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REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR
LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW?
Hurricane Sandy about to Strike
New York City, 29 October 2012
After Hurricane Sandy has passed NYC:
Now Is the Time for Reflection
Through its resolution A/RES/58/214, the
United Nations General Assembly convened
a World Conference on Disaster Reduction,
to be held in Kobe, Hyogo, Japan, from 18
to 22 January 2005. The Conference was to
take stock of progress in disaster risk
reduction accomplished since the Yokohama
Conference of 1994 and to make plans for
the next ten years.
THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE
• WAS CONVENED SHORTLY AFTER
THE DECEMER 26, 2004 BANDE ACHE,
INDONESIA EARTHQUAKE AND
TSUNAMI DISASTER, WHICH LEFT
OVER 200,000 DEAD
THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE
• WAS, BY EXTENSION, A PRODUCT OF
THE INTERNATIONAL DECADE FOR
NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION
(IDNDR), WHICH WAS ADOPTED
UNANOMOUSLY BY THE UNITED
NATIONS ON DECEMBER 31, 1089
THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE
• WAS A PRODUCT OF THE FIRST FIVE
YEARS OF LEADERSHIP OF THE
INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY FOR
DISASTER REDUCTIONDR) (ISDR)
THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE
• WAS CONVENED IN KOBE, JAPAN IN
JANUARY 2005, AND LED TO THE
HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION
GOAL: A GLOBAL CULTURE OF DISASTER
RESILIECE IN OUR GENERATION
THE GOAL OF EVERY
COMMUNITY
• DISASTERS RESIL-
IENCE!
• …EVEN THOUGH
NATURAL HAZARDS
(E.G., FLOODS,
SEVERE
WINDSTORMS,
EARTHQUAKES,
DROUGHTS) ARE
INEVITABLE FOR
EVERY COMMUNITY.
REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR
LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW?
• THE ANSWER IS “PROBABLY NOT!”
• - - - IN SPITE OF 25 YEARS OF
CUMMULATIVE HIGH-QUALITY
LEADERSHIP BY THE UNITED
NATIONS DURING THE DECADE OF
THE 1990’S UNDER THE IDNDR AND
DURING THE PAST 1 ½ DECADES
UNDER THE ISDR.
WE KNOW WHAT TO DO,
HOW TO DO IT,
WHY TO DO IT,
WHEN TO DO IT, and
WHERE TO DO IT
COMMUNITYDATA BASES
AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
•HAZARD MAPS
•INVENTORY
•VULNERABILITY
•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
ANTICIPATORY
DECISIONS
•EDUCATIONAL SURGES
•MITIGATION
•PREPAREDNESS
•EMERGENCY RESPONSE
•RECOVERY and
RECONSTRUCTION
RISK MANAGEMENT
HAZARDS
PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO
LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION
EXPOSURE
VULNERABILITY LOCATION
RISK
WHERE ARE THE COMMUNITIES THAT NEED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH
AMERICA
CARIBBEAN
BASIN
SUB-SAHARA
AFRICA
MEDITER-
RANEAN
ISLAND
NATIONS
ASIA
SOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPE
TT’S TIME FOR A CRITICAL
EVALUATION, SO - - -
TEN YEARS LATER IN 2015
THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY OF
NATIONS IS PLANNING A
2ND WORLD CONFERENCE
SO, IF IT IS NOT LEADERSHIP
AND NOT KNOWLEDGE,
WHAT IS KEEPING US FROM
MEETING THE GOALS OF
THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK
FOR ACTION ON A GLOBAL
SCALE?
WE HATE TO ADMIT IT, BUT
WE HAVE TO CHANGE OUR WAY
OF THINKING
BEFORE
WE CAN CHANGE OUR WAY OF
ACTING
APATHY
SOCIAL ELEMENTS THAT PREVENT US FROM
MEETING OUR GLOBAL GOALS
UNWISE
DECISIONS
NARROW-
MINDEDNESS
IGNORANCE
RISK
THE STRATEGY
• Engage a new generation of
politicians, business leaders,
scientists, engineers, the
media, . . .others as
stakeholders in a concerted
effort to make every global
community disaster resilient.
GIVE THEM A TITLE AND THE 2015
CHALLENGE
Engage the new corps of
“Ambassadors for Global
Disaster Resilience” (i.e.,
those who are willing to commit
to the goal of building global
capacity for disaster resilience).
DISASTER RESILIENCE
REQUIRES A “24/7” EFFORT
• A 24/7 EFFORT IS
NEEDED TO BUILD
THE CAPACITY
NEEDED TO
IMPLEMENT THE
PILLARS OF
DISASTER RES-
ILIENCE.
NEXT: CAPACITIZING AND
PARTNERNING
• Build capacity and partner-
ships simultaneously in the
community of politicians,
business leaders, scientists,
engineers, the media, . . .
others and work together in a
concerted global effort.
HOW TO FAIL
FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY
WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY
GUARANTEED!
HIGH
DISASTER
RISK
NO
CAPACITY
FOR
DISASTER
RESILIENCE
EDUCATION
THAT DOES
NOT BUILD
CAPACITY
HOW TO SUCCEED
POLITICAL
PROCECESES
PHYSICAL
SCIENCES
ENGINEERING
SCIENCES
SUCCESS: INCREASING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN
EVERY COMMUNITY
STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE
CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY
COMMUNITY
CAPACITY
GOAL:
DISASTER
RESILIENCE
ACADEMIA
FUNCTIONAL
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
INFORMATION
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
ORGANIZATION
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
WORKING
TOGETHER
COMMUNITY STAKEHOLDERS
Stratec Consulting
A RENEWED GLOBAL
SURGE OF HOPE AND
ENTHUSIASM
A HISTORIC EFFORT THAT WILL
BENEFIT EVERY NATION
2015 IS A GOOD TIME
FOR A GLOBAL SURGE IN
EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND
POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING
TO MAKE ALL COMMUNITIES OF
THE WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT
WE HAVE COMMON ASSETS
SO, LET’S USE THEM
SURGE VISION: INFUSION OF
KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE
BY 1,000,000+ NEW “AMBASSADORS
FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE” IN AN
ONGOING, CONCERTED EFFORT TO
CREATE TURNING POINTS FOR
DISASTER-RISK RESILIENCE IN
EVERY NATION
THE KEY IS BEING STRATEGIC
AND TACTICAL
•START NOW WHERE YOU LIVE!
•START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS AND ADD NEW
PARTNERS!
•START WITH YOUR HOME!
•START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS!
•START WITH YOUR COMMUNITY!
THE BIG FOUR IN THE COMMUNITY
MAKE THE DIFFERENCE
• EDUCATORS
• CITIZENS
• STAKE- HOLDERS
(PRACTI-
TIONERS)
• POWER
STRUCTURE
(POLICY MAKERS)
FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK
• MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR
• MAKE THE GOAL AND ITS BENEFITS
AND BARRIERS EASY TO VISUALIZE
• MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR
• MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR
ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A
HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY
UNDERSTAND OUR
COMMON BARRIERS
TO SUCCESS
BARRIERS TO A GLOBAL SURGE
• “MYTH”
• A GENERAL
SOLUTION
WILL WORK
FOR EVERY
COMMUNITY
• “REALITY”
• EACH COM-
MUNITY
NEEDS SITE-
SPECIFIC
INFORMATION
AND
STRATEGIES
BARRIERS IN A GLOBAL SURGE
• “MYTH”
• PROFESSIONAL
PRACTICE
ALWAYS KEEPS
PACE WITH
KNOWLEDGE
• “REALITY”
• EVERY DISASTER
IS A NEW
LEARNING
EXPERIENCE FOR
EVERY
COMMUNITY
BARRIERS FACED BY CHAMPIONS
OF SUSTAINABILITY
• “MYTH”
• PROFESSIONAL
EDUCATION IS A
SHORT
PROCESS
• “REALITY”
• PROFESSIONAL
EDUCATION IS A
LONG PROCESS
THAT MUST BE
NURTURED AND
SUSTAINED
SURGE
ATTRIBUTES
LEADERSHIP
INNOVATION
PARTNERSHIPS
FOCUS
SURGE
TARGETS
PROFESSIONAL
EDUCATION
CODES &
STANDARDS
COMMUNITY
PLANNING
IDENTIFY/ FIX
VULNERABILITIES
COMMUNITY
READINESS
PUBLIC
AWARENESS

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Towards The 2015 World Conference On Disaster Resilience

  • 1. REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW?
  • 2. Hurricane Sandy about to Strike New York City, 29 October 2012
  • 3. After Hurricane Sandy has passed NYC: Now Is the Time for Reflection
  • 4. Through its resolution A/RES/58/214, the United Nations General Assembly convened a World Conference on Disaster Reduction, to be held in Kobe, Hyogo, Japan, from 18 to 22 January 2005. The Conference was to take stock of progress in disaster risk reduction accomplished since the Yokohama Conference of 1994 and to make plans for the next ten years.
  • 5. THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS CONVENED SHORTLY AFTER THE DECEMER 26, 2004 BANDE ACHE, INDONESIA EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DISASTER, WHICH LEFT OVER 200,000 DEAD
  • 6. THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS, BY EXTENSION, A PRODUCT OF THE INTERNATIONAL DECADE FOR NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION (IDNDR), WHICH WAS ADOPTED UNANOMOUSLY BY THE UNITED NATIONS ON DECEMBER 31, 1089
  • 7. THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS A PRODUCT OF THE FIRST FIVE YEARS OF LEADERSHIP OF THE INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTIONDR) (ISDR)
  • 8. THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS CONVENED IN KOBE, JAPAN IN JANUARY 2005, AND LED TO THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION
  • 9. GOAL: A GLOBAL CULTURE OF DISASTER RESILIECE IN OUR GENERATION
  • 10. THE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY • DISASTERS RESIL- IENCE! • …EVEN THOUGH NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES, DROUGHTS) ARE INEVITABLE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY.
  • 11. REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW? • THE ANSWER IS “PROBABLY NOT!” • - - - IN SPITE OF 25 YEARS OF CUMMULATIVE HIGH-QUALITY LEADERSHIP BY THE UNITED NATIONS DURING THE DECADE OF THE 1990’S UNDER THE IDNDR AND DURING THE PAST 1 ½ DECADES UNDER THE ISDR.
  • 12. WE KNOW WHAT TO DO, HOW TO DO IT, WHY TO DO IT, WHEN TO DO IT, and WHERE TO DO IT
  • 13. COMMUNITYDATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS •HAZARD MAPS •INVENTORY •VULNERABILITY •LOCATION RISK ASSESSMENT RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK ANTICIPATORY DECISIONS •EDUCATIONAL SURGES •MITIGATION •PREPAREDNESS •EMERGENCY RESPONSE •RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT
  • 14. HAZARDS PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY LOCATION RISK
  • 15. WHERE ARE THE COMMUNITIES THAT NEED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA CARIBBEAN BASIN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA MEDITER- RANEAN ISLAND NATIONS ASIA SOUTH AMERICA EUROPE
  • 16. TT’S TIME FOR A CRITICAL EVALUATION, SO - - - TEN YEARS LATER IN 2015 THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY OF NATIONS IS PLANNING A 2ND WORLD CONFERENCE
  • 17. SO, IF IT IS NOT LEADERSHIP AND NOT KNOWLEDGE, WHAT IS KEEPING US FROM MEETING THE GOALS OF THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION ON A GLOBAL SCALE?
  • 18. WE HATE TO ADMIT IT, BUT WE HAVE TO CHANGE OUR WAY OF THINKING BEFORE WE CAN CHANGE OUR WAY OF ACTING
  • 19. APATHY SOCIAL ELEMENTS THAT PREVENT US FROM MEETING OUR GLOBAL GOALS UNWISE DECISIONS NARROW- MINDEDNESS IGNORANCE RISK
  • 20. THE STRATEGY • Engage a new generation of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . .others as stakeholders in a concerted effort to make every global community disaster resilient.
  • 21. GIVE THEM A TITLE AND THE 2015 CHALLENGE Engage the new corps of “Ambassadors for Global Disaster Resilience” (i.e., those who are willing to commit to the goal of building global capacity for disaster resilience).
  • 22. DISASTER RESILIENCE REQUIRES A “24/7” EFFORT • A 24/7 EFFORT IS NEEDED TO BUILD THE CAPACITY NEEDED TO IMPLEMENT THE PILLARS OF DISASTER RES- ILIENCE.
  • 23. NEXT: CAPACITIZING AND PARTNERNING • Build capacity and partner- ships simultaneously in the community of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . . others and work together in a concerted global effort.
  • 24. HOW TO FAIL FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY GUARANTEED! HIGH DISASTER RISK NO CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE EDUCATION THAT DOES NOT BUILD CAPACITY
  • 25. HOW TO SUCCEED POLITICAL PROCECESES PHYSICAL SCIENCES ENGINEERING SCIENCES SUCCESS: INCREASING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY COMMUNITY STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY
  • 27. A RENEWED GLOBAL SURGE OF HOPE AND ENTHUSIASM A HISTORIC EFFORT THAT WILL BENEFIT EVERY NATION
  • 28. 2015 IS A GOOD TIME FOR A GLOBAL SURGE IN EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING TO MAKE ALL COMMUNITIES OF THE WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT
  • 29. WE HAVE COMMON ASSETS SO, LET’S USE THEM
  • 30. SURGE VISION: INFUSION OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE BY 1,000,000+ NEW “AMBASSADORS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE” IN AN ONGOING, CONCERTED EFFORT TO CREATE TURNING POINTS FOR DISASTER-RISK RESILIENCE IN EVERY NATION
  • 31. THE KEY IS BEING STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL •START NOW WHERE YOU LIVE! •START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS AND ADD NEW PARTNERS! •START WITH YOUR HOME! •START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS! •START WITH YOUR COMMUNITY!
  • 32. THE BIG FOUR IN THE COMMUNITY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE • EDUCATORS • CITIZENS • STAKE- HOLDERS (PRACTI- TIONERS) • POWER STRUCTURE (POLICY MAKERS)
  • 33. FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK • MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR • MAKE THE GOAL AND ITS BENEFITS AND BARRIERS EASY TO VISUALIZE • MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR • MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY
  • 35. BARRIERS TO A GLOBAL SURGE • “MYTH” • A GENERAL SOLUTION WILL WORK FOR EVERY COMMUNITY • “REALITY” • EACH COM- MUNITY NEEDS SITE- SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES
  • 36. BARRIERS IN A GLOBAL SURGE • “MYTH” • PROFESSIONAL PRACTICE ALWAYS KEEPS PACE WITH KNOWLEDGE • “REALITY” • EVERY DISASTER IS A NEW LEARNING EXPERIENCE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY
  • 37. BARRIERS FACED BY CHAMPIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY • “MYTH” • PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A SHORT PROCESS • “REALITY” • PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A LONG PROCESS THAT MUST BE NURTURED AND SUSTAINED