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Session 9 - Fossil Fuels II
•
•
•
•
•

Mitigating Environmental Impacts
Economic Solutions to Emissions
Costs of Fossil Fuel Electrical Generation
Emerging Technologies
Importance of Fossil Fuels to Achieving
Sustainability
Mitigating Environmental Impacts
of Fossil Fuel Combustion

• Before, during, after combustion
• During combustion, optimally manage:
– Fuel and Oxidant Properties
– Stoichiometry (proper reactant ratios)
– The Three T’s

Each has engineering
and economic limits

For CO2:
MITIGATE

Geoengineering

REMOVE

REDUCE

Improved
efficiency
•Supply
side
•Demand
side

Fuel
Switching
•Higher
H/C
•Nuclear
•Renewables

Capture
•Sequestration
•Capture
and/or use

Biological
Sequestration

Ocean
Fertilization
Mitigating Environmental Impacts
of Fossil Fuel Combustion

• Geoengineering is quite interesting:
– Can we controllably alter the reflectivity of the
earth to compensate for CO2-based emissivity
changes?
– A less-than-1% change in either reflectivity or
emissivity of Earth produces a 1 deg K
change in average surface temperature (in
equilibrium state) – very sensitive!
Economic Solutions
to Carbon Dioxide Emissions

• Carbon Tax
• Cap and Trade
• Chicago Climate Exchange
– Marketplace for trading on 6 GHGs
– Members: 15% of stationary GHG sources; 20% of
power sector
– Activity: 22.9 million MT in 2007 vs. 1 billion MT for
European Climate Exchange
Source: Chicago Climate Exchange, December 2007 News
Economic Solutions
to Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Comparison of Alternatives

Carbon Tax
•
•
•
•

Cap and Trade

Favored by economists • Favored by Congress (profits
through manipulation)
Taxed at wholesale level
• Favored by IPPs, Utilities
Gives price certainty
• Favored by Environmentalists
Predictable gov’t income
(provides firm emission limits)
• Has a working precedent (i.e.,
SO2 cap/trade for electrics)
• Multi-sector
Economic Solutions
to Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Track Record of SO2 Cap/Trade Initiative

• When enacted in 1990:
– Goal:

By 2010, reduce to 8.98 million tons
From 1980’s level of 17.5 million tons

• Today (2007):
– Emissions at 10.5 million tons
– On track for 2010 goal

• By 2010:
– Will cost industry and customers $3 billion
– Estimated societal benefits of $100 billion
(primarily health related)
Economic Solutions
to Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Track Record of SO2 Cap/Trade Initiative

• When enacted in 1990:
– Goal:

By 2010, reduce to 8.98 million tons
From 1980’s level of 17.5 million tons

• Today (2007):
– Emissions at 10.5 million tons
– On track for 2010 goal

• By 2010:
– Will cost industry and customers $3 billion
– Estimated societal benefits of $100 billion
(primarily health related)

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Session 9 fossil energy part ii

  • 1. Session 9 - Fossil Fuels II • • • • • Mitigating Environmental Impacts Economic Solutions to Emissions Costs of Fossil Fuel Electrical Generation Emerging Technologies Importance of Fossil Fuels to Achieving Sustainability
  • 2. Mitigating Environmental Impacts of Fossil Fuel Combustion • Before, during, after combustion • During combustion, optimally manage: – Fuel and Oxidant Properties – Stoichiometry (proper reactant ratios) – The Three T’s Each has engineering and economic limits For CO2: MITIGATE Geoengineering REMOVE REDUCE Improved efficiency •Supply side •Demand side Fuel Switching •Higher H/C •Nuclear •Renewables Capture •Sequestration •Capture and/or use Biological Sequestration Ocean Fertilization
  • 3. Mitigating Environmental Impacts of Fossil Fuel Combustion • Geoengineering is quite interesting: – Can we controllably alter the reflectivity of the earth to compensate for CO2-based emissivity changes? – A less-than-1% change in either reflectivity or emissivity of Earth produces a 1 deg K change in average surface temperature (in equilibrium state) – very sensitive!
  • 4. Economic Solutions to Carbon Dioxide Emissions • Carbon Tax • Cap and Trade • Chicago Climate Exchange – Marketplace for trading on 6 GHGs – Members: 15% of stationary GHG sources; 20% of power sector – Activity: 22.9 million MT in 2007 vs. 1 billion MT for European Climate Exchange Source: Chicago Climate Exchange, December 2007 News
  • 5. Economic Solutions to Carbon Dioxide Emissions Comparison of Alternatives Carbon Tax • • • • Cap and Trade Favored by economists • Favored by Congress (profits through manipulation) Taxed at wholesale level • Favored by IPPs, Utilities Gives price certainty • Favored by Environmentalists Predictable gov’t income (provides firm emission limits) • Has a working precedent (i.e., SO2 cap/trade for electrics) • Multi-sector
  • 6. Economic Solutions to Carbon Dioxide Emissions Track Record of SO2 Cap/Trade Initiative • When enacted in 1990: – Goal: By 2010, reduce to 8.98 million tons From 1980’s level of 17.5 million tons • Today (2007): – Emissions at 10.5 million tons – On track for 2010 goal • By 2010: – Will cost industry and customers $3 billion – Estimated societal benefits of $100 billion (primarily health related)
  • 7. Economic Solutions to Carbon Dioxide Emissions Track Record of SO2 Cap/Trade Initiative • When enacted in 1990: – Goal: By 2010, reduce to 8.98 million tons From 1980’s level of 17.5 million tons • Today (2007): – Emissions at 10.5 million tons – On track for 2010 goal • By 2010: – Will cost industry and customers $3 billion – Estimated societal benefits of $100 billion (primarily health related)