notebook PCs vs. Smartphones, 2005-2013E
  • 7. Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index 2010-2015
  • 8. From online co-creation to mobile co-creation
  • 9. In the future, online co-creation will be more ENGAGING
  • 10. ... because the fight for people’s attention and time will intensify: how can we compete? Look at our community!
  • 11. ... because due to its popularity, co-creation fatigue might become a real threat Co-creation?
  • 12. New tools will be launched to keep online co-creation fresh and consumers engaged Visualisation Competitions Whiteboards Ethnography Video Live-Chat
  • 13. In the future, online co-creation will be more REWARDING
  • 14. ...because future co-creators will be digitally literate and aware of the value they are adding
  • 15. ...because prosumers will question traditional incentive models and ask for royalties Co-creation is a great money-spinning concept because you can pay 300 people a few quid for coming up with ideas, developing them and showing which ones they like. The company gets good ideas cheaply that they can then implement without as much costly R&D... Source: Quote from community member on the Promise ‘Brand Together Community’, Research, 2011
  • 16. Example for IP challenges: contributors suing the Huffington Post after $315m sale to AOL “The Huffington Post’s bloggers have essentially been turned into modern-day slaves on Arianna Huffington’s plantation.” Source: BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12379623
  • 17. Future incentives and rewards schemes will have to value people’s contributions more
  • 18. In the future, online co-creation will be more PLAYFUL
  • 19. ... because social games boom – and appeal to everyone, not just the typical gaming community 50% of Facebook log-ins are purely to play games Source: The NPD Group, Social Network Gaming Study 2010
  • 20. ... because gamification gains traction in areas such as marketing, research and online communities
  • 21. Nike+ as an example of gamification: from mere jogging to competitive, social fitness
  • 22. By 2015, more than 50% of organisations that manage innovation processes will gamify those processes. Source: Gartner, http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1629214
  • 23. Online co-creation will be gamified and see the introduction of a range of new game mechanics Points Teams Leaderboards Levels
  • 24. In the future, online co-creation will be more HYBRID
  • 25. ... because as the knowledge around co-creation increases, on- & offline forms are better understood Source: Promise, based on Google Scholar data. Retrieved using the search term ‘co-creation’ and sorted by year
  • 26. ... because we see on- and offline forms of communication converge: Facebook video
  • 27. In the future, hybrid co-creation programs will be launched to combine the best of both worlds offline online
  • 28. In the future, online co-creation will be more... - MOBILE - ENGAGING - REWARDING - PLAYFUL - HYBRID
  • 29. Five predictions about the future of online co-creation How we keep up with these challenges How you can future proof your community
  • 30. But how does the Promise R&D lab cope with these challenges?!? Mainly, by doing 4 things...
  • 31. 1. We develop our own web & mobile platforms in-house
  • 32. 2. We conduct research on co-creation: we invited 300 co-creators to develop our platform 97% 70% 63% of community members of community members feel of community members believe that they can that the Community allows believe that their share their honest views them to be more creative contributions have a & opinions significant impact Source: Research undertaken on the Brand Together Community, n=210
  • 33. 3. We create new methods and IP on our away days (we call them PromConference)
  • 34. 4. And we experiment, experiment, experiment... I’ve learnt so much from my mistakes, I think I’ll make another.
  • 35. How we fill our innovation pipeline: Generate Filter Apply & Improve Tech development Co-creation Research Prom Conference Experiment
  • 36. Five predictions about the future of online co-creation How we keep up with these challenges How you can future proof your community
  • 37. 5 steps to future proof your community ‱ Be mobile: Use a simple and user-friendly interface that community members can access on their smart phones & tablets. ‱ Be engaging: Make sure that the community platform keeps consumers engaged by adding new functionalities and tools that allow community members to express their ideas and creativity. ‱ Be rewarding: Ensure to partner with someone whose incentives and engagement strategy caters for the most demanding co-creation projects. ‱ Be hybrid: Choose a partner who is experienced in handling both spaces to maximise the impact and benefit of co-creation. ‱ Be experimental: most importantly, choose a consultancy partner rather than a supplier, who can work with you to keep improving the community.
  • 38. Sources and image credits SOURCES IMAGE CREDITS Morgan Stanley Research, North America Shipments of Smartphones vs. http://www.finzionimagazine.it/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/utopia2-570x300.jpg Feature Phones, 2005-2013E http://www.richardbagguley.com/informationpaintings.html http://glimmersite.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/OLPC_1.jpg Morgan Stanley Research, Global Unit Shipments of Desktop PCs & http://www.nationalgeographic.com.tr/ngm/0804/images/mercek/mercek.2.6.jpg Notebook PCs vs. Smartphones, 2005-2013E http://www.alannascott.com/portfolio/look-at-me.php http://intelbook.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/bored_students.jpg Cisco Visual Networking Index 2010-2015 http://virtualhelpsquad.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/copy-of-toolbox5.jpeg Promise, Quote from community member on the Promise ‘Brand http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_5yBiq5TNqP0/TIwlQD8wfLI/AAAAAAAAAlk/9kz4un2RKsM/ Together Community’, Research, 2011 s1600/CarrotStick.png http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_74WAVbHMQ2I/TLWrD- _BIcI/AAAAAAAABhI/FK8KikMGXwE/s1600/douche1.jpg BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12379623 http://www.buffalobeast.com/106/images/tasini.jpg http://whygamify.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/virtual-play2.jpg The NPD Group, Social Network Gaming Study 2010 http://s1.t.itc.cn/mblog/pic/201106_27_11/13091460001583.jpg Deck, “Promises and Deck, “Promises and pitfalls of gameful design”, Sebastian Deterding, pitfalls of gameful design”, Sebastian Deterding, web directions @media, London, web directions @media, London, May 27, 2011 May 27, 2011 http://blog.games.com/2011/04/14/gartner-gamification-gamify-50- percent-companies/ http://iphonecruncher.com/wp-content/plugins/rss- Gartner, http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1629214 poster/cache/07046_facebook-video-chat110706174354.jpg http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_KLfaqHv6TXk/TAqENipPbfI/AAAAAAAAAoA/rhOp-- Promise, based on Google Scholar data. Retrieved using the search term Vh0QQ/s1600/dna%2520synthesis.jpg http://trafficexchangeproject.com/wp- ‘co-creation’ and sorted by year content/uploads/2011/05/johnny_automatic_funnel.jpg Promise, Research undertaken on the Brand Together Community, n=210
  • 39. Thank you! Felix Koch | Promise Consultancy Director, Promise Communities 75 Wells Street fkoch@promisecorp.com London W1T 3QH telephone: +44 (0) 207 290 0290 fax: +44 (0) 207 290 0280 web: www.promisecorp.com