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The Internet is Big Data
How internet research has changed our
understanding of the world



Ralph Schroeder, Professor & MSc Programme Director

Eric T. Meyer, Research Fellow & DPhil Programme Director            @etmeyer



                     http://www.slideshare.net/etmeyer/2012oiisvco

Silicon Valley Comes to Oxford 20:20 Talk
18 November 2012
Introduction
 What is the Oxford Internet Institute?
Introduction


 Big Data: Our definition

     Big data are data that are unprecedented in scale and scope
     in relation to a given phenomenon.

     They are often streams of data (rather than fixed datasets),
     accumulating large volumes, often at high velocity.
Business Value and Academic Value

 Strategic Knowledge
 • Generally time-limited (with exceptions)
 • Value comes from knowing what your competitors don’t
 • Often has high monetary value if it can be exploited
Business Value and Academic Value

 Durable Knowledge
 • Less time-limited (with exceptions)
 • Value comes from adding to the world’s knowledge (the global
   brain is cumulative/scientific)
 • Rarely has direct monetary value, but has value in terms of
   creating the possibility both of future knowledge and of future
   exploitation and commercial uses
Mark Graham & Bernie
Hogan’s project
investigated inequalities
in the creation of
knowledge


The map shown here
reveals uneven spread of
geo-tagged Wikipedia
articles 2011-12
Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon et al.
USENET Political Discussions (1999-2005)
                   8
         x 10000


                   6
                   4
                   2
                   0

                       09/1999          09/2000           09/2001            09/2002                  09/2003           09/2004

                        gun             white war war world war                war
                        white
                        black
                                        gun   white     news people
                                              world gun white
                                                                    news
                                                                    white
                                                                               news
                                                                               time world
                                                                                     good time
                        news war        news terrorist              world time people
                                                                                peace gun death
                        people          people              people
                                                                    peoplegood
                                                            news time           hate house dead
                                                                                black terrorist party
                                                                                                         hate dead
                                                                                                                            hatewhite
                                                                                                                            socialdead
                        hate world      war                 house good          f ree man truth lie
                                                                                                         man house          good man
                        party free
                        deathgood       black               death hate                                   partydeath         house party
                        mancrime        time                man dead black                               free black lie     god death
                                                                                                         truth gun torture fraud win free
                        house time      house               peace truth free
                                                            letter god                                   terrorist         gun black
                        money boy
                        abortion flag
                                        party
                                        world
                                        good cut                    Showed the connection between emotional
                                        death                       reactions and U.S. presidential approval ratings,
                                        power
                                                                    but also how emotional language underwent
                                 0:1




                                                  0:1




                                                                      0:1




                                                                                             0:1




                                                                                                                  0:1
                                        hate man
                                        fraud free                  long-term shifts after events such as 9/11
                                        truthcrime
Source: González-Bailón, S., Banchs, R. E., & Kaltenbrunner, A. (2012). Emotions, Public Opinion, and U.S. Presidential Approval Rates: A 5-Year Analysis of
Online Political Discussions. Human Communication Research, 38(2), 121-143.
Twitter-bots
      OII master’s students Alexander Furnas and Devin Gaffney saw a large spike in then-US
      presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s Twitter followers, and decided to look at the new
      followers:




Furnas, A. and Gaffney, D. (2012). ‘Statistical Probability That Mitt Romney's New Twitter Followers Are Just Normal Users: 0%’. The Atlantic, July 31,
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/07/statistical-probability-that-mitt-romneys-new-twitter-followers-are-just-normal-users-0/260539/ (accessed August 31, 2012).
Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/nakedcharlton/597075830/   Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jamescridland/613445810/
Image source: Leonard John Matthews, CC-BY-SA (http://www.flickr.com/photos/mythoto/3033590171)
Source: Bernie Hogan
Source: http://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineering/visualizing-friendships/469716398919
Source: Bernie Hogan
Source: http://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineering/visualizing-friendships/469716398919
Hi
     Idea                             Idea
               ?                     Idea !
!
    Idea           Idea
                      Idea
           !                     Idea
?    Idea
               Idea
                                 !           ?
       !
                                      Idea


                       ?
                             ?
Hi
   Idea                                  Idea
         ?                              Idea !
Idea Suggestion Idea Comment Link Copy
!
  Idea     Idea
              Idea
Share !Question Thought Information Idea
Feeling Action Fact Idea Question Comment
? Idea
Action Link Suggestion Share Thought Idea
         Idea
Reply Retweet Support Cats Deny Reply !Link ?
Thought Question Fact Comment Idea
      !
Suggestion Information Information Action
Comment Action Link Query Comment        Idea
Suggestion Denial Support Retweet Thought

              ?
                      ?
?
                    ?
                            ?
        ?
?
                    ?

    ?
                        ?
            ?
?
                                                                                                             ?
                                                                                                                        ?
                                                             ?
                                         ?
                                                                                                           ?

                                                   ?
                                                                                                                    ?
                                                                     ?




Source: Waller, V. (2011). “Not Just Information:Who Searches for What on the Search Engine Google?” Journal of the American Society for Information Science &
Technology 62(4): 761-775.
?
                                                                                                             ?
                                                                                                                       ?
      “Surprisingly, ?the distribution of
                ?
      types of search query did not vary
                                  ?
      significantly across the different
                  ?
                                    ?
      Lifestyle Groups (p>0.01).”
                                                                     ?




Source: Waller, V. (2011). “Not Just Information:Who Searches for What on the Search Engine Google?” Journal of the American Society for Information Science &
Technology 62(4): 761-775.
J Michel et al. Science 2011;331:176-182
Big Data Analytics

 • Cost of analytical tools
 • Access to data
 • Why should anyone share?
 • Skills to use the tools
 • How different skills and disciplines work together
 • From Big Data to Big (Hi-res) Picture
    • Marketing  Tailoring
    • Forecasting  Prediction
    • A/B and other experiments
    • Complex Trends  Linking datasets plus modelling
Fishing for Knowledge Data
       Trawling the Sea of Bigin a Sea of Information




Image sources (All CC): http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikecogh/6610354927/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/ponyboy101/2278057689/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/buzzhoffman/4140232128/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/circulating/1785350080/
Additional readings and references
Bond, Robert et al. (2012). ‘A 61-million-person experiment in social influence and political mobilization’,
Nature 489: 295–298.
Bruns, A. and Liang, Y.E. (2012). ‘Tools and methods for capturing Twitter data during natural disasters’, First
Monday, 17 (4 – 2), http://firstmonday.org/htbin/cgiwrap/bin/ojs/index.php/fm/article/viewArticle/3937/3193

Furnas, A. and Gaffney, D. (2012). ‘Statistical Probability That Mitt Romney's New Twitter Followers Are Just
Normal Users: 0%’. The Atlantic, July 31, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/07/statistical-
probability-that-mitt-romneys-new-twitter-followers-are-just-normal-users-0/260539/ (accessed August 31,
2012).

Giles, J. (2012). ‘Making the Links: From E-mails to Social Networks, the Digital Traces left Life in the
Modern World are Transforming Social Science’, Nature, 488: 448-50.

Kwak, H. et al. (2010). ‘What is Twitter, a Social Network or a News Media?’ Proceedings of the 19th
International World Wide Web (WWW) Conference, April 26-30, 2010, Raleigh NC.
Manyika, J. et al. (2011). ‘Big data: the next frontier for innovation, competition and productivity’, McKinsey
Global Institute, available at: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/mgi/research/technology_and_innovation/
big_data_the_next_frontier_for_innovation (last accessed August 29, 2012).

Silver, Nate. (2012). The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction. London: Allen Lane.

Tancer, B. (2009). Click: What Millions of People are Doing Online and Why It Matters. New York: Harper
Collins, 2009.

Wu, S. , J.M. Hofman, W.A. Mason, and D.J. Watts, (2011). ‘Who says what to whom on twitter’, Proceedings
of the 20th international conference on World Wide Web. (on Duncan Watts webpage,
http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/people/duncan/, last accessed August 29, 2012).
Oxford Internet Institute

          Ralph Schroeder                             Eric T. Meyer
     ralph.schroeder@oii.ox.ac.uk                eric.meyer@oii.ox.ac.uk
http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/people/?id=26    http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/people/?id=120
                                                        @etmeyer

                  http://www.slideshare.net/etmeyer/2012oiisvco

See http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/research/projects/?id=98
  With support from:

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The Internet is Big Data: How internet research has changed our understanding of the world

  • 1. The Internet is Big Data How internet research has changed our understanding of the world Ralph Schroeder, Professor & MSc Programme Director Eric T. Meyer, Research Fellow & DPhil Programme Director @etmeyer http://www.slideshare.net/etmeyer/2012oiisvco Silicon Valley Comes to Oxford 20:20 Talk 18 November 2012
  • 2. Introduction What is the Oxford Internet Institute?
  • 3. Introduction Big Data: Our definition Big data are data that are unprecedented in scale and scope in relation to a given phenomenon. They are often streams of data (rather than fixed datasets), accumulating large volumes, often at high velocity.
  • 4. Business Value and Academic Value Strategic Knowledge • Generally time-limited (with exceptions) • Value comes from knowing what your competitors don’t • Often has high monetary value if it can be exploited
  • 5. Business Value and Academic Value Durable Knowledge • Less time-limited (with exceptions) • Value comes from adding to the world’s knowledge (the global brain is cumulative/scientific) • Rarely has direct monetary value, but has value in terms of creating the possibility both of future knowledge and of future exploitation and commercial uses
  • 6. Mark Graham & Bernie Hogan’s project investigated inequalities in the creation of knowledge The map shown here reveals uneven spread of geo-tagged Wikipedia articles 2011-12
  • 7. Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon et al. USENET Political Discussions (1999-2005) 8 x 10000 6 4 2 0 09/1999 09/2000 09/2001 09/2002 09/2003 09/2004 gun white war war world war war white black gun white news people world gun white news white news time world good time news war news terrorist world time people peace gun death people people people peoplegood news time hate house dead black terrorist party hate dead hatewhite socialdead hate world war house good f ree man truth lie man house good man party free deathgood black death hate partydeath house party mancrime time man dead black free black lie god death truth gun torture fraud win free house time house peace truth free letter god terrorist gun black money boy abortion flag party world good cut Showed the connection between emotional death reactions and U.S. presidential approval ratings, power but also how emotional language underwent 0:1 0:1 0:1 0:1 0:1 hate man fraud free long-term shifts after events such as 9/11 truthcrime Source: González-Bailón, S., Banchs, R. E., & Kaltenbrunner, A. (2012). Emotions, Public Opinion, and U.S. Presidential Approval Rates: A 5-Year Analysis of Online Political Discussions. Human Communication Research, 38(2), 121-143.
  • 8. Twitter-bots OII master’s students Alexander Furnas and Devin Gaffney saw a large spike in then-US presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s Twitter followers, and decided to look at the new followers: Furnas, A. and Gaffney, D. (2012). ‘Statistical Probability That Mitt Romney's New Twitter Followers Are Just Normal Users: 0%’. The Atlantic, July 31, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/07/statistical-probability-that-mitt-romneys-new-twitter-followers-are-just-normal-users-0/260539/ (accessed August 31, 2012).
  • 9. Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/nakedcharlton/597075830/ Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jamescridland/613445810/
  • 10. Image source: Leonard John Matthews, CC-BY-SA (http://www.flickr.com/photos/mythoto/3033590171)
  • 11. Source: Bernie Hogan Source: http://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineering/visualizing-friendships/469716398919
  • 12. Source: Bernie Hogan Source: http://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineering/visualizing-friendships/469716398919
  • 13. Hi Idea Idea ? Idea ! ! Idea Idea Idea ! Idea ? Idea Idea ! ? ! Idea ? ?
  • 14. Hi Idea Idea ? Idea ! Idea Suggestion Idea Comment Link Copy ! Idea Idea Idea Share !Question Thought Information Idea Feeling Action Fact Idea Question Comment ? Idea Action Link Suggestion Share Thought Idea Idea Reply Retweet Support Cats Deny Reply !Link ? Thought Question Fact Comment Idea ! Suggestion Information Information Action Comment Action Link Query Comment Idea Suggestion Denial Support Retweet Thought ? ?
  • 15. ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
  • 16. ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Source: Waller, V. (2011). “Not Just Information:Who Searches for What on the Search Engine Google?” Journal of the American Society for Information Science & Technology 62(4): 761-775.
  • 17. ? ? ? “Surprisingly, ?the distribution of ? types of search query did not vary ? significantly across the different ? ? Lifestyle Groups (p>0.01).” ? Source: Waller, V. (2011). “Not Just Information:Who Searches for What on the Search Engine Google?” Journal of the American Society for Information Science & Technology 62(4): 761-775.
  • 18.
  • 19. J Michel et al. Science 2011;331:176-182
  • 20. Big Data Analytics • Cost of analytical tools • Access to data • Why should anyone share? • Skills to use the tools • How different skills and disciplines work together • From Big Data to Big (Hi-res) Picture • Marketing  Tailoring • Forecasting  Prediction • A/B and other experiments • Complex Trends  Linking datasets plus modelling
  • 21. Fishing for Knowledge Data Trawling the Sea of Bigin a Sea of Information Image sources (All CC): http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikecogh/6610354927/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/ponyboy101/2278057689/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/buzzhoffman/4140232128/; http://www.flickr.com/photos/circulating/1785350080/
  • 22. Additional readings and references Bond, Robert et al. (2012). ‘A 61-million-person experiment in social influence and political mobilization’, Nature 489: 295–298. Bruns, A. and Liang, Y.E. (2012). ‘Tools and methods for capturing Twitter data during natural disasters’, First Monday, 17 (4 – 2), http://firstmonday.org/htbin/cgiwrap/bin/ojs/index.php/fm/article/viewArticle/3937/3193 Furnas, A. and Gaffney, D. (2012). ‘Statistical Probability That Mitt Romney's New Twitter Followers Are Just Normal Users: 0%’. The Atlantic, July 31, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/07/statistical- probability-that-mitt-romneys-new-twitter-followers-are-just-normal-users-0/260539/ (accessed August 31, 2012). Giles, J. (2012). ‘Making the Links: From E-mails to Social Networks, the Digital Traces left Life in the Modern World are Transforming Social Science’, Nature, 488: 448-50. Kwak, H. et al. (2010). ‘What is Twitter, a Social Network or a News Media?’ Proceedings of the 19th International World Wide Web (WWW) Conference, April 26-30, 2010, Raleigh NC. Manyika, J. et al. (2011). ‘Big data: the next frontier for innovation, competition and productivity’, McKinsey Global Institute, available at: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/mgi/research/technology_and_innovation/ big_data_the_next_frontier_for_innovation (last accessed August 29, 2012). Silver, Nate. (2012). The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction. London: Allen Lane. Tancer, B. (2009). Click: What Millions of People are Doing Online and Why It Matters. New York: Harper Collins, 2009. Wu, S. , J.M. Hofman, W.A. Mason, and D.J. Watts, (2011). ‘Who says what to whom on twitter’, Proceedings of the 20th international conference on World Wide Web. (on Duncan Watts webpage, http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/people/duncan/, last accessed August 29, 2012).
  • 23. Oxford Internet Institute Ralph Schroeder Eric T. Meyer ralph.schroeder@oii.ox.ac.uk eric.meyer@oii.ox.ac.uk http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/people/?id=26 http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/people/?id=120 @etmeyer http://www.slideshare.net/etmeyer/2012oiisvco See http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/research/projects/?id=98 With support from: