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Airline Market Outlook
                       Embraer’s Positioning in the 30 to 120 Seat Segment




6th Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting               Frederico Fleury Curado
          November 18th, 2005                   Executive Vice-President, Airline Market
     São Jose dos Campos SP, Brazil
Contents


       Key Global Market Trends


       Competitive Environment


       Regional Jets Sustained Operation

       Embraer Market Forecast
Forward Looking Statement



This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or
circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements
largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends
affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking
statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other
things: general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our
market.
The words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,”
“expects” and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We
undertake no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements
because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and
uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation
might not occur. Our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our
forward-looking statements.
Key Global Market Trends
• Traffic Recovery
                            Intra-Europe (RPK Billion)                                U.S. Domestic (RPM Billion)
 300
                                                                     600

 250
                                                                     500

 200                                                                 400

 150                                                                 300

 100                                                                 200

  50                                                                 100

   0                                                                   0
        2000         2001       2002       2003    2004      2005F         2000          2001          2002           2003           2004    2005F
            Network             Low Cost          Regional                   Network                   Low Cost                   Regional
   Source: Airlines, Embraer


• Disconnection from
  Forecast Ground Rules
• Historically > 0.90% of GDP, Passenger Revenue
  is below 0.70%.
• RPM is becoming a more complex function of GDP
                                                                                  Source: US Bureau of Economics Analysis and DOT Form 41
  and Yield.
Key Global Market Trends
•    LCC Expansion
                                                    • Around 70% of all domestic passengers
                                                        in North America and Europe have
                                                        access to low cost carriers services.

                                                    • LCCs hold air fare pricing power.

                                                    • Passengers are more stringent on air
                                                        travel value proposition.

                                                          US Domestic             (% RPK)             Intra-Europe
                                            100%   3%        5%      9%                        8%
                                                                           12%                                16%    15%
                                                   12%                                                  17%
                                                                                               5%
• Shift in Market Share                     80%
                                                            19%
                                                                                                        11%
                                                                    27%                                        19%
                                                                           37%                                       35%
                                            60%
• US: LCCs and Regionals expanding.
                                                   85%                                         87%
                                            40%             76%
• Intra-Europe: LCCs expanding and                                  64%
                                                                                                        72%
                                                                                                              65%
                                                                           51%                                       50%
    Regionals concentrating on secondary/   20%
                                                                                   Source:
                                                                                   Airlines,
                                                                                   Embraer
    /business markets development.           0%
                                                   1995     2000    2005E 2010E                1995    2000   2005E 2010E

                                                          Network            Low Cost                     Regional
Key Global Market Trends

• Domestic U.S. Pax Yields
  Down Sharply from 2000

• No evidences or expectation of a sizable
  recuperation.
• Passenger unit revenue trends weak
  domestically but strong internationally


• Crude Oil and Jet Fuel Prices
                                                                         70                            200
                                                                               Source: EIA             180




                                                Crude Oil (US$/Barrel)




                                                                                                             Jet Fuel (US¢/Gallon)
• Several factors (cold weather, wars, higher                            60                            160
                                                                                                       140
  import rates, increased China demand and                               50
                                                                                                       120
  refinery capacity) led to higher prices.                               40                            100
                                                                                                       80
• Projected oil prices: an upward shift from                             30                            60
                                                                                                       40
  historical levels to around US$50-60 long                              20
                                                                                                       20
  term. Jet fuel prices expected to be around                            10                            0
                                                                              1990
                                                                              1991
                                                                              1992
                                                                              1993
                                                                              1994
                                                                                         1995
                                                                                         1996
                                                                                         1997
                                                                                         1998
                                                                                         1999
                                                                                         2000
                                                                                         2001
                                                                                                2002
                                                                                                2003
                                                                                                2004
                                                                                                2005
  US¢150-170.
Key Global Market Trends
                                                                    25
•      Fleet Right-Sizing                                                60%
                                                                    20   of flights
    • 60% of all US domestic flights depart with load
      factor more appropriate to 70-110 seat aircraft.              15




                                                                %
    • 95% of all North American narrow-body flights are             10

      within 1,700nm range.                                         5

    • 85% of city pairs exclusively served by narrow body                4    8          13    15      20    13      8      7        5         2          2
                                                                    0
      jets have less than two daily frequencies.                         50   60         70    80      90    100   110     120     130       140      >150

                                                                              Source: US DOT/Embraer               Passengers per Departure



• Replacement Crisis – Ageing Fleets (61 to 120 seats)                                                                    810
                                                                                                                          Aircraft older
    • 35% of total fleet is more than 20 years in service and                                          492
                                                                                                                          than 20 Years
                                                                                451                                       35% of total fleet in service

     shall start to be replaced in the coming years.                                                                     361
                                                                                              320


    • Old technology equipments, most of them no longer in                                                     233
                                                                                                                                     212
                                                                                                                                                   237



     production.

    • Inefficient and expensive aircraft to operate.
                                                                                   0-5        6-10     11-15 16-20 21-25            26-30          30
                                                                                                        Aircraft Age (Years)
                                                                                                                         Source: BACK/Fleet PC (Jan/05)
Not Another Cycle, but a Fundamental Change

  New Passenger Profile      Different Set of Values

  Ultra Competitive Environment

  Strong Focus on Cost Reduction, Reduced Investments
      Cash is King

  Maximum Utilization of Assets (fleet optimization and flexibility)

  Clash of 3 models (LCC x Network x Regional)
      It´s about cost and efficiency




                                                                                       CRJ700
                                                  ERJ135


                                                           ERJ140

                                                                    ERJ145




                                                                                                                                                 MD80
                                                                                                                                                 MD83




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 B777
                                                                                                                                                                                                           B757


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                B767
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     A300
                                                                                                                                                                    B737
                                                                                                     70 to




                                                  ERJ135




                                                                    ERJ145




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               MD11
                                                                                                                                                           MD82

                                                                                                                                                                         B737




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   B777
                                                                                                                                                                                      B737
                                                                                                                      B737




                                                                                                                                                                                             B757




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         B757
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  B767
                                                                                                                                B737
      It´s about value proposition                                                              110 Seats




                                                                                       CRJ700
                                                                    CRJ200
                                                  ERJ135




                                                                    ERJ145

                                                                             CRJ700




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 B777
                                                                                                                                         B737
                                                                                                                                A319




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          B747
                                                                                        E-170




                                                                                                                                                 A320




                                                                                                                                                                                   B767
                                                                                                                      B737




                                                                                                                                                                                                              B757


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                B767
  Fast Scope Clauses Relaxation /


                                                                    CRJ200




                                                                                       CRJ700
                                                                    ERJ145




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   A330
                                                                                                                                       B737
                                                                                                                         A319




                                                                                                                                                        A320




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  B757
                                                                                                                                                                                   A321




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           B767
                                                                                                                                                               B737
                                                                                        E-170
                                                                    CRJ200
                                                                    ERJ145


                                                                                       CRJ700
                                                  ERJ135




                                                                                                                                                          MD88
                                                                                                                                                          MD90




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        B777
                                                                                                                                                                            B737




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           B767

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           B767


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 A340
                                                                                                               B737




                                                                                                                                                                                                       B757
                                                                                                                                        B737
  / Closing the 70-110 Seat Gap
                                                           CRJ440




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         DC-10
                                                                                      AVRO




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 B747
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   A330
                                                                                                               DC-9




                                                                                                                                A319
                                                                                                                                          DC-9




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         A330
                                                                                                                                                                  A320




                                                                                                                                                                                                    B757


                                                                                                                                                                                                                         B757
    (Bottom-Up and Top-Down)                 25                 50                              75           100             125                         150                          175+
                                                                                                         Seat Capacity
Competitive
Environment
30-60 Seat Jet Competitors




                             ERJ 135
                             ERJ 135


     CRJ200 // 440
     CRJ200 440



                             ERJ 140
                             ERJ 140




     328JET
     328JET

                             ERJ 145 and 145XR
                             ERJ 145 and 145XR
Market Share (30-60 seat segment)

                               100
                                         93
                               90
                                                  83
                               80
Accumulated Market Share (%)




                               70
                                                        68
                               60                                                              52     53     55       54.4
                                                                         55            52
                                                                  56            52
                               50
                                                                   45
                                                                                48     48
                                                                         45                    48     47     45
                               40                                                                                    45.6
                                                             32

                               30
                                                 17
                               20
                                         7
                               10

                                 0
                                       1995      1996    1997     1998   1999   2000    2001   2002   2003   2004   'Sep/2005

                               Source: Embraer
61-90 Seat Segment Competitors




 RRJ
 RRJ


                       EMBRAER 170
                       EMBRAER 170

CRJ700
CRJ700




 CRJ900
 CRJ900


                       EMBRAER 175
                       EMBRAER 175
 ARJ21
 ARJ21
Market Share (61-90 seat segment)

                                                                   100
                               100                       100




                                                                          77             73
                                80
Accumulated Market Share (%)




                                                                                 70           72
                                                                                                     67
                                                                                                            64

                                60                                                                                   57.9




                                40                                                                          36       36.2
                                                                                30                   33
                                                                                              28
                                                                                       27
                                                                         23

                                20



                                                                                                                       2.5
                                 0                                                                           0          3.4
                                       1995       1996    1997   1998    1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   'Sep/2005

                                Source: Embraer
91-120 Seat Segment Competitors

B717
B717



        B737-600
        B737-600




                                  EMBRAER 190
                                  EMBRAER 190

A318
A318
ARJ21
ARJ21




RRJ
RRJ                               EMBRAER 195
                                  EMBRAER 195
Market Share (91-120 seat segment)

                               100        100       100          100

                               90

                               80
Accumulated Market Share (%)




                               70

                               60                                                                                        58.5
                                                                                 56                            56
                                                                           45           49
                               50                                                                    45
                                                                                               42
                               40                                                             42
                                                                          44
                                                                                       38
                               30                                               33                        29
                                                                                                               24
                                                                                                      26                 21.3
                               20                                                             16
                                                                                                                         20.2
                                                                                        13                      20
                                                                           11    11
                               10

                                0
                                      1995       1996     1997    1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003      2004   'Sep/2005

                               Source: Embraer
Embraer Commercial Jets Unique Position

                  30Y   50Y   70Y   90Y   110Y   130Y




     Potential
   New Entrants

                          Scope
Regional Jets
   Sustained
   Operation
(30-60 seat segment)
ERJ 145 Family



                        37 Seats




                        44 Seats




                        50 Seats




                         50 Seats
                 (2,000 nm range)
ERJ 145 Family Network - USA
                                                               New Routes
                                                               Jet Complement
                                                               Jet Replacement
                                                               RJ Complement
                                                               RJ Replacement
                                                               TP Complement
                                                               TP Replacement

                                                               100%

                                                                         28%

                                                               75%
                                                                         18%

                                                               50%
                                                                         22%

                                                                            3%
                                                               25%          5%
                                                                            6%

                            Average Stage Length = 460 miles             18%
Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05)                                       0%
                                                                       1371 routes
ERJ 145 Family Network




                                                 < 1 hour
                                                 1 – 2 hours
                                                 2 – 3 hours
                                                 > 3 hours


                                             Number of Routes
                                          Jan/2000      Jan/2005

                             < 1 hour     41 (14%)     179 (15%)

                            1 - 2 hours   157 (55%)    639 (51%)

                            2 - 3 hours   87 (31%)     380 (30%)
                            > 3 hours        0          48 (4%)
Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05)
US Regional System Network

  % routes in each major US RJs operator network without direct competition
         50%
                                                44%

         40%
                                                                  35%

         30%                                                            27%

                          21%
         20%
                                                                              15%     15%

         10%


           0%
                             AA                   CO              DL    NW    UA      US



                              • High percentage of RJ service is on monopoly routes
      • 75% of all RJs monopoly routes are operated with less than 2 daily frequencies
Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05 ; combined city effect not considered)
US Domestic Market (Year 2004)


                            2,500                                  Connecting Flight (Greater than
                                                                   90% of total PPDEWs in
                                           50-seat RJ              Connecting Flight)
                            2,000            Market
                                                                   Direct & Connecting Flight
        Number of Markets




                                          Opportunities:
                                              1949
                            1,500
                                           connecting              Direct Flight (Less than 10% of
                                            markets                total PPDEWs in Connecting
                                                                   Flight)
                            1,000


                             500


                               0
                                    25 - 75      75 - 150   150 - 315    315 - 500         >500

                                              Passenger Per Day Each Way (PPDEW)
Source: US DOT OD1A (Back Aviation)
ERJ 145 Family Network - Europe

                                                              New Routes
                                                              Jet Complement
                                                              Jet Replacement
                                                              TP Complement
                                                              TP Replacement
                                                              100%

                                                                        31%

                                                              75%

                                                                        17%

                                                              50%
                                                                        18%


                                                                        13%
                                                              25%

                                                                        21%

                           Average Stage Length = 430 miles    0%
Source: BACK/OAG(Jan/05)                                             424 routes
New Routes Development - London City
•   ERJ 135: Steep Approach Capable (London City Airport)
•   Still Air Range: 600 nm

                                    ERJ 135




                                                            - Typical European airline OEW
                                                            - Full PAX
                                                              Passengers at 90.7 kg (200 lb)
                                                            - Cruise at LRC
                                                            - Airport Temp. at 20.5ºC / ISA+5.5ºC
                                                              (85% Summer)
                                                            - 85% Summer Winds

                                                            - JAR OPS Reserves
                                                              100 nm alternate
New Routes Development - China



        China Eastern
              5 ERJ 145




                           Chengdu


      Sichuan Airlines                       China Southern
               5 ERJ 145         Guangzhou      6 ERJ 145




Source: BACK/OAG(1Q05)
ERJ 145 - AeroLitoral - Mexico

                                                               New Routes
                                    CJS
                                    CJS
TIJ
TIJ
                                                               Jet Replacement
                                                               TP Complement
                 HMO
                 HMO               CUU
                                   CUU                         TP Replacement
                      CEN
                      CEN

                         LMM
                         LMM                          MTY
                                                      MTY
                                                               100%
                             CUL
                             CUL
                                                                        17%


                                                                75%     17%
                                                BJX
                                                BJX
                                          GDL
                                          GDL
                                                        MEX
                                                        MEX
                                                                50%
                                                                        41%

 • The ERJ 145, on average, attracts 10 more pax
   per flight on every route it replaces the Saab.              25%

 • Since the incorporation of the ERJ 145s, AeroMexico’s                25%
   market share, on disputed routes, has increased by 9 p.p.
                                                                 0%
  Source: BACK/OAG(Jan/05)
ERJ 145 Family Worldwide Fleet SR and CR

          Schedule Reliability & Completion Rate
                    12 Months Moving Average




           REF.
                         CR=99.7% (completion)
         Aug/2005

                         SR=98.8% (15 min. delay)
ERJ 145 Family Orderbook




    (as of September 30th., 2005)                                                 Firm
                                    Firm Orders   Options   Total   Deliveries   Backlog

            ERJ 135                    123          2       125        108         15

            ERJ 140                     94          20      114        74          20

            ERJ 145                    677         206      883        661         16

               Total                   894         228      1,122      843         51
The 30-60 Seat Jet Segment Summary


  • Market has reached maturity (established customer base)

  • The lowest trip cost: increased frequencies (market presence) and
   reduced risks to new markets development (long and thin routes with
   monopoly services – better pricing power)

  • Secondary market starting to develop

  • Less than 10 ERJs temporarily parked


  • Will remain the   backbone of US Regional fleet (small density
   markets)
The E-Jets Family
               Program Status




Economics   Ergonomics   Engineering   Efficiency
EMBRAER 170 Certified by CTA/FAA/EASA

                      CTA




FAA                                     EASA
EMBRAER 170/175 Canadian Certification

•Canadian Certification Granted on July 15th, 2005.




      Florida, July 2005, -35 °C
      McKinley Climatic Lab, Eglin Air Force Base




           Additional Cold Soak tests performed for the
                       Canadian authorities

PR 22/Jul/05
EMBRAER 190 – Certified by CTA and FAA

  CTA TC on August 30th, 2005.   FAA TC on September 2nd, 2005.




PR 01/Sep/05
EMBRAER 195 – Development & Certification Schedule

                   2000                     2001               2002              2003                2004              2005             2006
        Q1       Q2    Q3    Q4   Q1    Q2    Q3   Q4   Q1    Q2   Q3   Q4 Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4 Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4 Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4



           Initial Definitions Phase



                                        Joint Definition Phase


                                                             Detail Design and Manufacturing


                                                                                                                First Flight

                                                                                                                 Certification Tests


                                                                                                                            Type Certification

                                                                                                                                   1st Delivery




               1ST Flight – Dec’07th 2004

PR 10/May/05
E-Jets Operators
      ITALY       France         SWITZERLAND            UK       FINLAND      GERMANY          POLAND
      ●Alitalia   ●Régional      ●Swiss                 ●Flybe   ●Finnair     ●Cirrus          ●LOT

CANADA
●Air Canada

USA
●US Airways
●Republic
 Delta                                                                                       China
 United                                                                                      ●Hong Kong
●JetBlue                                                                                     Express


                                                                                              India
PANAMA                                                                                        ●Paramount
●Copa

ECUADOR
●Tame

                                                         Saudi Arabia
  ● Current Operators         ● Near Future operators    ●Saudi Arabian Airlines
                                                                                        (as of Oct 24th, 2005)
Embraer 170 Network at

                                                                           % of Routes (3Q05)


                                                                          New Route
                                                                          Rightsizing
                                                                          Natural Growth

                                                                          100%
                                                                                      8%



                                                                          75%
                                                                                      41%



                                                                          50%



                                                                          25%         51%




Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)
                                 Average Stage Length = 635 sm (552 nm)    0%
Embraer 170 Network at

                                                                           % of Routes (3Q05)


                                                                          New Route
                                                                          Rightsizing
                                                                          Natural Growth

                                                                          100%        3%




                                                                          75%         43%




                                                                          50%



                                                                          25%         54%




                                 Average Stage Length = 640 sm (556 nm)    0%
Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)
Embraer 170 Network at
                                                                            % of Routes (3Q05)


                                                                          New Route
                                                                          Rightsizing
                                                                          Natural Growth

                                                                          100%
                                                                                       12%



                                                                          75%          29%




                                                                          50%


                                                                                       59%
                                                                          25%



                                 Average Stage Length = 429 sm (373 nm)    0%
Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)
Embraer 175 Network
                                                                           % of Routes (4Q05)


                                                                          New Route
                                                                          Rightsizing
                                                                          Natural Growth

                                                                          100%



                                                                          75%         50%




                                                                          50%



                                                                          25%         50%




                                 Average Stage Length = 410 sm (357 nm)    0%
Source: BACK/OAG (4Q05 routes)
Embraer 170 Network

                                                                            % of Routes (3Q05)


                                                                          New Route
                                                                          Rightsizing
                                                                          Natural Growth

                                                                          100%         2%



                                                                                       37%
                                                                          75%



                                                                          50%


                                                                                       61%
                                                                          25%


                                 Average Stage Length = 609 sm (529 nm)
Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)                                             0%
EMBRAER 190 Initial Network




  New Route                                                                                                        100%
      From           Panama City     San Pedro Sulas
        To          San Salvador           San Jose                                                                       22%
   Equipment         73G     E90       73G          E90
      Jun/05          0          0         0         0                                                             75%
      Jan/06          0      30            0         0
      Jun/06          0      30            0         31

                                                                                                                   50%
  Rightsizing
      From        Guatemala City     Panama City          Panama City   Panama City    Panama City   Panama City          78%
        To            Managua         Managua             San Andres    Barranquilla   Cartagena      Guayaquil
   Equipment        73G     E90      73G       E90        73G    E90    73G     E90    73G    E90    73G    E90
                                                                                                                   25%
      Jun/05         60      0        30        0          30     0      22      0      22     0      45     0

      Jan/06         62      0        30        0          0      31     0       31     0      31     13     31
      Jun/06         30     30        30       30          0      31     0       31     0      31     6      46
                                                                                                                    0%
Source: BACK OAG (Oct 05)
Y
            COP




200   400
EMBRAER 190 Initial Network



                                                          New Routes
                                                          Rightsizing




Source: jetBlue website, BACK OAG (Oct/05) and ATI News
New Success Stories To Be Written Shortly




      Firm order of 12 E170
          plus 8 options            Firm order of 4 E170




  Firm order of 2 E170 and 1 E190   Firm order of 15 E170
          plus 4 options
New Success Stories To Be Written Shortly




                      Firm order of 6 firm E190




  Firm order of 14 EMBRAER 195         Firm order of 2 E170 and 3 E175
EMBRAER 170/175 EIS Statistics

   • Operating Summary

                 Operators                 8

                 Aircraft in Service       87

                 Flight hours              167,700

                 Flight Cycles             115,200
                                       (as of Oct 14th, 2005)




IS 19/Oct/05
EMBRAER 170/190 Family Order Book




                                                                               Firm
                                 Firm Orders   Options   Total   Deliveries
                                                                              Backlog

          EMBRAER 170               191         133      324        81         110

          EMBRAER 175                22           -       22         9          13

          EMBRAER 190               185         219      404         2         183

          EMBRAER 195                29          31       60         -          29

                Total               427         383      810        92         335


 (as of September 30th., 2005)
Embraer
Market
Forecast
Embraer Market Forecast (2006-2025)


     Worldwide Jet Deliveries by Capacity Segment


      Segment    2006 - 2015   2016 – 2025   2006 - 2025

      30 - 60       500           1,050        1,550
      61 – 90      1,300          1,650        2,950
      91 – 120     1,550          1,900        3,450
      TOTAL        3,350          4,600        7,950


       30 to 120-seat segment value = US$ 180 billion
Embraer Market Forecast (2006-2025)

30 - 120 Seats: 7,950 Jets



                             Europe   Russia
     USA, Canada              1,450    & CIS
     & Caribbean                       525
        4,230                18%
        53%                           7%       China
                                                590
                                               7%
                               Africa &
              Latin           Middle East            Asia
             America             280                Pacific
               465
                                 4%                  410
              6%                                       5%
Embraer's Positioning in Growing Regional Jet Market

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Embraer's Positioning in Growing Regional Jet Market

  • 1. Airline Market Outlook Embraer’s Positioning in the 30 to 120 Seat Segment 6th Annual Analyst & Investor Meeting Frederico Fleury Curado November 18th, 2005 Executive Vice-President, Airline Market São Jose dos Campos SP, Brazil
  • 2. Contents Key Global Market Trends Competitive Environment Regional Jets Sustained Operation Embraer Market Forecast
  • 3. Forward Looking Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things: general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our market. The words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking statements.
  • 4. Key Global Market Trends • Traffic Recovery Intra-Europe (RPK Billion) U.S. Domestic (RPM Billion) 300 600 250 500 200 400 150 300 100 200 50 100 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005F 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005F Network Low Cost Regional Network Low Cost Regional Source: Airlines, Embraer • Disconnection from Forecast Ground Rules • Historically > 0.90% of GDP, Passenger Revenue is below 0.70%. • RPM is becoming a more complex function of GDP Source: US Bureau of Economics Analysis and DOT Form 41 and Yield.
  • 5. Key Global Market Trends • LCC Expansion • Around 70% of all domestic passengers in North America and Europe have access to low cost carriers services. • LCCs hold air fare pricing power. • Passengers are more stringent on air travel value proposition. US Domestic (% RPK) Intra-Europe 100% 3% 5% 9% 8% 12% 16% 15% 12% 17% 5% • Shift in Market Share 80% 19% 11% 27% 19% 37% 35% 60% • US: LCCs and Regionals expanding. 85% 87% 40% 76% • Intra-Europe: LCCs expanding and 64% 72% 65% 51% 50% Regionals concentrating on secondary/ 20% Source: Airlines, Embraer /business markets development. 0% 1995 2000 2005E 2010E 1995 2000 2005E 2010E Network Low Cost Regional
  • 6. Key Global Market Trends • Domestic U.S. Pax Yields Down Sharply from 2000 • No evidences or expectation of a sizable recuperation. • Passenger unit revenue trends weak domestically but strong internationally • Crude Oil and Jet Fuel Prices 70 200 Source: EIA 180 Crude Oil (US$/Barrel) Jet Fuel (US¢/Gallon) • Several factors (cold weather, wars, higher 60 160 140 import rates, increased China demand and 50 120 refinery capacity) led to higher prices. 40 100 80 • Projected oil prices: an upward shift from 30 60 40 historical levels to around US$50-60 long 20 20 term. Jet fuel prices expected to be around 10 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 US¢150-170.
  • 7. Key Global Market Trends 25 • Fleet Right-Sizing 60% 20 of flights • 60% of all US domestic flights depart with load factor more appropriate to 70-110 seat aircraft. 15 % • 95% of all North American narrow-body flights are 10 within 1,700nm range. 5 • 85% of city pairs exclusively served by narrow body 4 8 13 15 20 13 8 7 5 2 2 0 jets have less than two daily frequencies. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 >150 Source: US DOT/Embraer Passengers per Departure • Replacement Crisis – Ageing Fleets (61 to 120 seats) 810 Aircraft older • 35% of total fleet is more than 20 years in service and 492 than 20 Years 451 35% of total fleet in service shall start to be replaced in the coming years. 361 320 • Old technology equipments, most of them no longer in 233 212 237 production. • Inefficient and expensive aircraft to operate. 0-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 30 Aircraft Age (Years) Source: BACK/Fleet PC (Jan/05)
  • 8. Not Another Cycle, but a Fundamental Change New Passenger Profile Different Set of Values Ultra Competitive Environment Strong Focus on Cost Reduction, Reduced Investments Cash is King Maximum Utilization of Assets (fleet optimization and flexibility) Clash of 3 models (LCC x Network x Regional) It´s about cost and efficiency CRJ700 ERJ135 ERJ140 ERJ145 MD80 MD83 B777 B757 B767 A300 B737 70 to ERJ135 ERJ145 MD11 MD82 B737 B777 B737 B737 B757 B757 B767 B737 It´s about value proposition 110 Seats CRJ700 CRJ200 ERJ135 ERJ145 CRJ700 B777 B737 A319 B747 E-170 A320 B767 B737 B757 B767 Fast Scope Clauses Relaxation / CRJ200 CRJ700 ERJ145 A330 B737 A319 A320 B757 A321 B767 B737 E-170 CRJ200 ERJ145 CRJ700 ERJ135 MD88 MD90 B777 B737 B767 B767 A340 B737 B757 B737 / Closing the 70-110 Seat Gap CRJ440 DC-10 AVRO B747 A330 DC-9 A319 DC-9 A330 A320 B757 B757 (Bottom-Up and Top-Down) 25 50 75 100 125 150 175+ Seat Capacity
  • 10. 30-60 Seat Jet Competitors ERJ 135 ERJ 135 CRJ200 // 440 CRJ200 440 ERJ 140 ERJ 140 328JET 328JET ERJ 145 and 145XR ERJ 145 and 145XR
  • 11. Market Share (30-60 seat segment) 100 93 90 83 80 Accumulated Market Share (%) 70 68 60 52 53 55 54.4 55 52 56 52 50 45 48 48 45 48 47 45 40 45.6 32 30 17 20 7 10 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 'Sep/2005 Source: Embraer
  • 12. 61-90 Seat Segment Competitors RRJ RRJ EMBRAER 170 EMBRAER 170 CRJ700 CRJ700 CRJ900 CRJ900 EMBRAER 175 EMBRAER 175 ARJ21 ARJ21
  • 13. Market Share (61-90 seat segment) 100 100 100 77 73 80 Accumulated Market Share (%) 70 72 67 64 60 57.9 40 36 36.2 30 33 28 27 23 20 2.5 0 0 3.4 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 'Sep/2005 Source: Embraer
  • 14. 91-120 Seat Segment Competitors B717 B717 B737-600 B737-600 EMBRAER 190 EMBRAER 190 A318 A318 ARJ21 ARJ21 RRJ RRJ EMBRAER 195 EMBRAER 195
  • 15. Market Share (91-120 seat segment) 100 100 100 100 90 80 Accumulated Market Share (%) 70 60 58.5 56 56 45 49 50 45 42 40 42 44 38 30 33 29 24 26 21.3 20 16 20.2 13 20 11 11 10 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 'Sep/2005 Source: Embraer
  • 16. Embraer Commercial Jets Unique Position 30Y 50Y 70Y 90Y 110Y 130Y Potential New Entrants Scope
  • 17. Regional Jets Sustained Operation (30-60 seat segment)
  • 18. ERJ 145 Family 37 Seats 44 Seats 50 Seats 50 Seats (2,000 nm range)
  • 19. ERJ 145 Family Network - USA New Routes Jet Complement Jet Replacement RJ Complement RJ Replacement TP Complement TP Replacement 100% 28% 75% 18% 50% 22% 3% 25% 5% 6% Average Stage Length = 460 miles 18% Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05) 0% 1371 routes
  • 20. ERJ 145 Family Network < 1 hour 1 – 2 hours 2 – 3 hours > 3 hours Number of Routes Jan/2000 Jan/2005 < 1 hour 41 (14%) 179 (15%) 1 - 2 hours 157 (55%) 639 (51%) 2 - 3 hours 87 (31%) 380 (30%) > 3 hours 0 48 (4%) Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05)
  • 21. US Regional System Network % routes in each major US RJs operator network without direct competition 50% 44% 40% 35% 30% 27% 21% 20% 15% 15% 10% 0% AA CO DL NW UA US • High percentage of RJ service is on monopoly routes • 75% of all RJs monopoly routes are operated with less than 2 daily frequencies Source: BACK/OAG (Jan/05 ; combined city effect not considered)
  • 22. US Domestic Market (Year 2004) 2,500 Connecting Flight (Greater than 90% of total PPDEWs in 50-seat RJ Connecting Flight) 2,000 Market Direct & Connecting Flight Number of Markets Opportunities: 1949 1,500 connecting Direct Flight (Less than 10% of markets total PPDEWs in Connecting Flight) 1,000 500 0 25 - 75 75 - 150 150 - 315 315 - 500 >500 Passenger Per Day Each Way (PPDEW) Source: US DOT OD1A (Back Aviation)
  • 23. ERJ 145 Family Network - Europe New Routes Jet Complement Jet Replacement TP Complement TP Replacement 100% 31% 75% 17% 50% 18% 13% 25% 21% Average Stage Length = 430 miles 0% Source: BACK/OAG(Jan/05) 424 routes
  • 24. New Routes Development - London City • ERJ 135: Steep Approach Capable (London City Airport) • Still Air Range: 600 nm ERJ 135 - Typical European airline OEW - Full PAX Passengers at 90.7 kg (200 lb) - Cruise at LRC - Airport Temp. at 20.5ºC / ISA+5.5ºC (85% Summer) - 85% Summer Winds - JAR OPS Reserves 100 nm alternate
  • 25. New Routes Development - China China Eastern 5 ERJ 145 Chengdu Sichuan Airlines China Southern 5 ERJ 145 Guangzhou 6 ERJ 145 Source: BACK/OAG(1Q05)
  • 26. ERJ 145 - AeroLitoral - Mexico New Routes CJS CJS TIJ TIJ Jet Replacement TP Complement HMO HMO CUU CUU TP Replacement CEN CEN LMM LMM MTY MTY 100% CUL CUL 17% 75% 17% BJX BJX GDL GDL MEX MEX 50% 41% • The ERJ 145, on average, attracts 10 more pax per flight on every route it replaces the Saab. 25% • Since the incorporation of the ERJ 145s, AeroMexico’s 25% market share, on disputed routes, has increased by 9 p.p. 0% Source: BACK/OAG(Jan/05)
  • 27. ERJ 145 Family Worldwide Fleet SR and CR Schedule Reliability & Completion Rate 12 Months Moving Average REF. CR=99.7% (completion) Aug/2005 SR=98.8% (15 min. delay)
  • 28. ERJ 145 Family Orderbook (as of September 30th., 2005) Firm Firm Orders Options Total Deliveries Backlog ERJ 135 123 2 125 108 15 ERJ 140 94 20 114 74 20 ERJ 145 677 206 883 661 16 Total 894 228 1,122 843 51
  • 29. The 30-60 Seat Jet Segment Summary • Market has reached maturity (established customer base) • The lowest trip cost: increased frequencies (market presence) and reduced risks to new markets development (long and thin routes with monopoly services – better pricing power) • Secondary market starting to develop • Less than 10 ERJs temporarily parked • Will remain the backbone of US Regional fleet (small density markets)
  • 30. The E-Jets Family Program Status Economics Ergonomics Engineering Efficiency
  • 31. EMBRAER 170 Certified by CTA/FAA/EASA CTA FAA EASA
  • 32. EMBRAER 170/175 Canadian Certification •Canadian Certification Granted on July 15th, 2005. Florida, July 2005, -35 °C McKinley Climatic Lab, Eglin Air Force Base Additional Cold Soak tests performed for the Canadian authorities PR 22/Jul/05
  • 33. EMBRAER 190 – Certified by CTA and FAA CTA TC on August 30th, 2005. FAA TC on September 2nd, 2005. PR 01/Sep/05
  • 34. EMBRAER 195 – Development & Certification Schedule 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Initial Definitions Phase Joint Definition Phase Detail Design and Manufacturing First Flight Certification Tests Type Certification 1st Delivery 1ST Flight – Dec’07th 2004 PR 10/May/05
  • 35. E-Jets Operators ITALY France SWITZERLAND UK FINLAND GERMANY POLAND ●Alitalia ●Régional ●Swiss ●Flybe ●Finnair ●Cirrus ●LOT CANADA ●Air Canada USA ●US Airways ●Republic Delta China United ●Hong Kong ●JetBlue Express India PANAMA ●Paramount ●Copa ECUADOR ●Tame Saudi Arabia ● Current Operators ● Near Future operators ●Saudi Arabian Airlines (as of Oct 24th, 2005)
  • 36. Embraer 170 Network at % of Routes (3Q05) New Route Rightsizing Natural Growth 100% 8% 75% 41% 50% 25% 51% Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes) Average Stage Length = 635 sm (552 nm) 0%
  • 37. Embraer 170 Network at % of Routes (3Q05) New Route Rightsizing Natural Growth 100% 3% 75% 43% 50% 25% 54% Average Stage Length = 640 sm (556 nm) 0% Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)
  • 38. Embraer 170 Network at % of Routes (3Q05) New Route Rightsizing Natural Growth 100% 12% 75% 29% 50% 59% 25% Average Stage Length = 429 sm (373 nm) 0% Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes)
  • 39. Embraer 175 Network % of Routes (4Q05) New Route Rightsizing Natural Growth 100% 75% 50% 50% 25% 50% Average Stage Length = 410 sm (357 nm) 0% Source: BACK/OAG (4Q05 routes)
  • 40. Embraer 170 Network % of Routes (3Q05) New Route Rightsizing Natural Growth 100% 2% 37% 75% 50% 61% 25% Average Stage Length = 609 sm (529 nm) Source: BACK/OAG (3Q05 routes) 0%
  • 41. EMBRAER 190 Initial Network New Route 100% From Panama City San Pedro Sulas To San Salvador San Jose 22% Equipment 73G E90 73G E90 Jun/05 0 0 0 0 75% Jan/06 0 30 0 0 Jun/06 0 30 0 31 50% Rightsizing From Guatemala City Panama City Panama City Panama City Panama City Panama City 78% To Managua Managua San Andres Barranquilla Cartagena Guayaquil Equipment 73G E90 73G E90 73G E90 73G E90 73G E90 73G E90 25% Jun/05 60 0 30 0 30 0 22 0 22 0 45 0 Jan/06 62 0 30 0 0 31 0 31 0 31 13 31 Jun/06 30 30 30 30 0 31 0 31 0 31 6 46 0% Source: BACK OAG (Oct 05)
  • 42. Y COP 200 400
  • 43. EMBRAER 190 Initial Network New Routes Rightsizing Source: jetBlue website, BACK OAG (Oct/05) and ATI News
  • 44. New Success Stories To Be Written Shortly Firm order of 12 E170 plus 8 options Firm order of 4 E170 Firm order of 2 E170 and 1 E190 Firm order of 15 E170 plus 4 options
  • 45. New Success Stories To Be Written Shortly Firm order of 6 firm E190 Firm order of 14 EMBRAER 195 Firm order of 2 E170 and 3 E175
  • 46. EMBRAER 170/175 EIS Statistics • Operating Summary Operators 8 Aircraft in Service 87 Flight hours 167,700 Flight Cycles 115,200 (as of Oct 14th, 2005) IS 19/Oct/05
  • 47. EMBRAER 170/190 Family Order Book Firm Firm Orders Options Total Deliveries Backlog EMBRAER 170 191 133 324 81 110 EMBRAER 175 22 - 22 9 13 EMBRAER 190 185 219 404 2 183 EMBRAER 195 29 31 60 - 29 Total 427 383 810 92 335 (as of September 30th., 2005)
  • 49. Embraer Market Forecast (2006-2025) Worldwide Jet Deliveries by Capacity Segment Segment 2006 - 2015 2016 – 2025 2006 - 2025 30 - 60 500 1,050 1,550 61 – 90 1,300 1,650 2,950 91 – 120 1,550 1,900 3,450 TOTAL 3,350 4,600 7,950 30 to 120-seat segment value = US$ 180 billion
  • 50. Embraer Market Forecast (2006-2025) 30 - 120 Seats: 7,950 Jets Europe Russia USA, Canada 1,450 & CIS & Caribbean 525 4,230 18% 53% 7% China 590 7% Africa & Latin Middle East Asia America 280 Pacific 465 4% 410 6% 5%