1. Embraer Day
Marco Tulio Pellegrini - COO
Executive Aviation
Oct. 31st, 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
2. Market recovery depends on many factors
Willingness
to invest
Stock
Markets
Pre-owned
Market
Wealthy
Population
Business
Aviation
Traffic
Corporate
Profits
Exchange
Rates
Sales of New
Business
Jets
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Source: Embraer
Analysis
Finance
conditions
(for small
jets, and Asia
mainly)
3. U.S. corporate profits
US Corporate Profits (US$ Bi)
2.500
2.000
2.249
+41%
+125%
1.500
1.000
500
0
Q2
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: BEA – Bureau of Economic Analysis and Embraer estimates, September 2013
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
4. Worldwide HNWIs population
11.9
10.1
9.6
8.8
11.0
2010
2011
8.6
Population (mi)
7.7
8.2
10.1
10.8
2003
2004
North America
2005
Europe
2006
2007
Asia-Pacific
Source: World Wealth Report 2013 edition
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
2008
2009
Latin America
Middle East
2012
Africa
5. Business Jet Traffic – United States
220
Movements X 1000
2007
190
2013
160
2012
130
2009
100
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Source: FAA – September 27th, 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
6. World GDP growth rates
Source: EIU, September 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
7. Business jets pre-owned market inventory
12.9%
2483 jets
3.500
Fleet older than 10 yrs
28%
24%
Up to 10 yrs & positions
Total fleet % for sale
2.500
20%
16%
1.500
12%
1.000
8%
500
4%
0
Units (Bars)
2.000
0%
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, September 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
TD
% of active fleet (Lines)
3.000
8.3%
672 jets
8. EEJ Fleet for sale
50%
100
% of active fleet
45%
# of Embraer a/c for sale
90
40%
85
35%
80
30%
75
25%
70
20%
12%
65
15%
Jul-13
Apr-13
Jan-13
Oct-12
Jul-12
Apr-12
Jan-12
Oct-11
Jul-11
Apr-11
Jan-11
Oct-10
Jul-10
0%
Apr-10
50
Jan-10
5%
Oct-09
55
Jul-09
10%
Apr-09
60
for sale as % of active fleet
EMBRAER Total fleet for sale
95
Despite a large amount of small jets in fleet, Embraer fleet for sale is currently
below the world average of 12.3%.
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, October 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
9. Pre-owned asking prices
# Total Fleet for sale
Average discount
3200
↑ 141% since peak
100%
2800
↓ 18.5% since peak
50%
2400
0%
2000
May-09
Nov-09
May-10
Nov-10
May-11
Nov-11
May-12
Nov-12
May-13
Recovery will depend on an improvement in pre-owned prices.
Owners are postponing substitutions.
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, October 2013
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# Total Fleet for sale
Av. discount (Relative to May 2009)
150%
10. Top 5 business jets in residual value performance
Retail / Avg Equipped*
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Year of Manufacture
Phenom 300
Citation CJ4
* Average equipped price in 2013 economic conditions for all years.
Source: Aircraft Bluebook, October 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
G550
Lineage 1000
7X
11. Top 10 best “liquidity” performers
MODELS
Rank
DAYS ON
MARKET
DAY ON
MARKET (US)
ACTIVE
FLEET
FLEET
FOR SALE
FLEET
FOR SALE (%)
1st
EMBRAER PHENOM 300
125
102
139
4
3%
2nd
CITATION CJ4
149
238
130
3
2%
3rd
GULFSTREAM G-350
157
N.A.
11
2
18%
4th
GULFSTREAM G-550
169
120
411
12
3%
5th
LEARJET 40XR
179
215
91
5
5%
6th
CITATION XLS+
191
131
143
10
7%
7th
GULFSTREAM G-450
230
130
271
19
7%
8th EMBRAER PHENOM 100
234
256
285
19
7%
9th
237
304
414
22
5%
237
83
123
6
5%
CHALLENGER 300
10th FALCON 2000LX
Source: Jetnet, October 2013.
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12. Fractional market consolidation: control duopoly
Active fractional shares - market share
11%
Directional
Aviation
Control
73%
12%
1%
NetJets
Flight Options
Flexjet
3%
CitationAir
Others
Directional Aviation will more than double its participation (from 11% to 23%).
Source: Embraer analysis based on Jetnet database. October 2013.
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
13. Phenom 300 in fractional operators
FLIGHT OPTIONS
NETJETS
25 aircraft delivered to date
10 aircraft delivered to date
Flight Options also operates 6 Legacy 600
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, October2013
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14. Owners utilization profile (average FH/year)
EMBRAER Owners
Owners OEM
Hawker
Cessna
Bombardier
Dassault
Gulfstream
350
372
393
440
445
Owners
class
616
Large Jets
Medium Jets
Small jets
433
393
344
0
200
400
600
800
Embraer owners tend to have a better annual utilization leading their
businesses to higher productivity. Good option for management prospects.
Source: Jetnet IQ 2Q13 report proprietary data.
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
1000
15. Next 10 years Bizjet
Forecast
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16. Market Recovery in slow motion
US Corporate profits at record levels
MILD GROWTH
HNWI at record levels
World GDP growth is moderate
Used market inventory leveled off but prices are still an issue
Traffic recovery on track but slower than expected
European markets still at risk; emerging countries slowing down
Lack of confidence is holding the bizjet market turnaround
USA market dictates the speed of recovery
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
17. 2014-2023 market forecast
Deliveries Forecast (units)
Units
US$
225
1200
17,3
1345
1000
Ultra Large
800
Large
1270
600
Supermid
920
Midsize
400
82,2
1670
Ultra Long Range
1140
64,7
31,1
Midlight
200
1780
900
Light
2023
2022
2021
2020
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2019
Entry
0
17,8
17,3
15,8
Deliveries
Revenues
N10YF
9,250 jets and US$ 250 Bi in the next 10 years
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
4,2
18. 2014-2023 market forecast by region
North America
4,530 a/c (49%)
US$ 117 Bi (47%)
EMEA
2,330 a/c (25%)
US$ 70 Bi (28%)
China
805 a/c (9%)
US$ 29 Bi (11%)
Asia Pacific
725 a/c (8%)
US$ 21 Bi (8%)
Latin America
860 a/c (9%)
US$ 15 Bi (6%)
Source: Embraer 2013.
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Worldwide
9,250 units
US$ 250 Bi
19. THE BUSINESS TODAY
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20. Embraer product portfolio
Ultra-large
EIS 2009
Ultra-Long Range
Large
EIS 2010
Super Mid-Size
EIS 2002
Mid-size
EIS 2014
Mid-light
EIS 2015
Light
EIS 2009
Entry
EIS 2008
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21. Executive Aviation - Revenue evolution (US$ million)
1210
838
874
2008
2009
1119
937
2007
1292
582
145
2002
CAGR
175
2003
246
278
2004
2005
2006
24.4%
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2010
2011
2012
22. EEJ market share evolution since EIS (units)
45%
40%
Market share
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
22% accumulated since EIS, within the markets EEJ competes
Source: Jetnet and Embraer analysis – July, 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
23. EEJ market share (revenues)
% OEM Share – Total Revenues US$
21.8
17.3
5%
8%
4,2%
6%
8%
6,4%
23%
12%
19%
21%
18.2
18.1
17.7
10%
6%
6,9%
7%
4%
5,9%
5%
3%
7,3%
21%
27%
Total Revenues
(in US$)
Others
25%
Hawker-Beech
Embraer
18%
13%
17%
Gulfstream
9%
22%
15%
10%
Dassault
7%
Cessna
Bombardier
29%
28%
27%
33%
33%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Source: GAMA and Embraer analysis – July, 2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
24. Backlog evolution (US$ million)
7200
5500
4900
4700
4400
3200
2800
1800
500
2002
CAGR
500
2003
100
300
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
17%
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2009
2010
2011
2012 2013TD
25. Embraer Executive Jets: Final assemblies
USA - Melbourne
Phenom 100 & 300
Legacy 450 & 500
Brazil – São José dos Campos
Phenom 100 & 300
Legacy 450 & 500
Legacy 650
Lineage 1000
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
China - Harbin
Legacy 650
26. 400th Phenom 100/300 delivery in SJK
Phenoms
delivered
June ’13
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27. Phenom 100 – 2014 edition
New Multi-Function Spoiler and Interior Improvements
New
Standard
Items
New Interior
Options
• Multi-function spoilers
• 11 new interior collections
• Refreshment center
• Stowage space
• Premium seats
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
28. Phenom 300 – Prodigy touch
Based on Garmin 3000
First to certify this touchscreen Garmin platform
ANAC, FAA and EASA approved
Now available as an option
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29. Extended Range - 200 nm
Enhanced Interior
Entertainment to the latest generation
Enhanced cockpit options – E2VS and Autoland
External look refreshed
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30. Three prototypes in flight test
700+ flight hours
Over 16,000 systems test hours performed
On track for EIS in 1H 2014
First appearance at NBAA
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All Preliminary Data
Legacy 500 program update
31. Legacy 450 - Range increase
FROM
All Preliminary Data
Range
TO
2,300 nm
2,500 nm
Better performance and more flexibility
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32. Legacy 450 - Cabin comfort improvement
46”
4” additional leg room
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
34. Legacy 450 program update
First flight expected for 2H13
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35. SERVICES AND
SUPPORT UPDATE
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36. Service Center network
Embraer Service Center
Authorized Service Center
New Embraer Service Center in São Paulo - Brazil
Nearly 70 service centers worldwide.
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37. New Service Center in São Paulo, Brazil
MRO start-up: October 2013
200,000 SQFT
FBO start-up: March 2014
US$ 25 million investment
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38. Customer satisfaction: 2nd position maintained
“Embraer is creeping
even closer to the top
spot, up 0.1 to 8.2 from
last year’s 8.1”
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38
39. Embraer Executive Jets Global Presence
Phenom 100: 280+
Legacy 600/650: 200+
Phenom 300: 140+
Lineage 1000: 10+
630+ executive jets in service in more than 50 countries
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
40. This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
41. This presentation is the property of Embraer S.A. ("Embraer") and shall not be copied, in whole or in part,
or used in any manner, except with Embraer´s prior written consent.
Embraer reserves the right to revise this document whenever occasioned by product improvements,
governmental regulations or other good cause.
All images: figures, finishing materials and colors are for illustration purpose only, and may not represent
the real and final product accurately.
Some features are optional items not included in the baseline aircraft and are subject to price increase and
lead-time analysis.
All data presented shall not be used as guarantee. Guaranteed specifications are listed in the technical
description and represent the only binding guarantee.
In the event of any conflict between this presentation and the technical description, the technical
description shall govern.
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.